The Atlanta Braves (52-41) visit the San Diego Padres (49-48) Saturday night. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 3-2.
The Braves snapped a 2-game losing streak Friday with a 6-1 win over the Padres while covering as +104 road underdogs. DH Marcell Ozuna led the way on offense with 2 RBIs courtesy of 2 solo home runs while RHP Spencer Schwellenbach allowed 1 ER in 7 innings to pick up the win.
San Diego has lost 5 games in a row after Friday’s loss while failing to cover as a -113 home favorite. 3B Manny Machado had the Padres only RBI while RHP Matt Waldron allowed 4 ER in 7 innings to pick up the loss.
Braves at Padres projected starters
RHP Reynaldo Lopez vs. RHP Dylan Cease
Lopez (7-2, 1.71 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 89 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 6-0 win against Philadelphia Phillies Sunday.
- Career vs. Padres: 0-0. 2.45 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 2 games, 1 start.
Cease (7-8, 4.21 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 109 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 9-1 loss against Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday.
- Career vs. Braves: 1-0, 6 ERA (9 IP, 6 ER), 12 H, 6 BB, 11 K in 2 starts — last outing in May of 2024.
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Braves at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Padres -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-200) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Braves at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Padres 3
Moneyline
BET BRAVES (+110).
Atlanta has won 5 of its last 7 games. It has scored 5 or more runs in 7 of its last 8 while allowing 4 or fewer runs in 8 of its last 10. The Padres are just 3-7 in their last 10 including 0-5 in their last 5 overall which have all been at home. Their offense has struggled, scoring 3 or fewer runs in each of their last 4 games while they have allowed 6 or more runs in 5 of their last 6.
Run line/Against the spread
There is no value on the run line in this matchup.
PASS.
Over/Under
BET OVER 7 (-120).
Atlanta has scored 5 or more runs in 7 of its last 8 games while San Diego has allowed 4 or more runs in 8 of its last 10. Both teams have a better-than-average ability to generate offense, and with a lower line, the Over is the best bet in this matchup.
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