Atlanta, GA
Why Arthur Smith is out in Atlanta, and who might be next
ATLANTA — In August, Atlanta Falcons owner Arthur Blank said he would be disappointed if his team was not more competitive in 2023 and didn’t show improvement. What Blank watched throughout the season was far too much of the same.
So Blank decided to make a change, firing coach Arthur Smith after three seasons late Sunday night after a 48-17 loss to the New Orleans Saints with a playoff berth on the line.
It was a somewhat quick turn for the typically patient Blank, who gave Jim Mora Jr. three seasons, Mike Smith seven years and Dan Quinn five-plus years. The difference is those three coaches all made the playoffs in their first or second year as head coach.
While Arthur Smith’s situation was different from his three predecessors when he took over because of salary cap constraints, he also never finished a season with a winning record or made the postseason. So Atlanta now embarks on a coaching search.
Why fire Smith?
The one thing the Falcons were during Smith’s tenure was inconsistent. Atlanta never won more than two games in a row under Smith, and both of his last two seasons had at least a three-game losing streak.
After the Falcons snapped a three-game losing streak in December by beating the New Orleans Saints, Smith was asked how to keep the energy up. In some ways, he summed up his tenure in the process.
“Consistency, right,” Smith said. “That’s the biggest challenge week to week. For us to take the next step, we have to do that. Be consistent and playing with the same focus and energy going into the last week.”
And much of it comes to quarterback play. Smith had four starting quarterbacks in his three seasons: Matt Ryan in 2021, Marcus Mariota and Desmond Ridder in 2022 and then Ridder and Taylor Heinicke this season. It’s perhaps the decision to go with Ridder — and then Ridder’s propensity for turnovers and critical mistakes — that ultimately did Smith in.
Smith and general manager Terry Fontenot were hired in an unenviable cap situation and spent two offseasons cleaning it up. This season was the first in which Smith had a roster mostly of players he and Fontenot sought. Improvement didn’t show in the record or at quarterback.
Smith’s playcalling and decision-making also was suspect at times. Against the Carolina Panthers in Week 15, he went with a game plan that was far too conservative against a one-win Panthers team. It was a decision that played a part in Atlanta’s 9-7 loss to the Panthers and put their playoff hopes in peril.
Atlanta had one of the NFL’s easiest schedules and could not take advantage of it. The Falcons lost to the Panthers, Arizona Cardinals, Washington Commanders and Tennessee Titans — all teams that finished in the bottom 10.
“When you go about there, there’s been instances in games where we’ve looked obviously good,” offensive coordinator Dave Ragone said. “And there’s been times where we’ve had issues.”
On offense, eliminating turnovers and improving third-down conversion rates were areas Ragone pointed to as being inconsistent; the Falcons were tied for 24th with 28 turnovers and 13th with a 40% success rate on third down.
What is the pulse of the locker room?
Falcons players appeared to genuinely enjoy playing for Smith and backed him often when questions about his job popped up late in the season. There was a consensus they appreciated how he handled them as players and how he handled accountability as well.
“I believe in what he stands for and what we’re trying to do here,” left tackle Jake Matthews said on Dec. 17. “And I’m absolutely bought in.”
After the blowout loss to the Saints in the season finale, they still backed their coach. Multiple players expressed how the issues weren’t with the coaching staff and how they hoped the staff would return in 2024.
The concept of shared accountability — which Smith preached often to his team and publicly — carried a lot of weight with players. The locker room stayed together until the final days. Smith even joined players in a brief shootaround on a basketball hoop in the locker room after the final day of practice.
“Coach Smith is the best coach I’ve ever had,” right guard Chris Lindstrom told ESPN on Sunday. “I absolutely f—ing love him, and I think this group and this team does as well.”
While money also helps lure free agents, Atlanta was able to get coveted players, such as safety Jessie Bates III and defensive lineman Calais Campbell, this offseason in part because they believed in what Smith was trying to build.
So why didn’t it work?
It starts with the quarterback.
Ridder became the starter in 2023 after a four-game stint at the end of the 2022 season. He showed flashes of potential marred by fumbling issues and untimely interceptions, eventually leading to a flip-flopping between Ridder and Heinicke, who had starting experience in Washington.
While quarterback was the main issue — along with defensive problems in Smith’s first two seasons that were largely remedied by the hiring of defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen and an upgrade in personnel last offseason — there were other factors on offense.
For every well-designed and innovative play Smith schemed up, for example, there was a decision to run in a third-and-long situation or to give the ball to someone other than one of his stars in critical situations.
But Smith’s failed tenure comes down to the issues at quarterback.
What’s next at quarterback?
The new coach will dictate that, but it seems clear Ridder and Heinicke are not the answers.
