Politics
Republicans Sharpen Their Message on Ukraine
Instantly after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the political debate within the U.S. was a free-for-all. Democrats and a few Republicans aligned behind President Biden exhibiting what was as soon as thought of a conventional present of unity in a disaster. Different Republicans blasted Biden as weak and insufficiently powerful on Russia. In maybe the strangest twist, nonetheless different Republicans, together with Donald Trump, appeared to sympathize with Russia’s president, Vladimir Putin.
Now, Republican Celebration leaders try to rein it in.
Mike Pence on Friday will declare that there “is not any room on this get together for apologists for Putin,” in accordance with excerpts from a speech that the previous vice chairman will ship at a Republican Nationwide Committee retreat. The remarks might be geared toward Trump, who has referred to as Putin “very savvy” and labeled his aggression as “genius,” and it might be the second time in current weeks that Pence has rebuked the previous president and attainable rival for the White Home.
Different Republicans have tried to focus the get together’s criticism of Biden, tying the disaster to gasoline costs which have climbed to a nationwide common of practically $4 a gallon.
Prime Republican senators have hammered Biden all week, criticizing the boundaries his administration positioned on oil and fuel leases and its cancellation of the Keystone XL pipeline. On Friday, 25 Republican governors joined in, calling on Biden to “reverse his insurance policies and restore America’s power independence.”
“We are able to defend our nationwide power safety and promote to our buddies slightly than purchase from our enemies — particularly Russia,” the governors’ assertion stated. “Folks in our states can not afford one other spike on the fuel pump, and our allies can not afford to be held hostage by Putin’s tyranny and aggression.”
Though some points of the Republican critique crumble upon nearer inspection, the newly coordinated message is unifying the suitable after the fractious intramural debate over Putin. And with inflation hovering, linking Biden’s dealing with of the battle in Ukraine to his home woes may show to be a potent argument with voters within the fall.
Which may assist Republicans return to energy subsequent yr. The hazard, overseas coverage consultants say, is {that a} battle within the coronary heart of Europe, with huge geopolitical implications, turns into one more partisan squabble.
“It’s like overseas coverage is a clean display screen on which we challenge all our inside divides,” stated Brian Katulis, co-editor of The Liberal Patriot, an internet site centered on the politics of nationwide safety. “As if the Ukrainians are simply props in our personal political story.”
The oil and fuel debate
In private and non-private, former Trump administration officers have lent their recommendation to Republicans in Washington. Throughout a closed-door assembly of a number of dozen Home conservatives this week, Robert O’Brien, a former nationwide safety adviser, fielded questions for an hour as he urged lawmakers to help extra aggressive measures towards Russia.
One issue driving the priority, a number of Republican aides stated, was the voices of Ukrainians themselves.
“Oil costs are hovering, and in a bizarre method Russia is benefiting from its personal invasion,” Maryan Zablotskyy, a member of the Ukrainian parliament, advised us. “Their authorities ought to be disadvantaged of all income.”
In specializing in Russian oil, Republicans are aggravating a degree of Democratic division. The White Home opposes barring imports of Russian oil and fuel provides to the U.S., however Home Speaker Nancy Pelosi stated she’s “all for it. Ban it.”
Seven Democrats help a brand new power sanctions invoice promoted by Senators Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. However main Democrats — notably, Senator Robert Menendez of New Jersey, the highly effective chair of the Senate Overseas Relations Committee, and Chuck Schumer of New York, the Senate majority chief — haven’t but signed on.
Republicans are threatening to pressure the invoice to the ground subsequent week until Schumer relents.
He might need little alternative. Different influential Democrats have signaled their help. “It simply infuriates me to suppose that we’re depending on Russian fuel and oil,” Senator Richard Durbin of Illinois advised CNN on Thursday. On Friday, Senator Tim Kaine of Virginia got here out in favor of a ban, his workplace stated.
