2024 Presidential Primary Poll: Majority of Americans Satisfied with Iowa, New Hampshire Batting Leadoff

Regardless of calls to function extra numerous states on the entrance of the 2024 presidential main lineup, a transparent majority of People – throughout most age, occasion, and racial strains – say they’re happy with the present custom of Iowa and New Hampshire holding the primary nominating contests of the presidential cycle, based on a brand new LX Information/Morning Seek the advice of ballot.

Sixty-five % of People responded that they have been both “happy” or “very happy” with Iowa and New Hampshire casting the primary presidential main votes, an uptick of six factors from when LX Information & Morning Seek the advice of requested the identical questions nearly three years in the past.

Sixty-six % of Black adults additionally mentioned they have been happy with the established order – an uptick of 26 factors from three years in the past – despite the fact that President Biden & the Democratic occasion have referred to as for extra numerous states, together with South Carolina and Nevada, to skip to the entrance of the nomination line.

New Hampshire’s performing secretary of state advised LX Information the Granite State will do “no matter it takes” to stay on the entrance of the first lineup, even transferring its 2024 presidential main into 2023 if vital.

Different findings within the ballot:

• Whereas satisfaction with the Iowa/New Hampshire custom was excessive, solely about half of People (48%) consider the 2 states characterize their political beliefs effectively. Iowa and New Hampshire each have lower-than-average minority populations, poverty charges, and charges of residents who contemplate themselves non secular.
• When given an opportunity to choose which of the under-consideration states ought to go first within the subsequent election, most respondents (54%) selected the “don’t know/no opinion” choice.
• Of the respondents who selected one of many six particular states to go first, 24% selected Georgia; 18% selected South Carolina; 18% selected Michigan; 16% selected Iowa; 13% selected New Hampshire, and solely 12% selected Nevada.

“The order of the first is simply such an insular political problem…I do not know that the American individuals care a lot about this,” mentioned Morning Seek the advice of Senior Politics Reporter Eli Yokley.  “The truth that you are seeing some elevated satisfaction with these items could possibly be attributed to the truth that Joe Biden received [in 2020].

“Once you’re having successes underneath the present system, it could make you much less prone to need to transfer away from it.”

Comfort Drives Voter Turnout

The ballot additionally discovered People cite conveniences, resembling polling places and availability of mail ballots, as main elements as to whether or not they select to take part in any given election:

• 76% of respondents mentioned the comfort of polling locations was vital to whether or not they voted;
• 66% mentioned ready occasions at polling locations have been vital;
• 73% mentioned ease of utilizing voting cubicles was vital;
• 69% mentioned availability of early voting and/or absentee (mail) ballots have been vital, together with 81% of Democrats (+8 factors from Jan. 2020) and 61% of Republicans (-10 factors from Jan 2020).
• The attitudes towards voting conveniences have been practically an identical to the outcomes from January 2020 in any other case.

“Folks like issues to be straightforward,” Yokley mentioned. “Even giant shares of Republican voters need this to be straightforward [and] assume absentee and mail-in ballots ought to be straightforward to get them out to vote.”

The LX Information/Morning Seek the advice of ballot surveyed 2,214 U.S. adults from Dec. 7-9, 2022. Margin of Error for the ballot is +/- 2 share factors.

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Morning Seek the advice of is a world resolution intelligence firm delivering insights on what individuals assume in actual time. By surveying tens of 1000’s throughout the globe each single day, Morning Seek the advice of is unmatched in scale and pace: It determines the true measure of what individuals assume and the way their selections affect enterprise, politics and the economic system.  Trade leaders depend on Morning Seek the advice of’s proprietary expertise and evaluation for real-time, clever information to rework info right into a aggressive benefit.

Noah Pransky is LX Information’ Nationwide Political Editor, protecting Washington and state politics, with a particular deal with younger voters. His political and investigative work has been honored with nationwide Murrow, Polk, duPont and Cronkite awards, and you may contact him confidentially at noah.pransky@nbcuni.com, or on Fb, Instagram or Twitter.