Kentucky
Kentucky Derby 2024: Formulas for weekend’s 4 points preps
The Fountain of Youth, the San Felipe and the John Battaglia
Memorial traditionally are held around this time of the winter. We may not have
known it at the time, but the eventual Kentucky Derby winner three of the last
four years came through one of these points preps.
Authentic won the Grade 2 San Felipe in 2020 at Santa Anita on his way
through the outbreak of a human pandemic and a six-month wait before he took
the Derby at an empty Churchill Downs.
Click here for entries and results at all tracks.
Rich Strike earned one qualifying point in the 2022 John
Battaglia Memorial at Turfway Park. If not for that bob of the head against Erase, he would not
have finished fourth, would not have gotten that all-important point, would not
have been an also-eligible entrant in Louisville and would not have drawn in the
day before he was the 80-1 winner of the Derby.
It was not such a razor’s edge for Mage, but he also
finished fourth in his late-winter prep last year at Gulfstream Park. From that result in the
Fountain of Youth (G2) through a runner-up finish in the Florida Derby (G1), he
would pull off the 15-1 upset last year in Louisville.
The Gotham (G3) is the lone outlier this weekend. Secretariat
won at Aqueduct on his way through the 1973 Triple Crown to the Hall of Fame.
He is still the only graduate of the Aqueduct race to win the Derby.
Recent histories for these four races reveal not only how
important they are on the road to the Derby but also the styles that do well in
each race.
Fountain of Youth
Fourteen horses who finished first in the Fountain of Youth went
on to win the roses in Louisville. That is a record for a Derby prep currently
run in the winter.
The table here shows Derby starters who came out of the
Fountain of Youth since 2000. The higher the number in the Quirin Speed Points, the more
likely the horse was to lead in the first turn. E means early speed through the
first half of the race, E/P an early presser indicate of a stalking style, P for
pressers running in mid-pack and S for a sustained run typical of closers.
| Year | Horse | Quirin | FoY | Derby |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Mage | E 6 | 4th | 1st |
| Rocket Can | P 6 | 2nd | 9th | |
| Cyclone Mischief | E/P 6 | 3rd | 18th | |
| 2022 | Simplification | E/P 4 | 1st | 4th |
| 2021 | ||||
| 2020 | ||||
| 2019 | Code of Honor | S 2 | 1st | *2nd |
| Vekoma | E/P 5 | 3rd | *12th | |
| 2018 | Good Magic | P 4 | 3rd | 2nd |
| Promises Fulfilled | E 8 | 1st | 15th | |
| 2017 | Practical Joke | P 3 | 2nd | 5th |
| Gunnevera | S 1 | 1st | 7th | |
| Irish War Cry | E/P 8 | 7th | 10th | |
| 2016 | Mohaymen | E/P 6 | 1st | 4th |
| 2015 | Frosted | E/P 4 | 4th | 4th |
| Itsaknockout | P 4 | *1st | 9th | |
| Frammento | S 0 | 3rd | 11th | |
| Upstart | E/P 7 | **2nd | 18th | |
| 2014 | Medal Count | P 3 | 5th | 8th |
| We Miss Artie | P 3 | 8th | 10th | |
| General a Rod | E/P 8 | 2nd | 11th | |
| Wildcat Red | E 8 | 1st | 18th | |
| 2013 | Orb | P 2 | 1st | 1st |
| 2012 | Union Rags | P 2 | 1st | 7th |
| 2011 | Shackleford | E 6 | 5th | 4th |
| Soldat | E/P 5 | 1st | 11th | |
| 2010 | Ice Box | P 3 | 5th | 2nd |
| Jackson Bend | E/P 5 | 2nd | 12th | |
| 2009 | ||||
| 2008 | Anak Nakal | P 1 | 8th | 7th |
| Court Vision | S 3 | 3rd | 13th | |
| Z Humor | E/P 5 | 4th | 14th | |
| Cool Coal Man | E/P 5 | 1st | 15th | |
| Adriano | P 3 | 9th | 19th | |
| Monba | E/P 3 | 12th | 20th | |
| 2007 | Nobiz Like Shobiz | E 7 | 3rd | 10th |
| Scat Daddy | E/P 5 | 1st | 18th | |
| Stormello | E/P 8 | 2nd | 19th | |
| 2006 | Jazil | S 2 | 7th | 4th |
| Flashy Bull | E/P 5 | *2nd | 14th | |
| 2005 | High Fly | E/P 6 | 1st | 10th |
| Bandini | E/P 6 | 2nd | 19th | |
| 2004 | Read the Footnotes | E/P 6 | 1st | 7th |
| 2003 | Ten Cents a Shine | S 2 | 6th | 8th |
| Offlee Wild | E/P 4 | 4th | 12th | |
| Supah Blitz | P 1 | 2nd | 13th | |
| 2002 | Harlan’s Holiday | P 3 | 2nd | 7th |
| Blue Burner | S 0 | 3rd | 11th | |
| 2001 | Songandaprayer | E 8 | 1st | 13th |
| Talk Is Money | E/P 5 | 10th | DNF | |
| 2000 | Deputy Warlock | S 0 | 7th | 10th |
| High Yield | E 8 | 1st | 15th | |
| Hal’s Hope | E 7 | 2nd | 16th | |
| *Promoted 1 place | ||||
| **DQ’d from 1st |
Mage ended a long drought for the race currently run at 1
1/16 miles around two turns at Gulfstream Park. Orb in 2013 was the only horse
between 1996 and 2022 was the only Derby winner to come out of the prep.
