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2024 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview

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2024 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview


2023 Stats (Rank)

Points per game: 18.9 (26th)
Total yards per game: 334.3 (17th)
Plays per game: 64.2 (13th)
Pass Attempts + Sacks per game: 33.5 (26th)
Dropback EPA per play: -0.03 (22nd)
Rush attempts per game: 30.7 (3rd)
Rush EPA per play: -0.17 (28th)

Coaching Staff

It’s difficult to demonstrate the magnitude of Arthur Smith’s self-owns as Falcons head coach, though fantasy managers know there’s no better avatar than his (mis)use of Bijan Robinson. This was a run-heavy, slobberknocker coach who … didn’t feature his first-round running back. No more. Smith is gone and Sean McVay acolyte Zac Robinson is in. McVay’s disciples haven’t been a monolithic force as head coaches, but they have tended to feature balanced approaches on offense. “Balance” would be a mammoth upgrade for a team whose pass rate over expected was a gobsmacking -9 percent last season, far and away the lowest in the league. “Balance” also isn’t exactly what comes to mind when you hear Kirk Cousins. If you believe attempts are a quarterback stat, you know the Falcons’ passing volume won’t just be increasing “after Art,” it will be skyrocketing.

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Passing Game

QB: Kirk Cousins, Michael Penix
WR: Drake London, KhaDarel Hodge
WR: Darnell Mooney, Casey Washington
WR: Rondale Moore, Ray-Ray McCloud
TE: Kyle Pitts, Charlie Woerner, Ross Dwelley

661. That’s how many passes Cousins was on pace for last season even if you include his achilles-tearing Week 8, where he had thrown “just” 31 balls. (League leader Sam Howell had 612). This, after Cousins finished fourth in attempts in 2022. There is reason to believe he won’t be quite as prolific in 2024. Again, there’s that balance typically preferred by McVay’s deputies. This is also a supporting cast that isn’t nearly as fantasy readymade as the winter hype would lead you to believe. The receiver corps would be laughably thin without Darnell Mooney, for instance. Last but not least is the buried lede of Cousins turning 36 in August as he returns from his aforementioned torn achilles.

But. But … he’s going to throw, y’all. A lot. There’s just no way around it with Cousins, whose career low for attempts per game is 30. His second lowest mark for a full season is 32. Third, 34. He’s averaged 37 since 2021. Slinging it around the yard is what he was signed to do for a team that could no longer endure its self-imposed Desmond Ridder jail. The Falcons want to come back into the 21st century.

There is talent to work with, but this is hardly a Justin Jefferson/T.J. Hockenson/Jordan Addison skill corps. Drake London is hoping to at least make it interesting. By far the biggest loser of the Falcons’ “Ridder ball” approach, London enters year three with a good but not great career mark of 1.96 yards per route run. If the routes tended to go nowhere under Arthur Smith, the catches weren’t much better. Of the 96 receivers with at least 50 receptions since 2023, London’s 12.6 yards per grab are 46th. His 2.8 average yards after the catch last season ranked 81st. The environment undoubtedly played a part, but London is a 1-on-1, jump-ball maestro who isn’t typically going to be stacking yards after contact. That means he absolutely must be featured more on the boundary. That has never been Cousins’ speciality, but he also does not fear to tread. A miserable 25th in receiver targets last season at 109, London should see that number increase to at least 130, while 150-160 is eminently realistic. London is an upside WR2 who could crash the top 12.

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The No. 2 pass catcher is not Mooney, but Kyle Pitts. The dreaded, infamous Kyle Pitts. The No. 4 overall pick of the 2021 draft squeaked by 1,000 yards as a rookie but has just 1,023 in 27 games since. Slowed by a 2022 MCL injury each of the past two years, Pitts’ yards per route run have fallen from an elite tight end mark of 2.02 to 1.69 then 1.43. He was essentially a down-field — his ADOT was two yards higher than any other TE — catch-and-fall specialist in the Falcons’ moribund 2023 attack, checking in a shocking 41st in average yards after the catch amongst tight ends. Pitts lost both his health and his mojo, and he is counting on Robinson and Cousins to bring the latter back. Cousins has never hesitated to target the seam — he directed 27 percent of his 2023 attempts that way — but the bigger story is that Cousins always latches onto his primary weapons. As long as Pitts is healthy and getting open — he was 10th in ESPN’s tight end open score in 2022 before cratering last season — Cousins is going to feed him the ball. Pitts’ struggles can’t entirely be explained away by his poor environments, but the situation is doing a 180 for 2024.

