Kentucky
2024 Kentucky Derby horses, futures, odds, date: Expert who hit 10 Derby-Oaks Doubles gives out picks
There are 36 prep races for qualifying for the 2024 Kentucky Derby, and even the most ardent of horseracing fans could get overwhelmed with so much to keep track of. However, one race has historically stood above all others in producing winners at Churchill Downs, the Florida Derby. Fifteen horses have pulled off the Florida-Kentucky double, while no other prep race has seen more than 11 horses win both. So, should this year’s Florida Derby winner in Fierceness make his way into your Kentucky Derby 2024 bets?
The Todd Pletcher-trained horse is the 3-1 favorite, according to the latest 2024 Kentucky Derby odds, just edging out Sierra Leone (7-2). Pletcher was the last trainer to pull off the Florida-Kentucky Derby back in 2017 with Always Dreaming, but Fierceness has stiff competition at Churchill Downs. The 150th running of the Kentucky Derby takes place on Saturday, May 4, at Churchill Downs. Before making any 2024 Kentucky Derby picks, be sure to see the horse racing predictions and futures bets from SportsLine’s elite horse racing expert Jody Demling.
A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about and betting on races for years, Demling enters the 2024 Kentucky Derby having nailed the winner of the Belmont Stakes four of the last six years, including an exacta in 2022 with Mo Donegal and Nest. He also called Flightline’s win at the Breeders’ Cup Classic in November of that year.
Demling is at his best in the biggest horse races in the world like the Kentucky Derby 2024. In fact, he has hit 10 of the last 15 Derby-Oaks doubles at Churchill Downs. That means he held a ticket with the winners of both races all but five times in the last 15 years. He’s also called 10 of the last 19 Preakness winners, including nailing his Preakness winner, exacta and superfecta picks in 2023, keenly understanding when the Kentucky Derby winner was poised for victory or a massive upset. Anyone who has followed him is up huge.
Now, with the 2024 Kentucky Derby odds already on the board, Demling is sharing his picks and 2024 Kentucky Derby predictions over at SportsLine. Go here to see them.
Top 2024 Kentucky Derby predictions
One of Demling’s surprising 2024 Kentucky Derby picks: He is fading Fierceness, even though he’s the top favorite and just won the Florida Derby. With a 110 Beyer Speed Figure en route to the win at Gulfstream Park that towers over this year’s crop of three-year-olds, it’s easy to see the potential in this Todd Pletcher-trained son of City of Light by Stay Thirsty mare Nonna Bella.
However, consistency has been an issue for this undoubtedly talented colt. After breaking his maiden in his first start at Saratoga, Fierceness finished a disappointing seventh in the Champagne Stakes at Aqueduct. He followed with an unbelievable showing on his way to a victory in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, but then opened his three-year-old season with another dud, finishing third in the Holy Bull Stakes. So which Fierceness will we get at Churchill Downs? See which other 2024 Kentucky Derby horses to avoid at SportsLine.
Another stunner: Demling is high on Resilience, even though he’s a 35-1 longshot. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. A bit of a late-bloomer who didn’t win any of his first three starts, Resilience finally broke through on New Year’s Day at Gulfstream Park. After a disappointing fourth place in his fifth career start at the Risen Star Stakes, he then solidified himself as a Kentucky Derby contender with an early April win at the Grade II Wood Memorial Stakes. That race has been very favorable to success at the Kentucky Derby as 11 horses have won both, making the Wood Memorial the second-best prep race at producing Derby winners.
Also in Resilience’s favor are his connections and his pedigree. He is trained by William Mott, who is the reigning award winner for Outstanding Trainer, and who won the 2019 Derby with Country House. Additionally, Resilience was sired by Into Mischief, who was a Grade I winner back in his day and also sired the Kentucky Derby winners in 2020 (Authentic) and 2021 (Mandaloun). So, three of the last four Derby winners have a connection to Resilience, and given his impressive final tune-up at the Wood Memorial, he’s a name to consider with 2024 Kentucky Derby bets. See which other horses to back at SportsLine.