Closers like Grade 1 winner Locked, the 5-2 second choice on
Saturday’s morning line, have done well lately in the Fountain of Youth. It
might be a stretch to call 2023 victor Forte a closer, but he was the third
consecutive winner to rally from at least fifth place. He also was the third
straight favorite to finish first.
These were the Fountain of Youth winners since 2000 with
their running lines gleaned from Equibase charts:
| Year | Winner | 1/4 | 1/2 | 3/4 | Str | Fin | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Forte | 5 – 2 | 5 – 2 1/2 | 4 – 2 | 3 – 1/2 | 1 | f 1-2 |
| 2022 | Simplification | 6 – 3 3/4 | 7 – 2 1/4 | 6 – 1 | 1 | 1 | f 5-2 |
| 2021 | Greatest Honour | 9 – 7 3/4 | 8 – 6 | 8 – 8 1/2 | 4 – 5 | 1 | f 1-1 |
| 2020 | Été Indien | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-1 |
| 2019 | Code of Honor | 5 – 7 1/2 | 5 – 8 1/2 | 3 – 4 | 2 – 1/2 | 1 | 9-1 |
| 2018 | Promises Fulfilled | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18-1 |
| 2017 | Gunnevera | 10 – 13 | 7 – 9 | 5 – 4 | 1 | 1 | 4-1 |
| 2016 | Mohaymen | 5 – 3 1/2 | 3 – 1 1/2 | 2 – 1/2 | 1 | 1 | f 2-5 |
| 2015 | x-Itsaknockout | 3 – 1 | 4 – 2 | 4 – 5 | 4 – 1 1/2 | 2 – 2 3/4 | 5-1 |
| 2014 | Wildcat Red | 1 | 2 – hd | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9-2 |
| 2013 | Orb | 7 – 8 | 6 – 8 | 5 – 5 1/2 | 2 – 1 1/2 | 1 | 5-1 |
| 2012 | Union Rags | 3 – 1 | 4 – 2 | 4 – 2 1/2 | 1 | 1 | 6-5 |
| 2011** | Soldat | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 7-5 |
| 2010** | Eskendereya | 2 – 2 | 2 – 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7-2 |
| 2009* | Quality Road | 2 – 1 1/2 | 2 – 1 | 2 – 1/2 | 1 | 1 | 5-1 |
| 2008** | Cool Coal Man | 4 – 2 1/2 | 4 – 4 | 4 – 2 | 1 | 1 | 7-1 |
| 2007** | Scat Daddy | 7 – 5 | 6 – 4 1/2 | 5 – 3 | 5 – 4 | 1 | 5-1 |
| 2006** | x-First Samurai | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 – 1/2 | 2 – 1 | 7-1 |
| 2005** | High Fly | 2 – 2 | 2 – 1 1/2 | 2 – 1 | 1 | 1 | f 1-1 |
| 2004 | Read the Footnotes | 3 – 2 1/2 | 3 – 1 | 2 – 1 | 2 – 1/2 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2003 | Trust n Luck | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9-2 |
| 2002 | Booklet | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-1 |
| 2001 | Songandaprayer | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18-1 |
| 2000 | High Yield | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 2-1 |
| *1 mile | |||||||
| **1 1/8 miles | |||||||
| Others 1 1/16 mi. | |||||||
| x – promoted to 1st | |||||||
| f – favorite |
The 2-1 morning-line favorite Saturday, Dornoch has a front-running
style that would be the exception to the recent rule. Since the Derby
established qualifying points in 2013, only two horses led at every call prepping
in the Fountain of Youth. Promises Fulfilled went on to finish 15th in Kentucky
in 2018, and Été Indien did not start in the September 2020 running of the Derby.
San Felipe
Last year marked the first time since 2007 the San Felipe
did not produce a Kentucky Derby starter. Fevers were said to have stymied top-three
finishers Practical Move, Geaux Rocket Ride and Skinner in the weeks following
last year’s race.