That brings us to Mooney, who can feel like the most underrated or overrated receiver in the league depending on the day. Mooney has reached 100 targets and 1,000 yards just one time in four NFL seasons — his second highest yardage total is 631 — but his setup was positively Arthur Smith-ian in Chicago. You would have still liked to see him catch more than 31 balls for 414 yards last season, averaging a pathetic 0.89 yards per route run. The theoretical Mooney bounce-back is based on his elite speed, improved quarterback play, and lack of target competition. Maybe that’s a few too many “what ifs” for you, but Mooney was being treated as an afterthought WR5 by even the shrewdest summer drafters. He’s a zero-risk late-round dart throw.

Zeroer and later is Rondale Moore, who will be fighting for No. 3 duties after the Cardinals threw in the towel following three disappointing, injury-marred campaigns. A slot-only option because of his nonexistent size, Moore will be getting a quarterback upgrade from a point guard pitch-and-catch perspective. (We’ll save the overall Kyler/Cousins debate for another day.) He also managed to finally stay healthy last season. If Cousins can deliver accurate middle-of-the-field targets, Moore should be able to improve last year’s pedestrian YAC numbers after posting much stronger 2021-22 marks.

Running Game

RB: Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier, Jase McClellan, Avery Williams
OL (L-R): Jake Matthews, Matthew Bergeron, Drew Dalman, Chris Lindstrom, Kaleb McGary

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Zac Robinson is not Sean McVay, but his former boss has had success with both bell-cow and committee-based approaches in the backfield. Although the latter was too alluring for Arthur Smith with Tyler Allgeier behind Bijan Robinson, nearly every sign points to a delayed Bijan takeover. Most compelling is the fact that both McVay and Cousins have long histories of force-feeding touches to their best players.

Even amidst last year’s tomfoolery, Robinson was 13th in yards per carry (4.56), 12th in average rush yards over expected, and eighth in running back receptions (58). The foundation is already here. We just have to trust Zac is smart enough to feature Bijan, leaving Allgeier for the occasional short-yardage or change-of-pace touch. Making Bijan a top-three running back requires a short memory and a bit of foresight, but he profiles as a “Gurley mode” league-winner in this remade offense.

Win Total

DraftKings has the Falcons’ over/under installed at an optimistic 9.5. 10 wins is a total that hasn’t been reached in Atlanta since 2017. The 2024 winds are in their favor. In addition to their sizable coaching and quarterback upgrades, the Falcons play in probably the softest division in football. They’re going up against Baker Mayfield, Derek Carr and Bryce Young. That’s one reason Warren Sharp has rated their schedule as the league’s softest. That does not include the season-opening stretch of vs. PIT, @PHI, vs. KC. If they survive that gauntlet at even 1-2, the over will be looking mightily attainable. 2-1 would make it practically a guarantee. From a season-long perspective, an ace in the hole is that the Falcons now have the league’s best backup quarterback in No. 8 overall pick Michael Penix.

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New York hosts Atlanta with 1-0 series lead

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New York hosts Atlanta with 1-0 series lead


Atlanta Hawks (46-36, sixth in the Eastern Conference) vs. New York Knicks (53-29, third in the Eastern Conference)

New York; Monday, 8 p.m. EDT

LINE: Knicks -5.5; over/under is 216.5

EASTERN CONFERENCE FIRST ROUND: Knicks lead series 1-0

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BOTTOM LINE: The New York Knicks host the Atlanta Hawks in the Eastern Conference first round with a 1-0 lead in the series. The Knicks won the last matchup 113-102 on Saturday, led by 28 points from Jalen Brunson. CJ McCollum led the Hawks with 26.

The Knicks are 35-17 in Eastern Conference games. New York has a 9-4 record in one-possession games.

The Hawks are 27-25 in Eastern Conference play. Atlanta is third in the league scoring 18.1 fast break points per game. McCollum leads the Hawks averaging 5.0.

The Knicks are shooting 47.8% from the field this season, 0.4 percentage points higher than the 47.4% the Hawks allow to opponents. The Hawks are shooting 47.4% from the field, 1.4% higher than the 46.0% the Knicks’ opponents have shot this season.

