Well, this is definitely the biggest Vanderbilt-Tennessee game in a long time. Vanderbilt heads to Knoxville today looking for its first win over the Vols since 2018 — and looking for its first ten-win season in school history, along with possibly maybe a playoff berth? That looks less likely after yesterday’s results (which saw Utah pick up a come-from-behind win over Kansas, and Texas beat Texas A&M), but it’s still within the realm of possibility. Will Vanderbilt make it a 10-win season?
Tennessee
Tennessee reading law: Less than 1% of third graders held back in 2024
Just 0.88% of Tennessee public school third graders were held back this year under the state’s controversial reading law, despite 60% of the class falling short of a state reading benchmark this spring.
With around 74,000 third graders enrolled in the 2023-24 school year statewide, that works out to 655 students who were retained, according to data from the Tennessee Department of Education. The state reading law took effect last year and led to the retention of 1.2% of third graders in 2023, which came out to 898 students.
The law primarily determines children’s reading proficiency by their English language arts scores on the standardized Tennessee Comprehensive Assessment Program, or TCAP, test.
The 60% who fell short on this year’s TCAP represent roughly 50,000 students. However, that number does not include students who were exempt from being held back. Here are those exemptions, including how many students met them:
- 11,468: Students with disabilities or suspected disabilities that may impact their reading
- 3,511: Students who are English learners with less than two years of English language arts instruction
- 2,596: Students who were held back in a previous grade
- 2,345: Students who had other exemptions determined by their local education leaders
Exemptions were up to the districts to sort out. The remaining students had to successfully take one of the state’s many “pathways” to avoid being held back.
Here’s a look at how those students fared.
How Tennessee third graders moved on to fourth grade
Third graders who scored “below” or “approaching” expectations on the English language arts section of the TCAP had several options to avoid being held back.
Retakes were offered to third graders shortly after the spring TCAP. A total of 3,274 made a passing score and moved on to fourth grade. Another 99 students won an appeal because they faced a catastrophic circumstance around the time they took the TCAP.
Third graders who scored as approaching proficiency had three options to move on to fourth grade. Here’s how many qualified for each one:
- 1,124: Enrolled in summer school, met 90% attendance and showed adequate growth
- 7,426: Opted into state-provided tutoring for the entirety of fourth grade
- 3,262: Scored in the 50th percentile or higher of a state-approved universal reading screener and opted into state-provided tutoring for the entirety of fourth grade
- 2,895: Won a parent appeal and opted into an academic remediation plan in fourth grade, which includes tutoring
Third graders who scored as below proficiency had one option to move on to fourth grade. Here’s how many qualified:
- 3,411: Enrolled in summer school, met a 90% attendance rate and opted into state-provided tutoring for the entirety of fourth grade
Students who qualified for tutoring in fourth grade must meet an individualized growth goal by the end of fourth grade. This growth goal does not apply to two groups who opted into tutoring: Those who won an appeal, or those who scored as “approaching” on the third grade TCAP and scored in the 50th percentile or higher on the third grade universal reading screener.
A total of 1,950 third graders who fell short on the spring TCAP either did not enroll again or had data that has not been reported to the state. The data reflects reports from districts as of Sept. 6, according to the state department of education.
How the Tennessee reading law affected fourth graders
Fourth graders who enrolled in yearlong tutoring to avoid being held back in third grade must pass the English language arts section of the TCAP or hit individualized growth goals set by the state. However, the reading law does not mandate that they be held back if they do not meet those goals.
Instead, it requires the student’s parents or legal guardians, principal and English language arts teacher to determine what’s best. They can either decide to retain the child or promote them to fifth grade with state-provided tutoring in place.
According to the state department of education, here’s how fourth graders enrolled in tutoring this year fared:
- 5,389: Promoted to fifth grade with tutoring in place
- 3,996: Met adequate growth goals
- 1,740: Scored proficient on their spring TCAP English language arts section
- 132: Retained in fourth grade
A total of 906 fourth graders either did not enroll again or had data that was not reported by their district, according to the state education department.
Where can I learn more?
More information on the third grade reading and retention law from the Tennessee Department of Education can be found at tn.gov/education/learning-acceleration.
Tennessee
Pavia, Vanderbilt overwhelm Tennessee, 45-24 – Knox TN Today
There are several words to describe what happened Saturday at Neyland Stadium – historic, decisive, disappointing, humbling.
Others are to be avoided. This is Sunday and KnoxTNToday is a family-friendly website.
Vanderbilt knocked down Tennessee and stepped on it, 45-24.
“Extremely disappointing second half that leads to an extremely disappointing ultimate result,” said Josh Heupel.
This was a new experience for the coach. His four previous teams defeated the Commodores. Three years ago, the Vols romped, 56-0.
This time Vandy did all the romping. It got a tying touchdown 12 seconds before halftime, totally dominated the third quarter, gave up a field goal in the fourth and slammed in two more touchdowns to be sure the Vols got the message.
Tennessee couldn’t contain Diego Pavia. Tennessee couldn’t block the blitz. The running game was snuffed out. Tennessee lost the line of scrimmage on offense and defense.
