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What to watch as Wisconsin and Florida host the first major elections of Trump's second term

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What to watch as Wisconsin and Florida host the first major elections of Trump's second term


The first major elections of President Doanld Trump’s second term will take place on Tuesday, as voters head to the polls in Wisconsin, a perennial battleground, and in Trump-friendly territory in Florida. 

Tens of millions of dollars have poured into Wisconsin ahead of Tuesday’s state Supreme Court race in a contest that could have huge national implications. It’s the first major statewide contest in a battleground since the 2024 election — and it’s happening in the state where Trump saw his narrowest margin-of-victory in November.

Elon Musk has emerged as a major player in the Wisconsin race as he expands his political portfolio, providing Democrats with an early test for whether the billionaire Trump adviser can be an effective boogeyman.

And in Florida, voters will head to the polls for special elections in the deep-red 1st and 6th Congressional Districts, where Republicans are looking to pad their razor-thin House majority. And though both districts are on Trump’s turf, Republicans have been anxious that the races could prove to be competitive, as grassroots energy — and dollars — boost the Democratic contenders. 

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Polls close at 7 p.m. ET in Florida’s 6th District and 8 p.m. ET in the 1st District, which is in the central time zone. And polls in Wisconsin close at 9 p.m. ET.

A nonpartisan race in name only — with huge national and state ramifications

Tuesday’s Wisconsin Supreme Court race marks the second time in two years that the bench’s ideological majority will be at stake. Liberals on the technically nonpartisan court currently hold a 4-3 advantage, and another liberal win could keep that majority alive for at least one more year — while a conservative victory would give them the edge ahead of a term likely to see cases on abortion rights, unions and collective bargaining rights, and congressional maps and redistricting.

The race is between liberal candidate Susan Crawford — a state judge in Madison who has received the backing of the state and national Democratic Party organizations, as well as the financial support, directly and indirectly, of a cadre of liberal billionaires — and Brad Schimel, a state judge and former Republican state attorney general who has the backing of Trump and Musk, the tech billionaire and leader of Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency.

However, more than Trump, who endorsed Schimel 11 days ahead of the race in a late-night social media post, it’s been Musk who has taken on the starring role in the campaign on both sides.

“It’s become kind of a referendum on the Trump administration, and what Elon Musk is doing as part of that, and Musk has amplified that by getting involved in Wisconsin,” explained Barry Burden, a political science professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. “If there was any doubt about whether this election had a connection to national politics, Trump and Musk have made that connection for voters.”

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Musk and his super PAC have spent at least $15 million to boost Schimel, campaign finance records show, on top of three $1 million prizes Musk has awarded to those who signed his petition against “activist judges.” He came to Wisconsin on Sunday night to campaign for Schimel in person.

Democrats and groups supporting Crawford leaned heavily into making Musk the centerpiece of the race, attacking him in ads, on the trail, and on social media over his actions at DOGE and accusing him of “trying to buy” Schimel. (Many groups also pointed out that Tesla, Musk’s electric car company, filed a suit in Wisconsin in January challenging a state law banning carmakers from owning dealerships — a case that could potentially come before the state Supreme Court).

Overall, Democrats and their affiliated outside groups have outspent Republicans on the airwaves — they’ve spent almost $42 million compared to almost $33 million from conservatives, enough to make it the most expensive state Supreme Court race on record, as far as ad spending, according to the ad-tracking firm AdImpact. 

Despite the level of attention and spending, the springtime, off-year contest, will feature far fewer voters than in presidential and midterm races — meaning that both sides have sought to juice their turnout on Tuesday.

To that end, Schimel and Republican and conservative groups supporting him have heavily emphasized Trump’s endorsement of Schimel — a move that could help turn out Republican voters in a state that Trump carried in two of the past three presidential elections.

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In addition to running ads touting the endorsement down the home stretch of the campaign, Schimel appeared at a campaign town hall event in March with Donald Trump Jr. and told a group of canvassers from the conservative group Turning Point USA that Trump needs a “support network” around him to help him fight the myriad suits his administration has faced.

While the race also included a barrage of messaging on both sides on crime and reproductive rights, groups supporting Schimel, in addition to focusing on Trump, built a closing message on the airwaves that attacked Crawford over transgender issues — a move that replicates the successful strategy Republicans and Trump used during the final weeks of their winning 2024 campaign.

Special election tests on Trump’s turf

The pair of Florida special elections will be fought on Trump’s territory, testing his influence over his base and Democrats’ enthusiasm in the Trump era. Republicans are expecting to win both races, but there are concerns that closer-than-expected results could fuel a narrative of Democratic momentum. 

The winner in Florida’s 1st District in the Panhandle will replace former GOP Rep. Matt Gaetz, while the 6th District winner will replace former GOP Rep. Mike Waltz, now Trump’s national security adviser. Trump carried the 1st District by 37 points in November and the 6th by 30 points, according to election results from NBC News’ Decision Desk. 

