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The Cowboys defense is in a strong position entering 2024

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The Cowboys defense is in a strong position entering 2024


It seemed inevitable. There was no way that the Dallas Cowboys could keep it up. The conversation surrounding the team after the 2021 season was that their historic turnover tally would regress to the mean in 2022. Plenty of NFL history to that point supported that claim. This is true for a variety of reasons, but generally because turnovers are a difficult thing for a defense to completely control.

In a literal sense that was proven to be true. The Cowboys defense generated 34 turnovers in 2021 (shout out Trevon Diggs) and did not reach that mark a season later in 2022. The 2022 Dallas Cowboys generated a measly 33 turnovers, if you can believe it.

Amazing was it was, that was clearly an exception to the norm that is football history. Kudos to the now-departed Dan Quinn and the players on the team for upholding that level of consistency in a way that most people have not been able to.

It should come as no surprise to learn that Dallas dipped again in total turnovers in 2023 and generated only 26, although DaRon Bland set the NFL record for the most interceptions returned for a touchdown in the process. While that is technically regression, 26 is still an incredible number. Not quite an exception but it puts the Cowboys of the last three years in some rarified air.

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What about year four?

History is not totally against the Cowboys defense continuing to generate turnovers

Personally speaking I have felt like the bottom just had to come out of the Cowboys this year. How could you not?

They have pulled off the impossible (relatively speaking) by continuing to generate so many turnovers, but with Dan Quinn now gone, an incredibly important piece of the puzzle is now different with Mike Zimmer in place. It has felt somewhat inevitable.

Recently I had the chance to sit down with the great Aaron Schatz from FTN Fantasy to discuss a number of things concerning the Cowboys but I wanted to specifically hit on this point. You can watch our entire conversation below.

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Thankfully I’d prepped Schatz for this question and he was able to have some information handy that made me feel better about the 2024 Cowboys potentially not falling off of a cliff in this overall department.

If you head to about the eight-minute mark this is where the conversation starts. According to Schatz, there are four teams since 2000 that have ranked in the top five in terms of takeaways per drive for three straight years.

Of the 12 total seasons involved here, 11 featured a playoff appearance from the team involved. The only one here to miss out on the postseason were the 2020 Patriots, although there were obviously a lot of circumstances involved there to say the least. Tom Brady’s defection to Tampa was just one of them.

But on the subject of the Buccaneers, they cashed in on their run with a Super Bowl title in the final season of their three-year stretch. The first Patriots run included a Super Bowl appearance. Neither the second Patriots run or Dallas’ (obviously) included even a conference championship appearance.

What about the years following, though?

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The 2003 Buccaneers missed out on the playoffs so the season was a failure in that sense, but defensively they didn’t exactly collapse in the turnover department. They finished sixth in takeaways per drive which is right outside of the top five.

Additionally the 2022 Patriots followed up their run with a sixth-place finish in the metric we are looking at. The sample size is small, but two of the three teams hung right around the same realm in year number four.

Something significant does separate the Cowboys, though. While there has been no turnover at head coach in Mike McCarthy, he was obviously not the architect of what took place defensively for Dallas over the last thousand days. Dan Quinn is out and that will play a role here in a way that the other teams didn’t have affecting them.

Tampa Bay’s defensive coordinator at the time was and remained Monte Kiffin (this whole exercise is just so much fun, isn’t it) and Bill Belichick was at the helm for all of the Patriots seasons involved. It goes without saying that there is immense pressure on Mike Zimmer to uphold the standard, but history is technically on his side which is encouraging.



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Dallas, TX

Chiefs vs. Cowboys: Three Bold Predictions As K.C. and Dallas Fight for Playoff Lives

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Chiefs vs. Cowboys: Three Bold Predictions As K.C. and Dallas Fight for Playoff Lives


The NFL’s Thanksgiving Day slate of football will continue on Thursday afternoon in Dallas as the Cowboys host the Chiefs for a 4:00 p.m. ET kickoff from AT&T Stadium.

Kansas City enters Week 13 coming off a massive overtime win against the Colts last Sunday that brought them to 6–5 on the season and kept their playoff hopes alive. Despite still not playing his best football, Patrick Mahomes got back to delivering when it mattered most—leading the offense to 14 unanswered points to close out the comeback while logging just his second 300-yard performance of the season.

The Cowboys, meanwhile, are winners of their last two after retooling their defense at the trade deadline. The team is sitting at 5–5–1 and is just outside the NFC playoff picture. With a win over the Eagles in their pocket and a matchup against the Lions upcoming, Dallas suddenly has a realistic path to returning to the postseason for the first time since 2022.

With a lot on the line this Thanksgiving afternoon, here are three bold predictions for Cowboys vs. Chiefs.

