Dallas, TX
Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-7-2024
We’ve reached the final week of the NFL regular season and there are still some things undecided in the playoff picture. In a NFC East battle coming to you from the nation’s capital, the Dallas Cowboys are on the road with plenty at stake as they take on the Washington Commanders Sunday afternoon. Dallas comes in off a 20-19 home win over Detroit in their previous game last Saturday, failing to cover the line as a 4.5-point favorite. Washington was dropped 27-10 by San Francisco at home in their previous contest, failing to cover the line as a 14-point underdog. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Cowboys own a 77-46-2 advantage, including a 45-10 home win in the most recent matchup on November 23, 2023.
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Dallas Cowboys Trying to Secure NFC East Crown
Dallas managed to survive at home against Detroit last week, in part due to a bungled call on a Lions’ two-point conversion in the final minute that would have given Detroit the lead. The Cowboys improved to 11-5 on the season and find themselves tied with the Eagles for the division lead. A win here, or an Eagles loss to the Giants, would give Dallas the NFC East crown and the #2 seed in the NFC playoffs. Against Detroit, Dallas led 7-3 after the opening quarter and at the half, then found themselves even at 10 at the end of three quarters. The Cowboys rallied to take a 20-13 lead with 1:41 to play only to see the Lions drive down the field for a touchdown with 23 seconds to play. Detroit converted the initial two-point conversion only to be flagged: the Cowboys came up with the stop on the ensuing attempt to secure the victory. Dallas was outgained 420-384 in total offense, lost the first down battle 21-17 and was edged 30:36 to 29:24 in time of possession yet managed to prevail. Each team turned the ball over twice in the game.
This season, the Cowboys are 2nd in the league in passing offense with 262.8 yards per contest. Dallas is 11th in rushing offense with 118.6 yards per game this season. The Cowboys are 3rd in scoring offense as they average 29.4 points a night. Dallas stands 5th in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 19.1 points a contest. Dak Prescott has hit 379 of 554 passes for 4,237 yards with 32 touchdowns and eight interceptions on the year. He has been sacked 39 times for 255 yards in losses while adding 242 yards plus two scores on the ground. Cooper Rush is 15 of 20 for 114 yards and an interception. Tony Pollard leads the team on the ground with 235 carries for 935 yards and five scores. Rico Dowdle (80 carries, 315 yards, two TD), KaVontae Turpin (10 carries, 105 yards, TD) and rookie Deuce Vaughn (23 carries, 40 yards) have all seen some work in the ground game as well. CeeDee Lamb leads the team with 122 receptions for 1,651 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Michael Gallup (34 catches, 418 yards, two TD), Pollard (53 catches, 295 yards, two TD), Brandin Cooks (48 grabs, 618 yards, seven TD), Jalen Tolbert (20 receptions, 260 yards, TD and tight end Jake Ferguson (65 grabs, 692 yards, five TD) are the other players with more than 250 receiving yards this season. Brandon Aubrey is 44 of 47 on extra point attempts and 35 of 35 on field goal attempts with a long of 60 this season.
Dallas had a lengthy injury report when it was first released this week. Tackles Tyler Smith (foot) and Tyron Smith (non-injury related/rest), guard Zack Martin (non-injury related/rest), defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence (non-injury related/rest), safety Malik Hooker (non-injury related/rest) along with cornerbacks Jourdan Lewis (non-injury related/rest) and Juanyeh Thomas (illness) all didn’t practice Wednesday. Defensive end Dorance Armstrong (ankle), defensive tackle Johnathan Hankins (knee/ankle), running back Rico Dowdle (ankle), wide receiver Brandin Cooks (non-injury related/rest) and cornerback Stephon Gilmore (non-injury related/rest) were all limited. Watch for more information as we get closer to kickoff.
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Washington Commanders Hoping to Play Spoiler
Washington gave San Francisco a game for a while but ended up suffering their seventh straight loss last Sunday. The Commanders are in the basement of the NFC East with a 4-12 mark and have been eliminated from playoff contention. Against San Francisco, Washington trailed 10-0 after the opening quarter, rallied to tie the game at 10 and went down 13-10 on a field goal just before halftime. The Commanders wouldn’t score again as they were outscored 14-0 in the second half to take the loss. Washington was outgained 408-225 in total offense, gave up 28 first downs while picking up 12, lost time of possession by a 38:13 to 21:47 margin and committed the game’s only two turnovers in the loss.
