Austin, TX
Austin housing market given ominous warning
The vertiginous fall of home prices in Austin, Texas, seems to have no end in sight, according to experts who believe that steep declines are likely to continue in the coming months.
A recent analysis by real estate intelligence platform Parcl Labs estimates that the Texas capital will see the biggest downturn in home prices in the country over the next year—even as the cost of buying a home in the city has already fallen drastically from its COVID-19 pandemic peak.
Austin’s housing market, according to Parcl Labs, is currently in “bear territory”—which means, essentially, that property values have been dropping for a consistent period of time—with home prices now over 20 percent down from their peak.
Despite this dip, researchers at the company said, “we still expect home prices to decline 16.5 percent from current levels over the next 12 months. This is the largest expected decline in our coverage universe of 40 real estate markets nationally.”
Behind Austin’s Housing Market Downfall
According to Redfin, the median sale price of a home in May—the latest month for which reliable monthly figures are available—was $557,500, down 5 percent from a year earlier. At their peak in May 2022, home sale prices in the city had reached a median of $667,000—which means that buying property in Austin was over $200,000 more expensive than it had been before the pandemic, when it was around $400,000.
In the same month, home sales in the city were down by 12.1 percent year-over-year, at 861, and those homes that went under contract spent an average of 48 days on the market, six more than in May 2024. Active listings in the Austin-Round Rock metropolitan area totaled 12,525, up from 9,902 a year earlier. Inventory was actually higher than pre-pandemic level and the highest going as far as 2016, according to data from Realtor.com.
“It’s important to understand why these adjustments are happening and what they represent for the health of the market,” Emily Girard, chief executive officer (CEO) of Unlock MLS and the Austin Board of REALTORS (ABOR), told Newsweek. “What we’re seeing in Austin is a necessary and overdue normalization after an unprecedented period of price acceleration during the pandemic. It is a return to sustainability.”
Home prices skyrocketed during the pandemic homebuying frenzy unleashed by historically low mortgage rates.
“In 2021 during the pandemic, more homes were sold in the Austin-Round Rock MSA than ever before, and sales dollar volume yielded more than a $23 billion impact on the Austin-area economy,” Girard said. “The pandemic led to increased demand as buyers in the market had more disposable income and reevaluated their needs in a living space after spending months at home.”
She added: “That, combined with record-low interest rates at the time and an Austin economy that continued to make major company relocation announcements regularly, led to more homes being sold and prices increasing to an unsustainable level.”
The price declines that the city has been experiencing for the past couple of years represent “healthy adjustments,” Girard said as the market “normalizes.”
And prices, as experts say, are continuing to fall.
According to Redfin data, Austin was one of the metros reporting the biggest year-over-year declines in median sale prices, at -4.2 percent, in the four weeks ending July 6.
Buyers on Top
The Austin housing market downturn does not mean that the city has now become undesirable for buyers—quite the opposite.
“For buyers, this is one of the most favorable environments we’ve seen in years,” Girard said. “Buyers have time to shop, compare and negotiate—luxuries that weren’t available during the pandemic boom. They’re in the market with more intention and more options, especially with increased affordability for first-time and moderate-income homebuyers.”
Sellers might have a harder time accepting that they no longer have the upper hand, and they may be forced to compromise on prices—especially as price declines are expected to continue.
“Prices will continue to drop this year. That’s because the last half of the year we always have more inventory. And if you ever look at the seasonal bell curve in Austin’s selling season, prices always come down in the last half of the year,” Austin-based realtor Jeremy Knight told Newsweek. “Yet, there are a lot of buyers on the sidelines. If we do see rates come down in the last half of the year, you’ll see more closed numbers and buyers frantic in the market.”
Unfortunately, a majority of experts expect mortgage rates to continue hovering between the 6 and 7 percent marks through this year and 2026.
Austin, TX
Storms dump small hail throughout Austin area Saturday
AUSTIN (KXAN) — Small hail peppered the Austin area as strong thunderstorms moved through Saturday.
A few of the storms dropped rain and up to pea-sized hail in San Marcos, Dripping Springs and the Austin metro area.
A Severe Thunderstorm Warning was issued for Williamson County around 8:15 p.m., and then canceled shortly after. However, it was enough for the Two Step Inn music festival in Georgetown to cancel shows for the rest of the evening. Event organizers say the festival will run as planned Sunday.
KXAN’s First Warning Weather team is monitoring the storms. We will update this post as the evening continues.