The races are more competitive due to expectations of lower turnout, which Democrats have leveraged in other special elections in the Trump era, and blockbuster fundraising from the two Democratic candidates. 

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Republicans have raised more concerns about the 6th District race, where GOP state Sen. Randy Fine is competing against Democratic teacher Josh Weil, pointing to Fine’s lackluster fundraising and late ad spending. In the 1st District, Florida Chief Financial Officer Jimmy Patronis is facing Democrat Gay Valimont, a former activist with Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America who ran against Gaetz in November.

Both Republican candidates have Trump’s backing, and the president held tele-town halls for them last week, encouraging his voters to go to the polls. They’ve also gotten a boost from outside groups in recent days. Musk’s super PAC has also jumped into the contests, spending nearly $100,000 on phone calls and texts in the races, according to filings with the Federal Election Commission. 

Neither Democratic candidate has directly targeted Musk in their ads. But both candidates suggested in recent interviews that the Musk-led effort to slash the size of the federal government, and potential GOP cuts to entitlement programs, could impact their races, since the 1st District has a large share of veterans and the 6th District has a sizable senior population. 

National flavor in Wisconsin down-ballot items, too

Further down the Wisconsin ballot on Tuesday are two other races that haven’t garnered much national attention but have been major local issues. There is a proposed amendment to enshrine an existing voter ID law into the state constitution, as well as a state superintendent race that has also become somewhat of a referendum on the role Musk has played in downsizing the federal government.

The voter ID law is already part of the state code, but conservatives want to add it to the constitution to make it more difficult to strike the law down — if, for example, a liberal-majority state Supreme Court were to invalidate the law with a ruling. Trump himself endorsed the proposed amendment in a social media post Monday.

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But many strategists in the state, including Republicans, have acknowledged another motivation for adding the question to the ballot was to juice conservative turnout in the state Supreme Court race.

The race for the superintendent of public instruction — a job that oversees the state’s education system — has taken on increased importance in the weeks since Trump signed an executive order to dismantle the U.S. Department of Education, thereby beginning a process to put far more responsibility on education policy directly in states’ hands. 

Like the state Supreme Court contest, the technically nonpartisan race has taken on a distinctly partisan flavor. The incumbent, Dr. Jill Underly, is backed by the state Democratic Party, while her challenger, Brittany Kinser, has received the backing of conservative groups and funders, though she has called herself a moderate.

Kinser is an education consultant who has made expanding school choice programs the main tenet of her campaign.

Underly, who is in her first term, has attempted to tie Kinser to Trump’s dismantling of the U.S. Department of Education, as well as Musk’s DOGE effort.

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Florida

Florida woman taking case over ‘outrageous’ fines to state Supreme Court after wracking up nearly $200,000 in penalties

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Florida woman taking case over ‘outrageous’ fines to state Supreme Court after wracking up nearly 0,000 in penalties


A fed-up Florida homeowner battling a whopping $165,000 in fines for nitpicky property violations — including a cracked driveway and a toppled fence — is dragging her case to the state’s Supreme Court.

Officials in the city of Latana, about 20 minutes south of Palm Beach, even fined Sandy Martinez for how she parked in her driveway. That alone set the single mom back a hefty $100,000 as daily penalties piled up.

Martinez’s parking fines started accumulating in May 2019. When all four family members’ cars were home at her household, sometimes one would end up with two tires on the lawn.

Martinez filed a lawsuit against Lantana, a town of roughly 12,000 residents, in 2021. Institute for Justice

The penalty for that? A whopping $250 a day. 

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After the first citation, Martinez tried to arrange a visit with a code-enforcement officer to show she had corrected the violation. But those efforts proved “fruitless” and the daily fines accumulated, she said in a lawsuit she filed in 2021 against the city of Latana and local code enforcement.

“Six-figure fines for parking on your own property are outrageous,” Institute for Justice Attorney Mike Greenberg, the lawyer representing Martinez, said in a news release about the case.

The town’s main beef with Martinez is how her family parked their cars on their own driveway. Institute for Justice

The city also fined Martinez for “minor and purely cosmetic” cracks in her driveway, according to court papers.

Martinez didn’t have enough cash to fix the driveway right away. She was then hit with $75 fines every day for 215 days, for a total of $16,125 — “far greater than the cost of an entirely new driveway,” she said in the litigation.

Then there was the fence.

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Martinez and the Institute for Justice are taking the case to Florida’s Supreme Court. Google

A major storm downed it, but resolving the insurance claim to fix it took a while. During that time, Martinez was hit with $125 daily fines for 379 days, totaling $47,375.

Martinez lost when she took her case to court in 2021, with the lower courts ruling against her.

