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Polar express: How airlines are plotting a new route to Asia

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Polar express: How airlines are plotting a new route to Asia
(CNN) — The closure of Russian airspace to some worldwide carriers, together with many in Europe, has pressured airways to hunt alternate routes. For some flights, resembling these linking Europe and Southeast Asia, that is particularly problematic since Russia, the world’s largest nation, stands instantly in between.

The issue is finest illustrated by Finnair’s flight from Helsinki to Tokyo. Earlier than the invasion of Ukraine, planes from Finland’s nationwide provider would take off and rapidly veer into the airspace of neighboring Russia, crossing it for over 3,000 miles.

They might then enter China close to its northern border with Mongolia, fly in its airspace for about 1,000 miles, earlier than getting into Russia once more simply north of Vladivostok.

Lastly, they’d cross the Sea of Japan and switch south in direction of Narita Airport. The journey would take just below 9 hours on common and canopy almost 5,000 miles.

The final such flight departed on February 26. The following day, Russia barred Finland from utilizing its airspace, forcing the short-term cancellation of most of Finnair’s Asian locations, together with South Korea, Singapore and Thailand.

Previous to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, many airways traversed Russian airspace.

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FlightRadar24

By that time, nonetheless, the airline’s route planners had lengthy been at work to discover a answer. “We made the primary very tough calculation about two weeks earlier than the precise closure of the airspace,” says Riku Kohvakka, supervisor of flight planning at Finnair.

The answer was to fly over the North Pole. As a substitute of heading southeast into Russia, planes would now depart Helsinki and go straight north, heading for the Norwegian archipelago of Svalbard, earlier than crossing over the pole and Alaska.

Then they’d veer in direction of Japan flying over the Pacific, rigorously skirting Russian airspace. That is not as easy as earlier than: The journey now takes over 13 hours, covers roughly 8,000 miles, and makes use of 40% extra gasoline.

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Security first

Flightradar24_AY73-Comparing-Old-and-New-Route

Finnair’s Flight AY73 routes earlier than and after the closure of Russian airspace.

FlightRadar24

Finnair began flying through the polar path to Japan on March 9. So, how does an airline utterly redesign one among its longest flights in simply over every week?

“All main airways have their very own computerized flight planning system, which they use to plan routes and alter them,” explains Kohvakka. Within the software program, the airspace of particular nations might be crossed out and waypoints might be manually inserted to assist it calculate different routes.

The following step is a brand new operational flight plan, which tells the crew what the deliberate route is, how a lot gasoline they want, how a lot the aircraft can weigh and so forth.

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“From expertise, we knew we had two prospects: one through the north, and one through the south,” says Kohvakka.

Along with the polar route, Finnair may attain Japan by flying south of Russia — over the Baltics, Poland, Slovak Republic, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Turkey, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan to China, Korea after which to Japan. It is longer, but when wind circumstances are significantly favorable it may be used, leading to an analogous flight time.

Then, gasoline consumption information, along with navigational charges, is used to estimate the price for the flight.

“After that, we have to test what sort of terrain we’re flying over. For instance, to see if the elevation at any level of the route requires particular planning, in case we lose an engine or pressurization — one thing that’s at all times thought-about when making ready a flight,” Kohvakka says.

As soon as the brand new route is accepted, the main focus shifts to plane gear and the related processes and laws.

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Amongst them is one known as ETOPS (“Prolonged-range Twin-engine Operational Efficiency Requirements”), which dates again to the Fifties, when plane engines have been much less reliable and extra vulnerable to failing. ETOPS is a certification offered to plane that decided how far a aircraft with solely two engines may fly from the closest airport, in case it wanted an emergency touchdown on account of engine failure. “We have to have an appropriate airport the place we are able to divert to inside a sure time restrict,” says Kohvakka.

The regulation was initially set to 60 minutes, however as airplanes grew extra reliable, it was steadily prolonged. Only a few weeks in the past, Finnair was working below the broadly adopted ETOPS 180 rule, which meant that its twin-engine plane may fly as much as three hours away from the closest airport at any time.

The brand new Arctic route, nonetheless, flies over very distant areas, the place airports are few and much between. Consequently, the airline needed to apply for an extension of that protocol to 300 minutes, which means the Airbus A350-900s it makes use of to fly to Japan can now stray so far as 5 hours away from the closest airport, whereas nonetheless assembly all worldwide laws and security protocols.

Chilly Struggle route

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Flightradar24_JL43-Comparing-Old-and-New-Route

Japan Airways’ London to Tokyo service earlier than and after the beginning of the battle.

FlightRadar24

Airways routinely cope with closure of airspace, for instance throughout spacecraft launches and army drills, and prior conflicts have curtailed or halted flight over Afghanistan, Syria, and Pakistan. A closure of this magnitude, nonetheless, has not occurred since Chilly Struggle instances.

