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TCU vs Virginia prediction, analysis, Sweet 16 expert picks for women’s March Madness

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TCU vs Virginia prediction, analysis, Sweet 16 expert picks for women’s March Madness


The women’s 2026 NCAA Tournament continues with Sweet 16 action Saturday as No. 3 TCU and No. 10 Virginia battle for a spot in the Elite Eight.

USA TODAY Sports’ college basketball experts have analyzed all the angles and determined a path to victory for each side. Here’s everything you need to know — including how to watch, betting odds and analysis — before the Sweet 16 matchup tips off.

Stay up to date with USA TODAY’s team of journalists covering the women’s NCAA Tournament throughout the 68-team dance.

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TCU will win Sweet 16 game vs Virginia if…

  • Mitchel Northam: Olivia Miles does Olivia Miles things and Marta Suarez has a good shooting night.
  • Nancy Armour: Olivia Miles flirts with another triple-double.
  • Meghan Hall: Olivia Miles keeps the ball moving for the Horned Frogs
  • Heather Burns: It rebounds as a team and keeps Virginia from getting second chances.
  • Cydney Henderson: The Horned Frogs can’t afford another slow start. Olivia Miles must get her teammates going early and often to stop a red-hot Virginia team. Taylor Bigby has been hot from the 3-point.

Virginia will win Sweet 16 game vs TCU  if…

  • Mitchel Northam: The Cavaliers have already beaten teams from the Big 12, SEC and Big Ten in the NCAA Tournament. If the Cavaliers continue to play with confidence and a nothing-to-lose mindset, they could be dangerous.
  • Nancy Armour: It keeps playing like it knows it has house money.
  • Meghan Hall: It can limit Olivia Miles and force TCU to beat it with anyone else
  • Heather Burns: it can slow the pace and play within its offense.
  • Cydney Henderson: Virginia’s defense fuels its offense and creating some more possessions will be paramount. Kymora Johnson will lead the way. Fatigue may be a factor as Virginia came through the First Four and played three overtime periods.

TCU vs Virginia: 1 Stat to watch

  • Mitchel Northam: Virginia ranks 11th nationally in rebounding, third in blocked shots and 21st in 2-point defense. TCU will have to beat the Cavaliers from 3-point land.
  • Nancy Armour: TCU has three players who average nine-plus points and 7.2 or more rebounds.
  • Meghan Hall: An Olivia Miles triple-double is always a possibility.
  • Heather Burns: Over/under 70 points: IF the game becomes a high scoring affair, that favors TCU.
  • Cydney Henderson: Turnovers. Whichever team takes better care of the ball could come out victorious.

TCU vs Virginia Sweet 16 prediction

  • Mitchel Northam: Virginia
  • Nancy Armour: Virginia
  • Meghan Hall: TCU
  • Heather Burns: Virginia
  • Cydney Henderson: TCU

3 TCU vs 10 Virginia odds

  • Opening Moneyline: TCU (-500), Virginia (+380)
  • Opening Spread: TCU (-9.5)
  • Opening Total: 130.5

How to Watch TCU vs Virginia in the Sweet 16

No. 3 TCU takes on No. 10 Virginia at Golden 1 Center on March 28 at 7:30 PM The game is airing on ESPN.

Stream March Madness on Fubo

2026 Women’s NCAA Tournament full schedule

  • March 18-19: First Four
  • March 20-21: First Round
  • March 22-23: Second Round
  • March 27-28: Sweet 16
  • March 29-30: Elite 8
  • April 3: Final Four
  • April 5: National Championship



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Dry and seasonal weather expected in Virginia through the weekend

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Dry and seasonal weather expected in Virginia through the weekend


RICHMOND, Va. — Friday will be sunny and seasonably warm, with highs in the upper 70s and low 80s.

The pattern of cool nights and mild afternoons will continue through the weekend and through much of next week as upper-level flow continues to bring reinforcing mild and dry air out of eastern Canada.

Rain chances will be very limited over the next week, with only a slim chance with a frontal passage on Monday.