Thirteen eventual winners at Churchill Downs used this race
as a prep. All four since 2000 were pacesetters or stalkers.
| Year | Horse | Quirin | SFS | Derby |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ||||
| 2022 | Happy Jack | S 2 | 3rd | 14th |
| 2021 | Medina Spirit | E 7 | 2nd | *19th |
| 2020 | Authentic | E 8 | 1st | 1st |
| Honor A. P. | E/P 5 | 2nd | 4th | |
| Storm the Court | E 6 | 3rd | 6th | |
| 2019 | – no San Felipe – | |||
| 2018 | Bolt d’Oro | E/P 4 | 1st | 12th |
| 2017 | Gormley | E/P 5 | 4th | 9th |
| 2016 | Exaggerator | P 3 | 3rd | 2nd |
| Mor Spirit | P 3 | 2nd | 10th | |
| Danzing Candy | E 8 | 1st | 15th | |
| 2015 | Dortmund | E 8 | 1st | 3rd |
| Bolo | E/P 6 | 3rd | 12th | |
| Ocho Ocho Ocho | E/P 3 | 8th | 14th | |
| 2014 | California Chrome | E/P 7 | 1st | 1st |
| 2013 | Goldencents | E/P 8 | 4th | 17th |
| 2012 | Bodemeister | E 8 | 2nd | 2nd |
| Creative Cause | P 4 | 1st | 5th | |
| Liaison | P 2 | 4th | 6th | |
| Rousing Sermon | S 0 | 5th | 8th | |
| 2011 | Comma to the Top | E 7 | 4th | 19th |
| 2010 | American Lion | E/P 8 | 4th | 11th |
| Sidney’s Candy | E 8 | 1st | 17th | |
| 2009 | Pioneerof the Nile | E/P 5 | 1st | 2nd |
| 2008 | Bob Black Jack | E 8 | 3rd | 16th |
| Gayego | E/P 7 | 2nd | 17th | |
| 2007 | ||||
| 2006 | Point Determined | P 5 | 2nd | 9th |
| Bob and John | E/P 5 | 3rd | 17th | |
| A. P. Warrior | E/P 3 | 1st | 18th | |
| 2005 | Giacomo | E/P 5 | 2nd | 1st |
| Don’t Get Mad | S 0 | 3rd | 4th | |
| Wilko | P 3 | 4th | 6th | |
| 2004 | Action This Day | S 1 | 7th | 6th |
| 2003 | Atswhatimtalknbout | S 0 | 2nd | 4th |
| Buddy Gil | P 3 | 1st | 6th | |
| Ten Cents a Shine | S 2 | 8th | 8th | |
| Domestic Dispute | P 3 | 5th | 10th | |
| Brancusi | E/P 7 | 3rd | 16th | |
| 2002 | Medaglia d’Oro | E/P 8 | 1st | 4th |
| 2001 | Point Given | E/P 5 | 1st | 5th |
| Jamaican Rum | S 3 | 3rd | 6th | |
| 2000 | Fusaichi Pegasus | E/P 7 | 1st | 1st |
| Anees | S 0 | 3rd | 13th | |
| The Deputy | E/P 5 | 2nd | 14th | |
| Commendable | E/P 4 | 4th | 17th | |
| *DQ’d from 1st |
In the Derby points era, early speed has dominated the 1
1/16-mile San Felipe. Seven of the 10 winners led from gate to wire. Six were post-time
favorites.
