Pennsylvania
This Pennsylvania House race could predict who wins the presidency
ALLENTOWN, Pa. — Big-name politicians are descending on Pennsylvania’s Lehigh Valley in the closing weeks of the 2024 election, where voters in the swingy 7th Congressional District could determine which party controls the House next year — if not the White House.
On Wednesday, House Democratic Caucus Chair Pete Aguilar, D-Calif., joined Rep. Susan Wild, D-Pa., here on a tour of Latino-owned small businesses. The next day, Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., stumped for her GOP opponent, state Rep. Ryan Mackenzie in Hellertown, while Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., participated in a voting rights discussion with Wild in nearby Easton.
Next week, Minority Whip Katherine Clark, D-Mass., will campaign for Wild at a reproductive rights event back in Allentown.
The race between Wild, a moderate Democrat, and Mackenzie, a Republican with a long family history in the district, is a “bellwether” for the presidential election, Wild said — a true swing district in a swing state that will play a critical role in deciding who occupies the White House.
“This is a district that has chosen the president, rightly or wrongly, for the last seven cycles, at least — and will again this year. I keep telling people from outside the area: On election night, watch Pennsylvania 7 if you want to know how the presidential is going to come out,” Wild said in an interview with NBC News after several campaign stops in downtown Allentown with Aguilar.
“This is not an exaggeration. This is not hyperbole,” she said. “I guarantee you … as the Greater Lehigh Valley goes, so goes the nation.”
The battleground district, in eastern Pennsylvania north of Philadelphia, is evenly divided between Democrats and Republicans; and based on the updated congressional lines, President Joe Biden narrowly edged out former President Donald Trump here in 2020, 49.7% to 49.1%.
Not the Allentown of the ’80’s
In many ways, the district is a microcosm of the nation as a whole — a blend of urban, suburban and rural areas and a region that is becoming more diverse, thanks in large part to a fast-growing Latino community. Latinos are moving here from Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, Mexico, Colombia, Guatemala and Venezuela, but also from more expensive regions in New York and New Jersey.
With a boost from Aguilar and others, Wild has been working to turn out Latino voters in places like Allentown, the once-proud iron and steel manufacturing hub whose population is now 55% Latino, up from nearly 43% in the 2010 U.S. Census. Next door in Bethlehem, nearly a third of the population is Latino.
“People know the Billy Joel song. They think of Allentown as a post-industrial city. But the reality is that this is a city that’s continued to grow since the ‘80s — like, our low point was probably around that Billy Joel song — and we’ve mostly grown on the strength of a growing Latino community,” said Matthew Tuerk, who made history in 2022 as Allentown’s first Latino and Spanish-speaking mayor.
Tuerk caught up with Wild and Aguilar as they dropped by El Mercadito Grocery in downtown Allentown on Wednesday. Earlier, Wild and Aguilar visited El Tablazo Restaurant, a Dominican family-owned restaurant that serves up empanadas, Cuban sandwiches and oxtail stew.
They all ended up at La Cocina Del Abuelo (Grandpa’s Kitchen) for a wide-ranging roundtable discussion with a dozen local Latino leaders that touched on Vice President Kamala Harris’ long-term care proposal, cutting prescription drug prices and red tape for small businesses, and the need for more federal services.
Wild served as Allentown’s solicitor before she won a 2018 special election to succeed moderate Republican Rep. Charlie Dent, who, like Wild, had served as Ethics Committee chairman. She won re-election in 2022 by less than 2 percentage points. Polls now show Wild with a slim lead over Mackenzie but within the margin of error.
Though she is the incumbent and older than Mackenzie, Wild, 67, labeled Mackenzie, 42, a “career politician,” noting he has served in elected office for 12 years — twice as long as her. In Harrisburg, he serves alongside his mother, GOP state Rep. Milou Mackenzie.
Both Wild and Mackenzie are white.
Latino leaders at the roundtable said the congresswoman has spent the past six years building relationships with the community. “She’s been here,” said Greenberg Lemus, a Mexican American and the owner of La Cocina Del Abuelo, adding that he has Wild’s phone number and frequently texts her with concerns.
Aguilar, the No. 3 House Democrat and highest-ranking Hispanic member of Congress, told the leaders that as the Latino community in Allentown — and around the country — matures and learns to access “doors that weren’t open” before, there will be “growing pains.”