While Ridder showed flashes of success, he turned the ball over far too often to be an effective starter, including in the season finale when he was reinserted as the starter after an ankle injury to Heinicke and had two second-half turnovers — an interception and a lost fumble. His decision-making, at times, was head-scratching. Ridder threw an interception in the end zone against Washington, a fumble crossing the goal line against Tampa Bay and a red zone interception against Carolina; two of those three games ended in losses.
Ridder finished the season completing 64.2% of his passes for 2,836 yards, 12 touchdowns, 12 interceptions and 12 fumbles. Heinicke had a 54.4% completion rate for 890 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions.
A question for the new coach will be whether Ridder and/or Heinicke should remain with the team as a backup. Heinicke has one more season on his deal and a $9 million cap hit for 2024. Ridder has two years left on his rookie contract. But it would be difficult to see any coach sticking with Ridder as the starter.
Whether Atlanta pursues a veteran starter or takes a rookie in the upcoming draft might depend on the next head coach and offensive coordinator. A rookie might require trading up in the draft, but the Falcons have cap room to spend. The issue might be who is available. Kirk Cousins, Baker Mayfield and Ryan Tannehill are the top quarterbacks slated to be free agents.
Who might Atlanta target as its next coach?
Teams often go opposite of what they had before, so a candidate with prior head-coaching experience might be what Blank and Fontenot look at. But this might not be the most attractive year for that, especially because former Detroit Lions and Indianapolis Colts head coach Jim Caldwell said last year that he’s done pursuing head-coaching openings (he could have been a sensible choice).
Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh would be an obvious call, as he has won everywhere he has coached in college and the NFL. While Bill Belichick is 71 years old and has losing seasons in three of his past four years, he remains one of the best coaches of all time and would be worth calling if he and the New England Patriots part ways.
Detroit offensive coordinator Ben Johnson could make a lot of sense with how Atlanta’s offensive playmakers are similar to the Lions’ at No. 1 receiver (Detroit’s Amon-Ra St. Brown vs. Atlanta’s Drake London), No. 1 tight end (Sam LaPorta vs. Kyle Pitts) and running back (David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs vs. Tyler Allgeier and Bijan Robinson).
If the Las Vegas Raiders choose to not keep interim head coach Antonio Pierce, he would be someone worth interviewing and giving a long look to because of his performance this season.
No matter whom Atlanta targets, its head-coaching position should be an attractive job because of the team’s offensive talent, reasonable cap space and young playmakers on defense. Plus, the new coach won’t be tied to any incumbent quarterbacks.
Atlanta, GA
Play Fair ATL kicks off ‘The People’s Cup’ in Candler Park
Atlanta, GA
New York hosts Atlanta with 1-0 series lead
Atlanta Hawks (46-36, sixth in the Eastern Conference) vs. New York Knicks (53-29, third in the Eastern Conference)
New York; Monday, 8 p.m. EDT
LINE: Knicks -5.5; over/under is 216.5
EASTERN CONFERENCE FIRST ROUND: Knicks lead series 1-0
BOTTOM LINE: The New York Knicks host the Atlanta Hawks in the Eastern Conference first round with a 1-0 lead in the series. The Knicks won the last matchup 113-102 on Saturday, led by 28 points from Jalen Brunson. CJ McCollum led the Hawks with 26.
The Knicks are 35-17 in Eastern Conference games. New York has a 9-4 record in one-possession games.
The Hawks are 27-25 in Eastern Conference play. Atlanta is third in the league scoring 18.1 fast break points per game. McCollum leads the Hawks averaging 5.0.
The Knicks are shooting 47.8% from the field this season, 0.4 percentage points higher than the 47.4% the Hawks allow to opponents. The Hawks are shooting 47.4% from the field, 1.4% higher than the 46.0% the Knicks’ opponents have shot this season.
TOP PERFORMERS: Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 20.1 points and 11.9 rebounds for the Knicks. Brunson is averaging 19.9 points over the last 10 games.
Dyson Daniels is scoring 11.9 points per game and averaging 6.8 rebounds for the Hawks. Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 21.3 points and 2.9 rebounds over the last 10 games.
LAST 10 GAMES: Knicks: 6-4, averaging 110.4 points, 40.7 rebounds, 26.2 assists, 8.4 steals and 3.3 blocks per game while shooting 49.4% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 106.9 points per game.
Hawks: 5-5, averaging 117.2 points, 43.5 rebounds, 27.7 assists, 8.4 steals and 4.7 blocks per game while shooting 47.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 112.0 points.
INJURIES: Knicks: Tyler Kolek: day to day (oblique), Mitchell Robinson: day to day (ankle), Karl-Anthony Towns: day to day (elbow).
Hawks: Jock Landale: out (ankle).
___
The Associated Press created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
Atlanta, GA
Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks prediction, pick for Game 1 of 2026 NBA Playoffs first round
Sean Barnard details his preview and prediction for Saturday’s Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks matchup in the NBA Playoffs.