Austin, TX
Abbott unveils monument dedicated to Texas Revolutionary War soldiers
AUSTIN (KXAN) — Governor Greg Abbott and the Texas Society Sons of the American Revolution unveiled a new monument at the Texas State Cemetery on Saturday, dedicated to Texas Revolutionary War soldiers.
“We must educate every generation about why it is that America grew from a tenuous 13 colonies into the most powerful country in the history of the world,” said Governor Abbott. “This monument here is an enduring testament to the heroes who fought for the freedom that is unique to America.”
The monument was dedicated to 69 soldiers who fought in the American Revolutionary War and later settled in Texas, according to a press release.
Among those that were honored, Abbott recognized:
- José Santiago Seguín, grandfather of Texas Revolutionary hero Juan Seguín.
- Peter Sides, who fought in the 2nd Battalion of the North Carolina Regiment of the Colonial Army, and was later killed in the 1813 Battle of Medina, fighting for Mexican independence against Spain.
- Antonio Gil Y’Barbo, the founder of Nacogdoches.
- William Sparks, who fought as a mounted rifleman in the American Revolution and later settled in Texas. He had two sons and two grandsons who fought in the Texas Revolution.
“This year marks the 250th anniversary of the American Revolution, which not only gave freedom to the British colonies of North America, but inspired movements for freedom and liberty all over the world,” said TSSAR President Mel Oller. “Texans played a role in the war too, and it’s important to recognize them, and the sacrifices they made for our freedom.”
At the monument unveiling, Abbott was also inducted into the Sons of the American Revolution and received its Silver Good Citizenship Medal.
Austin, TX
Trinket trade boxes on the rise across Austin
AUSTIN, Texas — Inside a green wooden box mounted to a steel fence, a treasure trove of trinkets awaits. Just a few miles north is another goodie box, this time covered in leopard print and inside a craft studio. Farther east, a simple white trinket box sits mounted on a wooden pole, decorated with stars and a crow saying, “Thanks for visiting!”
These boxes, filled to the brim with stickers, keychains, jewelry, collectibles and more, are known as trinket trade boxes. Austin has seen a sudden surge in these boxes over the last few months, and despite their varying locations, one sentiment ties them all together: trinket trading is a fun way to bring a bit of joy to the community.
“Little things that bring people joy is so important right now, which I think a lot of us can agree with, and I’ve seen all sorts of people use the box so far,” said Anna Arocha, whose trinket box is in The Triangle neighborhood downtown. “Little kids and all the way up to people in their 50s and 60s, I’ve seen stop by.”
Trinket trading operates on a simple system of take something, leave something. People can swap a toy car for a lanyard, a bracelet for a Sonny Angel, or a Pokémon card for a rubber duck.
“There was somebody who was just walking by with their kid in the stroller, and there was a finger puppet inside of the box, and I saw her swap something out and walk away with the little finger puppet,” Arocha said. “And it was just such a cute moment to see a mom and a kid enjoy something like that.”
Arocha put her crafting skills to work and made her green wooden box in just one day using craft wood and a wine crate last month. Amy Elms opted for a small, white junction box to ensure it could withstand harsh Texas weather. Ani’s Day & Night on East Riverside, which has a large outdoor space for picnic tables and food trucks, gave Elms permission to place her trinket box on their property in January.
Ally Chavez used her own property, Create! Studio ATX on West Anderson Lane, for her leopard-print box that opened in March.
“There wasn’t a ton up here in the north area, so we just kind of wanted to put it together and put it up for the studio just as a way to connect with the community in a way that no one has to spend money,” Chavez said.
Since their debuts, all three trinket boxes have garnered thousands of interactions on social media. When Arocha posted about the opening of her box in March, she racked up 100,000 views on TikTok. But with the excited comments came a bit of negative attention, and her cameras caught a thief trying to take all the trinkets. Arocha now locks the box at night.
“If somebody wants to do that, so be it,” Arocha said. “We can start over, and if the joy that it brings outweighs that every time, I think it’s worth doing.”
Arocha, Elms and Chavez’s boxes are now registered on a website called Worldwide Sidewalk Joy, alongside all the others in Austin and across the globe, as trinket trading grows to become a kind of new, modern geocaching.
“Honestly, it’s been I think even better than I expected so far,” Elms said. “I’ve had people… visiting Austin from out of town, and they’re making it a stop during their visit. I’ve also had multiple people reach out to me to ask how they can start their own trinket trade box, too, which I really love.”
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