Stay With CBS 6, The Weather Authority.

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STORM TRACKING LINKS:

Weather Alerts
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📱 Download the new and improved CBS 6 Weather App for iPhone and Android.

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107-year-old Virginia woman credits faith, family after escaping fire that destroyed home

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107-year-old Virginia woman credits faith, family after escaping fire that destroyed home


Ressie Keen, a 107-year-old Pittsylvania County woman, is safe after escaping a house fire that destroyed her more than 100-year-old home, leaving behind a yard filled with charred debris and scattered belongings.

Keen said she has no special secret to her longevity.

“I ain’t got no secret, just thanking the Lord to let me stay here to see 107,” she said.

Keen said she moved to the home decades ago and built a life there.

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“I’ve moved there in 1969, our first crop was made in 1970, and I been living there ever since,” she said.

The fire broke out in Keen’s bedroom on Thursday afternoon. Keen said she and her sitter got out as the fire grew.

“I don’t know what happened, only thing I knew to do was to get out of there. So me and my sitter we got out. She tried to put it out but she couldn’t,” Keen said.

SEE ALSO: Valley Link posts new transmission line path, schedules new community meetings

Pittsylvania County Fire Marshal Scott Hutcherson said investigators believe the fire started with an electrical issue.

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“We think we had an electric outlet failure, more or less; an adaptor on the outlet probably failed,” Hutcherson said. He said the fire spread quickly once it ignited nearby items. “It set the bed on fire and the clothes that was on top of it, the material on top of it, what’s pretty much what got the fire going. And then it easily spread to the second story.”

Keen’s son, Ronnie Keen, said the loss has been painful for the family.

“It was devastating real devastating, lot of memories lost. But I know those memories and emotions the things that were sentimental were still right here,” he said.

A family photo album was among the few items recovered. Pointing to one image, Ronnie Keen said, “That’s a picture of the house.”

He added that the album was badly damaged. “It’s so charred it’s kinda hard to open,” he said.

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Keen also held onto her favorite cast-iron pan.

“I knew this wasn’t going to get burnt up,” she said.

The home was considered a total loss, but the family said the most important thing is that Ressie Keen survived. She is now living with her son.

“I’m overjoyed that she’s here with us and she’s safe,” Ronnie Keen said.

Hutcherson said to prevent this, make sure that there is a smoke alarm in your home. He says you can reach out to the Pittsylvania County Public Safety office for a free installation of a smoke alarm.

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Virginia attorney general launches investigation into Wallens Ridge homicide

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Virginia attorney general launches investigation into Wallens Ridge homicide


Virginia Governor Abigail Spanberger has requested the Virginia Attorney General’s Office investigate the 2025 homicide of a Wallens Ridge State Prison inmate.

The Attorney General’s Office confirmed the development to News 5 on Tuesday, May 27.

“The circumstances around the death of Aubrey McKay are of a very serious and troubling nature. Governor Spanberger has requested that the Office of the Attorney General conduct an investigation and initiate any criminal prosecutions that arise. This office will continue its thorough, complete, and timely investigation into these consequential matters,” Attorney General Jay Jones said in an emailed statement.

McKay died on June 4, 2025, while inside the Wise County correctional facility.

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The Virginia Department of Corrections confirmed his death is being investigated as a homicide and said at least one officer was either reprimanded or placed on leave.

The Virginia medical examiner’s office listed McKay’s cause of death as multifactorial asphyxia. Virginia State Police also confirmed it is investigating the case.

The Smyth County Commonwealth’s Attorney’s Office also confirmed it will no longer be involved in the case.

A spokesperson for the Wise County Commonwealth’s Attorney’s Office told News 5 on May 25 that Smyth County would oversee the prosecution because of the nature of the investigation.

Smyth County Commonwealth’s Attorney Phillip Blevins later confirmed he has recused himself from the case.

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In a court order provided to News 5 dated May 22, Blevins wrote that he has an association with at least one potential witness involved in the investigation. He was excused from the case.



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