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Analysis: How long can Ukraine hold out in the war for the skies?

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Analysis: How long can Ukraine hold out in the war for the skies?

An aged girl is helped by policemen after she was rescued from an house that was hit by shelling in Kyiv, Ukraine, on Tuesday, March 15.

Firefighters work to extinguish flames at an house constructing in Kyiv on March 15.

A girl walks previous a broken window to put flowers at a makeshift memorial for victims of the latest shelling within the separatist-controlled metropolis of Donetsk, Ukraine, on March 15.

Firefighters search a constructing for survivors after an assault in Kharkiv, Ukraine, on March 14. At the very least one lifeless physique was pulled from the rubble after hours of digging.

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Ukrainian troopers take cowl from incoming artillery fireplace in Irpin, Ukraine, on Sunday, March 13.

A Ukrainian soldier surveys a destroyed authorities constructing in Kharkiv on March 13.

A mom and son relaxation in Lviv, Ukraine, whereas ready to board a practice to Poland on Saturday, March 12.

Ukrainian servicemen work contained in the broken maternity hospital in Mariupol on March 9. “The destruction is big,” town council stated. “The constructing of the medical facility the place the kids have been handled not too long ago is totally destroyed.”

A displaced Ukrainian mom embraces her youngster whereas ready on the Przemysl railway station in Poland on March 8.

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A Ukrainian serviceman walks previous the stays of a Russian plane mendacity in a broken constructing in Kharkiv on March 8.

A firefighter works to extinguish flames after a chemical warehouse was reportedly hit by Russian shelling close to Kalynivka, Ukraine, on March 8.

Alexandra, 12, holds her 6-year-old sister, Esyea, who cries as she waves at her mom, Irina, on March 7. The youngsters have been leaving Odesa, Ukraine.

Members of the Pink Cross assist individuals fleeing the Kyiv suburb of Irpin on March 7.

Civilians search safety in a basement bomb shelter in Kyiv on March 6.

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Native residents assist clear the rubble of a house that was destroyed by a suspected Russian airstrike in Markhalivka, Ukraine, on March 5.

George Keburia says goodbye to his spouse and youngsters as they board a practice in Odesa on March 5. They have been heading to Lviv.

Ukrainians crowd underneath a destroyed bridge as they attempt to flee throughout the Irpin River on the outskirts of Kyiv on March 5.

Individuals take away private belongings from a burning home after shelling in Irpin on March 4.

Individuals crowd on a platform as they attempt to board a westbound practice in Kyiv on March 4.

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A bullet-ridden bus is seen after an ambush in Kyiv on March 4.

Individuals take shelter on the ground of a hospital throughout shelling in Mariupol on March 4.

A member of the Ukrainian army provides directions to civilians in Irpin on March 4. They have been about to board an evacuation practice headed to Kyiv.

A Ukrainian youngster rests on a mattress at a short lived refugee heart in Záhony, Hungary, on March 4.

A Ukrainian soldier carries a child throughout a destroyed bridge on the outskirts of Kyiv on March 3.

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Residents react in entrance of a burning constructing after shelling in Kharkiv on March 3.

A Ukrainian soldier who says he was shot thrice within the opening days of the invasion sits on a hospital mattress in Kyiv on March 3.

Individuals type a human chain to switch provides into Kyiv on March 3.

A cemetery employee digs graves for Ukrainian troopers in Kyiv on March 3.

A mom cares for her two toddler sons within the underground shelter of a maternity hospital in Kyiv on March 3. She gave start a day earlier, and she or he and her husband have not but selected names for the twins.

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A member of Ukraine’s Territorial Protection Forces sits with a weapon in Kyiv on March 2.

Paramedics deal with an aged girl wounded by shelling earlier than transferring her to a hospital in Mariupol on March 2.

Residents of Zhytomyr, Ukraine, work within the stays of a residential constructing on March 2. The constructing was destroyed by shelling.

A member of Ukraine’s Territorial Protection Forces inspects injury within the yard of a home in Gorenka on March 2.

A Ukrainian girl takes her kids over the border in Siret, Romania, on March 2. Many Ukrainians are fleeing the nation at a tempo that might flip into “Europe’s largest refugee disaster this century,” the United Nations Refugee Company stated.

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Militia members arrange anti-tank barricades in Kyiv on March 2.

