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Confidence, Anxiety and a Scramble for Votes Two Days Before the Midterms

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Confidence, Anxiety and a Scramble for Votes Two Days Before the Midterms

DELAWARE COUNTY, Pa. — The turbulent midterm marketing campaign rolled via its last weekend on Sunday as voters — buffeted by file inflation, worries about their private security and fears in regards to the basic stability of American democracy — confirmed clear indicators of making ready to reject Democratic management of Washington and embrace divided authorities.

As candidates sprinted throughout the nation to make their closing arguments to voters, Republicans entered the ultimate stretch of the race assured they’d win management of the Home and presumably the Senate. Democrats steeled themselves for potential losses even in historically blue corners of the nation.

On Sunday, President Biden was set to marketing campaign for Gov. Kathy Hochul of New York in a Yonkers precinct the place he gained 80 % of the vote in 2020, signaling the deep challenges going through his get together two years after he claimed a mandate to enact a sweeping home agenda. Former President Donald J. Trump deliberate to deal with supporters in Miami, one other signal of Republican optimism that the get together may flip Florida’s most populous city county for the primary time in 20 years.

Their appearances will mark an uncommon capstone to a rare marketing campaign — the primary post-pandemic, post-Roe, post-Jan. 6 nationwide election in a fiercely divided nation shaken by rising political violence and lies in regards to the final main election.

Whereas a majority of voters identify the financial system as their prime concern, practically three-quarters of Individuals consider democracy is in peril, with most figuring out the opposing get together as the foremost menace. Ought to Republicans sweep the Home contests, their management may empower the get together’s proper wing, giving a good greater bullhorn to lawmakers who visitors in conspiracy theories and falsehoods like Representatives Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia and Matt Gaetz of Florida.

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A central query for Democrats is whether or not such a particular second overrides fierce historic headwinds. Since 1934, practically each president has misplaced seats in his first midterm election. And sometimes, voters punish the get together in energy for poor financial situations — dynamics that time towards Republican good points.

“These individuals don’t simply have to lose. They should lose by lots. They should get the message,” mentioned Senator Marco Rubio of Florida, talking at a Republican rally in Miami forward of Mr. Trump.

After days of campaigning throughout rural Nevada, Adam Laxalt, the Republican difficult Senator Catherine Cortez Masto, rallied supporters in and round Las Vegas this weekend, predicting a “crimson wave” that’s “deep and vast.” Mr. Laxalt famous that Mr. Biden didn’t marketing campaign in Nevada this 12 months and blamed him for the state’s 15 % inflation.

“He’s going to name you anti-democratic for utilizing the democratic system to provide us a change,” he informed supporters on Saturday in Clark County, the state’s largest county. “However that change is coming.”

The midterm’s last panorama two days earlier than Tuesday’s election hinted that voters had been prioritizing fiscal worries over extra existential fears about democracy or preserving abortion rights. From liberal northeastern suburbs to Western states, Republican strategists, lawmakers and officers now say they might flip main components of the nation and increase their margins in Southern and Rust Belt states which have been fertile floor for his or her get together for a lot of the final decade.

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There have been additionally some early indicators that key components of the coalition that boosted Democrats to victory in 2018 and 2020 — reasonable suburban white ladies and Latino voters — had been swinging towards Republican candidates. The primary girl, Jill Biden, traveled to Houston on Sunday, making an attempt to carry get together turnout within the Democratic stronghold of Harris County and supporting the embattled county chief, Lina Hidalgo.

“We should converse up for justice and democracy,” Dr. Biden informed the congregation at Good Hope Missionary Baptist Church, her first cease on a day that was additionally scheduled to incorporate visits to a different Black church and a predominantly Hispanic neighborhood. “We should vote.”

Within the Home, the place Republicans have to flip 5 seats to manage the chamber, the get together vied for districts in Democratic bastions, together with in Rhode Island, exurban New York, Oregon and California. Republican strategists touted their surprisingly shut standing in governor’s races in longer-shot blue states like New York, New Mexico and Oregon.

On the similar time, the Senate stays a tossup, with candidates locked in close to dead-even races in three states — Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania — and tight races in a minimum of one other 4. Republicans want only one extra seat to win management.

