Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania’s population is stagnant, but these counties saw gains and losses in latest Census report
The U.S. Census Bureau conducts numerous surveys in support of hundreds of federal programs and legislative mandates. One of them is the annual population estimates for states and counties.
The estimates tell how many people lived in an area as of July 1 of a given year, and how that has changed from previous years due to births, deaths, and migration to and from other places in the U.S. and foreign countries.
The estimates for 2023 were released Thursday and show that Pennsylvania once again hasn’t changed much since 2022. But the state’s relative stagnation belies demographic turbulence among the 67 component counties.
Here are some takeaways from the new report.
Population virtually stagnant
The state’s population has rarely shifted more than a tenth or a percent from year to year since the 2010 Census. The exception was a 1.5% increase from the 2019 estimate to 2020, and a 0.32% decline from 2021 to 2022. Pennsylvania is estimated to have topped 13 million residents in 2021, but has declined in the two ensuing years, finishing at 12.96 million people last year.
The map below shows overall population changes from 2020 to 2023 in each county. Hover on or select a county to see its ranking and underlying numbers. Forty-four counties lost population from 2020 to 2023, while 23 counties gained. Of the eight counties in and around the Lehigh Valley, only Bucks and Monroe lost population.
A special note about Forest County: although it ranks last in population growth, it is unique in that about 30% of its population is comprised of inmates at the Forest maximum security prison. Therefore changes in prison population effect its numbers in an outsized way that counties with larger civilian populations don’t see. In April 2020 (when the Census was taken), the Department of Corrections reported 2,327 inmates. That number declined to 2,004 last July, a 14% decrease.
Births and deaths
Within those overall numbers are births and deaths, known in Census-speak as “natural change.” In the decade from 2010 through 2019, the state saw small increases in population due to natural change, meaning that there were more births than deaths. But that changed in 2020 when the state lost 7,386 people to natural change. The loss jumped to 25,416 in 2021, 23,462 in 2022 and 11,079 last year.
Birth rates remained steady during those years, at about 10 births each year per thousand residents, but the death rates jumped during the COVID-19 pandemic. The table below shows average death rates for regional counties before and during the pandemic. The chart beneath shows annual death rates for Pennsylvania as well as Lehigh and Northampton counties.
While the state’s average death rate jumped about 17% during the pandemic, Monroe County’s soared almost 26%. But the highest death rates, both before and during the pandemic, were in Schuylkill, jumping from 13.37 deaths per year for each 1,000 residents from 2011 through 2019, to a rate of 15.43 during the three years of the pandemic.
The map below shows the natural increase from 2020 to 2023 for all 67 counties. Only seven counties — including Lehigh — saw a natural increase over the four years of the report. Hover over, or select a county to see its cumulative numbers.
Migration
The Census Bureau tracks both domestic and international migration, those two categories referring to the origin or destination of a resident’s move, not their citizenship status. Any move within the 50 states, the District of Columbia, or any of the outlying U.S. territories is considered domestic migration. Any move that crosses another country’s border is international.
Pennsylvania has lost population from domestic migration in two of the three years of the new report. (The Census Bureau does not publish migration data in the years of the decennial Census.) International migration remained positive for all three years, resulting in net migration gains in 2021 and 2023, but, with 39,731 people fleeing Pennsylvania for other parts of the country in 2022, the 25,416 people coming into the state from other countries that year was not enough to overcome the deficit.
The map below shows cumulative net migrations gains and losses for domestic and international movements combined. The chart below that shows domestic migration for each of the three years in the state and area counties.
Finally, the last chart shows both domestic and international migration numbers just for 2023. Two counties to the north of the Lehigh Valley show dramatically different experiences with domestic migration: Monroe lost 1,165 people (a rate of 7 per 1,000 residents) who moved to other parts of the country; while Pike County had the state’s highest domestic migration rate, gaining 857 people (a rate of 14 per 1,000 residents) who moved into the county from other parts of the nation.
