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North Carolina at Florida State odds, picks and predictions

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North Carolina at Florida State odds, picks and predictions


The Florida State Seminoles (12-7, 6-2 ACC) welcome the No. 3 North Carolina Tar Heels (16-3, 8-0) to the Donald L. Tucker Center Saturday. Tip is set for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the North Carolina vs. Florida State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seminoles beat the Syracuse Orange 85-69 Tuesday, covering as a 3-point road underdog. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and have covered in all 6 victories, closing as an underdog in 4 of them. Florida State is 11-8 against the spread (ATS) on the season. It lost to the Tar Heels 78-70 on the road Dec. 2, closing as a 12.5-point underdog.

North Carolina is No. 3 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. It beat the Wake Forest Demon Deacons 85-64 Monday, covering as an 8-point home favorite. The Tar Heels have rattled off 9 in a row, covering in 8 of them. This streak followed back-to-back losses against top-10 teams (No. 6 Kentucky and No. 1 UConn). North Carolina is 12-7 ATS on the season.

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North Carolina at Florida State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): North Carolina -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Florida State +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina -6.5 (-114) | Florida State +6.5 (-106)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 152.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

North Carolina at Florida State picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 77, Florida State 71

Moneyline

PASS.

The Tar Heels are rolling and have yet to lose in ACC play. Don’t expect that streak to be snapped Saturday but pass on North Carolina to win outright as it is far too expensive at -280.

Against the spread

BET FLORIDA STATE +6.5 (-106).

The Seminoles, like the Tar Heels, are among the hottest teams in the conference. They have covered 5 of 6 games as an underdog in ACC play. Florida State has ample efficient scoring options too with 5 players notching at least 8 points per game and 3 of them shooting 43% or higher.

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North Carolina is more top-heavy, led by G RJ Davis, who is averaging 20.1 per game. It shot 21 more free throws and shot better than Florida State in the first matchup yet only won by 8. Expect a more even battle and a Seminoles’ cover.

Take FLORIDA STATE +6.5 (-106).

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 152.5 (-105).

North Carolina has surged lately due to its defense. It has held 9 straight opponents to 70 or fewer. It has gone Under in 6 of its last 7, so it really has stepped up on that end of the court.

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Florida State is 11-7-1 O/U but has gone Under in 2 of its last 4 and has allowed Under 75 or fewer 3 of those 4. Given the recent trends for both teams, take UNDER 152.5 (-105).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Spruce Pine equestrian estate sells for record $4.1 million

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Spruce Pine equestrian estate sells for record .1 million


An expansive equestrian estate in Spruce Pine has sold for $4.1 million, the highest residential sale on record in Mitchell County, according to Premier Sotheby’s International Realty.

Located on 68 acres west of downtown Spruce Pine, 1987 Rabbit Hop Road sold March 16, taking the equestrian compound off the market. The property had been listed for sale in mid-2025 for over $4.2 million, according to Zillow.

Developed as an equestrian compound, the estate features a main residence, a six-stall heated barn with a tack room and studio apartment, an indoor riding arena, an outdoor riding track and an RV and horse trailer storage area. The main residence features three bedrooms, 3,000 square-feet of living space and vaulted wood ceilings.

The property is located at elevations between 2,500 and 3,000 feet, according to Premier Sotheby’s International Realty. Properties of the size and scale of the estate are “extremely limited,” Premier Sotheby global real estate advisors Leslie Young and Cheryl Cenderelli said in a March 19 news release.

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Western North Carolina’s luxury real estate market has remained relatively strong in recent years, as more luxury homes list across the region. In Buncombe County, not including the city of Asheville, 99 homes were listed above $1.5 million at the end 2025, according to Mosaic Community Lifestyle Realty’s 4th quarter of 2025 market report. It represented an estimated 11.5 months of inventory.

The most expensive home in Buncombe County is Deerhaven Gardens, which is currently listed for $15.9 million on Zillow, down from its $34 million listing in 2023. With a 5% down payment and a 30-year loan term at 6.22% fixed-rate mortgage, one would pay $104,881 a month to rent the property, according to Rocket Mortgage’s loan calculator.

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Will Hofmann is the growth and development reporter for the Asheville Citizen Times, part of the USA Today Network. Got a tip? Email him at WHofmann@citizentimes.com or message will_hofmann.01 on Signal.



