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Analysis: How long can Ukraine hold out in the war for the skies?

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Analysis: How long can Ukraine hold out in the war for the skies?

An aged girl is helped by policemen after she was rescued from an house that was hit by shelling in Kyiv, Ukraine, on Tuesday, March 15.

Firefighters work to extinguish flames at an house constructing in Kyiv on March 15.

A girl walks previous a broken window to put flowers at a makeshift memorial for victims of the latest shelling within the separatist-controlled metropolis of Donetsk, Ukraine, on March 15.

Firefighters search a constructing for survivors after an assault in Kharkiv, Ukraine, on March 14. At the very least one lifeless physique was pulled from the rubble after hours of digging.

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Ukrainian troopers take cowl from incoming artillery fireplace in Irpin, Ukraine, on Sunday, March 13.

A Ukrainian soldier surveys a destroyed authorities constructing in Kharkiv on March 13.

A mom and son relaxation in Lviv, Ukraine, whereas ready to board a practice to Poland on Saturday, March 12.

Ukrainian servicemen work contained in the broken maternity hospital in Mariupol on March 9. “The destruction is big,” town council stated. “The constructing of the medical facility the place the kids have been handled not too long ago is totally destroyed.”

A displaced Ukrainian mom embraces her youngster whereas ready on the Przemysl railway station in Poland on March 8.

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A Ukrainian serviceman walks previous the stays of a Russian plane mendacity in a broken constructing in Kharkiv on March 8.

A firefighter works to extinguish flames after a chemical warehouse was reportedly hit by Russian shelling close to Kalynivka, Ukraine, on March 8.

Alexandra, 12, holds her 6-year-old sister, Esyea, who cries as she waves at her mom, Irina, on March 7. The youngsters have been leaving Odesa, Ukraine.

Members of the Pink Cross assist individuals fleeing the Kyiv suburb of Irpin on March 7.

Civilians search safety in a basement bomb shelter in Kyiv on March 6.

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Native residents assist clear the rubble of a house that was destroyed by a suspected Russian airstrike in Markhalivka, Ukraine, on March 5.

George Keburia says goodbye to his spouse and youngsters as they board a practice in Odesa on March 5. They have been heading to Lviv.

Ukrainians crowd underneath a destroyed bridge as they attempt to flee throughout the Irpin River on the outskirts of Kyiv on March 5.

Individuals take away private belongings from a burning home after shelling in Irpin on March 4.

Individuals crowd on a platform as they attempt to board a westbound practice in Kyiv on March 4.

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A bullet-ridden bus is seen after an ambush in Kyiv on March 4.

Individuals take shelter on the ground of a hospital throughout shelling in Mariupol on March 4.

A member of the Ukrainian army provides directions to civilians in Irpin on March 4. They have been about to board an evacuation practice headed to Kyiv.

A Ukrainian youngster rests on a mattress at a short lived refugee heart in Záhony, Hungary, on March 4.

A Ukrainian soldier carries a child throughout a destroyed bridge on the outskirts of Kyiv on March 3.

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Residents react in entrance of a burning constructing after shelling in Kharkiv on March 3.

A Ukrainian soldier who says he was shot thrice within the opening days of the invasion sits on a hospital mattress in Kyiv on March 3.

Individuals type a human chain to switch provides into Kyiv on March 3.

A cemetery employee digs graves for Ukrainian troopers in Kyiv on March 3.

A mom cares for her two toddler sons within the underground shelter of a maternity hospital in Kyiv on March 3. She gave start a day earlier, and she or he and her husband have not but selected names for the twins.

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A member of Ukraine’s Territorial Protection Forces sits with a weapon in Kyiv on March 2.

Paramedics deal with an aged girl wounded by shelling earlier than transferring her to a hospital in Mariupol on March 2.

Residents of Zhytomyr, Ukraine, work within the stays of a residential constructing on March 2. The constructing was destroyed by shelling.

A member of Ukraine’s Territorial Protection Forces inspects injury within the yard of a home in Gorenka on March 2.