“But I can tell you,” he said, “as someone who works with her every day in D.C., Susan Wild has your back.”
A fight over immigration
Mackenzie and the Republicans have attacked Wild as weak on border security, saying that she repeatedly voted against Trump’s border wall and that she’s contributed to the number of unaccompanied migrant children in Lehigh Valley.
“She has a failed record on border security,” Mackenzie said in a Thursday interview after a rally with Johnson in Hellertown. “She is on the record calling a border wall ‘silly.’ She called sanctuary cities safer, and she has voted against border wall funding 10 different times.”
Wild pushed back on that narrative during a recent debate with Mackenzie, saying she voted for wall funding once before and knocked him for opposing the Senate’s bipartisan border security bill.
Johnson tossed even more red meat to 150 GOP faithful who gathered to see Mackenzie and the speaker at the Steel Club, a former spot for Bethlehem Steel executives and supervisors that is now a private golf club.
“Every state is a border state, as we say, because they opened the border wide, and ya’ll, they did it intentionally, OK? They wanted to turn these people into voters,” Johnson said, echoing a baseless conspiracy theory Trump has often raised, though it is already illegal and rare for noncitizens to vote. “Why else would they subject the country to these catastrophic results, the human trafficking, the violent crime, the known terrorists who have come into our country?”
Despite that tough border talk, Mackenzie’s campaign, like Trump’s, sees an opportunity to make inroads among Latino voters. A recent NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC poll found that support for Harris among Latino voters is at 54%, the lowest level in the past four presidential election cycles. Trump this week held a rally in nearby Reading, where nearly 7 out of every 10 residents are Latino.
Mackenzie said he’s attended Allentown’s Puerto Rican Parade and Dominican Festival. But he hasn’t shifted his messaging to court Latinos, specifically immigrants or Puerto Rican migrants.
“The issues in the Hispanic community are the same as the regular, larger community. … They talk about price of living. They talk about immigration. They see in their communities the crime and the drugs that are coming in across an open southern border as well,” Mackenzie said.
“The only thing that we do differently is we put it in Spanish,” he said. “That’s it. It’s the same message, same communications.”
Radio host and executive Victor Martinez, who owns Allentown’s popular Spanish-language station La Mega and participated in Wild’s roundtable, said he’s been “bombarded” by Democrats trying to get on his airwaves. He’s recently interviewed both Harris and her running mate, Tim Walz, on his show, but he said he’s seen zero interest or outreach from Republicans this cycle. He endorsed Harris in a campaign video last month.
“If they are seen to be catering too much or reaching too much out to the Latino voter, I think that that could upset their base,” Martinez said. “‘Wait a minute: Here you’re telling us that they are the ones taking our way our benefits, and they are the ones to blame for a lot of things and, at the same time, there you are telling them to come out to vote for you and offering things to make their life better?’”
“I think they are having a hard time reconciling those two together, and that’s why we haven’t seen all-out marketing, advertising, trying to get the Latino votes — at least here in Pennsylvania. It’s been mute,” he added.
Abortion rights and trust
The candidates have clashed on other issues as well. Wild has sought to portray Mackenzie as bad for women voters. In her ads, she’s suggested he opposes in vitro fertilization and highlighted reports that he lied about his age by eight years in a Tinder dating profile.
She’s also taken aim at his past vote in the state Legislature to ban abortions after 19 weeks of pregnancy, with no exception for rape and incest.
Mackenzie said Wild is trying to “mischaracterize” his record and “deceive voters” — he is fully supportive of IVF, he said, adding he has voted for another bill allowing taxpayer dollars to be used to pay for some abortions in cases of rape, incest and life of the mother.
Mackenzie, who is now married and has a child, called the Tinder issue a “distraction,” saying not a single voter has ever mentioned this issue to him on the campaign trail. He said he’s focused on issues like inflation and border security.
“People want answers on what you’re actually going to do to help them and improve their lives,” he said.
Some Pennsylvania towns make it easy to feel included within a day of arriving. In Lititz, summer concerts at Lititz Springs Park turn into informal reunions, with families setting up lawn chairs side by side and local shop owners joining once they lock their doors for the evening. In Boiling Springs, the path around Children’s Lake doubles as a daily check-in point where walkers greet each other by name before drifting into the cafés along Front Street. And in Ligonier, the Diamond and its bandstand pull residents downtown for markets and community events that rely on volunteers rather than outside organizers. The same pattern carries through the rest of the towns on our list.