“Everybody on the Republican aspect must be optimistic,” Senator Rick Scott, a Florida Republican and the pinnacle of the Republican Senate marketing campaign arm, mentioned in an interview. Mr. Scott predicted his get together would flip the chamber, going past the 51 seats wanted for management. “When you take a look at the polls now, we’ve each motive to assume we’ll be over 52.”

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For months, Democratic candidates in key races have outpaced Mr. Biden’s low approval rankings, aided by flawed Republican opponents who had been boosted to major victories by Mr. Trump. Persevering with to outrun the chief of their get together has grown harder as perceptions of the financial system worsened and as Republican teams unleashed a fall advert blitz accusing their opponents of being weak on crime.

“It’s a detailed race — it’s a soar ball for certain,” Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, the Democrat operating for Senate in Pennsylvania in opposition to Mehmet Oz, the tv character, informed a gaggle of supporters in suburban Philadelphia.

Dr. Oz and Mr. Fetterman each hung out within the Philadelphia space on Sunday, battling, specifically, within the reasonable suburbs. Dr. Oz campaigned with Senator Susan Collins of Maine and Consultant Brian Fitzpatrick of Pennsylvania, two extra reasonable Republicans, throughout a round-table dialogue in Bucks County. Additionally in Bucks County, Mr. Fetterman had a rally with Josh Shapiro, the Democratic nominee for governor.

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In North Carolina’s Johnston County, Consultant Ted Budd, the Republican who has been locked in a good Senate race for months, rallied canvassers with a way that the nationwide dialog had swung in his get together’s course up to now weeks.

“We’re speaking about three issues on the market, as a result of our insurance policies are on the proper aspect: On the subject of inflation, in relation to crime, in relation to schooling, these are the issues that individuals are really speaking about,” Mr. Budd mentioned.

Fifty miles north, in Rocky Mount, Cheri Beasley, his Democratic opponent and a former State Supreme Court docket chief justice, was pleading with a largely Black viewers to get each voter to the polls.

“Any person fought for us,” she informed a cheering crowd beneath a brilliant blue sky outdoors a bandstand at Greater Floor Ministries. “So we’ve an obligation to struggle for the following era.”

Within the Home, the query is how giant subsequent 12 months’s Republican majority might be. Some strategists have elevated their estimates of what number of seats the G.O.P. will acquire from a handful to greater than 25, which is effectively over the edge for management of the chamber. A number of the Democratic challenges are structural: Republicans may decide up three seats simply from redistricting in accordance with some estimates, and a wave of Democratic retirements means greater than a dozen seats in aggressive districts lack incumbents to defend them.

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Paired with the variety of seats leaning Republican or thought of tossups, these obstacles are the makings of a landslide if undecided voters break decisively for the get together out of energy.

“It’s not a shock that this can be a powerful cycle,” mentioned Sean Patrick Maloney, the pinnacle of the Democratic Home marketing campaign arm, who’s in peril of dropping his seat in New York’s Hudson Valley, which Mr. Biden gained by 10 proportion factors. “We’re very a lot conscious of what we’re up in opposition to.”

In governor’s races, Republican candidates modeled after Mr. Trump face decidedly combined prospects, reflecting their get together’s struggles along with his continued affect. Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida appeared poised for re-election, whereas Kari Lake, the Republican nominee in Arizona, faces a tricky battle. Doug Mastriano, the far-right nominee in Pennsylvania, was anticipated to lose, however Gov. Brian Kemp of Georgia and Gov. Mike DeWine of Ohio, each of whom clashed with Mr. Trump, seem to have solidified their maintain.

In some methods, the congressional elections are much less consequential than among the state elections, provided that Mr. Biden will nonetheless be within the White Home to dam Republican laws. In Wisconsin and North Carolina, the get together is on the verge of breakthroughs in state legislatures that may give it nearly complete management of their governments.

If Republicans acquire only a handful of Home and Senate seats in North Carolina, Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, faces the prospect of a Republican supermajority, rendering his veto pen out of date to cease insurance policies like a state abortion ban. If Republicans flip solely one of many two State Supreme Court docket seats up for re-election Tuesday, a Republican-controlled excessive courtroom may ratify much more gerrymandered state legislative maps that may lock in Republican management for the foreseeable future.