A Ukrainian girl takes her kids over the border in Siret, Romania, on March 2. Many Ukrainians are fleeing the nation at a tempo that might flip into “Europe’s largest refugee disaster this century,” the United Nations Refugee Company stated.

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Militia members arrange anti-tank barricades in Kyiv on March 2.

Individuals wait at a practice station in Kyiv on March 2.

Individuals shelter in a subway station in Kyiv on March 2.

Ukrainian troopers attend Mass at an Orthodox monastery in Kyiv on March 1.

Medical employees present a mom her new child after she gave start at a maternity hospital in Mariupol on March 1. The hospital is now additionally used as a medical ward and bomb shelter.

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An administrative constructing is seen in Kharkiv after Russian shelling on March 1. Russian forces have scaled up their bombardment of Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second-largest metropolis.

Ukrainian emergency employees carry a physique of a sufferer following shelling that hit the Metropolis Corridor constructing in Kharkiv on March 1.

A girl named Helen comforts her 8-year-old daughter, Polina, within the bomb shelter of a Kyiv kids’s hospital on March 1. The lady was on the hospital being handled for encephalitis, or irritation of the mind.

Ukrainian refugees attempt to keep heat on the Medyka border crossing in Poland on March 1.

Volunteers in Kyiv signal as much as be a part of Ukraine’s Territorial Protection Forces on February 28.

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A member of the Territorial Protection Forces masses rifle magazines in Kyiv on February 28.

Ukrainian forces order a person to the bottom on February 28 as they elevated safety measures amid Russian assaults in Kyiv.

A displaced Ukrainian cradles her youngster at a short lived shelter arrange inside a gymnasium in Beregsurány, Hungary, on February 28.

Smoke billows over the Ukrainian metropolis of Vasylkiv, simply exterior Kyiv on February 27. A fireplace at an oil storage space was seen raging on the Vasylkiv Air Base.

Individuals wait on a platform contained in the railway station in Lviv on February 27. Hundreds of individuals at Lviv’s principal practice station tried to board trains that may take them out of Ukraine.

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A Russian armored automobile burns after combating in Kharkiv on February 27. Road combating broke out as Russian troops entered Ukraine’s second-largest metropolis, and residents have been urged to remain in shelters and never journey.

Native residents put together Molotov cocktails in Uzhhorod, Ukraine, on February 27.

Vehicles line up on the highway exterior Mostyska, Ukraine, as individuals try to flee to Poland on February 27.

Ukrainian troops in Kyiv escort a prisoner February 27 who they suspected of being a Russian agent.

Ukrainian service members take place on the Vasylkiv Air Base close to Kyiv on February 27.

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A girl sleeps on chairs February 27 within the underground parking zone of a Kyiv lodge that has been was a bomb shelter.

A broken residential constructing is seen in Kyiv on February 26.

Individuals in Kyiv run for canopy throughout shelling on February 26.

An house constructing in Kyiv is seen after it was broken by shelling on February 26. The outer partitions of a number of house models seemed to be blown out totally, with the interiors blackened and particles hanging unfastened.

A police automobile patrols the streets of Kyiv on February 26.

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Ukrainian troops examine a website following a Russian airstrike in Kyiv on February 26.

Following a nationwide directive to assist complicate the invading Russian Military’s makes an attempt to navigate, a highway employee removes indicators close to Pisarivka, Ukraine, on February 26.

Ukrainian service members search for and gather unexploded shells after combating in Kyiv on February 26.

The physique of a Russian soldier lies subsequent to a Russian automobile exterior Kharkiv on February 25.

A girl weeps in her automotive after crossing the border from Ukraine into Sighetu Marmatiei, Romania, on February 25.

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A Ukrainian soldier sits injured from crossfire inside Kyiv on February 25.

A toddler from Ukraine sleeps in a tent at a humanitarian heart in Palanca, Moldova, on February 25.

A firefighter walks between the ruins of a downed plane in Kyiv on February 25.

