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Election 2024 Polls: Senate Races
About our polling averages
Our averages include polls collected by The New York Times and by FiveThirtyEight. The estimates adjust for a variety of factors, including the recency and sample size of a poll, whether a poll represents likely voters, and whether other polls have shifted since a poll was conducted.
We also evaluate whether each pollster: Has a track record of accuracy in recent electionsIs a member of a professional polling organizationConducts probability-based sampling
These elements factor into how much weight each poll gets in the average. And we consider pollsters that meet at least two of the three criteria to be “select pollsters,” so long as they are conducting polls for nonpartisan sponsors. Read more about our methodology.
The Times conducts its own national and state polls in partnership with Siena College. Those polls are included in the averages. Follow Times/Siena polling here.
Maine and Nebraska award two electoral votes to the statewide winner and a single electoral vote to the winner of each congressional district. (Maine has two congressional districts, and Nebraska has three.) Historical election results for these districts are calculated based on votes cast within the current boundaries of the district.
Sources: Polling averages by The New York Times. Individual polls collected by FiveThirtyEight and The Times.
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Video: Immigration Officers in Minneapolis to be Equipped With Body Cameras
new video loaded: Immigration Officers in Minneapolis to be Equipped With Body Cameras
transcript
transcript
Immigration Officers in Minneapolis to be Equipped With Body Cameras
The homeland security secretary, Kristi Noem, ordered all immigration officers in Minneapolis to wear body cameras. The move comes after fatal shootings where federal accounts conflicted with local officials and witness videos.
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They generally tend to be good for law enforcement because people can’t lie about what’s happening. So it’s, generally speaking, I think 80 percent good for law enforcement. ICE out.
By Jiawei Wang
February 3, 2026
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Judge blocks DHS from ending deportation protections for 350,000 Haitians one day before they were set to lapse
A federal judge on Monday blocked the Trump administration from revoking legal protections for Haitians enrolled in the Temporary Protected Status program, granting a last-minute reprieve to 350,000 immigrants who were set to lose their deportation protections on Tuesday.
U.S. District Court Judge Ana Reyes indefinitely paused the planned termination of Haiti’s TPS program, explicitly barring the federal government from invalidating the legal status and work permits of active enrollees and from arresting and deporting them.
In an opinion accompanying her order, Reyes issued a forceful rebuke of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem’s decision to end the TPS policy for Haitians.
Reyes concluded Noem’s decision was “arbitrary and capricious” and in violation of the Administrative Procedures Act, writing that it failed to fully consider “overwhelming evidence of present danger” in crisis-stricken Haiti, which remains plagued by political instability, gang violence and widespread poverty.
Reyes also found Noem’s decision was “in part” rooted in “racial animus,” citing disparaging remarks that the secretary and President Trump have made about Haiti and immigrants.
“Kristi Noem has a First Amendment right to call immigrants killers, leeches, entitlement junkies, and any other inapt name she wants,” Reyes wrote. “Secretary Noem, however, is constrained by both our Constitution and the APA to apply faithfully the facts to the law in implementing the TPS program. The record to-date shows she has yet to do that.”
In a statement, Department of Homeland Security spokeswoman Tricia McLaughlin suggested the Trump administration would ask the Supreme Court to intervene in the case.
“Supreme Court, here we come,” she said. “This is lawless activism that we will be vindicated on.”
“Haiti’s TPS was granted following an earthquake that took place over 15 years ago, it was never intended to be a de facto amnesty program, yet that’s how previous administrations have used it for decades,” McLaughlin added.
TPS was created by Congress in 1990. Since then, Democratic and Republican administrations have used the policy to provide temporary legal refuge to foreigners from countries facing armed conflict, an environmental disaster or another emergency that makes their return unsafe.
The Trump administration has moved to dismantle most TPS programs, raising the specter of deportation for hundreds of thousands of immigrants from Afghanistan, Cameroon, Ethiopia, Honduras, Myanmar, Nepal, Nicaragua, Somalia, South Sudan, Syria and Venezuela.
The Trump administration argues these programs attract illegal immigration and that they have been abused and extended for too long by Democratic administrations.
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Video: Disappearance of ‘Today’ Host’s Mother Is a Crime, Investigators Say
new video loaded: Disappearance of ‘Today’ Host’s Mother Is a Crime, Investigators Say
transcript
transcript
Disappearance of ‘Today’ Host’s Mother Is a Crime, Investigators Say
Savannah Guthrie’s mother, Nancy Guthrie, 84, was last seen on Saturday near her home in Tucson, Ariz. The Pima County sheriff said on Monday that “she did not leave on her own.”
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We saw some things at the home that were concerning to us. We believe now, after we processed that crime scene, that we do, in fact, have a crime scene. That we do, in fact, have a crime. She is very limited in her mobility, right? We know she didn’t just walk out of there. There are other things at the scene that indicate she did not leave on her own. We know that. This is an 84-year-old lady who suffers from some physical ailments — is in need of medication, medication that if she doesn’t have in 24 hours, it could be fatal. So we make a plea to anyone who knows anything about this, who has seen something, heard something, to contact us. We’re now moving forward where we need to depend on technology — our license plate readers, our camera systems throughout the community, anything, everything. And we will download all that data we have and we will use that to our advantage. Thank you so much for being here.
By Meg Felling
February 2, 2026
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