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“Sure, we’re involved about it as a result of the Republicans obtained to attract their very own districts,” Mr. Cooper mentioned. “We all know this can be a very purple, 50-50 state, but we’ve a state of affairs with unfair maps of perhaps a supermajority.”

However the chaotic occasions of the post-Trump period together with questions in regards to the very mechanics of elections have injected a heavy dose of uncertainty into the end result of the 2022 midterms.

Democratic strategists have been obsessed with early voting, saying that it matched or was increased than the turnout two years in the past when the get together swept the Home. Greater than 30 million ballots have been solid already, exceeding the 2018 complete, and the Democratic benefit is 11 proportion factors nationwide, even higher than in 2018, in accordance with Tom Bonier, the chief govt of TargetSmart, a agency that analyzes political information.

However Republican candidates have adopted Mr. Trump’s lead in denouncing mail voting and inspiring their voters to solid their ballots on Election Day. So these early Democratic numbers could possibly be swamped by Republican votes on Tuesday.

Republicans, in the meantime, level to polling averages that crept towards the G.O.P. within the last week. However numerous the polls had been carried out by Republican-leaning corporations, which may affect the end result of these surveys. And after a number of cycles of polling underestimating Trump voters, it’s unclear whether or not pollsters have accurately captured the citizens.

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“I’ve by no means been one who has put my bets on any ballot, as a result of I believe significantly presently individuals are not sharing the place they’re,” mentioned Senator Patty Murray, a Democrat of Washington, who’s going through a tricky re-election battle in her blue state.

Hispanic voters are more likely to play a vital position in Tuesday’s election, although either side stay unsure how a lot the panorama has shifted. In two of the states which are more likely to decide management of the Senate — Nevada and Arizona — they make up roughly 20 % of the citizens. Latinos additionally account for greater than 20 % of registered voters in additional than a dozen hotly contested Home races, together with in California, Colorado, Florida and New Mexico.

“The information itself proper now could be an image of uncertainty,” mentioned Carlos Odio, who runs Equis, a Democratic-leaning analysis agency that focuses on Latino voters. “We’re not seeing additional decline for Democratic assist, however the get together has relied on very excessive margins up to now.”

Katie Glueck contributed reporting from Philadelphia, J. David Goodman from Houston and Patricia Mazzei from Miami.

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Video: Insults Disrupt House Oversight Committee Session

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Video: Insults Disrupt House Oversight Committee Session

“Do you know what we’re here for? You know we’re here about AG.” “I don’t think you know what you’re here for.” “Well, you’re the one talking about —” “I think your fake eyelashes are messing up —” “Ain’t nothing —” “Hold on, hold on.” [gavel pounding] “Order.” “Mr. Chairman.” “That’s beneath even you —” “Order, order. Regain order of your committee.” “I would like to move to take down Ms. Greene’s words. That is absolutely unacceptable. How dare you attack the physical appearance of another person.” “Are your feelings hurt?” “Move her words, down.” “Aww.” “Oh, oh girl, baby girl.” “Oh, really?” “Don’t even play.” “Baby girl. I don’t think —” “We are going to move and we’re going to take your words down.” “I second that motion.” “You agree to strike your words?” “Yeah.” “O.K. — Ms. Greene agrees to strike her words.” “I believe she should apologize. No, no, no.” “Hold on. Then, after Mr. Perry’s going to be recognized, then —” “I’m not apologizing.” “Well, then you’re not striking your words.” “You reserve the right to object.” “I am not apologizing.” “Just to better understand your ruling: If someone on this committee then starts talking about somebody’s bleached blonde, bad-built butch body, that would not be engaging in personalities, correct?” “A what now?” “Chariman, I make, I make a motion to strike those words.” “I don’t think that’s —” “I’m trying to find clarification on what —” “Chairman, motion to strike those words.” We’re not, we’re not going to do this. Look, you guys earlier, literally just —” “You just voted to do this.” “Y’all did it first.” “You just voted to do it.” “Order, order.” “I’m trying to get clarification.” “Look — calm down. Calm down.” “No, no, no, no because this is what you all do. So I’m trying to get —” “Ms. Crockett, you’re not recognized.”

