Texas
Texas vs. Oklahoma: Predictions, odds and how to watch Red River Rivalry
Week 7 of the college football season will feature the first SEC Red River Rivalry showdown between the Texas Longhorns and the Oklahoma Sooners. This historic rivalry, often referred to as the Red River Shootout, is a highly anticipated annual event in college football.
The undefeated Texas Longhorns, riding high on recent victories, are expected to be well-rested after a bye week and could see quarterback Quinn Ewers back. He has been recovering from an oblique injury he sustained on September 14th against UTSA. As Ewers’ backup, Arch Manning has kept the Longhorns’ win streak alive and led Texas to impressive victories over UL Monroe and Mississippi State. Head coach Steve Sarkisian has not said who will start against the Sooners at the Cotton Bowl.
The Oklahoma Sooners, buoyed by a remarkable 27-21 road victory against Auburn, are coming off a bye week. The team is getting ready to face the formidable Longhorns with freshman quarterback Michael Hawkins Jr., who earned the starting position after replacing Jackson Arnold, who struggled in every game he started for Oklahoma this year.
Here are the latest predictions and odds for the first SEC Red River Rivalry.
More: College football bowl projections get overhaul after upsetting Week 6 reshapes CFP bracket
College football 2024: Texas vs. Oklahoma predictions
ESPN: Texas has a 85% chance to win
According to ESPN’s Matchup Predictor, the Texas Longhorns have a 85% chance to beat the Oklahoma Sooners in Week 7.
Sports Illustrated: Oklahoma Sooners
James Park writes: “When taking the point spread and total into consideration, it’s implied that Texas will defeat Oklahoma by a projected score of 33 to 19.OU’s offense is in tatters amid some big injuries and poor output, but its defense has the muscle to contain the Longhorns’ skill threats enough to keep this one close.”
College Football Network: Texas 27, Oklahoma 17
Will Helms writes: “The Sooners will do everything they can to make this game ugly. They’ll slow the tempo, lean on the run (both from the running backs and new starting quarterback Michael Hawkins Jr., who has the mobility to cause issues), and try to create turnovers. Then again, this game tends to lean into unpredictability. Factoring that in, I think Texas wins, but it won’t be pretty, and it won’t cover. Take the under and lean Oklahoma against the spread in yet another weird installment of the Red River Showdown.”
College football 2024: Texas vs. Oklahoma odds, lines:
The Texas Longhorns are favorites to defeat the Oklahoma Sooners, according to the BetMGM college football odds.
Odds as of Tuesday afternoon.
- Spread: Texas (-14.5)
- Moneylines: Texas (-700)
- Over/under: 49.5
Looking to wager? Check out the top college football betting apps in 2024, offering the top NCAA football betting promos and bonuses in 2024.
How to watch Texas vs. Oklahoma:
- Date: Saturday, Oct. 12
- Where: Cotton Bowl (Dallas, Texas)
- Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV: ABC
- Stream: Fubo (free trial) | Sling TV | ESPN+
Stream select college football games with a Fubo subscription (free trial)
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Texas
Jimbo Fisher’s $77 million buyout was money well spent for Texas A&M. Just look
Oklahoma Sooners doomed by slow start against Ole Miss Rebels | Rapid reaction
The Oklahoman’s Jenni Carlson gives her quick thoughts on OU’s 34-26 loss to Ole Miss in Week 9 of the 2025 college football season.
I hate to be a voice for the opulent, but if the money works, flaunt it.
All the way to the elite of college football.
So while Texas A&M was dismantling LSU 49-25 Saturday night and taking control of he SEC race, it was hard to not see it for what it was.
While the college football world is collectively sick over the financial waste of universities firing coaches and paying exorbitant buyouts (Penn State, Florida), Texas A&M is doing just fine, thank you. After two years ago paying the largest buyout in college football history.
That was Texas A&M at the end of the 2023 season, doing the utter unthinkable by firing Jimbo Fisher and giving him $77 million to please go away as fast as possible.
That was Texas A&M on Saturday night in LSU’s famed Death Valley, where dreams go to die. Unless you have a spare $77 million laying in the desk drawer.
Hey, you’ve got to spend money to make money, right?
Because that cash — the unimaginable buyout of a colossal mistake of a coaching hire — brought hardscrabble coach Mike Elko to College Station.
You’ve seen Elko by now. Looks like a short order cook, wears a t-shirt on the sideline — untucked because, well, of course it is.
He also has the best team in the best conference in college football 21 games into his buildout at historically underachieving Texas A&M. So underachieving, in fact, that the joke around the SEC is they’re not Texas A&M.
They’re Texas 8&5. Every flipping year — despite every possible advantage to winning.
That’s why it was so strange when Elko stood at the SEC spring meetings in Destin, Fla., five months ago, and said he really liked this team. No, you don’t get it, he said.
He really liked this team. As in, this team can win a championship.
And everywhere around the SEC, they laughed. Because they’ve watched Kevin Sumlin and Fisher since the Aggies rolled into the SEC in 2012.
They’ve watched the program waste one of the greatest talents in college football history (Johnny Manziel), and the greatest high school recruiting class in history (2022).
And frankly, they watched the same Texas A&M begin its first season under Elko by winning seven of eight games. Then lose four of its last five to finish — you guessed it — 8-5.
That’s what makes this season so impressive. It’s not just that Elko has this group of players executing at their collective ceiling and dominating the big, bad SEC, it’s the way they’re burying the narratives of the past.
The Aggies are soft. They’ll fold when it matters most. Punch them in the mouth, and they back down.
They had six sacks against LSU. They had more than 200 yards rushing and 200 yards passing and — get this — won despite being negative-2 in turnover ratio.