Individuals wait at a practice station in Kyiv on March 2.

Individuals shelter in a subway station in Kyiv on March 2.

Ukrainian troopers attend Mass at an Orthodox monastery in Kyiv on March 1.

Medical employees present a mom her new child after she gave start at a maternity hospital in Mariupol on March 1. The hospital is now additionally used as a medical ward and bomb shelter.

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An administrative constructing is seen in Kharkiv after Russian shelling on March 1. Russian forces have scaled up their bombardment of Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second-largest metropolis.

Ukrainian emergency employees carry a physique of a sufferer following shelling that hit the Metropolis Corridor constructing in Kharkiv on March 1.

A girl named Helen comforts her 8-year-old daughter, Polina, within the bomb shelter of a Kyiv kids’s hospital on March 1. The lady was on the hospital being handled for encephalitis, or irritation of the mind.

Ukrainian refugees attempt to keep heat on the Medyka border crossing in Poland on March 1.

Volunteers in Kyiv signal as much as be a part of Ukraine’s Territorial Protection Forces on February 28.

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A member of the Territorial Protection Forces masses rifle magazines in Kyiv on February 28.

Ukrainian forces order a person to the bottom on February 28 as they elevated safety measures amid Russian assaults in Kyiv.

A displaced Ukrainian cradles her youngster at a short lived shelter arrange inside a gymnasium in Beregsurány, Hungary, on February 28.

Smoke billows over the Ukrainian metropolis of Vasylkiv, simply exterior Kyiv on February 27. A fireplace at an oil storage space was seen raging on the Vasylkiv Air Base.

Individuals wait on a platform contained in the railway station in Lviv on February 27. Hundreds of individuals at Lviv’s principal practice station tried to board trains that may take them out of Ukraine.

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A Russian armored automobile burns after combating in Kharkiv on February 27. Road combating broke out as Russian troops entered Ukraine’s second-largest metropolis, and residents have been urged to remain in shelters and never journey.

Native residents put together Molotov cocktails in Uzhhorod, Ukraine, on February 27.

Vehicles line up on the highway exterior Mostyska, Ukraine, as individuals try to flee to Poland on February 27.

Ukrainian troops in Kyiv escort a prisoner February 27 who they suspected of being a Russian agent.

Ukrainian service members take place on the Vasylkiv Air Base close to Kyiv on February 27.

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A girl sleeps on chairs February 27 within the underground parking zone of a Kyiv lodge that has been was a bomb shelter.

A broken residential constructing is seen in Kyiv on February 26.

Individuals in Kyiv run for canopy throughout shelling on February 26.

An house constructing in Kyiv is seen after it was broken by shelling on February 26. The outer partitions of a number of house models seemed to be blown out totally, with the interiors blackened and particles hanging unfastened.

A police automobile patrols the streets of Kyiv on February 26.

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Ukrainian troops examine a website following a Russian airstrike in Kyiv on February 26.

Following a nationwide directive to assist complicate the invading Russian Military’s makes an attempt to navigate, a highway employee removes indicators close to Pisarivka, Ukraine, on February 26.

Ukrainian service members search for and gather unexploded shells after combating in Kyiv on February 26.

The physique of a Russian soldier lies subsequent to a Russian automobile exterior Kharkiv on February 25.

A girl weeps in her automotive after crossing the border from Ukraine into Sighetu Marmatiei, Romania, on February 25.

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A Ukrainian soldier sits injured from crossfire inside Kyiv on February 25.

A toddler from Ukraine sleeps in a tent at a humanitarian heart in Palanca, Moldova, on February 25.

A firefighter walks between the ruins of a downed plane in Kyiv on February 25.

Members of the Ukrainian Nationwide Guard take positions in central Kyiv on February 25.

Individuals stroll previous a residential constructing in Kyiv that was hit in an alleged Russian airstrike on February 25.

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The physique of a faculty worker, who in line with locals was killed in latest shelling, lies within the separatist-controlled city of Horlivka in Ukraine’s Donetsk area on February 25.

Kyiv residents take shelter in an underground parking storage on February 25.

A wounded girl stands exterior a hospital after an assault on the japanese Ukrainian city of Chuhuiv, exterior of Kharkiv, on February 24.

The physique of a rocket stays in an house after shelling on the northern outskirts of Kharkiv on February 24.