Vanderbilt gained 582 yards. Pavia passed for 268 yards and a touchdown. He ran for 165 yards and a score. He backed up what he said in the summer, that the Vols wouldn’t know what hit them come November.
“We can beat Tennessee literally any given Saturday.”
For the first time, Vanderbilt has 10 victories in a season. This might be the best Vandy team in a century or so. It pretends to think it belongs in the playoffs.
In case you are interested, success was purchased, not developed. Pavia, several other key players and at least four offensive coaches came to Nashville as a package from New Mexico State.
Retooling the offense was a brilliant move by coach Clark Lea. He was 1-23 against Southeastern Conference competition before he “adjusted” his staff.
Tennessee has an 8-4 record. The team is not as good as that sounds. It did not make consistent improvement. It almost beat Georgia but didn’t – and didn’t defeat any other really strong opponent. It made many of the same mistakes all season. It never achieved dependability on pass defense.
Heupel did not say this loss will lead to a fire drill. He did not say any assistants will be replaced. He did say he will evaluate the entire program.
“I’ll certainly take a hard look at all of it.”
Heupel said “the performance was not anywhere near the standard of what Tennessee football is.”
He said there were a lot of things the program had to deal with in the beginning and middle parts of the season. He didn’t get into specifics but he probably was talking about key injuries and Boo Carter.
“I told our players we’ve had some disappointing results, but this second half was extremely disappointing. Coaches and players, not just one.”
Defensive lineman Tyre West #42 tackles Vandy wide receiver Junior Sherrill #0 at Neyland Stadium on Saturday. (Photo By Andrew Ferguson/ Tennessee Athletics)
There were some Saturday examples.
DeSean Bishop, a warrior, scored two touchdowns in the first half. He finished with 98 rushing yards. He gained two in the second half. I don’t think the drop-off was his fault.
Joey Aguilar played quarterback with Commodores in his face or all around. It looked as if Vandy surprised all concerned with the blitz plan.
Joey was not ultra-accurate but he and Chris Brazzell combined for a 52-yard touchdown and he threw another strike that Mike Matthews dropped at the goal line.
Aguilar finished 29-of-44 for 299 yards. One of those completions was a sensational shoe-topper by freshman Radarious Jackson. Joey did not lose an interception.
Jalen McMurray was flagged for a late hit to Pavia’s head on an incomplete pass. It wasn’t a fierce blow but the penalty led directly to the Vandy touchdown a few seconds before intermission.
Heupel said what everybody knew – “not smart football.”
Pavia didn’t blow a lot of smoke after the game but he did wave goodbye to the Tennessee multitude.
Vandy fans (or maybe just his relatives) were chanting “Heisman, Heisman, Heisman.”
Why not?
Score by quarters:
Vanderbilt 7 14 10 14 – 45
Tennessee 7 14 0 3 – 24
Scoring summary:
- TENN – DeSean Bishop 2-yard run (Max Gilbert kick)
- VANDY – Sedrick Alexander 28 yd run (Brock Taylor kick)
- VANDY – Makhilyn Young 3 run (Taylor kick)
- TENN – Chris Brazzell 52 pass from Joey Aguilar (Gilbert kick)
- TENN – Bishop 35 run (Gilbert kick)
- VANDY – Tre Richardson 6 pass from Diego Pavia (Taylor kick)
- VANDY – Alexander 5 run (Taylor kick)
- VANDY – Taylor 35 field goal
- TENN – Gilbert 25 field goal
- VANDY – Pavia 24 run (Taylor kick)
- VANDY – Alexander 39 run (Taylor kick)
Marvin West welcomes comments or questions from readers. His address is marvinwest75@gmail.com
Tennessee
Saturday Predictions: Vanderbilt at Tennessee
You know, I’ve seen a lot of people out there still picking against us like they doubt us. I have also seen a lot of Tennessee fans on Twitter posting about Diego Pavia’s mom behind burner accounts, which let me just say is exceptionally weird. And in some cases psychotic. Give me Vanderbilt to win this one. 10-2 it is.
The Pick: Vanderbilt 38, THEM 27
The SEC Upset Pick of the Week: An underrated one here: ARKANSAS (+3.5) is 2-9 but actually has a positive point differential on the season. This is their last chance to actually get one, so I am picking them to beat Missourah (spits.) How a game between an SWC and Big 8 team counts as “The SEC Upset Pick of the Week” is not clear.
This game screams “First to 50 wins.” Diego’s going to make sure, in his last regular season game, conference game, and rivalry game, that that will be The Gridiron Dores.
It really is that simple. Nothing sucks like a big orange.
The Pick: Vanderbilt 52 – Buttchuggers 49.
The SEC Upset Pick of the Week: The fact that so many of the games have already happened makes this prediction less impactful, so go ahead and give me The South Cackalacky Game Penises over Clemson. Wait… the penises are actually favored in this one??? Ah hell, I guess I’ll do the ol’ “I picked Vanderbilt to win, didn’t I?” canard.