Members of the Ukrainian Nationwide Guard take positions in central Kyiv on February 25.

Individuals stroll previous a residential constructing in Kyiv that was hit in an alleged Russian airstrike on February 25.

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The physique of a faculty worker, who in line with locals was killed in latest shelling, lies within the separatist-controlled city of Horlivka in Ukraine’s Donetsk area on February 25.

Kyiv residents take shelter in an underground parking storage on February 25.

A wounded girl stands exterior a hospital after an assault on the japanese Ukrainian city of Chuhuiv, exterior of Kharkiv, on February 24.

The physique of a rocket stays in an house after shelling on the northern outskirts of Kharkiv on February 24.

A boy performs together with his pill in a public basement used as a bomb shelter in Kyiv on February 24.

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A person mourns after an airstrike reportedly hit an house advanced in Chuhuiv on February 24.

Ukrainian service members sit atop armored automobiles driving in japanese Ukraine’s Donetsk area on February 24.

Individuals in Kyiv attempt to board a bus to journey west towards Poland on February 24.

Individuals search shelter inside a subway station in Kharkiv on February 24.

Individuals wait after boarding a bus to go away Kyiv on February 24.

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Cops examine the stays of a missile that landed in Kyiv on February 24.

A workers member of a Kyiv lodge talks on the telephone on February 24.

Individuals wait in line to purchase practice tickets on the central station in Kyiv on February 24.

A photograph offered by the Ukrainian President’s workplace seems to point out an explosion in Kyiv early on February 24.

A convoy of Russian army automobiles is seen February 23 within the Rostov area of Russia, which runs alongside Ukraine’s japanese border.

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Ukrainian troopers discuss in a shelter on the entrance line close to Svitlodarsk, Ukraine, on February 23.

Smoke rises from a broken energy plant in Shchastya that Ukrainian authorities say was hit by shelling on February 22.

A broken home is labored on after shelling close to the Ukrainian front-line metropolis of Novoluhanske on February 22.

Ukrainian troopers pay their respects throughout Sydorov’s funeral in Kyiv on February 22.

Russian howitzers are loaded onto practice automobiles close to Taganrog, Russia, on February 22.

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Protesters demanding financial sanctions in opposition to Russia stand exterior the Ministry of International Affairs in Kyiv on February 21. Solely a small variety of protesters confirmed as much as show.

Activists maintain a efficiency in entrance of the Russian embassy in Kyiv on February 21 in assist of prisoners who have been arrested in Crimea. They are saying the crimson doorways are a logo of the doorways that have been kicked in to look and arrest Crimean Tatars, a Muslim ethnic minority.

Ukrainian servicemen store within the front-line city of Avdiivka, Ukraine, on February 21.

Individuals lay flowers on the Motherland Monument in Kyiv on February 21.

An area resident reveals the depth of a crater from shelling in a subject behind his home within the village of Tamarchuk, Ukraine, on February 20.

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Ukrainian service members are seen alongside the entrance line exterior of Popasna, Ukraine, on February 20.

Individuals evacuated from the pro-Russian separatist areas of Ukraine are seen at a short lived shelter in Taganrog, Russia, on February 20.

Anastasia Manha lulls her 2-month-old son Mykyta after alleged shelling by separatists forces in Novohnativka, Ukraine, on February 20.

A Ukrainian soldier stays on place on the entrance line close to Novohnativka on February 20.

A pair arrives on the metropolis council to get married in Odesa on February 20. As Ukrainian authorities reported additional ceasefire violations and prime Western officers warned about an impending battle, life went on in different elements of the nation.

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A girl rests in a automotive close to a border checkpoint in Avilo-Uspenka, Russia, on February 19.

A Ukrainian service member walks by a constructing on February 19 that was hit by mortar fireplace within the front-line village of Krymske, Ukraine.

Fighter jets fly over Belarus throughout a joint army train the nation held with Russia on February 19.

Ukrainian troopers stand guard at a army command heart in Novoluhanske on February 19.

