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Arkansas basketball must reverse two-year trend to make this season’s NCAA Tournament

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Arkansas basketball must reverse two-year trend to make this season’s NCAA Tournament


FAYETTEVILLE, Ark. — Eric Musselman’s NCAA Tournament resume speaks for itself.

Since taking the helm as the Arkansas basketball head coach in 2019, Musselman has made three appearances in the Sweet 16 and twice reached the Elite 8. Each of those seasons came with momentary doubts, but Arkansas has always found the right recipe for success in March.

However, a troubling trend is emerging for the Razorbacks during this regular season. After Saturday’s 83-51 loss to No. 25 Auburn that marked the worst home defeat in program history, the Hogs are 1-10 in their last 11 games against teams ranked inside the AP Top 25 excluding the NCAA Tournament. Their only win during that stretch was this season’s home victory over Duke.

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Before this downslide, Musselman was 7-7 against ranked opponents. His teams were known for playing their best basketball at the most important junctures of the season. While last year’s trip to the Sweet 16 brought forth validation and included a win over Kansas — a No. 1 seed — the Hogs are seemingly starting to lose their edge against the best teams in the country.

And most concerning with regards to this season is Musselman’s lack of confidence in Arkansas being able to turn things around. He might not get the chance to put together another redeeming run.

“How would I know,” Musselman said after Saturday’s loss when asked if this year’s team could solve its problems.

“All I know is I’ve got to try to talk about them and address them.”

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More: ‘We quit’: Arkansas basketball reaches season low-point in blowout loss to No. 25 Auburn

More: Arkansas basketball embarrassed in home loss to No. 25 Auburn

Arkansas woke up Sunday morning sitting 104th in the NET Rankings, which is the NCAA’s primary sorting tool for evaluating teams on Selection Sunday. Arkansas ranked 21st in the NET prior to the 2023 NCAA Tournament, resulting in a No. 8 seed.

The Razorbacks will need a significant climb just to make the 2024 tournament. With the strength of the SEC and plenty of potential for Quad 1 victories on the schedule, there’s still hope that Arkansas can reach this year’s edition of March Madness.

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But the Hogs will need to buck this trend of losing to top-25 teams. Arkansas currently has four ranked ranked teams remaining on the schedule, with two of those games on the road. The Hogs have not won a road SEC game against a ranked opponent since Jan. 15, 2022. Arkansas beat No. 12 LSU 65-58 that day.

It’s impossible to know just how many wins Arkansas needs to rattle off over the final 17 games, but all focus will shift to the baseball season if Arkansas continues its losing ways against top opponents.



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What John Calipari said about Dairus Acuff after Arkansas basketball’s Sweet 16 exit

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What John Calipari said about Dairus Acuff after Arkansas basketball’s Sweet 16 exit


SAN JOSE, Calif. — A humbling loss to Arizona means Darius Acuff Jr.’s career with Arkansas basketball is likely over.

Acuff is projected to be a top-10 pick in the 2026 NBA Draft. He scored a game-high 28 points as the No. 4 Razorbacks (28-9) fell to the No. 1 Wildcats (35-2) 109-88 in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday, March 26.

After the loss, John Calipari reflected on Acuff’s historic season. The Hall of Fame coach will remember the Detroit native’s fierce spirit while hunting victories.

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“(Acuff) was the ultimate competitor. He had a will to win and would make baskets because he wasn’t afraid to miss late in games,” Calipari said. “He and Meleek (Thomas) and the other guys, they set the stage for growth. You’re going to have an opportunity to get better, but it’s hard. The league is hard. You’ve got to be a gym rat if you really want to do this. Those guys proved it. I had a ball coaching them.”

Acuff became just the third person to win the SEC Player of the Year and Freshman of the Year awards handed out by both the coaches and media, joining Anthony Davis (2012) and Brandon Miller (2023). He became the league’s first player since Pete Maravich to lead the SEC in both scoring and assists.

His final season-long stats were 23.5 points and 6.4 assists per game. He shot 48.4% from the field and 44% on 3-pointers.

Acuff was short on words in his final press conference with the Hogs, but he didn’t bring up his individual accolades when asked what he will remember the most from a dynamic collegiate season.

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“Brotherhood, for sure,” Acuff said. “With the team, great support from the fans. I don’t know, a lot of good stuff. It was a great year, for sure.”

Arkansas fans won’t soon forget his dominance.

Jackson Fuller covers Arkansas football, basketball and baseball for the Southwest Times Record, part of the USA TODAY Network. Reach him at jfuller@usatodayco.com or follow him @jacksonfuller16 on X, formerly known as Twitter. 