This is a game of great offenses versus less-great defenses. Rivalry games often come down to big moments. Vanderbilt has, at times to a fault, been committed to preventing the big play on defense. They have also turned the ball over once for every two Tennessee turnovers. Turnovers and long TDs are often the plays that swing these games. Vanderbilt has the edge in both.
It is funny seeing the normal “rival trying to ruin their opponent’s season” script flipped. Granted, some results have already fallen that have Vanderbilt’s CFP hopes on life support. Still, the chance to go to the Citrus bowl, which Steve Spurrier called out as the rightful home of the 90s and 00s Vols, hangs in the balance. The Dores have the driver’s seat unless the CFP committee screws them in favor of Texas after the Longhorns’ win over Texas A&M.
Frankly, throw the stats out. The Dores have Diego Pavia who has been on a mission both for New York and for his team’s postseason chances. That baaaad man is not going to be denied in Neyland after struggling horribly against THEM in the 2024 contest.
The Pick: Vanderbilt 48, Tennessee 21
The SEC Upset Pick of the Week: Iron Bowl in Jordan-Hare with Auburn surging under an interim coach? That is absolutely the setup for an upset there. War. Damn. Eagle.
They lowdown.. They dirty. They suck. Go ‘Dores.
The Pick: Vanderbilt 41, Tennessee 31
The SEC Upset Pick of the Week: Upset? Volunteer fans after we whoop the only thing that brings those overgrown brats any joy.
Tennessee
Rocky Top Insider’s Ryan Schumpert Previews Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee
Vanderbilt football heads to Knoxville this weekend as 2.5-point underdogs as it looks to take down Tennessee on the way to its first 10-win season in program history. Taking down Josh Heupel’s 8-3 team will be a tall task of sorts, though.
Vandy on SI caught up with Rocky Top Insider’s Ryan Schumpert to discuss the matchup and what the Commodores are up against over the weekend. Here’s what Schumpert says in regard to this weekend’s matchup.
1. How much does Tennessee still have to play for?
As far as this season and its postseason implications, very little. A nine-win regular season with a chance to earn a 10-win season in a bowl game is certainly nice but hard to believe that is much of a motivating factor for players. We wondered what Tennessee’s interest level and motivation would look like last week at Florida and the Vols came out and played inspired football and turned in their best performance of the season. The rivalry aspect and chance to end Vanderbilt’s College Football Playoff hopes should be enough to motivate this team. If not, Diego Pavia’s offseason comments should help.
2. Tennessee has yet to win against a ranked opponent, is that indicative of its talent level? What else do you attribute that to?
I don’t think I’d attribute it to the talent level. Tennessee’s schedule has played a part. The Vols have only played three ranked teams and they’re all ranked in the top 10 and projected to make the playoffs if they take care of business this weekend. But Tennessee had chances to win all three of those games, especially home matchups against Georgia and Oklahoma. The Vols have struggled to play complimentary football this season. The Vols failed to put the Georgia game away with a touchdown off of a fourth quarter fumble that set them up in plus-territory. The defense didn’t get the stop to seal the game and Max Gilbert misfired on the potential game-winning kick. Against Oklahoma, Tennessee turned it over three times in the first half and trailed 16-10 at halftime despite allowing only 99 yards of offense. This Tennessee team certainly isn’t extremely talented but they’ve also hurt themselves consistently in their three losses.
3. Has Joey Aguilar met expectations, exceeded them or fallen short?
Overall, Aguilar has exceeded expectations. Most didn’t know what to expect from the Appalachian State transfer after a rocky 2024 season in Boone and his summer arrival in Knoxville. But he looked comfortable in Josh Heupel’s offense from the jump. Aguilar has thrown the ball well down the field and in the intermediate. He also possesses a much better internal clock than Tennessee’s last two starting quarterbacks. Where Aguilar has met expectations and struggled is with turnovers. He came to Tennessee with the reputation as a turnover prone quarterback and that has reared its ugly head at times. Aguilar’s thrown 10 interceptions this season which doubles the previous Heupel-era season-high. He’s also fumbled it a handful of times.
4. What are the strengths and weaknesses of Tennessee’s defense?
The most obvious area is in the secondary where Tennessee’s top two returning corners have played just 19 snaps this season due to injury. Colorado transfer Colton Hood and true freshman Ty Redmond have done a solid job stepping it but it’s definitely been a step back. Tennessee’s safety play has often been woeful this season. Tennessee’s run defense struggled badly early in the season and gap integrity was a key deficiency, something Vanderbilt will be able to exploit. But the run defense has been much better the last month. The Commodores will test it more than most have the back half of the season though. Over the course of the season, Tennessee’s pass rush has probably been its biggest strength. They’ve had a knack for making big plays in big moments.
5. What do you view as the main keys for Tennessee in this game?
Winning on early downs on defense is a big one because of the success of the pass rush and the way Vanderbilt seems to excel in third-and-intermediate and third-and-short. Another big one is for the offense to just play clean football. I think they’re going to be able to move the ball on Vanderbilt’s defense. Can they avoid turnovers, drive killing penalties and finish drives with touchdowns?
6. Score prediction?
Tennessee 31, Vanderbilt 27
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