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Ohio State vs. Purdue, Texas A&M vs. Tennessee picks: College football odds

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Ohio State vs. Purdue, Texas A&M vs. Tennessee picks: College football odds


I don’t think Ohio State is that good.

Kyle McCord isn’t that good.

He ranks 63rd in Pro Football Focus’ passing grades.

Though he has thrown just one interception, he has accounted for six turnover-worthy plays.

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The offensive line is an issue. McCord can’t get comfortable in the pocket.

And they aren’t getting much push in the run game, ranking 101st nationally in Rush Success Rate.

It’s hard to field an elite offense with a middling quarterback, a lousy ground game and an underwhelming offensive line.

The Buckeyes struggled against Indiana and Youngstown State, and they should have finished with just 10 points against Notre Dame if it weren’t for a dropped interception.

Let’s talk about the Notre Dame game.

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The Fighting Irish had a 96 percent postgame win expectancy there.

The Irish posted a 47 percent success rate (77th percentile) while holding the Buckeyes to a 33 percent mark (33rd percentile).

Ohio State has inflated in the market because of that lucky win, and I’m happy to fade the overvalued Buckeyes, especially with the struggles on offense.

Meanwhile, Purdue is undervalued.

The Boilermakers rank top-50 nationally in Success Rate and Success Rate allowed, but they’re sub-100th in Finishing Drives on both sides of the ball.

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Generally, a team’s red-zone play regresses toward its rest-of-field play.

I expect more points scored and fewer points allowed for Purdue in the coming weeks.

That starts here against Ohio State.

For what it’s worth, Purdue has hosted Ohio State eight times since 2000, winning five.

West Lafayette is cursed ground for Buckeye faithful, and I think they’re vulnerable again on Saturday.

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The pick: Purdue +18.5.

Purdue quarterback Hudson Card
Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Texas A&M (+3) over TENNESSEE

Tennessee has played the 77th-toughest schedule in FBS.

The Volunteers have four wins this season, two coming against sub-70 SP+ teams (Virginia, UTSA) and another against FCS Austin Peay.

Yet, the Vols have struggled against this cupcake schedule.

Joe Milton is too inconsistent.

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His offense ranks 90th in expected points added (EPA) per pass.

Milton has thrown for more than 250 yards once this season.

The run game has saved Tennessee, but the Vols are rushing into an elite front seven.

The Aggies rank top-15 nationally in Rush Success Rate allowed, EPA per rush allowed, and Havoc generated.

Betting on College Football?

Nobody has produced more tackles for loss than A&M’s 57.

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I suspect Jimbo Fisher’s elite front seven will stack the box and stuff Tennessee’s rush attack, forcing an inconsistent Milton to beat the Aggies over the top.

I’m betting Milton will fail. T

his is his toughest test of the season, and it’ll prove too tough.

Our Action Network Power Ratings make Texas A&M a slight road favorite here.

The wrong team is favored.

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Last week: 0-3. Texas (L), Florida Atlantic (L), Colorado State (L)
2023 season: 11-7.



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Can indicted South Texas Democrat Henry Cuellar survive corruption charges?

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Can indicted South Texas Democrat Henry Cuellar survive corruption charges?


WASHINGTON — U.S. Rep. Henry Cuellar insists he has no intention of stepping down since being indicted on federal charges accusing him of taking nearly $600,000 in bribes.

“No, no, no, no, no,” Cuellar told reporters asking if he was contemplating resignation after the indictment was announced May 3. “Everybody’s innocent until proven otherwise and we are going to continue doing our job.”

He stood by that position this week after it was revealed federal prosecutors have secured guilty pleas from three people in connection with the case against him. He and his wife, Imelda Cuellar, are accused of participating in schemes involving bribery, illegal foreign influence and money laundering. Cuellar denies the allegations.

The federal indictment alleges the Democrat from Laredo accepted almost $600,000 in bribes to advance the interests of the former Soviet republic of Azerbaijan and a bank in Mexico.

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The most serious charges carry a maximum penalty of 20 years in federal prison.

Former top Cuellar aide Colin Strother and political consultant Florencio Rendon are cooperating with the federal investigation, according to plea agreements filed in March.

Strother’s attorney declined comment. Rendon’s attorney said he could not immediately comment.

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The Associated Press reported this week that a third person pleaded guilty May 1 in Houston federal court to acting as an agent for Azerbaijan without registering with federal officials.