A boy performs together with his pill in a public basement used as a bomb shelter in Kyiv on February 24.

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A person mourns after an airstrike reportedly hit an house advanced in Chuhuiv on February 24.

Ukrainian service members sit atop armored automobiles driving in japanese Ukraine’s Donetsk area on February 24.

Individuals in Kyiv attempt to board a bus to journey west towards Poland on February 24.

Individuals search shelter inside a subway station in Kharkiv on February 24.

Individuals wait after boarding a bus to go away Kyiv on February 24.

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Cops examine the stays of a missile that landed in Kyiv on February 24.

A workers member of a Kyiv lodge talks on the telephone on February 24.

Individuals wait in line to purchase practice tickets on the central station in Kyiv on February 24.

A photograph offered by the Ukrainian President’s workplace seems to point out an explosion in Kyiv early on February 24.

A convoy of Russian army automobiles is seen February 23 within the Rostov area of Russia, which runs alongside Ukraine’s japanese border.

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Ukrainian troopers discuss in a shelter on the entrance line close to Svitlodarsk, Ukraine, on February 23.

Smoke rises from a broken energy plant in Shchastya that Ukrainian authorities say was hit by shelling on February 22.

A broken home is labored on after shelling close to the Ukrainian front-line metropolis of Novoluhanske on February 22.

Ukrainian troopers pay their respects throughout Sydorov’s funeral in Kyiv on February 22.

Russian howitzers are loaded onto practice automobiles close to Taganrog, Russia, on February 22.

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Protesters demanding financial sanctions in opposition to Russia stand exterior the Ministry of International Affairs in Kyiv on February 21. Solely a small variety of protesters confirmed as much as show.

Activists maintain a efficiency in entrance of the Russian embassy in Kyiv on February 21 in assist of prisoners who have been arrested in Crimea. They are saying the crimson doorways are a logo of the doorways that have been kicked in to look and arrest Crimean Tatars, a Muslim ethnic minority.

Ukrainian servicemen store within the front-line city of Avdiivka, Ukraine, on February 21.

Individuals lay flowers on the Motherland Monument in Kyiv on February 21.

An area resident reveals the depth of a crater from shelling in a subject behind his home within the village of Tamarchuk, Ukraine, on February 20.

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Ukrainian service members are seen alongside the entrance line exterior of Popasna, Ukraine, on February 20.

Individuals evacuated from the pro-Russian separatist areas of Ukraine are seen at a short lived shelter in Taganrog, Russia, on February 20.

Anastasia Manha lulls her 2-month-old son Mykyta after alleged shelling by separatists forces in Novohnativka, Ukraine, on February 20.

A Ukrainian soldier stays on place on the entrance line close to Novohnativka on February 20.

A pair arrives on the metropolis council to get married in Odesa on February 20. As Ukrainian authorities reported additional ceasefire violations and prime Western officers warned about an impending battle, life went on in different elements of the nation.

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A girl rests in a automotive close to a border checkpoint in Avilo-Uspenka, Russia, on February 19.

A Ukrainian service member walks by a constructing on February 19 that was hit by mortar fireplace within the front-line village of Krymske, Ukraine.

Fighter jets fly over Belarus throughout a joint army train the nation held with Russia on February 19.

Ukrainian troopers stand guard at a army command heart in Novoluhanske on February 19.

Individuals sit on a bus in Donetsk on February 18 after they have been ordered to evacuate to Russia by pro-Russian separatists.

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Youngsters play on previous Soviet tanks in entrance of the Motherland Monument in Kyiv on February 16.

Ambassadors of European nations lay roses on the Wall of Remembrance in Kyiv on February 16. The wall incorporates the names and images of army members who’ve died because the battle with Russian-backed separatists started in 2014.

US troops stroll on the tarmac on the Rzeszów-Jasionka Airport in southeastern Poland on February 16. US paratroopers landed in Poland as a part of a deployment of a number of thousand despatched to bolster NATO’s japanese flank in response to tensions with Russia.

A 200-meter-long Ukrainian flag is unfolded on the Olympic Stadium in Kyiv on February 16 to mark a “Day of Unity,” an impromptu celebration declared by President Volodymyr Zelensky.

