ATLANTA, Ga. (Atlanta News First) – What a difference four years can make.

A new poll from the University of Georgia measuring the state’s voter confidence in the recent 2024 presidential election showed a 14% increase in trust from the 2020 results.

In 2020, perhaps the most contentious race in political history, only 78% of Georgia voters expressed confidence in the election results, the survey showed. This year, 92% of all polled voters said they were trusting of the counting process and ultimate results.

“I think trust is the real standard when society is so polarized,” said Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. “The proof is in the pudding, the proof is in the numbers. What we have is accurate. The machines are good. We have these great election workers. It’s all come together.”

Raffensperger was the target of lawsuits and violent threats after the 2020 election in Georgia went to President Joe Biden. Much of it circulated around election misinformation.

The new numbers showed that people had more trust this year.

>> READ THE FULL REPORT:

Among Republicans, 98% of polled voters who said they were Republicans trusted the 2024 vote, compared to just 60% in 2020.

Democrats saw their trust go down in 2024. This year, 84% of self-identified Democratic voters had confidence in the vote tally, compared to 96% in 2020.

“Sometimes when people’s candidate doesn’t win, their trust isn’t as high as when their candidate does win,” said Raffensperger. “We get that.”

It’s a refreshing sign for Raffensperger, who is currently serving his second term as Georgia’s secretary of state.

“Some of the water has been calmed in Georgia,” he said. “That gives voters trust, and trust is the gold standard.”

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PARTING PREDICTION

The Savannah-Chatham County Public School System (SCCPSS) might not wind up having 18 schools on the state’s Promise Scholarship Schools list. It could wind up having fewer. Or more.

The answer remains to be seen as the Georgia Governor’s Office of Student Achievement (GOSA) completes what its Director of Educator Leadership and Research Laine Reichert called a “three-tiered validation method.”

The Georgia Promise Scholarship Act, Senate Bill 233, created both the Georgia Education Savings Authority and the Promise Scholarship in early 2024. That act also required that a Promise Schools list be posted by GOSA before Dec. 1.

As reported last week by the Savannah Morning News, an initial list was published on Nov. 27, but legislators “became aware of outliers in the CCRPI calculation that impacted the calculations for the Promise Act list of schools.” A new list was released Wednesday Dec. 4 only to be taken down five days later.

Here’s what we know about why.

Who holds the scores, holds the power?

GOSA’s Promise Scholarship press materials had previously indicated that the last two school years’ averages of College and Career Ready Performance Index (CCRPI) scores were used to determine which Georgia schools fell into the lowest performing 25th percentile. The Promise Act states that students at those lower performing schools then become eligible for the Promise Scholarship, which allows qualifying families to use up to $6,500 in funding for private school tuition, tutoring services, and other qualified education expenses through an education savings account.

According to Reichert, GOSA had “an extremely tight turnaround time” between when it had access to the schools’ data files for the CCRPI component scores and when GOSA had to produce the Promise Schools List.

CCRPI component scores fall within four categories that Georgia uses to determine each public school’s performance. Those categories are Content Mastery, Progress, Closing Gaps and Readiness (as well as Graduation Rate for high schools). Each component group has a subset of criteria that includes many data points such as state exams or school attendance among many others.

Up until 2019, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic’s impact on schools, the Georgia Department of Education (GADOE) used a formula to calculate an “overall score” for each school based on the component scores. Since 2020, the GADOE has not calculated the overall score as schools adjusted performance tactics and guidelines during and after the pandemic.

Even though GADOE has calculated schools’ individual component scores, the final overall score calculation now lies with GOSA due to changes brought about by the Georgia Promise Scholarship Act. GOSA now refers to the score as a “CCRPI Single Score” according to its 2024 Georgia Promise Schools Calculation Guide. The guide, a digital PDF document, is no longer accessible online, however it and other GOSA press materials also referred to the eligibility score as a “cumulative individual school rating.”

CCRPI overall score, cumulative school rating or single score? Regardless of the term, Reichert said that every Georgia public school’s performance score will be available for public review soon.

‘Complex’ process rushed to meet deadline

Reichert said that on top of the Dec. 1 deadline, GOSA also had to create its own nuanced computer code within the Stata software program it uses to calculate the scores.

“And the calculations are quite complex because of the variance from one school to another,” she said. She went on to explain that not all schools are equal in that one school may only have pre-K students while another school might have kindergarten through eighth grade, which impacts the CCRPI scores weights. So GOSA had to develop a code that could navigate various school configurations. “There’s a lot of nuance in it,” she said.

When asked why the list was published before the additional level of scrutiny was applied, she responded, “It should have had this level of scrutiny, but we literally had six business days to prepare the list.” She once again was referring to the timeline of when GOSA received the CCRPI component data from GADOE in order to calculate the final CCRPI single score by Dec. 1.

What schools will ultimately make the list will only be known when the final, validated list is released. Reichert hopes the list will be available by the end of this week. As far as any potential changes to the previously posted list, she said she “would not want to speculate at this time.”

SCCPSS Superintendent Denise Watts plans to speak publicly on the Promise Scholarship data on Wednesday, providing her and the district’s Data and Accountability team’s latest understanding of how Promise Scholarship Schools are determined.

Dec. 15 is the next deadline for Georgia families to note because that date is when GOSA plans to announce dates for the student application period.

Joseph Schwartzburt is the education and workforce development reporter for the Savannah Morning News. You can reach him at JSchwartzburt@gannett.com.