The case for extra sanctions
Republicans are pushing for much more aggressive strikes, reminiscent of so-called secondary sanctions on overseas establishments that do enterprise with Russia, along with slicing off the Kremlin’s sources of laborious foreign money from gross sales of commodities. And they’re calling for a few-holds-barred protection of Ukraine, whilst administration officers sign pessimism about Kyiv’s means to resist a Russian onslaught.
In his remarks on Friday, Pence is predicted to name on Biden to “sanction all monetary establishments in Russia.”
The concept of such sanctions, as Senator Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania, the highest Republican on the Senate Banking Committee, argued final week, can be to “pressure the world to decide on between doing enterprise with Russia or america.”
“We’re type of late within the recreation right here,” stated Wealthy Goldberg, a former Nationwide Safety Council director beneath Trump and a number one architect of the Iran sanctions effort as a longtime congressional aide. “Each hour that was misplaced is time we by no means get again.”
The Biden protection
Biden administration officers say they’ve been aggressive — they usually level to an unprecedented collection of steps the U.S. and its allies have taken in a matter of days.
In retaliation for the invasion of Ukraine, Western nations have hit Russia with a protracted record of penalties and restrictions. They’ve battered the Russian economic system and punished its foreign money, the ruble. They’ve prohibited Russia from importing key expertise. They’re even going after the yachts of businessmen in Putin’s circle.
“We’re guaranteeing that this battle of alternative will probably be a strategic failure for Vladimir Putin,” stated a senior administration official who wasn’t approved to talk on the file.
White Home officers liken the sanctions to a boa constrictor suffocating Russia’s economic system, with strain rising in response to the Kremlin’s escalatory strikes.
“They’re not supposed to max out at the start,” stated Jen Psaki, the White Home Press secretary. “They’re long-lasting and sustainable, they usually’re supposed to squeeze.”
The administration has held again on some measures in order that it might probably ratchet up strain on Moscow as vital, however has resisted oil and fuel sanctions thus far.
Russia-Ukraine Struggle: Key Issues to Know
“Clearly, there are areas we are able to go to have even additional influence,” the senior administration official stated. “All choices stay on the desk.”
The issue the White Home faces, present and former officers say, is considered one of timing. How lengthy can Ukraine cling on? Can the sanctions have an effect on Putin’s calculations shortly sufficient — if in any respect — to make a distinction on the battlefield? And the way can the administration juggle all this in the midst of a heated election season, with shopper costs rising on the quickest tempo in 40 years?
“Look, there’s nonetheless an inexpensive risk that there’s a financial institution run and the complete Russian economic system collapses subsequent Wednesday,” stated Brian O’Toole, a former Treasury Division official. “However the tempo of sanctions isn’t as quick because the tempo of battle.”
What to learn
A State of the Union second
On Politics often options work by Occasions photographers. Right here’s what Sarahbeth Maney advised us about capturing the picture above:
“This was my first time photographing the State of the Union so I used to be not sure what to anticipate, however I knew to maintain my eye on the primary girl, Dr. Jill Biden, and the particular visitors sitting in her space.
Once I leaned over the balcony to see who the visitors had been, the primary individual I seen was 13-year-old Joshua Davis. He stood out to me as a result of he was the one child amongst a bunch of adults. My first thought was, ‘Wow, this child is basically courageous — particularly to be sitting in between the primary girl and the second gentleman.’
I snapped this photograph in the course of the a part of President Biden’s speech when he introduced that it had been Joshua’s birthday the day earlier than, affectionately calling him “buddy.” He continued his speech to say, “for Joshua, and for the 200,000 different younger individuals with Kind 1 diabetes, let’s cap the price of insulin at $35 a month so everybody can afford it.”
I feel the emotion on everybody’s faces and the extension of the primary girl’s hand reaching out to embrace Joshua captures how memorable today will probably be for him.”
Thanks for studying. We’ll see you tomorrow.
— Blake & Leah
Is there something you suppose we’re lacking? Something you wish to see extra of? We’d love to listen to from you. E mail us at onpolitics@nytimes.com.