The Commanders enter week 18 18th in the league in passing offense with 224.7 yards per game while they are 24th in rushing by averaging 96.4 yards per contest on the ground. Washington is 23rd in the league in scoring offense by putting up 19.9 points per game while they are 32nd in the league in scoring defense by allowing an average of 30 points per game. Sam Howell is 369 of 585 passing for 3,793 yards with 20 touchdowns and 19 interceptions while ranking second on the team with 264 rushing yards and five scores. He has been sacked a staggering 61 times for the season. Jacoby Brissett is 18 of 23 for 224 yards and three scores while adding 19 yards on the ground. Brian Robinson Jr. leads the team with 169 carries for 708 yards and five scores on the ground. Antonio Gibson (63 carries, 257 yards, TD) and Chris Rodriguez Jr. (51 carries, 247 yards, two TD) are the secondary backs in the system. Terry McLaurin leads the team with 73 receptions for 946 yards and four scores this season. Curtis Samuel (60 catches, 598 yards, four TD), Logan Thomas (54 grabs, 487 yards, four TD), Jahan Dotson (47 receptions, 501 yards, four TD), Robinson Jr. (33 grabs, 358 yards, three TD) and Gibson (45 catches, 361 yards, two TD) are each over 300 receiving yards this season. Joey Slye is 31 of 34 on extra point attempts and 18 of 23 on field goal attempts with a long of 61 this year.
Washington has some key names on their early injury report for the week. Defensive tackle Jonathan Allen (knee) along with cornerbacks Tariq Castro-Fields (shoulder), Kendall Fuller (knee) and Christian Holmes (concussion) all did not practice Wednesday. Quarterback Jacoby Brissett (hamstring), tackle Andrew Wylie (elbow), defensive tackle John Ridgeway (foot) along with defensive backs Benjamin St.-Juste (concussion) and Quan Martin (chest) were each limited. Watch for any updates regarding their statuses. One thing is for certain: Howell will start at quarterback after nearly being benched last week prior to Brissett’s injury in practice.
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When you look at this game, you automatically think blowout city. After all, Dallas is 11-5 and can win the NFC East with a win, while Washington is 4-12 and likely will be looking for a new coach next season. The Cowboys rolled over the Commanders in the first meeting this season back on Thanksgiving in blowout fashion. All of those facts are solid and true. The problem with the Cowboys is that this game isn’t in Jerryland but on the road, which hasn’t been kind to Dallas this season. Dallas is just 3-5 on the road this season and go from averaging 37.4 points per game at home to just 21.5 points per game on the road. They have scored 14 fewer touchdowns in the same number of games as the visiting team. Washington is as porous as they come defensively and they may be mentally checked out. Still, seeing Dallas’ road splits, laying nearly two touchdowns is too rich for my blood. Straight up, the call is Dallas all day but with the points, you have to lean toward the Commanders to keep it within the line.
Prediction: Washington Commanders +13.5
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Dallas enters this game having gone over the team in eight of their 16 games on the season. The Cowboys have stayed under the number in five of their eight road games in relation to the total on the road this year though the 49ers did most of the heavy lifting in one of the overs while the Cardinals won by double figures in a second over. They come into this game with four straight unders overall. Washington has seen the over hit in nine of their 16 games this season. The Commanders have gone over the total in four of their seven home games this season: their loss to San Francisco snapped a run of four straight overs at FedEx Field. Given Dallas’ inability to put up big numbers on the road, this game likely ends up falling short of the total.
Prediction: Under 46.5
Dallas, TX
Akheem Mesidor selected by Cowboys by Blogging The Boys in SB Nation’s community mock draft
Akheem Mesidor, Edge, Miami
Pass rush has been an issue since the Micah Parsons trade. The Rashan Gary trade helped, but Dallas still needs an injection of talent. Akheem Mesidor fits here because his body size allows for some versatility inside and out, something DC Christian Parker utilizes. Mesidor is also a high-motor player with a deep bag of pass rush moves.
His last season at Miami was full of disruption in the offensive backfield and he shows an all-around game, not just a bend-around-the-edge pass rusher. Yes, he’s a little older than you’d like in a rookie (25), but his motor, pass rush toolbox, and ability to play the run matches up with a need and makes him a quality pick at number 20.
Dallas, TX
Dallas Hosting Public Safety Response Symposium
The City of Dallas Office of Community Police Oversight is hosting a Public Safety Response Symposium to connect residents with public safety leaders. Here’s how to participate on May 9.
The Dallas Police Department posted to social media about the event on Friday afternoon. The post states, “Join public safety leaders for an inside look at how emergency and non-emergency calls are handled and how resources are deployed across Dallas.”
The symposium will be held at the Briscoe Carpenter Livestock Center, 1403 Washington St., fro 11 a.m.-noon on May 9. Doors open at 9:30 a.m. Light breakfast and refreshments will be provided.
Topics for the symposium include:
- How 911 calls are handled and dispatched
- How DPD uses specialized units and technology to improve response times
- When to use 311 for non-emergency services
- How crisis and behavioral health teams collaborate through alternative response strategies
There will also be a community Q&A forum where residents can engage directly with public safety leaders. Moderation will be provided.