But Monroe’s loss was less than half the rate that Philadelphia suffered last year. It said goodbye to 27,667 people (17.75 per 1,000), a loss only partially offset by 7,038 people who moved in from foreign lands.
Pennsylvania
Fifth Time’s The Harm: Pennsylvania Gov. Shapiro Again Signed A Budget With No Money For Transit — Streetsblog USA
Another year, another blow to Pennsylvania transit riders.
Keystone State Gov. Josh Shapiro signed the annual budget into law last Sunday, and for the fifth year in a row, public transportation has been left to financially starve. The approved budget contains no funding for transit operations, continuing a streak that forces every agency to scrounge for its own money, to varying degrees of success.
“We’ve been left out for far too long,” remarked Connor Descheemaker, Statewide Campaign Manager for Transit for All, PA! The organization rallied transit riders to send more than 50,000 letters to state representatives and the White House-eying governor calling for transit funding, reaching every legislative district in Pennsylvania.
Those calls went largely unanswered. Riders in Lehigh Valley are now bracing for route eliminations and trip cancellations, despite already paying increased fares. Lancaster County paratransit riders will pay more as well, beginning next month.
Low-income, disabled, and rural Pennsylvanians will lose access to jobs, healthcare, and loved ones. That reality hasn’t stopped their governor from declaring victory.
In a speech at last week’s budget signing ceremony, Shapiro uttered a total of three words about the state-sponsored mobility crisis: “There’s more I want to do – like raising the minimum wage, funding mass transit, and expanding access to affordable housing,” he said.
Shapiro seems to understand the need for well-funded transit. Last year, he sent $220 million to Philadelphia to boost SEPTA’s barren maintenance fund following a series of onboard fires.
One-time relief won’t keep buses running, though.
Shapiro has failed, and failed, and failed again to pass his landmark transit policy. His initial proposal would increase the share of sales tax revenue going to public transit by 2 percent. The blame isn’t all his: Even after he watered down his proposal to a 1.75-percent increase, statehouse Republicans failed to support it.
Even if it had succeeded, it’s too little, too late: The sales tax change would still be $92 million short of the $384 million that Transit for All, PA! estimates is needed to prevent further service cuts in public transportation across the state.
Transit for All, PA! has previously lobbied for its legislative package, which would have increased taxes on car rentals and leases, and raised a new tax on ride shares.
Like Shapiro’s plan, that failed, too.
“The General Assembly has deferred action to invest fully in public transit,” state Sen. Nikil Saval (D-Philadelphia), who had authored the ride share component of the legislative package. “Despite the continued activation and involvement of tens of thousands of Pennsylvanians … we will once again face this issue in 2027.”
Pennsylvania’s last semblance of adequate transit funding ended in 2021 with the expiration of Act 89. The 10-year allocation covered statewide transportation expenses, including roadway maintenance and transit operations.
As soon as Act 89 money dried up, agencies turned to Covid relief grants to stay afloat. Those grants, provided through the American Rescue Plan, ended in 2024. Several agencies have gone so far as to pillage their own fixed-route budgets to continue federally mandated paratransit services.
Call it luck, a Band-Aid, or a bad omen; riders on Philadelphia’s SEPTA and Pittsburgh’s PRT are momentarily safe from service cuts and fare hikes. Following last year’s budget disaster, Shapiro permitted the two agencies to raid their own maintenance funds to temporarily pay for operations.
Now, both are pausing upgrades, deferring basic maintenance, and reckoning with the realities of operating – but not fixing – a large-scale transit system.
State highways, on the other hand, received $775 million in new funding from Shapiro’s budget deal.
Transit advocates in Pennsylvania are shifting strategies to preserve essential transit services. A June decision by the Pennsylvania Supreme Court, allowed slot machines to be taxed at a higher rate.