Since his death, Jimmy Carter has been lauded for brokering the Camp David Accords and for his post-White House mission to help the poor and battle disease. But glossed over amid all the tributes is the burdensome legacy that Mr. Carter left for his Democratic Party: a presidency long caricatured as a symbol of ineffectiveness and weakness.
This perception has shadowed the party for nearly 40 years. It was forged in the seizure of American hostages by Iranian militants in 1979 and the failed military attempt to free them, as well as the invasion of Afghanistan by the Soviet Union. And it lingered in memories of Mr. Carter wearing a cardigan as he asked Americans to conserve energy, or bemoaning what he called a “crisis of confidence” in an address to the nation that became a textbook example of political self-harm.
Over the decades, these events have provided endless fodder for attacks by Republicans, who reveled in invoking Mr. Carter’s name to deride Democrats. And that mockery, in turn, influenced the way Democrats have presented themselves to voters. Without Mr. Carter’s image of weakness on national security and defense, for example, it is hard to imagine the party’s war-hero candidate for president in 2004 introducing himself with a salute at its nominating convention and saying, “I’m John Kerry and I’m reporting for duty.”
Mr. Carter’s political legacy produced what many analysts argue was a kind of conditioned response: an overreaction among Democrats anxious to avoid comparisons to him on foreign policy issues. This was evident in the roster of prominent congressional Democrats, including Hillary Clinton, who voted for the 2002 resolution that authorized President George W. Bush to take the nation to war in Iraq, a vote many said they came to regret.
It could even be discerned in the taciturn response from President Biden after the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021 descended into chaos, said Julian E. Zelizer, a professor of political history at Princeton.
“Democrats always feel defensive about these messy situations,” Professor Zelizer said. He linked that reflex to the taking of the Iranian hostages and to the raid Mr. Carter ordered to save them, which ended in a helicopter crash that killed eight Americans.
“They don’t act with command in talking about tough foreign policy events,” Mr. Zelizer said, pointing in particular to the struggle by Democrats in Congress over Iraq. “The instinct when things go bad is to either be silent or apologetic.”
Historians and Democrats say the characterization of Mr. Carter as weak is in many ways unfair and exaggerated, ignoring some of the major accomplishments of his four years in office. He ordered an American boycott of the 1980 Summer Olympics in Moscow and a grain embargo against the Soviet Union after its invasion of Afghanistan.
Nonetheless, “He became an exemplar of why you had to look tough and not weak in foreign policy,” said Robert Shrum, a Democratic consultant who worked for Senator Edward M. Kennedy of Massachusetts when Mr. Kennedy challenged Mr. Carter for the presidential nomination in 1980.
Indeed, more than 30 years after Mr. Carter left office, Republicans reached back to the Carter years to dismiss a momentous decision by President Barack Obama that delivered a forceful rebuttal to the idea of Democrats as weak or ineffective: approving the American raid to assassinate Osama bin Laden in 2011.
“Even Jimmy Carter would have given that order,” said Mitt Romney, the Republican candidate for president.
(None other than Mr. Biden, as Mr. Obama’s vice president, made that raid a staple of his speeches in their 2012 re-election campaign. “Osama bin Laden is dead, and General Motors is alive,” Mr. Biden said often.)
This aspect of Mr. Carter’s legacy was ultimately set in cement by his defeat at the hands of Ronald Reagan, a former actor and governor who presented himself as a decisive and forceful contrast to the sitting president. “He was the standard by which Democrats and Republicans judged political effectiveness,” Tim Naftali, a presidential historian, said of Mr. Reagan. “So by definition, Carter, whom Reagan had beaten, was the opposite of effective, the model to be avoided.”
“The killer Reagan line, ‘Are you better off than you were four years ago?’ was first aimed at Carter,” he said.
So it was that from the moment Mr. Carter left office — on the day Iranian militants released the hostages — Democratic candidates for president have sought, with word and action, to escape his shadow.
Bill Clinton frequently invoked strength in talking about both international and domestic issues when he ran for president. During his 1996 re-election campaign, he boasted of putting 100,000 police on the street and promised to keep America “the world’s strongest force for peace and freedom and prosperity.”