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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb is looking to get back on track. / Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

CeeDee Lamb hasn’t been nearly as productive as Dallas would like him to be over the last several weeks, but it’s not for a lack of trying.

Despite failing to tally a 100-yard game in over a month, Lamb has been targeted double-digit times in three of the Cowboys’ last four games. Drops, however, have become an issue—as the 26-year-old recorded his second three-drop performance of the season last Sunday against the Eagles.

With George Pickens garnering some much-deserved attention from the Chiefs’ secondary, expect Dak Prescott to continue feeding Lamb on Thursday afternoon—only this time, it pays off. Look for Lamb to post a season-high in receiving yards (115-plus) while also pacing Dallas in receptions as the former All-Pro gets back on track. ––Mike Kadlick

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Travis Kelce, NFL, Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has 54 receptions for 674 yards this season. / Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images

The 2025 season hasn’t been the most productive for Kelce, as he’s still yet to record more than 91 receiving yards and hasn’t caught more than nine passes in any game this season. A matchup against the Cowboys’ defense may be the perfect recipe for him to turn in his best game of the campaign.

Two weeks ago against the Broncos, Kelce had nine catches on 13 targets for 91 yards and a touchdown in what was a vintage performance for the future Hall of Famer. I’m expecting him to have a Thanksgiving feast in Dallas, with even bigger numbers than he had in Week 10.

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The Cowboys’ secondary has surrendered the third-most passing yards per game this season. Opponents have averaged 2.2 passing touchdowns per game against Dallas, second-most in the league. That all bodes well for Kelce, who I’m predicting will have his first game of the season with double-digit receptions, 100-plus yards, and more than one touchdown. ––Karl Rasmussen

Patrick Mahomes

Mahomes has a chance to make magic happen once again on Thursday afternoon. / Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

Despite the Chiefs playing on what feels like every holiday since Mahomes took over as quarterback, Kansas City hasn’t suited up on Thanksgiving since 2006—when they beat the Broncos 19–10 at Arrowhead.

Now headed on the road, and with their backs against the wall as they look to avoid missing the postseason for the first time since 2014, look for the Chiefs to make it two in a row on Turkey Day—though it won’t be easy.

In what will be not only an all-time classic, but also potentially the highest-rated game in NFL history, I’m predicting that—behind a three-touchdown performance from Mahomes—Kansas City will win 30–27 to keep their hopes alive for at least one more week. ––Kadlick

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Gut Feeling: Cowboys-Chiefs staff predictions

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Gut Feeling: Cowboys-Chiefs staff predictions


FRISCO, Texas — For the first time since 1995, the Dallas Cowboys and Kansas City Chiefs will face off on Thanksgiving Day.

On that day 30 years ago, Troy Aikman’s 192 passing yards and two touchdowns were enough to beat Chiefs QB Steve Bono’s 276 yards passing as the Cowboys won 24-12.

Now, both teams are in a new era, with Dak Prescott leading the Cowboys and Patrick Mahomes the Chiefs. The two have only faced each other one time, with Mahomes and Kansas City getting the better of Prescott and the Cowboys 19-9 at Arrowhead Stadium back in 2021.

Who will come out on top in their first meeting since, with the Cowboys sitting at 5-5-1 and the Chiefs at 6-5? Our staff weighs in:

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Patrik: This is yet another difficult one to predict, but it does feel a lot less impossible for the Cowboys to walk away with this one than, say, four weeks ago when they fell to 3-5-1 after being dismantled by the lowly Cardinals. One trade deadline and bye week later and they’ve added Quinnen Williams, Logan Wilson, DeMarvion Overshown and Shavon Revel to the active roster, and Caelen Carson looks rejuvenated in his return from IR. The problem now is self-inflicted wounds that continue to make things more difficult for the Cowboys than they need be, and including offensively, being a key reason Dak Prescott and Co. sputtered or stalled on several drives against Philly. Do that against the Chiefs and you’re eating an L for Thanksgiving dinner. Mahomes is still Mahomes, yes, but while Travis Kelce can impact games, he’s not a gamebreaker anymore, and I do think the Cowboys’ defense bottles up the KC rushing attack much how they successfully did Ashton Jeanty and Saquon Barkley; and the offensive line that deleted the Eagles’ acclaimed front gives me good vibes. A close one here, but Dallas finds a way … wow, I just said that, huh? 24-21, Cowboys