They had eight runs of at least 10 yards. Had five catches of at least 17 yards. That’s 13 explosion plays, if you’re counting at home.
They held LSU to 55 yards rushing on 25 carries, and forced talented quarterback Garrett Nussmeier into his worst game of the season. With each play that exposed LSU’s fraud season of hype, coach Brian Kelly’s ball cap spun in a crooked mess.
Let this sink in: Texas A&M, the perpetual underachievers for decades upon decades, outscored LSU 35-7 in the second half. The Tigers’ only touchdown came in garbage time from a backup quarterback throwing to a backup wide receiver — against the backup Texas A&M defense.
And Elko was livid.
Just like he was livid when the Aggies allowed 40 points to Notre Dame and first-year starting quarterback CJ Carr. Took the final drive of the game in South Bend to win that one, a road victory that can only be surpassed by winning in Death Valley for the fist time since 1994.
As LSU coach Brian Kelly walked off the field, LSU fans chanted “Fire Kelly.” Meanwhile, in their own corner of Death Valley, Elko and the players swayed and sang the Aggie War Hymn with the 10,000 or so fans who followed for the ride.
There’s nothing fluky about it. You’ve got to spend money to make money.
Or in this case, to make champions.
Matt Hayes is the senior college football writer for USA TODAY Sports Network. Follow him on X at @MattHayesCFB.
Texas
State to take control of Fort Worth ISD, sparking mixed reactions
Parents and teachers across Fort Worth ISD are reacting to news that the Texas Education Agency will take control of the district — a move that’s leaving many educators uneasy but giving some parents hope for change.
Longtime Fort Worth ISD teacher Kelsey De La Torre said the announcement immediately brought her to tears.
“Honestly, I read it today. I got the notification on my phone, and I glanced at it, and I got tears in my eyes,” De La Torre said. “Because it delivers a sense of insecurity and a sense of uncertainty in an environment where you need to be secure and certain.”
State plans leadership overhaul
Texas Education Commissioner Mike Morath said the state will appoint a new board of trustees and begin a nationwide search for a new superintendent.
De La Torre worries that leadership changes at the top will trickle down to classrooms.
“The people who are basically giving us our materials, our instruction, our strategies, our resources — that will inevitably impact each and every one of us,” she said.
Parents see opportunity for change
While some teachers fear the change, others in the community see it as a much-needed reset.
Fort Worth parent Adrienne Alexander Haynes said she felt relieved when the news broke.
“I feel like we’ve been stuck in this position of asking for a bare minimum,” Haynes said. “With the state takeover, it’s almost as though we’re finally being rescued out of this hamster wheel that we’ve been in, in our education system.”
Other parents echoed that optimism.
“I’m excited for the future,” said Kathy Kessler, another Fort Worth ISD parent. “I’m excited that there are opportunities to try and make things better, where our kids are being more productive in school.”
Concerns about deeper systemic issues
Still, De La Torre — who also has three children in the district — said the state’s intervention doesn’t address the real barriers students face.
“We’re still going to have an issue with poverty. We’re still going to have an issue with students who are homeless. We’re still going to have an issue with kids who go home and don’t have any food,” she said. “When are we going to fix those issues? Because that’s what’s keeping kids from growing.”
Support for current superintendent
Both parents and teachers agreed on one thing — they want Superintendent Dr. Karen Molinar to stay in her role. Many believe she’s made significant progress in the short time she’s led the district.
Texas
David Pollack gives score prediction, winner in Texas A&M-LSU game
The buildup to Saturday night in Baton Rouge carries all the tension of a late-season crossroads game. Texas A&M enters unbeaten at 7-0, while LSU finds itself searching for answers after a frustrating loss to Vanderbilt. For the Tigers, it’s a must-win moment to salvage momentum before facing Alabama. For the Aggies, it’s a chance to validate their rise and break a three-decade drought in Death Valley.
On the See Ball Get Ball podcast, college football analyst David Pollack laid out his view of how the matchup will unfold, citing the trenches and quarterback play as decisive factors. He pointed to A&M’s pass rush and LSU’s injuries up front, particularly at left tackle, as key reasons for his pick. “But I’m going A&M, and I do think this is a super close game… 27–23 is what I wrote down,” Pollack said.
Pollack emphasized that while LSU has talent, its protection issues have left quarterback Garrett Nussmeier exposed. He also highlighted the contrasting defensive strengths, noting A&M’s ability to pressure quarterbacks and LSU’s elite secondary depth.
Pollack detailed his reasoning by breaking down what he called one of the nation’s most exciting matchups between wide receivers and defensive backs. “This might be the best showcase you will see all year of receivers versus DBs,” he said. He praised Texas A&M’s Mario Craver and KC Concepcion for their explosiveness and LSU’s coverage unit led by Javien Toviano and Ashton Stamps for their discipline on the perimeter.
Beyond the individual matchups, Pollack cited the Tigers’ mounting injuries and offensive inconsistency as major red flags. “Nussmeier’s dad-gum hobbling around. He needs pain medication every practice because you haven’t been able to protect him,” he said. “They’re so elite at pass rush. They’re so elite on third down.”
He also noted Texas A&M’s balance behind quarterback Marcel Reed and running back Rueben Owens. The Aggies rank second nationally in third-down defense and bring one of the SEC’s most efficient passing attacks into Baton Rouge. Despite LSU’s strong defensive ranking, Pollack questioned whether its front seven can hold up.
Pollack’s cohost Brent Rollins reminded listeners that LSU has won every home meeting in this series since 2017, but Pollack said he couldn’t back the Tigers given their health and form. He predicted a narrow 27–23 Aggie win and added that a loss could intensify pressure on head coach Brian Kelly.
Texas A&M will play LSU at Tiger Stadium on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
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