Lititz
Lititz is in Lancaster County, about 6 miles north of the city of Lancaster. Founded in 1756, the town was named after a castle in Bohemia and initially served as a Moravian congregation settlement. Lititz is home to the Julius Sturgis Pretzel Bakery, established in 1861 as the first commercial pretzel bakery in the United States.
Lititz Springs Park, a historic community hub since 1756, hosts various yearly events, notably the well-known Lititz Fourth of July Celebration. For dining, the Appalachian Brewing Company provides locally brewed beers and a distinctive menu showcasing regional dishes. The Wilbur Chocolate Factory, a landmark since the late 1800s, includes a museum and shop where visitors can explore chocolate-making processes and buy unique confections.
Boiling Springs
Boiling Springs, in Cumberland County, owes its name to the natural artesian springs that maintain a constant temperature and were crucial to early ironworks in the area. Established in the 18th century, it is also part of the Appalachian Trail community, underscoring its long-standing connection to nature and history. The town’s historic district includes the Iron Furnace, dating to 1760 and a testament to Boiling Springs’ early industrial role.
The town features a variety of attractions for visitors and residents. Allenberry Resort and Playhouse, a historic venue since the mid-20th century, provides entertainment, dining, and lodging options. The Boiling Springs Tavern, founded in 1832, offers classic American cuisine in a historic environment. For outdoor enjoyment, Children’s Lake is perfect for fishing and relaxing walks, and the Appalachian Trail runs through the center of the community, offering great hiking opportunities.
Jim Thorpe
Jim Thorpe sits in the Lehigh Gorge in eastern Pennsylvania, and was originally known as Mauch Chunk and played a pivotal role in the coal and railroad industries. Renamed in 1954 to honor the legendary athlete Jim Thorpe, the town retains a Victorian era charm, with much of its architecture preserved and celebrated. This heritage is evident in attractions such as the Asa Packer Mansion, built in 1861 by a philanthropist and railroad magnate, which now serves as a museum.
Visitors to Jim Thorpe can choose from various recreation and dining options. The Lehigh Gorge Scenic Railway provides a scenic ride through the mountains, perfect for enjoying the area’s natural beauty. Dining choices include Moya, famous for its upscale American dishes, and Stone Row Pub & Eatery, offering a relaxed atmosphere with local ingredients. Outdoor lovers can enjoy boating and hiking at Mauch Chunk Lake Park, making the town an attractive destination.
Ligonier
Ligonier was established in the 1760s and features a rich colonial history highlighted by Fort Ligonier, a British fortification from the French and Indian War. The town square, known as the Diamond, is circled by original structures and a bandstand from the 19th century, reinforcing its historical ambiance.
Fort Ligonier functions as both a museum showcasing 18th-century artifacts and a venue for reenactments and educational activities. The Southern Alleghenies Museum of Art enriches visitors with American art exhibitions. Dining options in Ligonier include the historic Ligonier Tavern, known for its local cuisine, and The Wicked Googly, famous for its vibrant atmosphere and live music. For outdoor leisure, Ligonier Beach offers a distinctive swimming experience with a historic pool from 1925.
Wellsboro
Wellsboro, located in Tioga County, was established in 1806 and acts as the gateway to the Pennsylvania Grand Canyon, also known as Pine Creek Gorge. The town exudes nostalgic charm with its gas-lit streets and historic Victorian buildings, offering a window into its storied history. A prime example of this history is the Penn Wells Hotel, which has been serving visitors since the early 1900s.
For those wanting to explore Wellsboro, the restored 1920s movie theater, The Arcadia Theatre, regularly features films and performances, serving as a cultural center for locals and visitors. The Native Bagel offers a relaxed dining atmosphere with dishes made from locally sourced ingredients. Outdoor lovers can enjoy Leonard Harrison State Park, which offers stunning views of the Pennsylvania Grand Canyon, along with trails and picnic spots. Furthermore, the annual Pennsylvania State Laurel Festival attracts crowds with its parade, arts and crafts, and local food stalls, honoring the area’s cultural traditions.
Foxburg
Foxburg, situated along the Allegheny River in Clarion County, was founded in 1870. It is famous for being home to the oldest golf course still in operation in the United States, the Foxburg Country Club, established in 1887. This historical feature adds to its charming and distinctive character, blending small-town American charm with a deep golf tradition.