| Year | Winner | 1/4 | 1/2 | 3/4 | Str | Fin | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Practical Move | 4 – 2 1/2 | 3 – 1 1/2 | 4 – 1 1/2 | 1 | 1 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | Forbidden Kingdom | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 1-1 |
| 2021 | Life Is Good | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 1-2 |
| 2020 | Authentic | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 6-5 |
| 2019 | – no race – | ||||||
| 2018 | x-Bolt d’Oro | 4 – 3 | 4 – 1 1/4 | 3 – 1 | 1 | 2-hd | 6-5 |
| 2017 | Mastery | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 4-5 |
| 2016 | Danzing Candy | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-1 |
| 2015 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 4-5 |
| 2014 | California Chrome | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 7-5 |
| 2013 | Hear the Ghost | 4 – 2 1/2 | 5 – 4 1/2 | 4 – 6 | 4 – 6 1/2 | 1 | 5-1 |
| 2012 | Creative Cause | 5 – 4 | 5 – 2 1/2 | 4 – 1 1/2 | 2 – 1/2 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2011 | Premier Pegasus | 6 – 5 1/4 | 7 – 7 3/4 | 5 – 4 1/2 | 1 | 1 | 7-1 |
| 2010* | Sidney’s Candy | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7-2 |
| 2009* | Pioneerof the Nile | 5 – 4 1/2 | 2 – 1 | 2 – 1/2 | 1 | 1 | f 1-5 |
| 2008* | Georgie Boy | 3 – 1 1/2 | 3 – 1 1/2 | 3 – 1 | 3 – 2 | 1 | f 7-5 |
| 2007 | Cobalt Blue | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2006 | A. P. Warrior | 5 – 2 1/2 | 6 – 2 1/2 | 4 – 3/4 | 1 | 1 | 7-1 |
| 2005 | Consolidator | 2 – hd | 2 – hd | 2 – hd | 1 | 1 | 7-1 |
| 2004 | Preachinatthebar | 3 – 2 | 2 – 1 1/2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8-1 |
| 2003 | Buddy Gil | 5 – 1 1/4 | 6 – 2 | 5 – 3 | 4 – 1 | 1 | 9-1 |
| 2002 | Medaglia d’Oro | 1 | 1 | 3 – 1/2 | 2 – hd | 1 | 8-1 |
| 2001 | Point Given | 5 – 5 | 5 – 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 2-5 |
| 2000 | Fusaichi Pegasus | 2 – 1 | 2 – 2 | 2 – 2 | 1 | 1 | f 6-5 |
| *synthetic | |||||||
| f – favorite | |||||||
| x – promoted to win |
Practical Move last year was an exception to the
frontrunning rule, although he never was more than 2 1/2 lengths behind at any
call. Hear the Ghost in 2013 was the last San Felipe winner who made up more
than three lengths.
Nysos, who is 3-for-3 for eight-time San Felipe-winning
trainer Bob Baffert, is certain to be the favorite this weekend. He made his
debut with a gate-to-wire win but then stalked the early lead in winning the
Bob Hope (G3) and the Robert B. Lewis (G3).
John Battaglia Memorial
There is a lot of white space in this chart showing the
horses who came out of this race and ran in America’s biggest race.
| Year | Horse | Quirin | JBM | Derby |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ||||
| 2022 | Rich Strike | S 0 | 4th | 1st |
| Tiz the Bomb | P 2 | 1st | 9th | |
| 2021 | Like the King | E/P 4 | 2nd | 12th |
| 2020 | ||||
| 2019 | ||||
| 2018 | ||||
| 2017 | ||||
| 2016 | ||||
| 2015 | ||||
| 2014 | Harry’s Holiday | E 6 | 3rd | 16th |
| 2013 | Giant Finish | E 8 | 2nd | 10th |
| 2012 | ||||
| 2011 | Twinspired | P 2 | 4th | 17th |
| 2010 | ||||
| 2009 | ||||
| 2008 | ||||
| 2007 | ||||
| 2006 | ||||
| 2005 | ||||
| 2004 | ||||
| 2003 | ||||
| 2002 | Perfect Drift | P 3 | 2nd | 3rd |
| Request for Parole | E/P 7 | 1st | 5th | |
| 2001 | ||||
| 2000 |
The absence of Battaglia Memorial horses advancing to the
Derby can be explained mostly by its not being a qualifying prep until Churchill
Downs Inc. bought Turfway Park and gave it the points cachet in 2021.
Another factor is that the Florence, Ky., racecourse has had
a synthetic surface since 2006, putting more guesswork into how horses coming
out of the race will do on the dirt in Louisville.
Closers have thrived in the Battaglia. The last three
winners and five of the last eight gave up at least seven lengths of ground
before their triumphant rallies.