Tommy: There is no question that the Cowboys’ defense has improved a lot since the trade deadline when they made the moves to acquire Quinnen Williams and Logan Wilson, and were also able to get guys like DeMarvion Overshown back from injury. Because of that, Dallas has done what they’ve aimed to do all year the last two weeks: Stop the run. And it’s worked! I think it’ll work on Thursday against Kansas City as well. When your run game gets stopped offensively, what do you do? Well, throw the ball. The good thing for Dallas is in their last two games, the teams that have thrown the ball on them have been the 23rd (Eagles) and 25th (Raiders) passing offenses in the league. Kansas City is the 2nd best passing offense, right behind Dallas at #1. I don’t think the Cowboys secondary is at a place to where they can consistently stop Patrick Mahomes and his array of speedy wide receivers, plus Travis Kelce who may not be as shifty as he once was but is still plenty efficient and leads the team in receiving yards. I’m not as concerned about Dallas’ offense, but they’ll still have to beat a tricky Steve Spagnuolo defense that’s a top ten unit. Don’t be fooled by the Chiefs’ 6-5 record, all their losses have been by one possession. I don’t mean to ruin Thanksgiving, but I’m taking Kansas City. Chiefs 31, Cowboys 24

Nick: I love the build-up to this game, because a few weeks back, I didn’t think it would be any decision at all to pick this game. Every time we saw a quarterback such as Bo Nix, Jacob Brissett or even Bryce Young and Russell Wilson before that, all I could think of was how bad it’s going to be when Mahomes comes in here on Thanksgiving. Well, that defense is not the same. Just how different are they? We’ll find out soon enough. But more than just playing him, I wonder how consistent the Cowboys can be as a team. We haven’t seen three straight wins since 2023 and something tells me it’s just not going to happen this week. Kansas City might look the same with a 6-5 record, but they haven’t played many games with their entire offense – Kelce, Worthy, Pacheco, Hunt, Rice, etc. They’re all coming together again and I just think it’s going to be too much for the Cowboys to overcome. I think it’ll be high-scoring, but I’ll take the Chiefs 34-30.

Mickey: We’ve been seeing more and more of this in his two games with the Cowboys, defensive tackle Quinnen Williams becoming a nuisance for opposing offenses with his ability to disrupt up front. Well, the Chiefs will be without starting guard Trey Smith, and look for Q to take over the game up front, not only being a huge help stopping the Chiefs running attack but also applying pressure to QB Patrick Mahomes. So, thinking the Cowboys will get a game-ball like performance from Williams up front, dragging this defense along with him, enabling the Cowboys to pick up their third consecutive victory and inch above .500 for the first time this season.



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If the Dallas Stars move to the suburbs, what city deals could help fund a new $1B arena?

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If the Dallas Stars move to the suburbs, what city deals could help fund a new B arena?


As speculation surrounds the Dallas Stars eyeing a move to the site of a Plano shopping mall, there are few details available on the NHL team’s potential new $1 billion arena — or the incentives cities may offer to attract the team in a competitive market.

From grants to tax breaks, there are several tools Texas cities can use for economic development. Some go to the ballot, but other incentives can go through without a vote as cities vie for the prestige, potential economic boost and tax revenue that comes with hosting a major sports team and its stadium.

After discussions with Frisco, The Colony, Arlington and Fort Worth, the Dallas Stars are considering relocating from the American Airlines Center in Dallas to The Shops at Willow Bend, two people with knowledge of the team’s efforts told The Dallas Morning News this fall, potentially following the lead of many major U.S. sports teams’ exodus to the suburbs.

Nola Agha, professor at the University of San Francisco, researches the economic impact of teams and stadiums. While a team’s move might not generate much new economic activity at the regional level, a move within North Texas can make things competitive, she said.

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“When you live in a suburb, and you care about your own tax base … you see this competition between municipalities for shifting that activity,” Agha said.

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City officials will not comment on the Stars or a potential arena, but Plano has historically used incentives to attract companies like Toyota, Capital One and JPMorgan Chase to anchor regional headquarters in the city.

Ted Benavides, former Dallas city manager and a professor of social sciences at the University of Texas at Dallas, said Plano is well-positioned to pursue a deal with the Stars, as cities like Arlington and Frisco have done with major North Texas teams.

“They have money,” Benavides said. “They’re very active on the economic development front, so there’s a lot of things they could do.”

An exterior view of The Shops at Willow Bend mall at W Park Blvd and the North Dallas...

An exterior view of The Shops at Willow Bend mall at W Park Blvd and the North Dallas Tollway in Plano, Texas, October 28, 2025.

Tom Fox / Staff Photographer

Grants and loans

Texas law allows cities to use money to promote economic development. In addition to tax breaks, a city can award companies grants and loans to incentivize them to stay in, move to or invest in a city.

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In 2006, the Plano City Council approved a property tax increase of two cents per $100 property valuation for an economic development incentive fund. The city caps annual contributions to the fund at $8.5 million, city documents show, and uses the money to offer loans and grants that promote economic development.

Benavides said Plano was likely motivated to compete with cities like McKinney, Frisco and Allen that use the sales tax they are not contributing to public transportation to fund economic development corporations.