Now she thinks it’s time for Florida’s highest court to weigh in on a constitutional basis — the right to be free from excessive fines and government abuse, protected by the Florida Constitution’s Excessive Fines Clause.

The case epitomizes “taxation by citation,” something small towns, more prone to economic hardship, can sometimes ­rely on for part of their budgets, according to the Institute.

The Institute says municipal code enforcement has become a “cash cow” in Florida, with some towns generating millions of dollars annually.

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Local officials did not immediately return a message seeking comment.



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85 Days Until Kickoff: Who is the Best Florida Gator to Wear No. 85?

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85 Days Until Kickoff: Who is the Best Florida Gator to Wear No. 85?


With the 2025 college football season slowly approaching, Florida Gators on SI will be recognizing some of the top players to suit up in the Florida Gators’ orange and blue. 

Since Florida kicks off their season against Long Island University in 85 days, let’s take a look at some of the best players in program history to wear No. 85. 

David Galloway (1978-81)

The University of Florida Athletic Hall of Famer takes the crown for today’s list.

Galloway spent four seasons at Florida, where he earned first team All-American honors and was an All-SEC selection twice. During his final season at Florida, he was part of a Gators team that pulled off the biggest single-season turn-around in NCAA Division One history, returning from a winless season in 1979 to become an 8-4 bowl team in 1980.

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By the time his collegiate career was over, Galloway was tied with teammate Robin Fisher for the most sacks in program history. He was later drafted by the St. Louis Cardinals (now Arizona Cardinals) in the second round (38th overall) of the 1982 NFL Draft. He went on to play nine seasons in the NFL, starting 76 games while recording 38 sacks.

Frankie Hammond (2008-12)

While he might not be considered to be a program legend, Hammond carved out a solid collegiate career for himself.

Throughout this time in Gainesville, Hammond appeared in 48 games, while starting 19. He finished his Gators career with 63 catches for 809 yards and six touchdowns while being an important member in the team’s run to the Sugar Bowl in the 2012 season.

After going undrafted in 2013, Hammond went on to spend three seasons with the Kansas City Chiefs, catching four passes for 45 yards while also contributing in the return game, totaling 389 yards.



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More money, more problems? Florida’s budget battle belies chronic issues

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More money, more problems? Florida’s budget battle belies chronic issues



The shortages are despite Florida being in good fiscal health, with ample reserves and a lean budget compared to other big states.

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  • Florida faces public worker shortages in key sectors like prisons, schools, and law enforcement despite strong fiscal health.
  • Republican leaders prioritize low per capita worker numbers and fiscal restraint, leading to debates over tax cuts rather than addressing critical staffing needs.
  • While recent pay raises have helped alleviate some shortages, issues persist due to competition with private sector wages and inflation.

Florida is flush with cash, but its public workforce is running on empty.

The Florida National Guard has been helping staff state prisons for two and a half years. There’s a teacher shortage and a nursing shortage. There are 1,800 troopers patrolling a state with 7 million vehicles and more than 140 million tourists per year. 

All this in a state in strong fiscal health with ample reserves and a lean budget compared to other large states. Federal stimulus funds from the COVID-19 era, combined with inflation that boosted its sales tax-reliant revenues, padded its coffers. That helped lawmakers set aside massive reserves, about $17 billion in the current year.

For Republicans who have held the reins of the state for nearly three decades, it’s a point of pride to have the lowest number of workers per capita and to have half of New York’s budget with more people.

Such fiscal restraint – Florida’s constitution requires lawmakers to pass a balanced budget each year – helps the state avoid the deficits and woes of Democratic-run states like Illinois and California. Republicans, including Gov. Ron DeSantis, revel in the contrasts to those states and boast of the state’s fiscal picture.

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“We’ve been running major, major budget surpluses, certainly over the last four years,” DeSantis said at a March 10 event in Winter Haven. “We’re spending, this year, less money than we spent last year … we have the lowest footprint of government workers per capita in the entire United States of America.”

But Republican legislative leaders, after deadlocking on budget negotiations that threw the session into overtime, are still trying to reach a deal on a final spending plan. The dispute, though, is over how much to permanently cut taxes to restrain spending growth, not over how to pay for pressing needs that have long languished as the state continues to grow.

House Speaker Daniel Perez, R-Miami, pushed for a sales tax cut to keep spending contained. Florida’s budget has grown from $82.6 billion in 2019 to $118.6 billion for the current year. But Sen. Ben Albritton, R-Wauchula, resisted the move, saying it would hamper lawmakers’ ability to meet the needs of a growing state.

When they first attempted a compromise that included a 0.25% cut to the 6% sales tax, DeSantis nixed it by pledging to veto the plan. He feared cutting the sales tax would crowd out his push for massive property tax reductions.