| Year | Winner | 1/4 | 1/2 | 3/4 | Str | Fin | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Congruent | 12 – 7 3/4 | 12 – 9 | 10 – 4 1/2 | 3 – hd | 1 | 16-1 |
| 2022 | Tiz the Bomb | 7 – 7 | 7 – 4 1/2 | 4 – 2 1/2 | 1 | 1 | f 8-5 |
| 2021 | Hush of a Storm | 8 – 7 | 8 – 6 | 6 – 2 3/4 | 3 – hd | 1 | 6-1 |
| 2020 | Invader | 3 – 1 1/2 | 3 – 1 | 2 – 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-1 |
| 2019 | Somelikeithotbrown | 3 – 1 | 3 – 1 1/2 | 3 – 2 | 2 – hd | 1 | f 1-1 |
| 2018 | Magicalmeister | 4 – 3 | 4 – 3 | 3 – 2 | 1 | 1 | 39-1 |
| 2017 | It’s Your Nickel (g) | 9 – 9 1/2 | 8 – 5 1/4 | 7 – 4 1/4 | 1 | 1 | f 2-1 |
| 2016 | Surgical Strike | 10 – 7 | 11 – 6 3/4 | 7 – 2 1/4 | 1 | 1 | 3-1 |
| 2015 | Royal Son (g) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9-1 |
| 2014 | Solitary Ranger | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9-1 |
| 2013 | General Election (g) | 7 – 10 1/2 | 6 – 8 | 6 – 5 1/2 | 1 | 1 | 13-1 |
| 2012 | State of Play | 2 – 1/2 | 2 – 1 1/2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2011 | Positive Response (g) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 2-1 |
| 2010 | Vow to Wager-x | 6 – 1 3/4 | 6 – 5 1/2 | 7 – 3 1/4 | 2 – 1 | 2 – 1 | 23-1 |
| 2009 | Proceed Bee | 3 – 1 1/2 | 5 – 2 1/4 | 4 – 3/4 | 1 | 1 | 4-1 |
| 2008 | Absolutely Cindy (f) | 11 – 15 1/2 | 11 – 21 | 10 – 10 1/4 | 3 – 2 1/2 | 1 | 19-1 |
| 2007 | Catman Running | 4 – 2 | 3 – 1/2 | 2 – hd | 1 | 1 | 9-2 |
| 2006 | Laity | 1 – 1/2 | 4 – 3/4 | 2 – hd | 2 – hd | 1 | 6-1 |
| 2005 | Magna Graduate | 2 – 1/2 | 2- 1 1/2 | 2 – hd | 1 | 1 | 3-1 |
| 2004 | Silver Minister | 2 – 1 | 2 – hd | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 2-1 |
| 2003 | Champali | 4 – 1 3/4 | 3 – hd | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2002 | Request For Parole | 4 – 1 3/4 | 3 – 2 | 2 – 1 | 2 – hd | 1 | f 3-5 |
| 2001 | Bonnie Scot (g) | 7 – 8 | 6 – 9 | 4 – 4 1/2 | 1 | 1 | f 3-5 |
| 2000 | Nature | 6 – 7 | 5 – 4 1/2 | 4 – 3 | 1 | 1 | 2-1 |
| x – promoted from 2nd | |||||||
| (f) filly | |||||||
| (g) gelding | |||||||
| f – favorite |
Epic Ride, Bolt at Midnight and Encino, the top three horses
on the morning line, have shown a forward-going style in their races.
Gettysburg Address and Blue Eyed George, each 6-1, come from off the pace.
Gotham
It has been 24 years since Derby runner-up Aptitude was the most
recent Gotham finisher to hit the board at Churchill Downs.
| Year | Horse | Quirin | GS | Derby |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Raise Cain | P 2 | 1st | 8th |
| 2022 | ||||
| 2021 | Highly Motivated | E/P 6 | 3rd | *9th |
| 2020 | Necker Island | E/P 5 | 5th | 9th |
| Attachment Rate | E/P 3 | 3rd | 14th | |
| 2019 | ||||
| 2018 | Firenze Fire | S 3 | 4th | 11th |
| Enticed | P 3 | 1st | 14th | |
| Free Drop Billy | P 2 | 3rd | 16th | |
| 2017 | J Boys Echo | P 2 | 1st | 15th |
| 2016 | Shagaf | E/P 4 | 1st | DNF |
| 2015 | Tendencur | P 3 | 5th | 17th |
| 2014 | Samraat | E/P 6 | 1st | 5th |
| Uncle Sigh | E 5 | 2nd | 14th | |
| 2013 | Overanalyze | S 4 | 5th | 11th |
| Vyjack | E/P 4 | 1st | 18th | |
| 2012 | Hansen | E 8 | 1st | 9th |
| Done Talking | S 0 | 10th | 14th | |
| 2011 | Stay Thirsty | E/P 2 | 1st | 12th |
| 2010 | Awesome Act | P 2 | 1st | 19th |
| 2009 | ||||
| 2008 | Visionaire | S 3 | 1st | 12th |
| 2007 | Cowtown Cat | E/P 6 | 1st | 20th |
| 2006 | Sweetnorthernsaint | E/P 7 | 3rd | 7th |
| Keyed Entry | E 7 | 2nd | 20th | |
| 2005 | ||||
| 2004 | ||||
| 2003 | ||||
| 2002 | Saarland | S 3 | 2nd | 10th |
| 2001 | ||||
| 2000 | Aptitude | P 2 | 2nd | 2nd |
| *promoted |
Putting aside the race’s poor track record for producing
Derby horses, there was a most noteworthy horse who became a champion. Who knew
Knicks Go would go from a sixth-place finish at 20-1 in 2019 to become horse of
the year in 2021?