How to make 2024 Kentucky Derby picks, bets
Demling is especially high on an epic double-digit longshot who “keeps getting better and better.” Demling is sharing which horse it is, along with his entire projected 2024 Kentucky Derby leaderboard, over at SportsLine.
Which horse wins the Kentucky Derby 2024, and which double-digit longshot is a must-back? Check out the latest 2024 Kentucky Derby odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Demling’s picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the expert who nailed 10 Derby-Oaks doubles.
2024 Kentucky Derby odds, futures
Kentucky
WATCH: Rep. Thomas Massie’s full concession speech after defeat in Kentucky GOP primary
Ed Gallrein won Republican nomination for U.S. House in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District, beating incumbent Rep. Thomas Massie on Tuesday. Trump handpicked Gallrein after Massie broke with him over issues including the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files.
Watch Massie’s full concession speech in the video player above.
In announcing that he conceded defeat to Gallrein, Massie also made a jab at his opponent over the millions of dollars poured in to the race by pro-Israel groups to try to defeat the incumbent.
WATCH: After Massie defeat, Trump says it ‘doesn’t work out well’ when GOP members vote against him
“I would have come out sooner, but I had to call my opponent and concede and it took a while to find Ed Gallrein in Tel Aviv,” Massie told the crowd.
Massie has voted against U.S. aid to Israel and faced accusations of antisemitism. He has denied the charges, arguing that he is generally against all foreign aid.
The race drew in millions of dollars against Massie from pro-Israel interest groups, including from the Republican Jewish Coalition Victory Fund.
The Kentucky congressman claimed in his speech after his defeat that young voters were still on his side.
“People that want somebody that will go along to get along, I’ve never heard of that strategy but that seems to be what the voters want,” Massie said. “But not the young voters.”
The crowd was still energetic despite Massie’s loss, and started a chant of “No more wars!” that the congressman joined in on. Massie’s speech meandered through different topics and touched on other politicians before another chant started of “America First!”
“We stirred up something. There is a yearning in this country for someone who will vote for principles over party,” Massie said.
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Kentucky
Thomas Massie ousted in Kentucky and San Diego victims identified: Morning Rundown
Rep. Thomas Massie’s loss in Kentucky solidifies Trump’s influence over the Republican Party. Relatives mourn the victims of the deadly mosque shooting in San Diego. And an American doctor with Ebola is evacuated to Germany for treatment.
Here’s what to know today.
Trump notches GOP primary wins, but midterm questions remain
President Donald Trump scored his biggest win yet in his mission to eliminate political enemies within his own party, as former Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein won the Republican primary in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District over Rep. Thomas Massie. Gallrein, Trump’s chosen candidate, won 54% of the vote, aided by an extraordinary ad blitz fueled largely by pro-Trump and pro-Israeli groups.
In successfully ousting Massie — who opposed the president on key issues — Trump continues to prove that he can not only influence GOP voters but also attack Republicans who have opposed him without feeling like there are significant negative consequences.
But Trump did not outright win everything he touched. In Georgia’s race for governor, Trump-backed Lt. Gov. Burt Jones and billionaire Rick Jackson are headed to a runoff for the Republican nomination. (The winner of the runoff will face Democratic candidate and former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms.)
Despite the wins, it’s unclear how Trump’s GOP primary dominance will play out in the midterm general election. His low approval ratings and the war with Iran may raise red flags among voters who supported the president’s “America First” agenda. And his surprise endorsement of Texas state Attorney General Ken Paxton a week before the runoff against longtime Sen. John Cornyn has some wondering if the president should’ve kept quiet.
Read the full story here.
More election results:
- Democrats picked candidates for four key districts in Pennsylvania in the party’s battle for the House.
- Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro and state Treasurer Stacy Garrity will face off in the race for governor. The result wasn’t unexpected, but the outcome of the race could have a big impact nationwide.
- Rep. Andy Barr won the Republican primary in the race for retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell’s seat in Kentucky.