TOP PERFORMERS: Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 20.1 points and 11.9 rebounds for the Knicks. Brunson is averaging 19.9 points over the last 10 games.

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Dyson Daniels is scoring 11.9 points per game and averaging 6.8 rebounds for the Hawks. Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 21.3 points and 2.9 rebounds over the last 10 games.

LAST 10 GAMES: Knicks: 6-4, averaging 110.4 points, 40.7 rebounds, 26.2 assists, 8.4 steals and 3.3 blocks per game while shooting 49.4% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 106.9 points per game.

Hawks: 5-5, averaging 117.2 points, 43.5 rebounds, 27.7 assists, 8.4 steals and 4.7 blocks per game while shooting 47.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 112.0 points.

INJURIES: Knicks: Tyler Kolek: day to day (oblique), Mitchell Robinson: day to day (ankle), Karl-Anthony Towns: day to day (elbow).

Hawks: Jock Landale: out (ankle).

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___

The Associated Press created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.





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Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks prediction, pick for Game 1 of 2026 NBA Playoffs first round

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Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks prediction, pick for Game 1 of 2026 NBA Playoffs first round


Sean Barnard details his preview and prediction for Saturday’s Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks matchup in the NBA Playoffs.

The NBA playoffs are officially underway with a loaded opening round. Taking place in the No. 3 vs. No. 6 matchup in the Eastern Conference, the Atlanta Hawks will take on the New York Knicks.

You can check out the full series preview on DraftKings Network here.

Looking at the odds for the series opener, the Knicks enter as 6.5-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Hawks are +205 underdogs with the game total set at O/U 218.5 points.

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This article will look at a preview and prediction for the Eastern Conference series opener.


Hawks vs. Knicks prediction, preview

The Atlanta Hawks went through a midseason transition, moving on from Trae Young after he headlined the production for the franchise for the past eight years. The Hawks have not missed a beat amid the major midseason shakeup, finishing as the sixth seed in the conference with a 46-36 overall record. On the season, Atlanta has gone 44-38 against the spread, and the game total has gone 41-41 to the over/under.

Jock Landale is the only player set to miss the matchup tonight. Jalen Johnson headlines the production, posting averages of 22.5 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 7.9 assists per game. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has had a breakout season in a new location, adding 20.8 points, 3.7 assists, and 3.4 rebounds per game. CJ McCollum adds 18.7 points and 4.1 assists across his first 41 games with the organization, while Dyson Daniels, Onyeka Okongwu, Jonathan Kuminga, and Zaccharie Risacher also play notable roles.

Quin Snyder’s group scores 118.5 points per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Hawks also rank 14th in offensive rating, 13th in field goal percentage, and fifth in three-point percentage. Defensively, opponents are scoring 116.0 points per game against Atlanta, which ranks 18th in the league. They also rank ninth in defensive rating, 18th in opponent field goal percentage, and 12th in opponent three-point percentage.

The New York Knicks entered the season with legitimate title aspirations. They have had some notable ups and downs, but now face this opportunity. New York finished the regular season with a 53-29 record and sit in third place in the East. The Knicks have gone 44-39 against the spread, and the game total has gone 38-45 to the over/under.

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The Knicks enter this matchup with a clear injury report and a large sample size of the team playing together. Jalen Brunson headlines the production with 26.0 points, 6.8 assists, and 3.3 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns pitches in 20.1 points, 11.9 rebounds, and 3.0 assists of his own. OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges are responsible for the production at the wing positions, while Josh Hart sets the tone for this team from a hustle standpoint. New York also did an impressive job building out the bench unit this season, with players like Jordan Clarkson, Mitchell Robinson, Landry Shamet, and Tyler Kolek capable of serving as X-factors off the bench.

As a team, the Knicks are scoring 116.5 points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. New York also ranks third in offense rating, 11th in field goal percentage, and fourth in three-point percentage. Defensively, opponents are scoring 110.1 points per game against the Knicks, which ranks fifth in the league. They also rank seventh in defensive rating, fifth in opponent field goal percentage, and 20th in opponent three-point percentage.