As a result of overflight rights are negotiated between nations reasonably than particular person airways, Russia and Finland secured an settlement solely in 1994, two years after the Soviet Union disintegrated.

Beforehand, Finnair, like most different European airways, didn’t fly over the Soviet Union in any respect. When it started operations to Tokyo in 1983, it additionally flew throughout the North Pole and Alaska.

“So this route is just not completely new to us,” says Kohvakka. Finnair was the primary airline to fly the route nonstop, utilizing DC-10 plane, whereas most others on the time had a refueling cease in Anchorage.

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The brand new route will increase gasoline consumption by a whopping 20 tons, making the flights environmentally and financially difficult. For that cause Finnair is prioritizing cargo, the place demand is stronger, and limiting passenger capability to simply 50 seats (the Airbus A350-900s used on the flights may carry as much as 330 individuals).

“The additional journey size will make fewer flights economically viable,” says Jonas Murby, an aviation analyst at Aerodynamic Advisory. “They develop into very depending on a excessive mixture of premium passengers and high-yield cargo; this in an atmosphere the place total demand for journey alongside these routes remains to be comparatively low. I doubt this shall be a broadly adopted technique.”

Japan Airways is to date the one different airline utilizing the polar route for its flights between Europe and Japan. The London to Tokyo service now flies over Alaska, Canada, Greenland and Iceland, which has elevated the typical flight time from simply over 12 hours to about 14 hours and half-hour, in line with Flightradar24.

Northern lights

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Finnair_A350_Plane_Flying ret

The A350 is claimed to be significantly resilient to chilly temperatures.

Finnair

An additional 4 hours of flight time additionally has an influence on passengers and crew, additional growing prices.

“Often we fly to Japan with a crew of three pilots,” explains Aleksi Kuosmanen, deputy fleet chief pilot at Finnair, who can also be a captain on the brand new flights. “Now we function it with 4 pilots. We’ve got a particular flight crew bunk the place we are able to sleep and have a relaxation, and we now have additionally elevated the variety of meals.”

Passengers have reacted cheerfully to the brand new route, in line with Kuosmanen.

“I’d say that folks have been enthusiastic,” he stated. “Many have been asking at what time we’d be going throughout the pole and if northern lights have been anticipated.”

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diploma

Finnair is giving out “diplomas” and stickers to certify passengers have flown over the North Pole.

Finnair

There’s additionally a bonus to having a 300-seater capped at simply 50 passengers: “I had a stroll by means of the cabin through the evening and… to illustrate, that they had house.”

Finnair can also be giving out stickers and “diplomas” that certify to passengers that they’ve flown over the North Pole.

Technically, the polar route does not pose any additional security dangers.

“Chilly climate might be the very first thing that involves thoughts, and it is true that there are areas with chilly air plenty at excessive altitude, however we’re pretty used to this after we fly northern routes to Tokyo within the Russian airspace anyway,” says Kuosmanen.

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One situation could possibly be that the gasoline temperature turns into too low, however the A350 is especially resilient in opposition to chilly air, Kuosmanen says, which makes it superb for the route.

There are different minor quibbles. For instance, satellite tv for pc voice communications do not cowl the entire Arctic area, so crews need to depend on HF radio, a know-how that’s virtually 100 years previous.

Along with that, there are areas with robust magnetic radiation to be thought-about through the flight.

“We’ve got previous magnetic compass within the plane, along with a number of trendy navigational aids, and it went slightly bit haywire whereas we have been flying over the magnetic North Pole,” says Kuosmanen. (This causes no hurt to the plane in any respect).

Total, from a pilot standpoint, the polar route makes issues extra fascinating, however does not basically alter the job.

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“The polar space might be the place each pilot who flies long-haul desires to function,” says Kuosmanen. “However as soon as one is nicely ready and nicely briefed, it is simply one other day on the workplace.”

High picture: Finnair is routing flights to Asia over the North Pole. Credit score: Finnair

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Japan’s ruling party suffers record low result in Tokyo poll

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Japan’s ruling party suffers record low result in Tokyo poll

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Japan’s ruling party has suffered its worst result in local assembly elections in Tokyo, as residents of the capital used the vote to protest against soaring food prices and low wage growth.

The results of Sunday’s poll underscored the challenge Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba could face next month in elections for the upper house of Japan’s national parliament.

The Liberal Democratic party, which governs at the national level in a fragile coalition, won just 22 seats in Tokyo’s 127-member metropolitan assembly. That marked a record low for the party, which entered the contest with 30 seats, and included three seats won by candidates who were previously affiliated with the party but not officially endorsed by it.

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Analysts suggested that a sizeable loss for the LDP in the upper house vote on July 20 could dent its ability to govern, hand significant bargaining power to the numerous small opposition parties and even force Ishiba’s resignation.