Both Democrat and Republican lawmakers have shown interest in using revenue from the so-called “skill games tax” to fund transit. The legislature must agree on a tax rate and structure, but declined to do so before finalizing the budget.
“Anytime that there is a discussion of new revenue in Pennsylvania, it needs to include public transportation,” Descheemaker said. “We are losing public transportation actively, right now in Pennsylvania. Public transportation needs to be at the center of those conversations.”
Pennsylvania
Lawmakers break without addressing unconstitutional murder sentences, leave 1K Pa. lifers in limbo
Pennsylvania lawmakers recessed Sunday without fixing the commonwealth’s unconstitutional sentencing scheme for second-degree murder, making it increasingly likely they will miss a deadline set by the state Supreme Court and leave the issue in limbo.
A killing is considered second-degree murder if it occurs during the course of a violent felony, including robbery, rape, or arson. Someone can be found guilty of the crime if they participated in the underlying felony, even if their actions didn’t lead directly to another person’s death.
Because of this, a person in Pennsylvania who served as a getaway driver during a botched robbery, or caused an injury that later led to death, currently receives the same sentence as someone who knowingly plotted and carried out a killing.
However, in March the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled in Commonwealth v. Lee that mandatory life without parole for second-degree murder is unnecessarily cruel under the state constitution.
The court gave lawmakers until July 24 to rewrite the sentencing laws.
“While we have a clear obligation to ensure that constitutional bounds are not crossed, we may not act as legislators, who are best positioned to effectuate penal reform,” wrote Chief Justice Debra Todd for the majority.
They also declined to make the ruling retroactive, leaving it up to the legislature to decide whether people already serving life sentences for second-degree murder convictions should be up for parole.
But months of talks among advocates for criminal justice reform, district attorneys, and members of the split legislature have not produced a compromise.
The state Senate twice tried to move a version of a proposal that would create 35-year mandatory minimum sentences for adults convicted of second-degree murder, with few exceptions, as well as a pathway to release for those already serving. However, state Rep. Tim Briggs (D., Montgomery), a key House lawmaker on criminal justice issues, told Spotlight PA the proposal is too punitive.
If the legislature misses the deadline, the state Supreme Court decision will take effect, leaving individual Common Pleas judges across the state to dole out fair sentences without legislative guidance.
And the fate of more than 1,100 people already in prison on second-degree murder convictions will likely be decided by the state’s highest court, as civil rights lawyers stand ready to petition the body for further clarity.
Should the justices apply their ruling to people who are already convicted, courts across the state will almost certainly be flooded with hundreds of petitions from those serving life in second-degree cases, some decades old.
Some advocates are ready to file those petitions, telling Spotlight PA the courts might produce better outcomes for clients than the state Senate’s proposed path forward.
“We’re not afraid of going to mass resentencings,” said Sean Damon, director of strategic partnerships for Straight Ahead. His organization is the policy arm of the Abolitionist Law Center, the firm that brought the suit in Lee.
Others cautioned against that outcome.
“Inaction is not an option, in fact it is dangerous,” Attorney General Dave Sunday said in a statement sent after the legislature convened.
“Failing to act would leave our communities and victims without needed protections, and it is important that we move forward collaboratively to ensure a responsible solution.”
Lawmakers telegraphed Sunday night that they are willing to keep working on a compromise ahead of the deadline, but did not confirm whether they’d solve the issue in time.
Gov. Josh Shapiro, in a news conference, said he agrees with the Pennsylvania Supreme Court’s ruling, and wants to see the legislature reach consensus.
“We’re going to continue to work on this issue, and I’m confident, given some of the maneuvering that the majority leader in the House did today,” the Democrat said. “There’s a vehicle ready to go when we have a compromise in place.”
Asked whether lawmakers will pass a bill by the July 24 deadline, state House Majority Leader Matt Bradford (D., Montgomery) twice told reporters: “We’re hoping to get something accomplished.”