The Gotham used to be a two-turn, 1 1/16-mile race. It
reverted to a one-turn mile six years ago. The split since has been even between
winners who were forwardly placed and those coming from off the pace.
| Year | Winner | 1/4 | 1/2 | 3/4 | Str | Fin | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Raise Cain | 11 – 4 1/2 | 9 – 5 1/2 | 7 – 4 3/4 | 1 | 1 | 23-1 |
| 2022 | Morello | 2 – 1/2 | 2 – 1/2 | 2 – 1/2 | 1 | 1 | f 1-1 |
| 2021 | Weyburn | 2 – 1/2 | 2 – 1/2 | 2 – hd | 2 – hd | 1 | 46-1 |
| 2020 | Mischevious Alex | 4 – 1 | 2 – hd | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 8-5 |
| 2019 | Haikal | 7 – 12 1/4 | 7 – 14 | 5 – 8 1/2 | 4 – 4 3/4 | 1 | 4-1 |
| 2018 | Enticed | 6 – 3 1/4 | 5 – 3 | 2 – 2 | 2 – 1/2 | 1 | 3-1 |
| 2017* | J Boys Echo | 4 – 3 1/2 | 4 – 7 | 4 – 2 | 1 | 1 | 6-1 |
| 2016* | Shagaf | 2 – 2 | 4 – 2 | 3 – 2 | 3 – 1 1/2 | 1 | f 6-5 |
| 2015* | El Kabeir | 9 – 12 | 6 – 8 | 5 – 4 | 1 | 1 | f 6-5 |
| 2014* | Samraat | 4 – 1 1/2 | 3 – 1 1/2 | 3 – 1/2 | 1 | 1 | f 2-1 |
| 2013* | Vyjack | 10 – 7 | 8 – 7 1/4 | 8 – 6 3/4 | 3 – 2 1/2 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2012* | Hansen | 3 – 1 | 2 – 1/2 | 2 – hd | 1 | 1 | f 4-5 |
| 2011* | Stay Thirsty | 4 – 3 | 4 – 3 | 3 – 2 1/2 | 2 – hd | 1 | f 4-5 |
| 2010* | Awesome Act | 7 – 5 1/2 | 6 – 4 | 4 – 1 1/4 | 1 | 1 | f 5-2 |
| 2009* | I Want Revenge | 2 – 1/2 | 2 – 1/2 | 2 – hd | 1 | 1 | 3-1 |
| 2008* | Visionaire | x | x | x | x | 1 | 9-2 |
| 2007* | Cowtown Cat | 3 – 1 | 4 – 1 | 4 – 1 | 2 – 1 1/2 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2006* | Like Now | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 36-1 |
| 2005 | Survivalist | 7 – 3 1/2 | 8 – 4 1/2 | 4 – 2 | 3 – 1 1/2 | 1 | 3-1 |
| 2004 | Saratoga County | 5 – 1 1/2 | 5 – 1 1/2 | 3 – 2 | 1 | 1 | 9-2 |
| 2003** | Alysweep | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9-1 |
| 2002 | Mayakovsky | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | f 3-5 |
| 2001 | Richly Blended | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-1 |
| 2000 | Red Bullet | 6 – 2 3/4 | 5 – 1 1/4 | 5 – 2 | 1 | 1 | f 1-1 |
| *1 1/16 mi (2 turns) | |||||||
| **1 mi 70 yds (2 turns) | |||||||
| All others 1 mi (1 turn) | |||||||
| f – favorite |
Bergen and Just a Touch, perhaps the two most highly
regarded of trainer Brad Cox’s four entrants, have different styles. Bergen
came from off the pace to win the Jimmy Winkfield sprint in the mud at Aqueduct.
Just a Touch flashed speed in his debut victory going six furlongs in the slop at
Fair Grounds.
Kentucky
UK Healthcare prepares to become Kentucky’s only Level 2 special pathogen treatment center
LEXINGTON, Ky. (LEX 18) — An Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda has been causing fear around the world, and a Lexington doctor is preparing in the event a case is found in Kentucky.
According to the CDC, there have been 49 deaths and over 300 confirmed cases across the two countries, with more suspected cases still being investigated.
UK Healthcare is working to become a Level 2 Special Pathogen Treatment Center through the National Special Pathogen System, which would allow the facility to treat Ebola patients in-house.
Dr. Nicholas Van Sickels, an infectious disease physician at UK Healthcare, said the current outbreak is serious, but Kentucky residents are not at significant risk.
“Ebola scares people just because of the mortality, the death rate, associated with it and some of the long term consequences when you do survive. Fortunately, the strain that we’re seeing in Eastern (Democratic Republic of Congo) is thought to be not as deadly, but either way it’s a very serious disease. It carries a lot of stigma and fear,” Van Sickels said.
Here in Kentucky, however, is a very safe environment, Dr. Van Sickels said.