The poll comes as Ishiba, who is battling low approval ratings, has been mired in trade talks with the US after President Donald Trump’s threat to impose steep tariffs on imports from Japan. The economy has also registered record price rises, including for staples such as rice.

The Tokyo assembly election highlighted the fragmentation of Japanese politics and the rise of smaller opposition parties, analysts said.

Among the beneficiaries was the populist rightwing Sanseito party, which secured three seats for the first time. The party, which was founded in 2020, campaigned on slogans including “Don’t destroy Japan any more!”

The LDP lost its leading position in the assembly to the Tomin First no Kai — a “Tokyo-ites” party that was founded by Tokyo region governor Yuriko Koike and works in loose co-operation with the LDP. 

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Koike, Japan’s most powerful local government official for the past nine years, has pushed a range of policies aimed at raising the birth rate and improving welfare. Her party secured 32 seats, including one affiliated independent.

But Tobias Harris, a political analyst at Japan Foresight, cautioned against interpreting the Tokyo assembly vote as a precursor to the contest in the upper house, which has no equivalent to Koike or her party.

However he said Tokyo’s size made it a useful gauge of the wider mood.

Tokyo’s 11.5mn voters will elect six members to the upper house and represent a large chunk of votes for candidates elected via proportional representation.

There may even be silver linings for Ishiba, added Harris, as momentum appeared to be fading from what were previously a few promising newcomers.

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Sunday’s vote in Tokyo was disastrous for the populist Path to Rebirth party, led by Shinji Ishimaru, who finished second to Koike in last year’s gubernatorial election. None of the party’s 42 candidates for the assembly won a seat.

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Trump calls 'obliteration' an accurate description of damage to Iran's nuclear facilities

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Trump calls 'obliteration' an accurate description of damage to Iran's nuclear facilities

A satellite image shows the Fordo nuclear facility in Iran in this handout image dated June 14, 2025.

Maxar Technologies | Via Reuters

U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday disputed Iranian attempts to downplay the strikes on its nuclear facilities, stressing that “obliteration” was an accurate description, even though the full extent of the damage to Iran’s nuclear capabilities was not immediately clear.

“Monumental Damage was done to all Nuclear sites in Iran, as shown by satellite images. Obliteration is an accurate term! The white structure shown is deeply imbedded into the rock, with even its roof well below ground level, and completely shielded from flame. The biggest damage took place far below ground level. Bullseye!!!” Trump wrote on Truth Social.

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Damaged or destroyed?

The U.S. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine said Sunday that there was “severe damage and destruction” to the facilities at Fordo, Natanz and Isfahan, but did not go so far as to say that Iran’s nuclear capacities had been “obliterated.”

“Final battle damage will take some time, but initial battle damage assessments indicate that all three sites sustained extremely severe damage and destruction,” Caine said.

A satellite image shows the Fordo nuclear facility in Iran in this handout image dated June 14, 2025.

Maxar Technologies | Via Reuters

Meanwhile, the U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth said Sunday that while the damage assessment is ongoing, “all of our precision munitions struck where we wanted them to strike and had the desired effect.”

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When asked if Iran still retains any nuclear capability, Caine said that “BDA is still pending, and it would be way too early for me to comment on what may or may not still be there.”

Battle Damage Assessment, or BDA, is a military term that refers to the process of evaluating the effects of military operations on a target.

It usually involves a physical or functional check on the extent of damage, beyond visual signs, and whether the target remains operable.

These assessments are usually conducted by intelligence analysts and reconnaissance teams, using data from drones, satellites, radar, or ground reports. It helps commanders decide if the mission achieved its objectives and if follow-up strikes are needed.

The UN nuclear watchdog chief Rafael Grossi also struck a cautious tone, saying that it was not yet possible to assess the damage done at the Fordo nuclear facility.

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Adding to the uncertainty, Reuters reported, citing a senior Iranian source, that most of the highly enriched uranium at Fordo had been moved to an undisclosed location ahead of the U.S. strikes on the enrichment site.

The strikes began early on Saturday, when six U.S. Air Force B-2 stealth bombers dropped six GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP) – a 30,000-pound bomb known as the “bunker buster,” – on Iran’s Fordo nuclear facility, which is built into the side of a mountain.

A seventh U.S. B‑2 bomber released two GBU‑57 bombs on the Natanz Nuclear Facility, while a U.S. Navy submarine also launched a volley of 30 Tomahawk missiles, targeting Natanz and a third site, Isfahan.

The mission, code named Operation Midnight Hammer, involved more than 125 aircraft in total.

— Erin Doherty contributed to this report

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Missteps, Confusion and ‘Viral Waste’: The 14 Days That Doomed U.S.A.I.D.

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The rapid dismantling of the global aid agency remains one of the most consequential outcomes of President Trump’s efforts to overhaul the federal government, showing his willingness to tear down institutions in defiance of the courts.

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