For her part, Mrs. Clinton, who as the Democratic candidate in 2016 also had to allay voters’ doubts about whether a woman had the fortitude to be president, repeatedly cited her experience as secretary of state under Mr. Obama, and made “Stronger together” her campaign slogan. She used the words “strong,” “stronger” and “strength” 13 times in her speech accepting the party’s nomination.
In last year’s presidential campaign, Kamala Harris, the vice president and Democratic candidate against Donald J. Trump, boasted of owning a Glock pistol, and left little doubt about her belief in military might as she accepted her party’s nomination in Chicago.
“As commander in chief, I will ensure America always has the strongest, most lethal fighting force in the world,” she said.
But some efforts to escape the Carter legacy only seemed to reinforce it.
Michael S. Dukakis, the former governor of Massachusetts, was ridiculed when he donned a green tank helmet and “military coveralls over his Filene’s suit,” as a New York Times report said at the time, to ride a 63-ton M1 tank around a field at a manufacturing plant in front of a battery of television cameras. “Rat-a-tat,” Mr. Dukakis said.
“Dukakis was trying to demonstrate strength,” Mr. Shrum said. “Instead, he demonstrated weakness. People are always fighting the last campaigns, and they are often wrong.”
In the case of Mr. Kerry, who, like Mr. Kennedy, was a Shrum client, Republicans sought to turn his decorated military record against him by accusing him of fabricating details of his Navy service, in an advertising campaign — later discredited — that was launched by a group calling itself Swift Boat Veterans for Truth. (One producer of those ads was Chris LaCivita, a co-manager of Mr. Trump’s 2024 campaign.)
To be fair, the seeds for this line of attack against Democrats predated Mr. Carter: In 1972, four years before Mr. Carter burst on the national scene, Republicans invoked the “weak on defense” argument against George McGovern, the Democratic senator from South Dakota, when he challenged Richard M. Nixon for the presidency.
“The 1972 presidential campaign and the landslide defeat of McGovern made the weak-on-defense argument a centerpiece for the G.O.P.,” Mr. Zelizer said. “The problems that Carter faced in the final year — Iran and the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan — cemented this political imbalance, placing Democrats in a position to constantly stress that they would be tough on defense.”
President-elect Trump on Wednesday morning filed an emergency petition to the United States Supreme Court in an effort to block his sentencing in New York v. Trump.
Judge Juan Merchan set Trump’s sentencing in New York v. Trump for Jan. 10 after a jury found the now-president-elect guilty of falsifying business records in the first degree, stemming from Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s investigation. Trump pleaded not guilty to all charges and has appealed the ruling but was rejected last week by Merchan.
NEW YORK JUDGE SETS TRUMP SENTENCING DAYS BEFORE INAUGURATION
“President Trump’s legal team filed an emergency petition with the United States Supreme Court, asking the Court to correct the unjust actions by New York courts and stop the unlawful sentencing in the Manhattan D.A.’s Witch Hunt,” Trump spokesman and incoming White House communications director Steven Cheung told Fox News Digital.
“The Supreme Court’s historic decision on Immunity, the Constitution, and established legal precedent mandate that this meritless hoax be immediately dismissed.”
Cheung said the “American People elected President Trump with an overwhelming mandate that demands an immediate end to the political weaponization of our justice system and all of the remaining Witch Hunts.”
He added: “We look forward to uniting our country in the new administration as President Trump makes America great again.”
Former President Donald Trump attends the first day of his trial at Manhattan Criminal Court in New York City on April 15. Judge Juan Merchan poses for a picture in his chambers on March 14 in New York. (Angela Weiss/AFP via AP, POOL/AP)
TRUMP FILES MOTION TO STAY ‘UNLAWFUL SENTENCING’ IN NEW YORK CASE
Trump’s lawyers, in its petition to the high court, said it should “immediately order a stay of pending criminal proceedings in the Supreme Court of New York County, New York, pending the final resolution of President Trump’s interlocutory appeal raising questions of Presidential immunity, including in this Court if necessary.”