Currently, Dr. Van Sickels says UK Healthcare operates as an assessment hospital, meaning it can evaluate patients with symptoms who have traveled to regions with active outbreaks, coordinate testing with the state, and transfer patients to higher-level care centers if needed.
Once the Level 2 designation is complete, UK Healthcare will be the only facility in Kentucky with that capability.
“We’re the only facility in Kentucky that is able to have a level 2 designation once we finish this grant award and get approved,” Dr. Van Sickels said.
In January 2026, UK Healthcare received a grant from the National Emerging Special Pathogens Training and Education Center (NETEC), the governing body of the National Special Pathogen System.
“It’s approximately half a million dollars to transform our institution,” Van Sickels said.
The funding has been used to run simulation drills in coordination with Lexington Fire, EMS, and the state health department. The grant also enabled UK Healthcare to upgrade its protective outerwear, with all seam points covered to provide additional protection. Ebola is transmitted through bodily fluids.
During a recent site visit and simulation, evaluators identified vulnerabilities in the facility’s previous protective suits.
“When we had our site visit and had our stimulation, for example, they said that the seams that we had on our old suits, you could pull and stretch, and that they were rather porous,” Van Sickels said.
Van Sickels had been working on the preparedness project since the beginning of the year.
Citing lessons learned from the 2014 West Africa Ebola epidemic, which spread to the U.S. and resulted in 4 cases and 1 death.
“Ebola 2014 taught a lot of hospitals in the US about high consequence infections, established what is now NETEC, the educating body for our country, uh, about high consequence pathogens,” Van Sickels said.
“We’re constantly wanting to push preparedness, uh, because that is the key to success in evading further outbreaks,” Van Sickels said.
UK Healthcare expects to complete its Level 2 Special Pathogen Treatment Center designation by the end of summer.
Kentucky
Bryian Duncan Jr. flips from Kentucky to West Virginia
The Kentucky Wildcats have had some fits with West Virginia over the past few days, as the baseball team was sent home by the Mountaineers on Monday night. Now, they have flipped a Wildcat commit.
Bryian Duncan Jr., a Cario, Georgia native, committed to the Wildcats in March and has now flipped to West Virginia. The 3-star running back had a recent visit to Morgantown, then announced his commitment to the Mountaineers.
Duncan, a 5-foot-9 player who can play out wide and at running back, is the No. 60-ranked ATH in the nation and the No. 89 player in Georgia, according to 247 Sports. He’ll play in the Big 12 with the Mountaineers, giving himself a good opportunity to become a true gadget guy with legit speed.
This isn’t a big disappointment for the Wildcats, as they’ll collect nearly 10 commitments as the summer rolls on and already have a pretty loaded RB room for the class of 2027. Kelsey Gerald and Mason Ball are two tailbacks who have already pledged their commitment to the program.
Head coach Will Stein and Co. have been stellar on the recruiting trail as they have the 13th-best class overall and the fourth-ranked class in the SEC, according to 247 Sports. Expect the Cats to pick up a few more commits here soon and rise in the rankings.
Kentucky
Way-Too-Early Louisville 2026 Opponent Preview: Kentucky
LOUISVILLE, Ky. – With the summer months now on the horizon and rosters across college football now firmly set in stone, Louisville Cardinals On SI will provide way-too-early previews for each opponent on their 2026 schedule.
Concluding our way-too-early preview series, we have the Cardinals’ Governor’s Cup matchup at Kentucky:
Kentucky Wildcats
2026 Meeting: Saturday, Nov. 28 at Kroger Field in Lexington, Ky.
Last Meeting: Louisville won 41-0 on Nov. 29, 2025 at L&N Stadium in Louisville, Ky.
All-Time Series: Kentucky leads 19-17
It’s a new era in Lexington. Following a 13-year run that saw him become the winningest head coach in Kentucky history, Mark Stoops was fired following back-to-back losing seasons, including a 5-7 campaign this past year that ended with a 41-0 beatdown from the Cards. Oddly enough, taking over the Wildcats is Louisville native and former UofL quarterback Will Stein, who spent the previous three seasons on the west coast as the offensive coordinator at Oregon.
During his time with the Ducks, Stein developed a reputation as one of the top young offensive minds in the sport. He and new offensive coordinator Joe Sloan inherited an offense that ranked 103rd in the nation at just 341.1 yards per game, and they used the transfer portal to almost completely retool this unit.
There was hope that local product Cutter Boley would stay for the regime change. But after his transfer to Arizona State, Kentucky had to dip into the portal to land their quarterback, eventually landing Notre Dame’s Kenny Minchey. Considering that the Fighting Irish have had Sam Hartman, Riley Leonard and C.J. Carr during his time in South Bend, Minchey has exclusively been a backup, only going 23-of-29 for 212 yards through the air, with 96 yards and two scores on the ground. That being said, the former blue chip prospect has a high ceiling due to his talent level, and has a chance to thrive in his first opportunity as a starter. (Sound familiar?)