The NBA playoffs are officially underway with a loaded opening round. Taking place in the No. 3 vs. No. 6 matchup in the Eastern Conference, the Atlanta Hawks will take on the New York Knicks.
You can check out the full series preview on DraftKings Network here.
Looking at the odds for the series opener, the Knicks enter as 6.5-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Hawks are +205 underdogs with the game total set at O/U 218.5 points.
This article will look at a preview and prediction for the Eastern Conference series opener.
Hawks vs. Knicks prediction, preview
The Atlanta Hawks went through a midseason transition, moving on from Trae Young after he headlined the production for the franchise for the past eight years. The Hawks have not missed a beat amid the major midseason shakeup, finishing as the sixth seed in the conference with a 46-36 overall record. On the season, Atlanta has gone 44-38 against the spread, and the game total has gone 41-41 to the over/under.
Jock Landale is the only player set to miss the matchup tonight. Jalen Johnson headlines the production, posting averages of 22.5 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 7.9 assists per game. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has had a breakout season in a new location, adding 20.8 points, 3.7 assists, and 3.4 rebounds per game. CJ McCollum adds 18.7 points and 4.1 assists across his first 41 games with the organization, while Dyson Daniels, Onyeka Okongwu, Jonathan Kuminga, and Zaccharie Risacher also play notable roles.
Quin Snyder’s group scores 118.5 points per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Hawks also rank 14th in offensive rating, 13th in field goal percentage, and fifth in three-point percentage. Defensively, opponents are scoring 116.0 points per game against Atlanta, which ranks 18th in the league. They also rank ninth in defensive rating, 18th in opponent field goal percentage, and 12th in opponent three-point percentage.
The New York Knicks entered the season with legitimate title aspirations. They have had some notable ups and downs, but now face this opportunity. New York finished the regular season with a 53-29 record and sit in third place in the East. The Knicks have gone 44-39 against the spread, and the game total has gone 38-45 to the over/under.
The Knicks enter this matchup with a clear injury report and a large sample size of the team playing together. Jalen Brunson headlines the production with 26.0 points, 6.8 assists, and 3.3 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns pitches in 20.1 points, 11.9 rebounds, and 3.0 assists of his own. OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges are responsible for the production at the wing positions, while Josh Hart sets the tone for this team from a hustle standpoint. New York also did an impressive job building out the bench unit this season, with players like Jordan Clarkson, Mitchell Robinson, Landry Shamet, and Tyler Kolek capable of serving as X-factors off the bench.
As a team, the Knicks are scoring 116.5 points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. New York also ranks third in offense rating, 11th in field goal percentage, and fourth in three-point percentage. Defensively, opponents are scoring 110.1 points per game against the Knicks, which ranks fifth in the league. They also rank seventh in defensive rating, fifth in opponent field goal percentage, and 20th in opponent three-point percentage.
Hawks vs. Knicks pick, best bet
These are two teams at different stages of their timeline, but neither will be afraid of this playoff spotlight. The Knicks pushed their chips in around this core and are hoping to be rewarded for it. They fell to the Indiana Pacers in the Conference Finals last year and have made the postseason in four consecutive seasons. Atlanta missed out on the playoffs in back-to-back years and turned a new page direction with Jalen Johnson now leading the charge. Without Trae Young, the Hawks now lean on more of a defensive-minded identity and have a roster loaded with athleticism.
During the regular season, these teams faced off three times. They split the first two matchups, which took place on December 27th and January 2nd. New York picked up a narrow 108-105 victory in the most recent game, which took place on April 6th. Both sides were aware that this was a potential postseason matchup, and this game had some major seeding implications. It was an evenly matched game in which neither team was able to extend a lead beyond 10 points, and the rebounding battle was separated by just one board. The biggest discrepancy came with the Knicks shooting 50% compared to the Hawks shooting 40%, and New York outscoring Atlanta 52-34 in the paint.
While there are higher expectations for this Knicks team in the postseason outlook, the Hawks stack up fairly well in this matchup. Jalen Brunson will be at the heart of the offensive attack for New York. But his biggest weakness is when he is guarded by high-level athletes with a size advantage over him. The Hawks have built out a roster loaded with this archetype of player, and there is not a clear matchup for Brunson to hunt in most lineup combinations.
Brunson has enough experience and savvy to will settle in over the course of the series. But expect some growing pains in the early parts of this matchup, and for this to be a huge hurdle for this Knicks team. I am backing the Hawks to cover the 5.5-point spread and would not be shocked if they steal the opening game. This is a series in which neither side should be expected to pull away by major margins throughout. Count on Atlanta to have defense success and have a clear gameplan for limiting the impact of Brunson. Expect this matchup to come down to the wire and take the points in the series opener.
Best Bet: Hawks +6.5 (-112)
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