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Fox News invites Trump, Biden campaigns to vice presidential debate

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Fox News invites Trump, Biden campaigns to vice presidential debate

Fox News Media has invited the Trump campaign and the Biden campaign to participate in a vice presidential debate before the 2024 election. 

In a letter to the campaigns, Fox News Media said it requested the opportunity to host a vice presidential debate, and said it would be available to do so on July 23, August 13, or dates “following both nomination conventions.”

BIDEN CAMPAIGN ACCEPTS VP DEBATE INVITATION FOR SUMMER SHOWDOWN WITH KAMALA HARRIS AND TRUMP RUNNING MATE

The proposed vice presidential debate would be hosted by Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum, who Fox News Media President Jay Wallace said “are obvious choices as the faces of our political coverage.” 

Fox News anchors Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum. (Fox News)

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“In addition, FOX News Media has reached out to Virginia State University as a possible location, since it was selected by the CPD as the first historically Black College or University to host a Presidential debate,” the letter said. 

“Despite not having a Democratic debate in 2016/2020, FOX News was able to secure town halls with Democratic candidates such as: Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, Julian Castro, Amy Klobuchar and Kirsten Gillibrand.
In recognition of FOX News Media’s capabilities and reputation, we cordially extend an invitation to all concerned parties to discuss our proposal,” the letter states. 

Former President Trump accepted the invitation Friday afternoon.

“On behalf of the future Vice President of the United States, who I have not yet chosen, we hereby accept the Fox Vice Presidential Debate, hopefully at Virginia State University, the first Historically Black College or University to host a Debate – Date to be determined,” Trump posted on his Truth Social. “I urge Vice President Kamala Harris to agree to this. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!” 

The Biden campaign already accepted CBS News’ vice presidential debate invitation for this summer, setting the stage for a showdown between Vice President Kamala Harris and whoever is selected as the Republican VP nominee. 

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The campaign notified CBS News that they accepted the invitation to participate in studio on either of the proposed dates — July 23 or August 13. 

On Wednesday, the Biden campaign wrote a letter to the Commission on Presidential Debates, abandoning the decades-old tradition of three fall events organized by the debate commission. 

Former President Trump, shortly after, exclusively told Fox News Digital that he would accept the timeline proposed by Biden — scheduling the first presidential debate for June 27 on CNN and the second for September 10 on ABC News. 

Trump and the RNC announce a $76 million fundraising haul in April

Former President Donald Trump headlines a Republican National Committee spring donor retreat, in Palm Beach, Florida on May 4, 2024  (Donald Trump 2024 campaign)

The Biden-Harris campaign asked that the debates occur inside a TV studio, with microphones that automatically cut off when a speaker’s time limit elapses. The letter also asked that the debates involve just the two candidates and the moderator — without “an in-person audience with raucous or disruptive partisans and donors.” 

TRUMP ACCEPTS BIDEN OFFER TO DEBATE HIM IN JUNE AND SEPTEMBER

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They also want the debates without the participation of Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. or other independent or third-party candidates. 

“We look forward to the Trump campaign accepting one of these dates so that the full debate calendar for this campaign can be set,” the Biden campaign said about the vice presidential debate schedule on Thursday. 

The fast scheduling began Wednesday morning after Biden posted a video to social media. 

“Donald Trump lost two debates to me in 2020. Since then, he hasn’t shown up for a debate. Now he’s acting like he wants to debate me again. Well, make my day, pal,” Biden said in a video message shared Wednesday morning. “I’ll even do it twice. So let’s pick the dates, Donald. I hear you’re free on Wednesdays.” 

President Biden and Vice President Harris

President Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris. (Getty Images)

Trump, in an exclusive interview with Fox News Digital shortly after, said: 

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“Crooked Joe Biden is the worst debater I have ever faced – he can’t put two sentences together,” Trump told Fox News Digital. “Crooked is also the worst president in the history of the United States, by far.” 

Trump told Fox News Digital that “it is time for a debate to take place – even if it has to be held through the offices of the Commission on Presidential Debates, which are totally controlled by Democrats and who, as people remember, got caught cheating with me with debate sound levels.”