Dallas Police Chief Daniel C. Comeaux will offer the opening remarks. Featured speakers include 911 Communications Center Assistant Director Robert Uribe; Major of Police Anthony Greer; 311 Senior Outreach Specialist Stephen Walker; and Emergency Management & Crisis Response Director Kevin Oden.
When it comes to parking: Enter through Gate 2 and drive straight to the Pan Am Gate, and continue to the Briscoe Center (located on the left).
RSVP for the Public Safety Response Symposium here.
Dallas, TX
The Dallas Stars’ Secret Weapon Is a Canadian Hockey Genius
On an evening in early March, Dallas Stars general manager Jim Nill stepped up to a podium for a news conference. The National Hockey League’s trade deadline had passed hours earlier, and here, at the American Airlines Center, was his chance to publicly reflect on the strategy he had followed. Wearing a green tie beneath a black overcoat, he lowered his mustache toward the mike and said: “I’ve been a bad GM here the last three years.”
The assorted media members gave him quizzical looks. Maybe they were surprised by Nill’s willingness to hold himself accountable. More likely, they were surprised because he was wrong.
Thirteen years into his tenure with the Stars (his contract was recently extended through 2028), the team is heading to the playoffs, which start tomorrow, with a 50–20–12 record and good odds to win the Stanley Cup. In the seasons that ended in 2023, 2024, and 2025—the period in which Nill apparently claimed he was a “bad GM”—he won the NHL’s Jim Gregory General Manager of the Year Award, the first “three-peat” in the award’s sixteen-year history. One of his captains, Jamie Benn, calls him “an incredible human being”; veteran forward Matt Duchene says he’d “run through a wall” for Nill.
Nill has a reputation for being right. Last season, for example, he splurged on an eight-year, $96 million contract for elite forward Mikko Rantanen. This season he made no big-news moves. Last season he fired the Stars’ highly regarded head coach, Pete DeBoer. This season he brought back Glen Gulutzan, a coach he’d fired more than a decade ago. These choices have so far all panned out—in both years, the Stars have been championship contenders—which we can’t chalk up to luck. Nill has been a winner for far too long.
Nill’s journey to Dallas started almost seven decades ago, in a small town in Canada. Born in 1958, he was raised in Hanna, a prairie town in Alberta (population around 2,600). Nill says he had a “great family life, out in the countryside, on the farm.” He grew up a Boston Bruins fan; Bobby Orr was his idol. Nill says he remembers sitting among fellow teenage students while listening with rapt attention to a radio broadcast of the 1972 Summit Series hockey tournament, in which Canada beat the Soviet Union and its star goalie, Vladislav Tretiak.
Nill was a talented hockey player, and he took the typical route for a promising Canadian prospect: junior league, followed by Canadian major junior hockey (similar in level to NCAA Division I) as a member of Alberta’s Medicine Hat Tigers. In his third and final season with that team, he put up 47 goals and served as team captain, after which he was picked in the NHL amateur draft by the St. Louis Blues. But he deferred his professional debut to play for the Canadian national team at the 1980 Olympics. There, in Lake Placid, New York, he went from a relative unknown to a national hero after scoring a goal against the Soviet Union, getting a shot past none other than Tretiak.
Nill joined the Blues in 1982—in St. Louis he met a woman named Bekki, and by 1984 the two were married—but months after his debut, the team traded him to the Vancouver Canucks. There, in Canada, he befriended an Ontarian defenseman named Joe McDonnell. That year the Canucks went from a losing record during the season to their first Stanley Cup Final, thanks in part to a double-overtime goal from Nill in the semifinals. (They lost to the New York Islanders.)
But Nill didn’t really distinguish himself in the sport until he stopped playing it. He spent two seasons with the Canucks, a season with the Bruins, three with the Winnipeg Jets, and two with the Detroit Red Wings before his on-ice career wound down. By 1991, he’d gotten a job as a scout with the NHL’s new expansion team, the Ottawa Senators.
Nill quickly made a difference in Ottawa, expanding the Senators’ scouting operations into Europe to hunt for overlooked players skating around obscure foreign rinks. His knack for turning mediocre franchises into champions made itself known after he returned to the Red Wings in 1994 as head scout. (He was joined in the scouting department by McDonnell, who’d ended his NHL career in 1986.) At the time, the Red Wings hadn’t won a Stanley Cup since 1955. Aided by talent acquired under Nill’s aegis—undervalued players like Kirk Maltby, Tomas Holmström, and Pavel Datsyuk, plus big-time stars like Dominik Hašek and Henrik Zetterberg—they won championships in 1997, 1998, 2002, and 2008. “A lot of the success we had in Detroit, I attribute to Jimmy Nill,” says then–Red Wings GM Ken Holland.