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Now, Perez and Albritton have a framework to resolve the budget differences, including a deal for $2.25 billion in permanent tax reductions, although the details of those cuts still need to be negotiated.

For Democrats, stuck in superminority status in the Legislature, the fracas over the budget doesn’t address chronic issues facing the state.

“There’s actually investments, real investments that need to be made to ensure our government is functioning properly and I just don’t think that this is the time to discuss cuts when we haven’t adequately funded our schools, our prison system, our unemployment system,” said House Democratic Leader Fentrice Driskell of Tampa.

“It feels sometimes like the governor and legislative leadership don’t really care how people are living; they just want to get what they want so that they can say that they got it. But how does that really help improve the lives of Floridians who are struggling to make ends meet?”

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To be sure, Republicans in recent years have put some money toward addressing the issues, putting more money towards pay for prison guards, troopers, teachers and to educate and train nurses.

But the freeze on worker pay that lasted for years during and after the Great Recession left the state well behind the pay for competing industries in the private sector or other public entities. That led to massive turnover and shortages in vital areas. Inflation, too, has hampered efforts to provide competitive pay in several vital workforce positions.

Prison guards

In September 2022, DeSantis issued an executive order to place National Guard members in prisons facing critical shortages of guards, known as correctional officers. The Department of Corrections (DOC) has faced chronic issues of turnover and trouble recruiting and retaining officers.

A few years ago, the starting salary for a Florida prison guard was less than $33,000, and leaders at the DOC said they were competing with WalMart for workers. Lawmakers have tried to address the issue by giving pay raises to guards, boosting the starting pay by $15,000 in recent years.

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The raises have helped alleviate the issue. The Tampa Bay Times reported the number of vacant positions at state prisons has dropped from 5,000 to 1,000.

But recruitment and retention problems have persisted, hampered by inflation, and staffing shortages could return if the Guard leaves. DeSantis issued four extensions of his order in the face of the problem, but the latest order is set to expire later in June.

In budget talks, the Senate has offered to set aside $30 million to pay for a DOC deficit related to staffing, while the House wants $53 million for overtime pay.

State troopers

The Florida Highway Patrol, facing shortages of troopers, has relied heavily on overtime. During a March 11 meeting of a House budget committee, Dave Kerner – who heads the Department of Highway Safety and Motor Vehicles, which includes the FHP – told lawmakers his difficulty in retaining troopers.

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“We spend an inordinate amount of money on overtime because of the low staffing we have at the Florida Highway Patrol,” Kerner said.

“Because of the lack of pay the lack of career development plan it is much more efficient for a trooper to come and work at the Florida Highway Patrol, get trained and then three years later leave to a better paying department and so we have to supplement that vacancy rate with overtime,” he added.

He was responding to Rep. Randy Maggard, R-Dade City, who blanched at the $10 million price tag for overtime for the nearly 1,800 troopers. Kerner said there were 288 vacancies, including 138 vacancies of sworn patrol officers as of March 1 at FHP.

Legislators have put more money into raises and bonuses for troopers in recent years, and DeSantis has called for pay raises of 20% and 25% for entry level and veteran law enforcement officers, respectively, including state troopers.

But the House has resisted the raises for FHP, as well as nearly $10 million to replace and upgrade part of FHP’s fleet of vehicles.

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Classroom teachers

A January report from the Florida Education Association, the state’s largest teachers union, showed 3,197 teacher vacancies in public schools.

The number was down from about 4,000 the year before, showing improvement but union officials still were alarmed at the 16% rise in teachers in charge of classes without a certification in that subject area.

Prodded by DeSantis, lawmakers have put more money into teach salaries since he took office in 2019, raising annual pay by $1.25 billion per year. In ongoing budget talks, the House has offered to increase that by $91 million. The Senate prefers a $100 million increase.

Those increases, though, haven’t kept up with other states, which have also boosted average teacher salaries, leaving Florida near the bottom for pay among state. Inflation has also eaten into the nominal gains.

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Nurses

Lawmakers also have tried to address projected shortages of nurses. A 2021 analysis by the Florida Hospital Association estimated a shortage of 59,100 nurses by 2035, as Florida continued to grow – and age.

But an association report from September showed progress – vacancies and turnover were down significantly compared to the prior year. And the Legislature had passed the Live Healthy Act, which put $716 million to boosting health care access and expanding the health care workforce.

In the latest budget talks, however, the House has sought to cut the $30 million boost to the Florida Reimbursement Assistance for Medical Education (FRAME) program in the Live Healthy Act. It offsets loans and expenses for those seeking degrees and licenses in the medical, nursing, dental and mental health fields.

Gray Rohrer is a reporter with the USA TODAY Network-Florida Capital Bureau. He can be reached at grohrer@gannett.com. Follow him on X: @GrayRohrer.

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