CNN confronted Cuellar on Capitol Hill this week about the guilty pleas, but the Texan said he isn’t going anywhere.

“We’re not afraid of the truth,” said Cuellar, who is on the November ballot as he seeks an 11th two-year term.

Other politicians have won reelection with pending indictments, including Ken Paxton, Texas’ Republican attorney general.

Two Republicans, Jay Furman and Lazaro Garza Jr., are competing in a May 28 runoff to determine who will face Cuellar in November.

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It is unclear how much Republicans will spend on the race, having seen challengers fall short in previous bids against the incumbent.

Cuellar faced a close call in the 2022 Democratic primary but won by 13.3 percentage points that November.

After the indictment was unsealed, the National Republican Congressional Committee pounced, calling for Cuellar’s fellow Democrats to push for his resignation. U.S. Rep. Dean Phillips, D-Minn., did so, but he’s a striking exception.

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., said Thursday he had not rescinded his endorsement of Cuellar and he wanted to give the Texan time and space to “work out his legal situation” without wading into politics.

“I support Henry Cuellar’s right to a trial by jury,” Jeffries said. “He is innocent until proven guilty.”

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The George Santos precedent

The NRCC accused Democrats of hypocrisy for pressing to oust U.S. Rep. George Santos, R-N.Y., over his own criminal charges.

U.S. Rep. Colin Allred, D-Dallas, said it’s a sign of a healthy democracy when those in power are held to account. He pointed to an initial failed vote to kick out Santos, which Allred opposed, citing a lack of due process.

Allred joined others in voting for Santos’ successful expulsion on a subsequent vote, after the release of a scathing report by the Ethics Committee that cited “overwhelming evidence” Santos used campaign funds for personal purposes and committed other crimes.

There has been no such report on Cuellar.

“Due process still has to be observed,” Allred said.

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U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett, D-Dallas, noted Cuellar said he sought and received legal opinions from the Ethics Committee before taking actions cited in the indictment.

“As a criminal defense attorney, I always go with the presumption of innocence,” she said. “So I’m hoping for the best.”

Republicans not going after Cuellar

Many Republicans in Congress, including those from Texas, also are inclined to let the legal process play out for Cuellar, an occasional political ally.

After news of the indictment broke, several Texas Republicans cited Cuellar’s record of working on bipartisan measures and his penchant for breaking with his party over his opposition to abortion rights, support for tougher border security measures and other issues.

“I know Henry to be a really good man, and for whatever he’s going through, I feel sorry for him,” said U.S. Rep. Roger Williams, R-Willow Park. “He’s well-liked. He’s a good man and he thinks a lot like conservatives do on certain issues.”

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Williams said he has been Cuellar’s friend for many years and remains one, noting that he served as Texas secretary of state after Cuellar held the position.

U.S. Rep. Ronny Jackson, R-Amarillo, also called the Democrat a friend.

“I know they’ve been coming after him for a while,” Jackson said. “They come after him, in part, because he does on occasion vote with us.”

U.S. Rep. August Pfluger, R-San Angelo, called Cuellar a “great member to work with” on issues from energy to agriculture.

Across the Capitol, both Republican U.S. senators from Texas spoke positively about working with Cuellar on various issues.

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Sen. Ted Cruz said the allegations are “serious” and “concerning,” but he also highlighted issues of agreement, such as streamlining approval of new U.S.-Mexico bridges across the Rio Grande and designating a new interstate corridor running from Laredo through West Texas.

“He has been a strong partner fighting for jobs in Texas, and together we’ve gotten a lot accomplished for the state,” Cruz said.

Cruz, who wrote a book accusing Democrats of “weaponizing” the justice system, said it’s fair to ask whether the case against Cuellar is politically motivated.

U.S. Sen. John Cornyn said he’s enjoyed working with Cuellar and feels for him, but the matter is up to the courts.

“Henry has always been a bipartisan individual and he’s one of the very few pro-life [Democratic] House members and frankly, you know, you can see where he may be in disfavor by the current administration,” Cornyn said.

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Arkansas Gets Revenge, Secures SEC West Over Texas A&M With Game 2 Victory

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Arkansas Gets Revenge, Secures SEC West Over Texas A&M With Game 2 Victory


COLLEGE STATION — It took one inning Friday evening for the score between the Texas A&M Aggies and Arkansas Razorbacks to exceed what it was in the series opener.