Plano contributes a one-cent sales tax to Dallas Area Rapid Transit — $116 million in the 2023 fiscal year, according to DART documents. The city plans to hold an election to withdraw from the agency next May and, if voters choose to exit, eventually regain that penny of revenue.

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Cities can award grants for a number of reasons, including to promote redevelopment and revitalization of retail centers or cover a company’s fees to the city.

“It has to make financial sense for us,” said Doug McDonald, Plano’s economic development director and the city’s next deputy city manager.

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McDonald would not comment on specific economic development projects not yet brought to the City Council, but gave insight into how Plano’s incentives generally work.

Economic development agreements involving grants typically last 6-10 years, he said, and factor in the tax revenue a project might generate and what service costs it might create.

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Resident Pam Holland comments during a Plano City Council special session to consider...

Redevelopment tools

Agha has found municipalities compete for sports teams to shift economic activity from one area to another, with cities traditionally using sales tax to finance sports development projects.

For example, in 2004, Arlington voters approved a half-cent sales tax increase and other increases to hotel and rental car taxes to help pay for the city’s $325 million contribution to AT&T Stadium, where the Dallas Cowboys play. The Cowboys paid the remaining cost of the $1.2 billion venue, according to the city.

“That’s fallen out of favor … because people don’t like to be taxed,” Agha said. “It usually has to go up to a vote, and it very commonly gets voted down. Because of that, the most popular financing technique, especially for smaller cities, is tax increment financing.”

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This tool captures the growth in a property’s tax revenue created by new development within a defined area. When businesses and property owners invest in improvements in the area and those improvements increase tax revenue, that increase can be used to reimburse project costs or fund additional improvements that spur continued growth in the area.

A view of The Shops at Willow Bend mall sign at W Park Blvd and the North Dallas Tollway in...

A view of The Shops at Willow Bend mall sign at W Park Blvd and the North Dallas Tollway in Plano, Texas, October 28, 2025.

Tom Fox / Staff Photographer

Frisco and its school district have used this economic development tool to fund several projects, such as Toyota Stadium, PGA golf courses, the Ford Center and more.

“It’s popular because it’s relatively hidden, meaning the taxpayers don’t have to know that a city is using property tax and giving it back to a developer,” Agha said. “They don’t have to vote on it, and it can incentivize a developer to build something.”

But when economic development projects happen without voter approval, there may be fewer opportunities for residents to weigh in.

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Plano currently has four such reinvestment zones, which are historically in “blighted or underdeveloped areas,” according to the city’s website. The existing zones are in East Plano, at Silver Line stations, at Collin Creek Mall and in Plano’s Legacy district.

“The intent of these districts is to help encourage areas that are in need of redevelopment and reinvestment,” McDonald said.

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Bond funding on the ballot

Cities can also ask voters to approve issuing bonds to fund projects and borrow money.

“Every once in a while, there are different things that come up in the community that are important enough that the bond committee of citizens puts something on the ballot,” McDonald said.

Some cities have funded large sports projects with bond funding. In 2016, Arlington voters approved $500 million in bonds to partially fund Globe Life Field.

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Tax breaks

Another economic development tool is a break from certain taxes. Cities can offer companies tax abatements, reducing taxes for businesses on improvements to property. These can apply to things like commercial construction or facility expansions.

Tax abatements are an option if a company is adding significant value to a site, McDonald said.

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“We don’t typically use tax rebates or abatements when the building is already there unless there’s going to be a significant or complete demolition and rebuild,” McDonald said.

Agha said for large projects, tax breaks are a drop in the bucket.

“Arenas and stadiums are running close to a billion dollars,” Agha said. “Property tax abatement is probably a very small piece of what the total cost would be.”

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What’s at stake

Economic development projects are meant to add value to the community in the form of high-paying jobs, sales tax, property tax and more. Their incentives often have expiration dates.

“Our hope is that the company stays here and continues to invest in the community,” McDonald said.

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Plano Mayor John B. Muns (left) and city manager Mark Israelson participate in a city...

Suburbs with more land flexibility can add development around the stadium to “sweeten the pot,” Benavides said, and add different streams of income. For example, the Texas Live! entertainment and hotel complex in Arlington near its ballpark received tax and grant incentives.

But new developments can disrupt traffic and the regular patterns of economic activity. They are not always popular. McDonald said city officials listen to concerns and will try to mitigate them.

“There’s potential for gain,” Agha said, if economic activity shifts from Dallas to Plano.

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“The important caveat to that is, will the city enter into some sort of financial agreement where they essentially give back all that new economic activity to the team?” Agha asked. “The devil can be in the details.”

Email tips on all things Collin County to lilly.kersh@dallasnews.com.



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