Individuals sit on a bus in Donetsk on February 18 after they have been ordered to evacuate to Russia by pro-Russian separatists.

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Youngsters play on previous Soviet tanks in entrance of the Motherland Monument in Kyiv on February 16.

Ambassadors of European nations lay roses on the Wall of Remembrance in Kyiv on February 16. The wall incorporates the names and images of army members who’ve died because the battle with Russian-backed separatists started in 2014.

US troops stroll on the tarmac on the Rzeszów-Jasionka Airport in southeastern Poland on February 16. US paratroopers landed in Poland as a part of a deployment of a number of thousand despatched to bolster NATO’s japanese flank in response to tensions with Russia.

A 200-meter-long Ukrainian flag is unfolded on the Olympic Stadium in Kyiv on February 16 to mark a “Day of Unity,” an impromptu celebration declared by President Volodymyr Zelensky.

A girl and youngster stroll beneath a army monument in Senkivka, Ukraine, on February 14. It is on the outskirts of the Three Sisters border crossing between Ukraine, Russia and Belarus.

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Ukrainian service members discuss at a front-line place in japanese Ukraine on February 14.

Members of Ukraine’s Nationwide Guard look out a window as they journey a bus by way of the capital of Kyiv on February 14.

Satellite tv for pc pictures taken on February 13 by Maxar Applied sciences revealed that dozens of helicopters had appeared at a beforehand vacant airbase in Russian-occupied Crimea.

Professional-Russian separatists observe the motion of Ukrainian troops from trenches in Ukraine’s Donbas space on February 11.

Ukrainian service members unpack Javelin anti-tank missiles that have been delivered to Kyiv on February 10 as a part of a US army assist package deal for Ukraine.

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Ukrainian service members stroll on an armored combating automobile throughout a coaching train in japanese Ukraine’s Donetsk area on February 10.

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Special Counsel Report Says Trump Would Have Been Convicted in Election Case

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Special Counsel Report Says Trump Would Have Been Convicted in Election Case

Jack Smith, the special counsel who indicted President-elect Donald J. Trump on charges of seeking to cling to power after losing the 2020 election, said in a final report released early Tuesday morning that he believed the evidence was sufficient to convict Mr. Trump in a trial if his success in the 2024 election had not made it impossible for the prosecution to continue.

“The department’s view that the Constitution prohibits the continued indictment and prosecution of a president is categorical and does not turn on the gravity of the crimes charged, the strength of the government’s proof or the merits of the prosecution, which the office stands fully behind,” Mr. Smith wrote.

He continued: “Indeed, but for Mr. Trump’s election and imminent return to the presidency, the office assessed that the admissible evidence was sufficient to obtain and sustain a conviction at trial.”

The Justice Department delivered the 137-page volume — representing half of Mr. Smith’s overall final report, with the volume about the classified documents case still confidential — to Congress just after midnight Tuesday morning.

The report, obtained by The New York Times, amounted to an extraordinary rebuke of a president-elect, capping a momentous legal saga that saw the man now poised to regain the powers of the nation’s highest office charged with crimes that struck at the heart of American democracy. And although Mr. Smith resigned as special counsel late last week, his recounting of the case also served as a reminder of the vast array of evidence and detailed accounting of Mr. Trump’s actions that he had marshaled.

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The partial release came only a day after the judge in Florida who oversaw Mr. Trump’s other federal case — the one accusing him of mishandling classified documents — issued a ruling allowing a portion of the material to be made public. But the judge, Aileen M. Cannon, who was appointed by Mr. Trump himself, also barred the Justice Department from immediately releasing — even to Congress — a second volume of the report concerning the documents case.

For more than a week, Mr. Trump’s lawyers — who were shown a draft copy of Mr. Smith’s report in advance of its release — denounced it as little more than an “attempted political hit job which sole purpose is to disrupt the presidential transition.” At least one Trump ally, the former Justice Department official Jeffrey Clark, has come forward to complain that he, too, might be implicated in the report as an unindicted co-conspirator in the election interference case.