JESSE WATTERS: BIDEN HAS A LIST OF DEBATE DEMANDS LONGER THAN A SPENDING BILL

“I’m ready to go,” Trump said. “The dates that they proposed are fine. Anywhere. Anytime. Any place. Let’s see if Joe can make it to the stand-up podium.”

“The proposed June and early September dates are fully acceptable to me,” Trump told Fox News Digital. “I will provide my own transportation.”

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And just moments later, Biden posted on his social media that he “received and accepted an invitation” from CNN for a debate on June 27. 

“Over to you, Donald. As you said: anywhere, any time, any place,” Biden wrote. 

When asked for comment, Trump told Fox News Digital that he will accept and “will be there.” The Republican added that he is “looking forward to being in beautiful Atlanta.”

Later Wednesday, Trump took to his Truth Social, echoing his comments to Fox News Digital. 

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“It’s time for a debate so that he can explain to the American People his highly destructive Open Border Policy, new and ridiculous EV Mandates, the allowance of Crushing Inflation, High Taxes, and his really WEAK Foreign Policy, which is allowing the World to ‘Catch on Fire.’ I am Ready and Willing to Debate Crooked Joe at the two proposed times in June and September,” Trump posted. “I would strongly recommend more than two debates and, for excitement purposes, a very large venue, although Biden is supposedly afraid of crowds – That’s only because he doesn’t get them. Just tell me when, I’ll be there. ‘Let’s get ready to Rumble!!!’” 

Trump on Saturday appeared before a crowd of tens of thousands on the Jersey Shore in the deep-blue state. The campaign event was held in between Trump’s appearances in Manhattan Criminal Court.

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David DePape sentenced to 30 years in attempted Nancy Pelosi kidnapping, hammer attack on husband

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David DePape sentenced to 30 years in attempted Nancy Pelosi kidnapping, hammer attack on husband

A federal judge on Friday sentenced David DePape to 30 years in prison, six months after a jury found him guilty of attempting to kidnap former U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and using a hammer to bludgeon her husband in a bloody October 2022 assault.

Judge Jacqueline Scott Corley delivered her decision during a hearing at the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, reprimanding DePape at length and saying she believed he continued to pose a danger to the public and “all Americans.”

“He broke into the home of that public official, he broke into that private space of home and violently attacked a public official’s spouse,” Scott Corley said. “What that means and why this now is so harmful to everyone in the country and the future, is that when someone is considering now whether they want to go into public service, they have to think not only am I willing to take that risk myself, but am I willing to risk my spouse, my children, my grandchildren.”

DePape, dressed in an orange jail sweatsuit and wearing ankle restraints, did not outwardly react as his sentence was read.

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The sentencing caps a federal trial that captivated the nation and raised chilling questions about the safety of public officials amid heightened political extremism and the proliferation of online venues that give traction to baseless fanatical conspiracy theories.

In letters to the judge that their daughter, Christine Pelosi, read in court, both Nancy and Paul Pelosi asked the judge to impose lengthy sentences.

In her letter, Nancy Pelosi said her husband continues to suffer physically and emotionally from the attack, and that the violent incident “has had a devastating effect on three generations of our family.”

“It is therefore necessary that the guilty party’s sentence be very long as a punishment for the attack and the injuries Paul continues to suffer — and as a deterrent to others considering violence against public officials,” the former speaker wrote.

Paul Pelosi said his life “has been irrevocably changed,” and that he hasn’t fully recovered. He noted that a blood stain on the front entryway and the metal plate now embedded in his head serve as enduring reminders of the assault.

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Federal prosecutors had requested a 40-year federal prison term with a terrorism enhancement, arguing that DePape has demonstrated no remorse and that a tough sentence would serve as a deterrent to other would-be assailants motivated by ideological extremism.

“At a time when extremism has led to attacks on public and elected officials, this case presents a moment to speak to others harboring ideologically motivated violent dreams and plans,” Assistant U.S. Attys. Helen Gilbert and Laura Vartain Horn wrote in a May 10 filing.

DePape faced a combined 50 years in federal prison: 30 years on the assault charge and 20 years for the attempted kidnapping. Scott Corley sentenced him to the maximum term on both counts, but to be served concurrently for a total of 30 years. He will get credit for the roughly 18 months he has spent in state custody.