Conversations, but no compromise
For decades, Pennsylvania’s justice system has applied second-degree murder to a wide variety of defendants and criminal behavior: a man who killed a 77-year-old woman during the course of a violent rape; an accomplice in the torture and eventual death of an intellectually disabled woman; a man who robbed a tourist who minutes later committed suicide; a 14-year-old with a history of abuse and mental illness, who started an accidental house fire that killed the two boys she was trying to visit.
And for decades, those convicted have all received the same, unmovable sentence: life without parole.
The state Supreme Court in March found this sentencing scheme unnecessarily cruel, and argued that without an individual assessment of culpability, it violates the Pennsylvania Constitution.
“We determine that a mandatory life without parole sentence for all felony murder convictions, absent an assessment of culpability, is inconsistent with the protections bestowed upon our citizens under the ‘cruel punishments’ clause of our Commonwealth’s organic charter,” wrote Justice Todd for the majority.
In the spring, the legislature seemed poised to act.
Lawmakers from both chambers had already proposed legislation, including a bipartisan effort by state Sens. Sharif Street (D., Philadelphia) and Camera Bartolotta (R., Beaver) and another by Rep. Tim Briggs (D., Montgomery).
But at an April meeting of the state House Judiciary Committee, with advocates in attendance eager to celebrate the vote, Briggs tabled his bill. Stakeholders had reached out, he explained, with feedback and a desire to have their positions better reflected in whatever solution the legislature pursued.
“I think we can have a collaborative process to get to a better bill that balances the need to comply with the Lee decision, but also is fair and compassionate, respects victims’ rights, and above all, maintains community safety,” Briggs said during the April meeting.
Then, speaking about people already serving life sentences, he said: “These people – this is emotional – these people have been serving long, unconstitutional sentences, and I will not put them in a worse position than what I believe the Supreme Court would order for them after the (120 day) run.”
In an interview with Spotlight PA months later, Briggs said he had hoped the pause would lead to meaningful cross-party conversations.
“That never happened,” Briggs said.
In spring conversations between Straight Ahead and the Pennsylvania District Attorneys Association, the groups tried to reach a framework that would satisfy their respective coalitions. Lawmakers were not directly involved in those conversations, sources confirmed to Spotlight PA.
State prosecutors were most worried about the group of more than 1,100 people serving life sentences, said Kelly Callihan, the executive director of the district attorneys association.
“We like uniformity,” she said. “Victims deserve that, and honestly, perpetrators who have been convicted deserve that, so that it’s not like the Wild West, where every county was just going to be on an island doing what they thought with resentencing.”
Public defenders feel similarly, said Sara Jacobson, the executive director of the Public Defender Association of Pennsylvania. Without a legislative fix, she said, the state would be left with “justice by geography.”
“Without guidance, the results will vary widely in terms of sentences they get handed down,’ Jacobson added. “It will depend much more on the politics of a given county and an individual judge’s perspective.”
A legislative framework would be better for everyone, Jacobson said, because prosecutors, defense attorneys, and crime victims will know what to expect.
But feelings diverge from there.
The district attorneys association feels comfortable with a minimum sentence, after which the convicted person would be eligible for parole, Callihan said.
But Straight Ahead and other advocates found a high mandatory minimum for those sentenced to second-degree murder to be unpalatable.
“We have been advocating for a maximum sentence similar to third-degree,” which carries a 40 year maximum, Damon said.
In June, a compromise had not been reached when, over the course of four days, the Republican-controlled state Senate introduced, voted out of committee, and passed new legislation with bipartisan support.
That bill, SB 1400, would establish a 35-year mandatory minimum for adult offenders and preserve life without parole as an option for offenders who meet certain criteria. It allows for sentences as low as 10 years if a defendant meets a narrow set of mitigating circumstances.
For people already serving life, the bill would permit parole consideration after 35 years for most and 20 years for those over the age of 70.