After a complete pitcher’s battle between both squads Thursday night amidst a rain delay, Game 2 of the SEC West showdown was seemingly going to be much simpler to complete. Weather wasn’t going to be at play and 7 p.m. CST was truly an accurate assessment for the game’s first pitch.

For the Aggies, Olsen Field was even more packed than it was the night before, setting them up to have an even better atmosphere as they looked to secure a series victory and keep themselves in contention for their half of the SEC. Arkansas had some ground to make up.

The thing was, it did.

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The Razorbacks came out with their bats swinging, keeping the contest interesting on offense despite allowing some true — that is, non-walking — points on defense. In the end, they got the best of their hosts, rallying behind a three-run home run from junior Hudson White to put themselves in front and take control of the momentum, ultimately notching a 6-3 road victory.

May 17, 2024; College Station, Texas; USA: Texas A&M Aggies seniors Ryan Targac talks to freshman Caden Sorrell at first base.

May 17, 2024; College Station, Texas; USA: Texas A&M Aggies seniors Ryan Targac talks to freshman Caden Sorrell at first base. / Matt Guzman – AllAggies on SI

From the jump, the Aggies — starting Brad Rudis instead of the anticipated Justin Lamkin — started off on a positive note. They registered a strikeout and two flyouts to end their defensive portion of the first inning rather quickly before scoring two runs in the bottom half behind Braden Montgomery’s 25th home run of the season, which put them up 2-0.

From there, the Razorbacks began chipping away at the lead, notching two one-run innings in the second and third to tie the game up headed to the fourth. Where Game 1 was a pitching battle, Game 2 was shaping up to be a battle of the bats. And that continued.

Texas A&M added another run to its total in the bottom of the fourth after Gavin Grahovac doubled on the first pitch he was thrown. From there, Jace LaViolette singled to right field with enough distance to bring in Grahovac. That run signaled the bubbles across Blue Bell Park and gave the Aggies the lead once more, but unfortunately for them, it was the last run they would score that night.

May 17, 2024; College Station, Texas; USA: Texas A&M Aggies senior Ted Burton awaits a pitch in the sixth inning.

May 17, 2024; College Station, Texas; USA: Texas A&M Aggies senior Ted Burton awaits a pitch in the sixth inning. / Matt Guzman – AllAggies on SI

The fifth and sixth innings saw little action besides Arkansas’ methodical base approach. After a single from Ben McLaughlin brought in Peyton Stovall — who singled on his at-bat — to tie the game at three runs a piece, the Razorbacks stalled out before being able to run up the score anymore.

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Three runs each was how the scoreboard held for the remainder of the sixth and through the seventh, but the eighth inning was where the most action happened all game.

Stovall ended up being the lead-off single on his second pitch of the at-bat, which Wehiwa Aloy followed with a double. Stovall moved to third, but it didn’t matter. Hudson White came to bat and hit a home run to deep left field to both double the Aggies’ score and his team’s chances at a win.

Texas A&M made nothing of its eighth-inning offensive, and Arkansas followed suit at the top of the ninth. After that third out, the Aggies’ War Hymm played and the entire upper deck of fans got on their feet to watch the final three outs of the ball game.

Ali Camarillo led things off, striking out looking after a full count, followed by Sorrell, who never landed a ball as he grounded out to Arkansas’ shortstop. Travis Chesnut — batting bottom of the Aggies’ order — was his team’s last chance, but couldn’t get the job done, flying out to left field to give the Razorbacks a 6-3 win on the road.

With the loss, the Texas A&M Aggies fall two games behind the Arkansas Razorbacks in the SEC West standings with just one game left to play at 18-11, which officially ousts them from contention for the conference title.

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Next up for both squads is one more matchup at Olsen Field with the series on the line. The winner there will certainly put themselves in a solid position to land a top-3 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

First pitch for Game 3 is scheduled for 2 p.m. CST Saturday afternoon.



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IL Texas holds middle school improv night

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IL Texas holds middle school improv night


COLLEGE STATION, Texas (KBTX) – Who doesn’t need a good laugh at the end of the school year?

IL Texas College Station hosted its first ever middle school Improv Night: Staff vs. Students.

Twelve teachers and 16 students participated in the contest.

The prize was a mannequin head with a wig. We’re told it was a tie, and the teachers won the wig while the students took home the head!

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