In August 2023, Mr. Smith charged Mr. Trump in Federal District Court in Washington with three intersecting conspiracy counts accusing him of plotting to overturn his loss in the 2020 election. Mr. Smith also filed a separate indictment in Florida, charging Mr. Trump with illegally holding on to classified documents after he left office and conspiring with two co-defendants to obstruct the government’s repeated effort to retrieve them.

But after Mr. Trump won the 2024 election, Mr. Smith dropped the cases because of a Justice Department policy that prohibits prosecuting sitting presidents. Under a separate department regulation, he turned in a final report about both cases — one volume on each — to Attorney General Merrick B. Garland.

Last week, the Justice Department said Mr. Garland planned to hold off on issuing the volume about the classified documents case until all legal proceedings related to Mr. Trump’s two co-defendants were completed.

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Lawyers for the co-defendants, Walt Nauta and Carlos De Oliveira, fought the release by obtaining an initial injunction last week from Judge Cannon, who had dismissed the classified documents case last summer.

In her order on Monday, Judge Cannon told the defense and prosecution to appear before her on Friday in Federal District Court in Fort Pierce, Fla., to argue over the department’s plan to release the classified-documents volume to Congress.

This is a developing story. Please check back for updates.

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Los Angeles braces for ‘explosive fire growth’ as high winds near

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Los Angeles braces for ‘explosive fire growth’ as high winds near

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Los Angeles was braced for near “hurricane force” winds on Monday that weather forecasters said could fan the devastating wildfires that have swept across southern California as damage estimates mounted.

As firefighters struggled to contain the deadly blazes that continued to rage in the suburbs of the US’s second-largest city, the National Weather Service issued a “red flag alert” warning amid deteriorating conditions.

Winds of up to 75 miles an hour were expected to hit the region from Monday night until Wednesday morning, according to the NWS, combining with extremely dry conditions to create “critical fire weather”.

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“The National Weather Service is predicting close to hurricane-force level winds, and so we’re making urgent preparations,” LA mayor Karen Bass said on Monday. “My top priority, and the priority of everyone else, is to do everything we can to protect lives as these winds approach.”

Authorities have since last Tuesday battled blazes that have burnt more than 40,000 acres of land. California governor Gavin Newsom warned the fires could become the costliest disaster in US history as he clashed with president-elect Donald Trump over the state’s response.

The cause of the fires has not yet been determined, but several lawsuits were filed against utility Southern California Edison on Monday alleging it had failed to properly shut off power lines despite warnings, leading to the outbreak of the Eaton fire.

Shares in its parent Edison International fell 11.9 per cent on Monday.

A Southern California Edison spokesperson said: “SCE understands that a lawsuit related to the Eaton fire has been filed but has not yet been served with the complaint,” adding that the company “will review the complaint when it is received. The cause of the fire continues to be under investigation.”

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Insurance stocks were also hit as anticipated damages mounted. Wells Fargo analysts estimated insurance losses could top $30bn and potentially reach as much as $40bn. On Friday, JPMorgan analysts had pencilled in an industry-wide hit of $20bn, a level that would already have been the largest in the state’s history.

On Monday, Newsom said he was proposing $2.5bn in additional emergency funding to aid LA in the recovery, clean-up and reopening of schools. “California is organising a Marshall Plan to help Los Angeles rebuild faster and stronger,” he said in a statement. The funding will need to be approved by the state legislature.

The largest of the outbreaks, the Pacific Palisades fire, was just 14 per cent contained late on Monday, prompting fears that strong gusts in the coming days would reverse progress in combating the blazes.

The weather service warned that “extreme fire danger” would continue until Wednesday and said that the category of alert in place — a “particularly dangerous situation red flag warning” — was reserved for “extreme of the extreme fire weather scenarios”.

“In other words, this set-up is about as bad as it gets,” the NWS warned as it cautioned powerful winds could create “explosive fire growth”.