The Foxburg Wine Cellars offers tastings of locally produced wines, complemented by a scenic setting. For dining, the Allegheny Grille provides riverfront views alongside a menu featuring regional cuisine, emphasizing the town’s picturesque location. Culture enthusiasts can explore the American Golf Hall of Fame, located within the Foxburg Country Club, which houses a collection of golf memorabilia and artifacts. For outdoor activities, the nearby Allegheny River Trail offers miles of biking and walking paths, making Foxburg a destination with diverse appeal.
Honesdale
Honesdale serves as the county seat for Wayne County and was founded in 1826. It has historical significance as the terminus of the Delaware and Hudson Canal, pivotal in the transport of coal to major markets in the northeast. Notably, Honesdale is credited with being the site of the first commercial steam locomotive run on rails in the United States, the Stourbridge Lion, adding a rich layer to its industrial heritage.
The Wayne County Historical Society presents exhibits on canal and railroad history, shedding light on the town’s growth. For dining, visitors can choose the upscale Hotel Wayne, known for its fine dining and bistro bar, or the more relaxed Trackside Grill, offering views of the historic railroad. Outdoor lovers can visit Honesdale Park, which has walking paths and recreational facilities, serving as a popular venue for community events and gatherings.
Milford
Milford is situated at the crossroads of the Delaware River and the Pocono Mountains’ foothills. Established in 1796, it rapidly gained popularity as a resort in the 19th century, thanks to its scenic landscape and fresh mountain air. The town is also renowned for the Milford Historic District, which features a range of well-preserved buildings that reflect its prosperous history.
The Columns Museum houses the famous Lincoln Flag, believed to be stained with Abraham Lincoln’s blood from the night of his assassination, providing a profound historical experience. For dining, Bar Louis at the Hotel Fauchère offers a contemporary menu in a stylish setting, while the Waterwheel Café provides a rustic atmosphere with live music and local cuisine. Additionally, Grey Towers National Historic Site, the former home of Gifford Pinchot, founder of the U.S. Forest Service, offers guided tours and scenic grounds.
Mount Joy
Mount Joy was founded in 1759 and has a name derived from an old Irish ship, the “Mountjoy,” which played a pivotal role in breaking a siege during the Irish Confederate Wars. This town, nestled among the rich, rolling farmlands of the county, has historically been a hub for agriculture and today melds historic charm with modern vibrancy, evident in its revitalized downtown area.
Bube’s Brewery, an intact historic 19th-century brewery and museum, offers unique dining experiences in its catacombs and regularly hosts murder mystery dinners. The Country Table Restaurant is known for its comfort food and welcoming atmosphere, reflecting the town’s friendly spirit. For outdoor activities, Little Chiques Park provides scenic walking paths and picnic areas, perfect for family outings. Additionally, the annual “Mount Joy Winterfest” brings the community together with craft vendors, food, and entertainment, showcasing the town’s lively community spirit.
Lewisburg
Lewisburg is a vibrant town established in 1785. It is home to Bucknell University, established in 1846, which adds a youthful energy and cultural richness to the town. Lewisburg’s downtown is listed on the National Register of Historic Places, featuring well-preserved 19th-century architecture and a tree-lined main street that enhances its historic charm.
In terms of activities and dining, Lewisburg offers a variety of choices that cater to both residents and visitors. The Campus Theatre, one of the few remaining single-screen art deco movie theaters in the country, offers a unique cinematic experience. For dining, Elizabeth’s American Bistro provides a fine dining experience using local ingredients, while the Bull Run Tap House offers a more casual atmosphere with a comprehensive selection of craft beers. For outdoor enthusiasts, Hufnagle Park offers a green retreat in the heart of the town, complete with walking paths and garden areas, making it a popular gathering place for community events and casual recreation.
As we journey through Pennsylvania’s coziest corners, we discover that these small towns do more than just charm visitors with their picturesque settings and historical backdrops. They invite us into a world where community spirit thrives and every street and alley tells a story. These towns, from Lititz’s pretzel-perfumed air to Lewisburg’s university vibes, showcase the true heart of Pennsylvania through their unyielding warmth and hospitality. Whether you’re seeking a serene retreat or a peek into America’s storied past, these towns offer a refuge where friendliness is the native language.
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