Hawks vs. Knicks pick, best bet

These are two teams at different stages of their timeline, but neither will be afraid of this playoff spotlight. The Knicks pushed their chips in around this core and are hoping to be rewarded for it. They fell to the Indiana Pacers in the Conference Finals last year and have made the postseason in four consecutive seasons. Atlanta missed out on the playoffs in back-to-back years and turned a new page direction with Jalen Johnson now leading the charge. Without Trae Young, the Hawks now lean on more of a defensive-minded identity and have a roster loaded with athleticism.

During the regular season, these teams faced off three times. They split the first two matchups, which took place on December 27th and January 2nd. New York picked up a narrow 108-105 victory in the most recent game, which took place on April 6th. Both sides were aware that this was a potential postseason matchup, and this game had some major seeding implications. It was an evenly matched game in which neither team was able to extend a lead beyond 10 points, and the rebounding battle was separated by just one board. The biggest discrepancy came with the Knicks shooting 50% compared to the Hawks shooting 40%, and New York outscoring Atlanta 52-34 in the paint. 

While there are higher expectations for this Knicks team in the postseason outlook, the Hawks stack up fairly well in this matchup. Jalen Brunson will be at the heart of the offensive attack for New York. But his biggest weakness is when he is guarded by high-level athletes with a size advantage over him. The Hawks have built out a roster loaded with this archetype of player, and there is not a clear matchup for Brunson to hunt in most lineup combinations.

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Brunson has enough experience and savvy to will settle in over the course of the series. But expect some growing pains in the early parts of this matchup, and for this to be a huge hurdle for this Knicks team. I am backing the Hawks to cover the 5.5-point spread and would not be shocked if they steal the opening game. This is a series in which neither side should be expected to pull away by major margins throughout. Count on Atlanta to have defense success and have a clear gameplan for limiting the impact of Brunson. Expect this matchup to come down to the wire and take the points in the series opener.

Best Bet: Hawks +6.5 (-112)




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Atlanta Community Food Bank reports surge in visits

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Atlanta Community Food Bank reports surge in visits


One in six children in Atlanta will go hungry tonight, according to data from the Atlanta Community Food Bank.

The organization, which provides food for nearly 300,000 households every month, reports that the need for assistance in the community is both significant and expanding. Greg Sims, a representative of the Atlanta Community Food Bank, said the pantry network has experienced a 70% increase in visitors over the last four years.

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What they’re saying:

“Neighbors, kids, seniors, hard-working adults that are struggling to make ends meet and afford enough food,” Sims said. “We have seen 70 percent increase in neighbors visiting our pantry network over the last four years.”

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Rising costs have forced many local families to make difficult financial trade-offs. Sims noted that inflation has played a major role in the growing demand for food assistance, as families often prioritize fixed costs over their grocery budgets.

“It’s easiest in budget to cut food you can’t cut utilities you can’t cut your rent, so what gets left off is food,” Sims said. “Parents may go skip meals so kids can eat that often-common coping.”

Local perspective:

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To combat these rising numbers, the food bank is participating in the annual “Fight Hunger, Spark Change” campaign through May 3. The initiative raises funds when customers round up their totals or purchase specific products at Walmart or Sam’s Club locations. Officials confirmed that every dollar donated through the program stays within the local community.

“Last year’s campaign generated almost 400K to support our work, which in the end, abled us to provide more than a million meals to our community,” Sims said.

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The Atlanta Community Food Bank currently partners with approximately 700 food pantries throughout the state to distribute resources. Sims emphasized that food insecurity can affect anyone, regardless of their circumstances or appearance.

“Folks all different backgrounds are dealing with food insecurity, and you may not know it looking at a person standing next to you in the shopping aisle,” Sims said. “We are here for you, and we have resources available to you.”

By the numbers:

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  • 1 in 6: The number of children in Atlanta who will go hungry tonight.
  • 300,000: Households served by the food bank every month.
  • 70%: The increase in pantry visitors over the last four years.
  • 700: The number of food pantries throughout the state that partner with the food bank.
  • $400,000: The amount generated by last year’s campaign to provide millions of meals.

What you can do:

The organization added that it is also in constant need of volunteers to support its daily operations. Learn more at https://www.acfb.org/

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The Source: The information in this story was gathered from the Atlanta Community Food Bank, which provided data on local hunger rates and campaign details, as well as Greg Sims, a representative for the organization who spoke about the impact of inflation on Georgia families.

AtlantaFood and DrinkEconomyNews



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