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The death toll hit 24 on Monday, officials said, and was expected to climb as authorities combed through the wreckage in search of missing people.

Firefighters work to clear a firebreak on a hillside covered with retardant in an attempt to contain the Palisades fire © Ringo Chiu/Reuters

The disaster has spilled over into the political arena, with Trump on Sunday attacking the state’s authorities for failing to halt the destruction. “The fires are still raging in L.A. The incompetent pols have no idea how to put them out,” he posted on his Truth Social network.

The incoming Republican president has accused California’s governor, a Democrat, of depleting water reserves to protect an endangered species of fish, and of refusing to sign a “water restoration declaration”. Newsom’s office said no such declaration exists.

“That mis- and disinformation I don’t think advantages or aids any of us,” Newsom told NBC’s Meet the Press on Sunday, noting he had invited the president-elect to visit affected areas but had yet to receive a response. “Responding to Donald Trump’s insults, we would spend another month.”

Meanwhile, city officials warned against price gougers who have increased prices for rental properties as thousands of people fled their homes.

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LAist, a local news site, found a Zillow listing for a furnished home in Bel Air going for $29,500 a month — 86 per cent higher than in September.

Cartography by Steven Bernard

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What Causes California Fires? Power Lines Can Be a Contributor.

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What Causes California Fires? Power Lines Can Be a Contributor.

Investigators are still working to identify what caused the spate of fires that ignited around Los Angeles last week, but residents are concerned that electrical infrastructure may have sparked at least one of them.

Since 1992, more than 3,600 wildfires in California have been related to power generation, transmission and distribution, according to data from the U.S. Forest Service. Some of the most destructive fires have been traced back to problems with utility poles and power lines.

Extent of power line fires near Los Angeles

Roughly a dozen power line fires have burned more than 200,000 acres in areas northwest of the city since 1970.

Source: CalFire

Extents of recent fires, as of Jan. 13, are outlined in black.

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By The New York Times

CalFire releases data on past large wildfires and determines their causes in different natural and human-related categories, such as lightning or arson. The agency lists more than 12,500 fires since the late 1800s, though the causes of more than half are unknown or unidentified.

Lightning and use of equipment are among the most common known causes, but over the past few decades, the share of fires known to be caused by power infrastructure has grown across the state.

The 20 most destructive California wildfires

At least eight of California’s most destructive wildfires had power-related causes. Those fires are shown in bold.

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Source: CalFire

By The New York Times

Residents of Altadena, Calif., sued Southern California Edison on Monday, saying the utility’s electrical equipment set off the Eaton fire, which has burned more than 13,000 acres and 5,000 structures in the city and neighboring areas. The company has said it is investigating the fire’s origin.

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Power distribution lines were found to have caused some of California’s largest-ever fires in recent years.

The Thomas fire in 2017 was started when high winds forced Southern California Edison’s power lines to collide, a situation known as “line slap.” Burning material fell to the ground in the Upper Anlauf Canyon, about 35 miles from the current Palisades fire, and the resulting fire burned for almost 40 days.

The 2018 Camp fire, in Northern California, started when an electrical arc between one of Pacific Gas & Electric’s power lines and a steel tower sent molten metal onto the underlying vegetation. That fire claimed more than 80 lives and destroyed over 18,000 structures.

In the summer of 2021, California’s largest single-source wildfire, the Dixie fire, started when a tree made contact with several of PG&E’s distribution lines near the Cresta Dam in Northern California. Electricity continued flowing in one of the lines, which started the fire, and nearly a million acres across four counties burned.

California isn’t the only state dealing with power-related wildfires in recent years. Texas’ largest wildfire, the Smokehouse Creek fire, burned over a million acres in 2024. Xcel Energy accepted responsibility for the fire after investigators found that high winds had broken a utility pole, causing a power line to fall and ignite the dried grasses below.

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Similar situations have caused wildfires in Oregon as well. The 2020 Labor Day fires destroyed thousands of homes and killed at least nine people, in part, after power wasn’t shut down during high winds.

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