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North Carolina vs. VCU prediction: March Madness 2026 pick, odds, best bet for Round of 64

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North Carolina vs. VCU prediction: March Madness 2026 pick, odds, best bet for Round of 64


The North Carolina Tar Heels open the NCAA Tournament against the VCU Rams, one of the trendiest upset bets in the field.

According to BetMGM’s John Ewing, the Rams are the most-bet underdog to win outright among the 16 games on Thursday at +125 on the moneyline.

UNC enters this game as a 2.5-point favorite despite being the No. 6 seed in the South region. BYU, which will face Texas, is the only other team seeded sixth or higher with such a close spread.

This game is also being played in Greenville, SC, a little more than a three-hour drive from Chapel Hill. That drive would be about twice as long for VCU fans coming from Richmond, VA.

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North Carolina vs. VCU prediction, best bet

Careful observers of college hoops know why VCU is getting so much love from the public ahead of March Madness. 

UNC freshman Caleb Wilson won’t be available after breaking his thumb in practice; he was already missing in action with a left hand injury that happened in February. Wilson led North Carolina in points (19.8), rebounds (9.4), assists (2.7), steals (1.5) and blocks (1.4) and is likely going to be a top-three pick in this year’s NBA Draft.

North Carolina Tar Heels forward Caleb Wilson during a practice session ahead of the 2026 NCAA Tournament. Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

Replacing all that production is nearly impossible, but UNC kept itself afloat, going 5-3 since he was sidelined. Knowing that he won’t return will certainly be on his teammates’ minds with the spotlight on them in Round 1.

The Rams, meanwhile, have been a well-oiled machine with a 16-1 record since early January. Their season-long metrics are impressive: 49th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 35th in 3-point percentage. They have good shooters in their rotation and size up front with 6-foot-11 Lazar Djokovic.


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The Tar Heels also have size with 7-footer Henri Veesaar, who can score inside and is shooting 42 percent from beyond the arc. He’ll be a matchup problem for the Rams all game in pick-and-roll situations and can open up outside shots when he dives to the rim on those plays.

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I also think UNC has the intangibles to avoid a potential upset. They are one of the best defensive rebounding teams in the country and they don’t turn the ball over, which are two keys to limiting extra possessions. 

The hype around VCU is understandable, but I think bettors are undervaluing the rest of this UNC team. Yes Wilson’s absence lowers the Tar Heels’ ceiling, but they have still performed well without him.

I’m fading the public and riding with UNC to cover the 2.5-point spread here.

The Pick: UNC -2.5 (-110, BetMGM)


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Malik Smith has been immersed in the sports betting industry since 2017. He’s a data nerd with a particular focus on the NBA and combat sports. He spends his weeknights in the winter looking for edges on plus-money NBA player props.

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North Carolina vs VCU predictions, picks, odds for NCAA Tournament First Round

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North Carolina vs VCU predictions, picks, odds for NCAA Tournament First Round


The First Round of the men’s 2026 NCAA Tournament continues Thursday with No. 6 North Carolina vs. No. 11 VCU opening the 16-game schedule.

Here is Thursday’s full first-round March Madness schedule and expert picks from reporters across the USA TODAY Sports Network.

USA TODAY Sports has a team of journalists covering the men’s NCAA Tournament to keep you up to date with every point scored, rebound grabbed and game won in the 68-team tournament.

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No. 6 North Carolina vs No. 11 VCU prediction

  • John Leuzzi: VCU
  • Ehsan Kassim: North Carolina
  • Austin Curtright: VCU
  • Craig Meyer: VCU

No. 6 North Carolina vs No. 11 VCU odds

  • Opening Moneyline: UNC (-135)
  • Opening Spread: UNC (-1.5)
  • Opening Total: 155.5

How to Watch North Carolina vs VCU today

No. 6 North Carolina takes on No. 11 VCU at Bon Secours Wellness Arena on March 19 at 6:50 p.m. The game is airing on TNT.

Stream March Madness on Fubo

2026 Men’s March Madness full schedule

See the schedule, live scores and results for all of today’s NCAA Tournament action here.

  • March 17-18: First Four
  • March 19-20: First Round
  • March 21-22: Second Round
  • March 26-27: Sweet 16
  • March 28-29: Elite 8
  • April 4: Final Four
  • April 6: National Championship



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