- Rep. Mike Collins and former football coach Derek Dooley are heading to a Senate Republican primary runoff in Georgia, vying to take on Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff.
- Sen. Tommy Tuberville won the Republican primary for governor of Alabama, making him the clear favorite to win the general election.
- In the race to succeed Tuberville, Rep. Barry Moore advanced to a Senate primary runoff, and two rivals are battling for the second spot.
- State Sen. Christine Drazan won the Republican nomination for governor of Oregon, setting up a rematch against Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek.
More politics news:
- The Senate voted to advance a resolution to end the war in Iran after GOP Sen. Bill Cassidy flipped his vote to “yes.”
- Months before a $1.8 billion “anti-weaponization” fund was announced, a Trump administration official told a GOP ally that big payouts were coming for Jan. 6 defendants.
- The DOJ said the federal government won’t take legal action against Trump, his family members and companies as part of Trump’s settlement agreement with the IRS.
Steve Kornacki answers your questions live today
At 2 p.m. ET, NBC News’ chief data analyst will take questions from subscribers in a livestreamed Q&A. Ask Steve anything — go deeper into Tuesday’s election results, delve into burning questions about the midterms or learn more about his career and life in front of the Kornacki Cam. Submit your question here.
San Diego mosque shooting victims identified as investigators probe writings
A day after two gunmen killed three people at a San Diego mosque, loved ones remembered the victims as important pillars of the community while investigators looked into the suspects’ possible writings, filled with extremist material.
The victims were identified as: Security guard Amin Abdullah, whose daughter called him her best friend and said he was so dedicated to his job that he would skip lunch to stay on duty. Mansour Kaziha, a community leader who managed the mosque store for nearly 40 years. Imam Taha Hassane said he was the mosque’s handyman, cook, caretaker and storekeeper. “He was everything,” Hassane said. And Nadir Award, who rushed to protect the school when he heard the shooting and is being remembered for his generosity and presence in the community. More about the victims.
Meanwhile, investigators are trying to authenticate a document posted online that purportedly details the motivations of the gunmen. The 75-page document has sections apparently written by Caleb Vazquez, 18, and Cain Clark, 17, and includes material that espouses anti-Islamic, antisemitic and anti-LGBTQ views and promotes white supremacist ideology. More about the documents.
American doctor with Ebola evacuated to Germany
The American surgeon who contracted Ebola in Congo was barely able to stand on his own as he departed the country to be flown to Germany for treatment, according to two leaders of the Christian missionary group where he worked.
Dr. Peter Stafford “looked really tired and really sick,” said Dr. Scott Myhre, the East and Central Africa area director for the group, called Serge.
Stafford’s wife, Rebekah Stafford, is also a doctor and treated the same patient thought to have infected Stafford. She and the couple’s four young children remain in Congo, where they are being monitored.
How Stafford is thought to have contracted the virus.
There are now more than 600 suspected cases and 139 suspected deaths from the virus, the head of the World Health Organization said today.
Read All About It
- A U.S. indictment of former Cuban President Raúl Castro, 94, is expected in Miami.
- Meta is expected to announce today a company reorganization that includes moving 7,000 employees into roles focused on AI and layoffs affecting 10% of the company, a source said.
- The NAACP launched a campaign calling on Black student-athletes to boycott Southern colleges after a Supreme Court decision that weakened the Voting Rights Act.
- A Minnesota woman paid $99,000 to an insurance company to generate retirement income for life. Then, the company collapsed.
- Tens of thousands of people flocked to the streets of North London late Tuesday after soccer club Arsenal clinched its first English Premier League title in 22 years.
Staff Pick: Amid prospect of ICE at World Cup games, vendors weigh their livelihoods against safety
The upcoming World Cup will bring some of soccer’s biggest stars to the U.S., but at the site of one of the stadiums hosting multiple games, a sense of unease is palpable. This story from breaking news reporter Marlene Lenthang examines the feelings of Latino vendors in and around SoFi Stadium in Inglewood amid the possibility of ICE agents working games — a gamble between their safety and a potentially lucrative payday.