DePape, 44, was accused of traveling from his Richmond residence to the Pelosis’ Pacific Heights home in the early morning hours of Oct. 28, 2022, with plans to hold the lawmaker hostage and interrogate her regarding unfounded claims fueled by far-right conspiracy theorists of corruption, human trafficking and child abuse by Democrats and other public figures.

DePape broke into the home, but instead of finding Nancy Pelosi, who was in Washington at the time, he stumbled across the bedroom where her husband was sleeping.

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“The door opened and a very large man came in, with a hammer in one hand and some ties in the other hand,” Paul Pelosi testified. “And he said, ‘Where’s Nancy?’ And I think that’s what woke me up.”

He was able to get to his cellphone and dial 911. When the police arrived, the two men were struggling over DePape’s hammer. The prosecutors showed jurors graphic police body-camera video of DePape bludgeoning Paul Pelosi, then 82, fracturing his skull and seriously injuring his right arm and left hand.

Still-pending state charges accuse DePape of attempted murder, assault with a deadly weapon, elder abuse, burglary and threats to a public official and her family. In contrast, the federal trial centered on whether DePape’s actions that morning were indelibly tied to Speaker Pelosi’s official duties in Congress.

In making their case, federal prosecutors provided jurors a detailed review of DePape’s online purchases and search history to demonstrate how he spent months preparing for the attack. Jurors heard portions of a police interview in which DePape said he considered Speaker Pelosi the Democrats’ “leader of the pack,” and that he would “break her kneecaps” if she didn’t admit to corruption and other claims of human trafficking and child abuse.

DePape’s federal public defenders, Jodi Linker and Angela Chuang, had urged the judge to consider a more lenient 14-year sentence, arguing their client suffers from mental health issues and trauma from an abusive relationship with Gypsy Taub, his former romantic partner and the mother of his children.

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Linker and Chuang never disputed that their client committed the violence. They instead tried to convince the jury that DePape was motivated by elaborate conspiracy theories that were nonetheless his deeply held beliefs.

They referenced support letters from family and friends describing the crimes as “completely out of character.”

“David was never violent when he was young, and I am sorry that this has happened,” DePape’s stepfather, Gene DePape, wrote in a statement to The Times. “I am very sorry to Paul and Nancy.”

The attorneys based much of their request for leniency on the influence of Taub, a Bay Area nudism activist who recently served time in state prison for trying to abduct a 14-year-old boy in Berkeley. They maintained Taub isolated DePape from his family and “immersed him in a world of extreme beliefs where reality is not reality.”

“His long-term relationship with his ex-partner, Gypsy Taub, inflicted immeasurable harm to his mental state and what little support network he had in the form of his family,” DePape’s attorneys wrote in a May 10 sentencing memo.

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David DePape with Gypsy Taub at her nude wedding on the steps of San Francisco City Hall in 2013.

(San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)

Chuang reiterated that argument during the sentencing hearing, saying DePape was “gaslit, abused and he was very intentionally cut off from his family,” while Taub watched quietly from a court bench.

In a recorded audio statement she sent The Times this week, Taub dismissed the attorneys’ allegations of abuse, saying: “I love David. I will always love him, regardless of what he does or says.”

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“He’s an incredibly beautiful human being. But he’s very broken,” Taub said.

During an interview with The Times before DePape’s trial in her cluttered, eclectic Berkeley home, Taub espoused a number of conspiracy theories, using phrasing nearly identical to what DePape shared in his testimony, including her belief that the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks were really “an inside job” and that government has been corrupted by satanic cults that prey on children.

At the time, she was adamant DePape had been falsely accused in the Pelosi attack, describing him as sweet and gentle. He was such a nice person, she said, that even after she married another man, she allowed DePape to keep living in her home and supported him financially.

In one video Taub shared from more than a decade ago, she and DePape are nude, discussing his recent experience with psychedelics at a Burning Man festival in the Nevada desert.

“What is your dream for the planet?” Taub asked.

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“I’d really like there to be peace,” he responded.

“And if the whole world could hear you right now, what would be your message to the world?” she asked.

“God is love. God is loving,” he said. “And this is an illusion.”

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