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What channel is Arkansas basketball vs Arizona on today? March Madness game time, TV, streaming

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What channel is Arkansas basketball vs Arizona on today? March Madness game time, TV, streaming


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Darius Acuff Jr. and the fourth-seeded Arkansas Razorbacks will face Brayden Burries and the top-seeded Arizona Wildcats as the 2026 NCAA men’s basketball tournament continues with the Sweet 16 Thursday in San Jose, California.

The Razorbacks (28-8) reached the West Region semifinals by beating Hawaii and High Point. Meanwhile, the Wildcats (34-2) beat Long Island and Utah State.

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Here’s how to watch the Razorbacks-Wildcats game, including time, TV schedule and streaming information:

Watch March Madness live with Sling TV

What time is Arkansas vs Arizona today? When is NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 game today?

  • Date: Thursday, March 26
  • Start time: 8:45 p.m. CT
  • Where: SAP Center in San Jose, California

What channel is Arkansas vs Arizona on today? How to watch, stream NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

  • TV: TBS/truTV
  • How to watch online: Sling (free trial)

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Arkansas vs Arizona betting odds for March Madness Sweet 16 game

Odds courtesy of BetMGM as of Thursday, March 26:

  • Moneyline: ARI -375 | ARK +290
  • Spread: Arizona (-8.5)
  • Over/under: 165.5

All times CT

All times CT

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Arkansas vs. Arizona Prediction, Odds, Best Prop Bet for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

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Arkansas vs. Arizona Prediction, Odds, Best Prop Bet for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16


The Arkansas Razorbacks parlayed an SEC Tournament Championship into two straight wins to start their NCAA Tournament run, getting past Hawaii and High Point in impressive fashion. Now, they’ll face their toughest challenge yet, a Sweet 16 showdown with the 1-seed Arizona Wildcats.

Arizona cruised past both Long Island University and Utah State in the first two rounds, and still has just two losses on its record all season. As you’d expect, they’re favored in this SEC vs. Big 12 showdown. Let’s take a look.

Arkansas vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, and Total

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Odds via Caesars Sportsbook

Spread

  • Arkansas +7.5 (-110)
  • Arizona -7.5 (-110)

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Moneyline

  • Arkansas +278
  • Arizona -355

Total

  • OVER 166.5 (-110)
  • UNDER 166.5 (-110)

Arkansas vs. Arizona How to Watch

  • Date: Thursday, March 6
  • Game Time: 9:45 pm ET
  • Venue: SAP Center at San Jose
  • How to Watch (TV): CBS
  • Arkansas Record: 28-8
  • Arizona Record: 34-2

Arkansas vs. Arizona Betting Trends

  • The OVER is 9-2 in Arkansas’ last 11 games
  • The OVER is 5-1 in Arkansas’ last six games vs. Big 12 opponents
  • Arkansas is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games as an underdog
  • Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last five games
  • The OVER is 4-2 in Arizona’s last six games
  • Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last six games vs. SEC opponents

Arkansas vs. Arizona Best Prop Bet

  • Brayden Burries OVER 17.5 Points (-106) via FanDuel

Brayden Burries has a chance to have a phenomenal performance on Thursday night. Arkansas may be a strong offensive team, but its defense leaves a lot to be desired. They rank 200th in the country in defensive efficiency and are allowing 80.3 points per game this season, which ranks 325th. If Burries brings his best stuff, the Razorbacks are going to be in trouble.

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Arkansas vs. Arizona Prediction and Pick

Let’s try our best not to overreact to Arkansas being in the Sweet 16. They had a relatively easy path to win the SEC Championship, squeaking by both Oklahoma and Ole Miss by just three points before beating Vanderbilt in the final, completely avoiding the Florida Gators. Then, in the NCAA Tournament, they had the easiest path to the Sweet 16, getting to face a 13-seed and a 12-seed in the first two rounds.

The Arizona Wildcats are no joke and will be by far the Razorbacks’ biggest challenge. There’s a case to be made that Arizona is the best team in the country, and they have the interior defense to completely shut down the Arkansas offense. The Razorbacks rank 50th in the country in two-point shot rate. Now, they have to face an Arizona defense that ranks second in the country in opponent two-point field goal percentage, keeping teams to shooting just 43.7% from two-point range.

Arizona also mainly shoots two-point shots, ranking third in two-point shot rate, and now they get to face an Arkansas team that ranks 278th in opponent two-point field goal percentage, allowing teams to shoot 54% from two-point range.

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This is a nightmare matchup for Arkansas.

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Pick: Arizona -7.5 (-110)


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