The themes that came to define Nill’s past few decades took shape during those Detroit years. One was winning; another was illness. In 1999, after the Red Wings’ second championship, Bekki was diagnosed with breast cancer, which she eventually beat through chemotherapy and surgery. Then, in 2010, she got sick again; her daily diet was often reduced to a handful of blueberries. She was eventually diagnosed with incurable stage IV cancer, which had spread to her liver, ribs, and other bones. She was given only a few months to live. McDonnell and his wife, Dawn, continued making their regular two-and-a-half-hour drives from Ontario to Michigan for dinners at the Nill household. Bekki says she was “preparing to . . .” She trails off. “End. I really was ready to go at that point. You never really want to leave, but I couldn’t have lived with the pain.”
But chemotherapy alleviated her symptoms beyond anyone’s expectations. She remembers a personal triumph: gaining the strength to walk ten houses down the street. Her mentality shifted, from accepting death to thinking, “I’m going to fight until it’s my last breath.” Today, fifteen years after she received that terminal diagnosis, she attends Stars games and dotes on the grandchildren she never thought she’d meet.
After Nill’s nineteenth season in the Red Wings’ front office—Detroit qualified for the playoffs in all of them—the Stars began their search for a new GM. The team’s president and CEO at the time, Jim Lites, says he conducted only one interview. Nill received the offer, and Bekki, who had been praying for Jim and his career at her weekly church service, encouraged him to accept. (“She was even more excited than me,” he says.)
With McDonnell as his scouting aide-de-camp, Nill sought to rescue the Dallas Stars from recent financial collapse—in 2009, Stars owner Tom Hicks’s private equity firm, Hicks Sports Group, defaulted on roughly $525 million in loans—by sticking to their strategy: building the roster through underrated players who had potential. And, as in Detroit, it worked. In 2015, Nill and McDonnell grabbed Finnish forward Roope Hintz, who became a three-time 30-goal scorer. In the 2017 draft, McDonnell convinced Nill to trade up in order to take a risk on goaltender Jake Oettinger late in the first round, shortly after taking Finnish defenseman Miro Heiskanen. Both became All-Stars. Other NHL teams shied away from forward Jason Robertson (over concerns about his skating) that year, but McDonnell saw past his supposed faults and suggested Nill sign him; in 2021, McDonnell similarly recommended that Nill draft Wyatt Johnston, whom few other scouts had seen play in person. This season, Dallas was one of only two NHL teams with two 40-goal scorers: Robertson and Johnston.
Coach Gulutzan says Nill puts “an emphasis on character” when signing players; Robertson says he implores his team to “buy into a certain philosophy,” which seems to have something to do with taking the obligations that management and the players have to each other seriously. Last season, Stars player Duchene was worried that he’d be released to clear cap space for Rantanen’s contract. A father of three in his mid-thirties, he feared he’d have to uproot his life and end his career with another team. But moments after Dallas’s anticlimactic playoff exit, Nill assured Duchene’s wife, Ashley, that the team would figure out a way to keep her husband on the roster. Days later, Nill signed Duchene for another four years. “That’s the kind of stuff he does,” Duchene says. “He understands there’s a player on and off the ice.”
The same philosophy came into play last season when Nill fired DeBoer after the coach publicly criticized Oettinger following that playoff loss—Nill had no patience for a public blame game. Fans and analysts thought it bizarre that Nill then replaced DeBoer with Gulutzan, whom he’d canned twelve years earlier. But Nill, in character, seemed to justify the move on the grounds of personal growth. “He’s taken the right path,” Nill said. “I thought he was ready for it.” Apparently he was. Gulutzan coached Dallas to the third-most wins in the NHL this season, and a championship—the Stars’ second ever, if it happens—is in sight. (The team’s opening playoff series is against the Minnesota Wild.)
Nill says he wants his name etched on another trophy, but whether or not he gets it, he’s navigated his life into a kind of triumphant equilibrium. His decades-long partnership with McDonnell is atypical in the cutthroat world of professional sports, and Bekki continues to defy what she was told was a death sentence. She takes oral treatments twice daily and reports for an hours-long chemotherapy infusion every 21 days; Jim typically sits by her side for the duration. And when Dallas hosts its first playoff game this weekend, before Bekki takes her seat, she’ll keep up a tradition: handing out little plastic bags of home-baked mini muffins to arena staffers and their families. Often, they’re blueberry.
Nill attributes the responsibility for his track record in hockey to “the great people I’ve had around me, and my family.” Perhaps that’s the only insight into his mind we’ll get. It appears to be the truth.
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