“The Court should also enter, if necessary, a temporary administrative stay while it considers this stay application,” the filing states.
Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg arrives at Daniel Penny’s trial following a lunch break at the Manhattan Supreme Criminal Court building in New York City on Monday, Dec. 2, 2024. (Julia Bonavita/Fox News Digital)
Trump attorneys also argued that New York prosecutors erroneously admitted extensive evidence relating to official presidential acts during trial, ignoring the high court’s ruling on presidential immunity.
The Supreme Court, earlier this year, ruled that presidents are immune from prosecution related to official presidential acts.
Trump’s legal team is arguing Merchan should not be permitted to move any further, and said their appeal on the ruling “will ultimately result in the dismissal of the District Attorney’s politically motivated prosecution that was flawed from the very beginning, centered around the wrongful actions and false claims of a disgraced, disbarred serial-liar former attorney, violated President Trump’s due process rights, and had no merit.”
“In the meantime, the New York trial court lacks authority to impose sentence and judgment on President Trump—or conduct any further criminal proceedings against him—until the resolution of his underlying appeal raising substantial claims of Presidential immunity, including by review in this Court if necessary,” the filing states. “As discussed herein, this Court should order an immediate stay of criminal proceedings against President Trump in the New York trial court, including but not limited to the criminal sentencing hearing scheduled for January 10, 2025, at 9:30 a.m.”
New York has to file a written response by Thursday at 10:00 a.m.
JUDGE DENIES TRUMP MOTION TO STOP NY CRIMINAL CASE SENTENCING
The filing to the United States Supreme Court comes after a judge in New York on Tuesday denied Trump’s motion to stay the Jan. 10 sentencing, which is currently set for Friday, Jan. 10, at 9:30 a.m.
U.S. Supreme Court. Howard/Bloomberg via Getty Images
Merchan set the sentencing date last week but said he will not sentence the president-elect to prison.
Merchan wrote in his decision that he is not likely to “impose any sentence of incarceration,” but rather a sentence of an “unconditional discharge,” which means there would be no punishment imposed.
Trump will be sworn in as the 47th President of the United States on Jan. 20.
Trump has maintained his innocence in the case and repeatedly railed against it as an example of “lawfare” promoted by Democrats in an effort to hurt his election efforts ahead of November.
Fox News’ Shannon Bream and Bill Mears contributed to this report.
Politics
Bracing for Trump, Mexico aims to roll out a 'panic app' for Mexican nationals being deported
Mexico City — Hardly a day goes by here that Mexico’s president or one of her aides does not speak of some plan being devised in case President-elect Donald Trump goes through with his threats of mass deportations and punishing tariffs — testament to how vulnerable Mexico is to shifting policies in Washington.
The latest from Mexico President Claudia Sheinbaum‘s administration is a “panic button” — an emergency cellphone application that will enable Mexican citizens fearing detention and deportation in the United States to alert diplomats and relatives of their plight.
Sheinbaum also says her government has bolstered staff at Mexico’s more than 50 consulates in the United States, adding advisors to provide legal counsel to those facing potential deportation.
Trump’s pronouncements have generated profound uncertainty among Mexican officials, business leaders on both side of the border and millions of Mexican immigrants in the United States.
Mexico’s president, Claudia Sheinbaum, has spoken out against President-elect Donald Trump’s deportation threats.
(Fernando Llano / Associated Press)
Sheinbaum, who calls Mexican migrants “heroes,” opposes Trump’s mass-deportation plan but has been muted in her criticisms of Trump himself.
Mexican nationals who could face deportation “are not alone and will not be alone,” Mexico’s foreign minister, Juan Ramón de la Fuente, vowed last month, speaking to reporters during one of Sheinbaum’s daily morning news conferences.
According to Mexican government estimates, some 4.8 million Mexicans reside in the United States illegally, by far the largest number among any nationality. Some have resided in the north for decades and have U.S.-born children, own homes and run businesses.
Trump and his representatives have offered no comprehensive details on how his deportation plan will take shape. Some aides have spoken of prioritizing roundups of undocumented immigrants with criminal records and pending deportation orders — longtime targets of U.S. immigration enforcement.