The Los Angeles region was rocked last year by sprawling immigration raids targeting day laborers and factory workers. While the glitz and glamor of soccer’s most prestigious competition coming to town has generated excitement in some quarters, Marlene’s interviews with vendors highlights the worry that continues to linger for others. — Rudy Chinchilla, breaking news editor
NBC Select: Online Shopping, Simplified
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Kentucky
Trump-endorsed Ed Gallrein unseats Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky GOP primary
Former Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein has won the Republican primary in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District over Rep. Thomas Massie, NBC News projects, notching another win for President Donald Trump in his push to eliminate political rivals and roadblocks within his own party.
Gallrein beat Massie in the most explosive fight of Trump’s political pressure campaign, which wended its way from Indiana and Louisiana to Kentucky this month, all featuring primary challengers he endorsed. Gallrein was aided by an extraordinary advertising blitz fueled largely by pro-Trump and pro-Israel groups.
Massie, first elected to the House in 2012, had become an ever-present thorn in Trump’s side. Trump traveled to the district in March to throw his political weight behind Gallrein and slammed Massie as a “disaster.”
Known as an anti-war libertarian and deficit hawk, Massie drew ire from Trump and his allies for opposing the war in Iran, as well as Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” spending package. Massie, along with Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., also was one of the chief proponents of releasing the Justice Department’s files related to investigations of the late sex offender — and onetime Trump friend — Jeffrey Epstein.
Massie’s prospects of outmaneuvering Trump became even more tenuous over the final days of the race.
In Louisiana, Sen. Bill Cassidy, a Republican who similarly got crosswise with Trump, failed to advance from the party’s primary in his re-election bid Saturday, underscoring how unflinchingly loyal GOP voters remain to Trump.
And when Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo, campaigned with Massie, Trump threatened to revoke his endorsement of her.
Meanwhile, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth traveled to Kentucky on Monday for a last-minute appearance with Gallrein — an unusual and overtly political move for a defense secretary but one the Defense Department said Hegseth was making in his personal capacity.
“There’s a portion of the electorate who doesn’t believe that Congress should be independent,” Massie said in an interview last month. “They believe that, when the Republicans control the White House and the Congress, that Congress should just do whatever the president wants. But that’s not how our government’s set up.”
Massie faced an onslaught of ads, many of them negative, led by MAGA KY, a super PAC directed by Trump adviser Chris LaCivita. The group’s attacks focused in part on immigration and border security provisions in Trump’s spending bill. Pro-Israel groups affiliated with the Republican Jewish Coalition and the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, or AIPAC, also poured millions of dollars onto the state’s airwaves to boost Gallrein.
Spots promoting Gallrein or attacking Massie accounted for more than $19 million of the $33 million spent on advertising in the primary, according to AdImpact, an ad-tracking firm. But pro-Massie forces made noise, as well. The Massie-aligned Kentucky 4th PAC aired a spot called “Tucked Tail And Ran” that used war imagery to emphasize Gallrein’s departure from the GOP during Trump’s first term. The ad depicted Gallrein leaving Trump behind in a foxhole.
Gallrein kept a low profile, choosing to let Trump’s endorsement speak for him and drawing criticism from Massie for dodging debates and other candidate forums.
“It’s like they have a tracker on my car and keep from getting within 50 miles of me,” Massie said last month. “He is scared to answer any question, even if I don’t get to ask the questions.”
Massie’s defeat follows other losses this month by Republican state lawmakers in Indiana who had resisted a Trump-backed congressional redistricting push. Five challengers endorsed by Trump defeated sitting state senators in their primaries.
Another Trump victory came Saturday in Louisiana, where Cassidy, who had voted to convict Trump in his impeachment trial after the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol, finished third in his re-election primary. Trump-endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow and state Treasurer John Fleming advanced to a June 27 runoff.
Massie told NBC News last month that the outcome of his primary could determine whether more Republicans and Congress are willing to stand up to Trump.
“They’re trying to decide,” Massie said, “could they win an election?”
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