The court gave the General Assembly a 120-day window “because opening the prison doors and letting out violent individuals back on the streets is unacceptable policy,” said state Sen. Lisa Baker (R., Luzerne), the bill’s lead sponsor, during a news conference after passage. Attorney General Sunday, also appearing at the news conference, supported it.
The state Senate passed a largely similar version of this legislation Sunday afternoon, attached to a House bill aimed at allowing incarcerated individuals to earn credits toward potential earlier parole by participating in educational and vocational programs.
But the bill found no purchase among House Democrats.
When he spoke with Spotlight PA in June, Briggs said the language was “too heavy-handed.”
“These are serious matters,” he said, “but I think there needs to be some compassion on the facts, and high mandatory minimums across the board isn’t the direction I want to go in.”
Elizabeth Rementer, a spokesperson for House Democrats, said Sunday that the lawmakers remain committed to continuing negotiations.
But speaking of the bill passed Sunday, she said, “Unfortunately, this isn’t it.”
Mass resentencings possible
Stakeholders are similarly split.
Berks County District Attorney John Adams, in an interview with Spotlight PA, said he largely supported the state Senate legislation and its attempt to establish both a framework for future sentencing and a path for reconsidering past convictions. As a prosecutor and former defense attorney, “I have been on both sides of this issue, so I know it by heart, and I know it through experience,” Adams said.
“This bill covers pretty much everything that I was looking for,” he said. “It offers, in the appropriate instances, the possibility that someone could be sentenced to life in prison, and it also offers otherwise some alternatives.”
But Philadelphia District Attorney Larry Krasner, a progressive Democrat known for diverging from his fellow prosecutors, derided the state Senate bill as unscientific and beholden to an old-school, tough-on-crime approach to justice.
In an interview with Spotlight PA, Krasner was blunt in his assessment of the courts as a better path than the proposed legislation..
“Nothing is better than stupid,” Krasner said.
The path to this type of mass resentencing is uncertain — for now.
Without a legislative fix, the issue will need to return to the state Supreme Court to become retroactive.
The Abolitionist Law Center is ready to pursue this path if the legislature fails to act, said Legal Director Bret Grote, whether through traditional appeal or a King’s Bench petition, which would ask the court to take the matter more quickly.
“The issue will be presented to the court promptly, and the court alone will decide when they hear such a case,” Grote said, “but with more than — and we’re confident it’s more than 1,100 people — serving this unconstitutional sentence, this is a constitutional crisis.”
Straight Ahead, ALC, and other advocates actively involved in conversations around the Lee decision are ready to do the most good for the most people, Damon said. “So, I’m not being glib when I say we’re ready to go a mass resentencing.”
More than 500 of the people serving life sentences for felony murder were convicted in Philadelphia, where the courts do not “tend to throw the book at people,” Damon said, and where there is a reform-minded district attorney in Krasner.
“We’re going to have lower sentences in Philly,” Damon said.
___
This story was originally published by Spotlight PA and distributed through a partnership with The Associated Press.
Pennsylvania
12-year-old boy on e-bike killed in crash with pickup truck in Pennsylvania
A 12-year-old boy on an electric bike was killed in a crash in Manchester Township, Pennsylvania, on Monday, authorities said.
The Northern York County Regional Police Department said in a news release that the crash happened at the intersection of North George Street and Emig Road on Monday at around 9:30 p.m. Officers were called to the scene and found that the 12-year-old e-bike rider and the driver of a pickup truck had crashed.
First responders performed life-saving measures on the boy, who died as a result of his injuries. The boy’s identity was not released as of Tuesday night. It was not immediately clear if the driver of the pickup truck was injured.
Police are investigating the crash. Law enforcement did not release any additional information. Anyone with information on the deadly crash can contact the Northern York County Regional Police Department at 717-467-8355 or email tips@nycrpd.org. The case number is 2026-029713, police added.
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