As far as Minchey’s cast of characters to throw to, Kentucky sports a good mix of transfers and returners here. Wide receiver Hardley Gilmore IV returns following a 28 reception/313 yards/one touchdown season, as does tight end Willie Rodriguez, who caught 23 passes for 310 yards and a score. LSU’s Nic Anderson (38 catches for 798 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2023 at Oklahoma) and Southern Utah’s Shane Carr (50 receptions for 744 yards and four touchdowns) also join the fold via the portal. Returner D.J. Miller (13/175/2) also has a chance to have a breakout season as well.
As far as the ground game, the Wildcats have potential here, albeit with a massive injury question. C.J. Baxter transferred in from Texas, and when healthy, has shown to be a special player when he touches the ball. However, following a true freshman campaign where he totaled 815 yards from scrimmage, he’s been limited to only nine games played over the last two seasons. Even if Baxter is healthy, expect Oklahoma transfer Jovantae Barnes to get some reps as well, as he rushed for 1,236 yards and 11 touchdowns in his first three years with the Sooners after taking a redshirt last season.
Putting a bow on this side of the line of scrimmage is an offensive line that, on paper, should take a step forward following a 2025 season where they allowed 2.42 sacks (105th in FBS) and 6.00 tackles for loss (103rd in FBS) per game. Tennessee LT Lance Heard, Ohio State LG Tegra Tshabola and Baylor C Colton Price are all regarded as four-star transfers, with Alabama RG Olaus Alinen also joining the fold and returner Malachi Wood stepping up at RT. Time will tell how they come together as a unit and how good they can be, but there’s no doubt that the UK offensive line should be much better.
The other side of the line of scrimmage is what Stoops had traditionally been known for, but Kentucky’s defense had a down 2025 season by their standards, giving up 374.2 yards (67th in FBS) and 26.4 points (75th in FBS) per game. Stein and new defensive coordinator Jay Bateman take over a defense that loses a lot of production and is relying heavily on multiple players stepping up, but does return a few impact guys.
The Wildcats were mostly mediocre in terms of their ability to get in the backfield last season, ranking 64th nationally in sacks (2.08 per game) and 52nd in tackles for loss, but do have some continuity on the defensive line. Sack leader Mi’Quise Humphrey-Grace (31 tackles, 7.0 for loss, 3.5 sacks, 1 fumble) is running it back, with fellow returners Lorenzo Cowan (13 tackles, 4.5 for loss, 2.5 sacks, 2 fumbles) and Sam Greene (25 tackles, 3.0 for loss) rounding out a good rotation at edge rusher. The middle of the line will mainly be anchored by Tavion Gadson (28 tackles, 4.0 for loss, 2.5 sacks), with Purdue’s Jamarrion Harkless (13 tackles, 2.5 sacks) and LSU’s Ahmad Breaux (19 tackles, 2.5 for loss) rounding out the primary rotation at tackle.
The middle of the field at linebacker is where Kentucky’s defense has the most questions. Sure, they do return Grant Godfrey, who was the ‘Cats’ seventh-leading tackler at 34 (along with 2.0 for loss). But returner Antwan Smith, plus Texas’ Elijah Barnes and Arkansas’ Tavion Wallace, combined for just 12 tackles last season at their respective schools. This trio will all have to take a collective step forward so that the burden at linebacker is not all on Godfrey.
The Wildcats struggled mightily when it came to defending the pass last season, allowing 239.9 passing yards per game for the 104th-ranked passing defense in the FBS. Heading into the 2026, their secondary should be able to hold their own despite losing a few impact players.
At cornerback, Nasir Addison (13 tackles in four games) Grant Grayton (16 tackles, 3 PBUs, 1 interception) and Terhyon Nichols (18 tackles, 5 PBUs) are all running it back, with Western Carolina’s Hasaan Sykes (49 tackles, 4.0 for loss, 2.0 sacks, 3 interceptions, 5 PBUs) entering the mix. Kentucky has a great one-two punch at safety in returner Ty Bryant (Team-best 76 tackles, 2.0 for loss, 4 interceptions) and Florida’s Jordan Castell (54 tackles, 2 interceptions), but much like at linebacker, their depth on the back end does not have a lot of production.
Overall, year one under Will Stein could have a high ceiling, but it also seems to have a low floor. Their offense will rely a lot on Minchey’s capabilities in his first year as a starter, and their defense is putting faith in a lot of guys to make progress in new and bigger roles. Louisville could either have a battle on their hands, especially with this game being in Lexington, or win their third straight blowout.
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(Photo of Will Stein: Michael Clevenger – Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)
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