The U.S. House on Tuesday passed a bill that would target for deportation immigrants who are in the country illegally and have been charged with nonviolent crimes.
And some Trump proxies have not ruled out expanded raids in workplaces and sweeps in immigrant communities.
It’s unclear if Sheinbaum and her government hold out any hope that Trump’s deportation threats — a central pillar of his campaign — can be averted. Their public posture is to try to convince Trump of the importance of Mexican workers to key U.S. industries, including agriculture, meatpacking and the hospitality sector. But Trump and his allies have shown little sympathy for that argument.
Vulnerable Mexican citizens “need to know that they have rights,” Sheinbaum told reporters. “You can’t just deport a person, detain them, take them to the border. There are a series of legal procedures that need to be followed.”
Formal deportation cases can take months, even years, to resolve before immigration judges.
A legal assistance program for Mexicans residing in the United States now includes more than 300 advisors across Mexico’s 53 U.S. consulates, the government says, and also receives voluntary support from consultants and law firms.
Some critics question whether the Mexican government’s preparations will be effective, or if they’re really meant to be.
“The panic button, the stuff with the consulates — it’s all a smokescreen to give the impression of doing something in response to Trump,” said Irineo Mujica, who heads the Pueblo Sin Fronteras rights group. “Basically, they are going to give in to whatever Trump wants.”
The so-called panic-button app, to be fully rolled out this month, would allow citizens to alert officials at the nearest Mexican Consulate — as well as previously selected family members — of enforcement action targeting them, officials say.
Questions remain about how the app will work, and when it will become widely available. It will be simple to use and designed to be utilized if someone is facing “imminent detention,” De la Fuente said. Some immigration lawyers in Texas have launched a similar initiative, albeit of a smaller scale, and it has proved an effective tool, the foreign minister said.
“If someone is detained, independent of their migratory status, the most important thing is that the consulate is notified,” said De la Fuente. “This guarantees that the consulate is advised and we can make a quick reaction.”
According to the State Department, foreign nationals detained in the United States must be advised of the option of having the closest consulate or embassy notified. Immigrant advocates say arrested migrants are often not told of this option.
A deportation officer with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement conducts a briefing before an operation last month in the Bronx borough of New York.
(Julia Demaree Nikhinson / Associated Press)
People in immigration proceedings may hire attorneys, but they often cannot afford the fees — or may be unaware of how to go about finding counsel. Unlike criminal defendants, those detained for immigration violations have no right to court-appointed lawyers. Various studies have shown that having counsel greatly reduces the chances of someone being deported.
Mexican authorities, De la Fuente said, are also making “extensive efforts” to encourage compatriots in the United States with U.S.-born children to register their names and those of their children with consulates. One of the great fears of mass deportation is that sweeps could separate U.S.-citizen children from undocumented parents — or even result in the removal of U.S. citizen minors.
In Mexico, the migrant panic-button plan has been greeted with considerable skepticism. Some have noted that, in Mexico, authorities are often slow to respond to emergency calls reporting crimes or to the many fixed panic buttons in parks and other sites that are meant to summon police.
“Are Batman and Robin going to come to the rescue?” one person asked on social media after the government unveiled the app plan.
Also, many remain unconvinced that Mexican consulates — which, like other parts of the Mexican government, have seen budget cuts in recent years — will be much help in the face of sweeping deportations. Mujica said the consulates are often viewed with distrust by Mexican migrants. “They treat people like second-class citizens,” Mujica said.
Another element of Sheinbaum’s plan is to bolster aid for deportees removed to Mexican border cities and elsewhere in Mexico. “They will be received with social programs … and all the help they need,” Sheinbaum said, but she has provided few details.
Skeptics note that Mexican authorities have traditionally done little to assist Mexican nationals who are daily deported or otherwise repatriated to Mexico — beyond welcoming them and offering free or discounted bus fare back to their areas of origin.
Special correspondent Cecilia Sánchez Vidal in Mexico City contributed to this report.
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