A girl and youngster stroll beneath a army monument in Senkivka, Ukraine, on February 14. It is on the outskirts of the Three Sisters border crossing between Ukraine, Russia and Belarus.

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Ukrainian service members discuss at a front-line place in japanese Ukraine on February 14.

Members of Ukraine’s Nationwide Guard look out a window as they journey a bus by way of the capital of Kyiv on February 14.

Satellite tv for pc pictures taken on February 13 by Maxar Applied sciences revealed that dozens of helicopters had appeared at a beforehand vacant airbase in Russian-occupied Crimea.

Professional-Russian separatists observe the motion of Ukrainian troops from trenches in Ukraine’s Donbas space on February 11.

Ukrainian service members unpack Javelin anti-tank missiles that have been delivered to Kyiv on February 10 as a part of a US army assist package deal for Ukraine.

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Ukrainian service members stroll on an armored combating automobile throughout a coaching train in japanese Ukraine’s Donetsk area on February 10.

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Live news: Trump gives US ambassador to Israel post to ex-governor Mike Huckabee

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Live news: Trump gives US ambassador to Israel post to ex-governor Mike Huckabee

Events to look out for on Tuesday include speeches from the Federal Reserve governor, Home Depot earnings and Spotify results:

Fedspeak: Less than a week on from the central bank’s second rate cut of the year, Federal Reserve governor Chris Waller will deliver the keynote at the Clearing House Annual Conference in New York. Separately, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond president Tom Barkin is scheduled to speak at a summit in Baltimore. At Carnegie Mellon University, Philadelphia Fed president Patrick Harker will deliver a lecture on “Fintech, AI & the Changing Financial Landscape”.

Home Depot: Investors will be eager to find out whether the Federal Reserve’s back-to-back rate cuts, which will have an effect on mortgage rates, have made a difference to consumer appetite for home improvement projects. Home Depot, which last quarter cut its sales outlook on weakened consumer spending, is projected to report a 4.3 per cent increase in third-quarter revenues, to $39.3bn.

Other earnings: Tyson Foods will announce fourth-quarter earnings before the opening bell. Flutter and Spotify will post quarterly results after market close.

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Trump transition tracker: Trump nominates Mike Huckabee to be Israeli ambassador

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Trump transition tracker: Trump nominates Mike Huckabee to be Israeli ambassador

President-elect Donald Trump’s newly picked “border czar” Tom Homan addressed his forthcoming deportation plan and state leaders who have objected to sweeping immigration policies.

During an appearance on Fox News on Monday, Homan issued a warning to so-called “sanctuary” states and cities to “get the hell out of the way” of the Trump administration’s mass deportation plans.

File – In this Dec. 5, 2017 file photo, then Acting Director for U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement Thomas Homan at a news conference in Washington.

“I saw today numerous governors from sanctuary states saying they’re going to step in the way. They better get the hell out of the way. Either you help us or get the hell out of the way, because ICE is going to do their job,” he warned, referring to the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, where he formerly served as director.

“I’ll double the workforce in that sanctuary city. We’re going to do our job despite the politics. We’re doing it. So get used to it, because we’re coming,” Homan said.

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When asked if he plans to deport American citizens, Homan said, “President Trump has made it clear we will prioritize public safety threats and national security threats first, and that’s how the focus would be.”

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Germany’s Olaf Scholz defies odds as party swings behind re-election bid

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Germany’s Olaf Scholz defies odds as party swings behind re-election bid

Olaf Scholz has just pulled the plug on his coalition and lost his parliamentary majority, with polls suggesting his party will be defeated in Germany’s upcoming snap election. Yet he still looks likely to be crowned as his party’s candidate for chancellor.

The government crisis that culminated last week with Scholz calling time on the three-party alliance plunged Germany into a new phase of turbulence. But Social Democrat leaders have rallied round him, steadying his status in a party that long nurtured doubts about their chancellor.

Some Social Democrats would still prefer to see him replaced on the ballot by Boris Pistorius, the popular defence minister. But they are the minority. Most expect an SPD congress to be held in the coming weeks to anoint Scholz as the party’s Kanzlerkandidat — regardless of his approval ratings.

The support for Scholz was on full display at an emotional meeting of the SPD parliamentary group last week when he was given a standing ovation by MPs.

Jens Spahn, an MP for the opposition Christian Democrats (CDU) and a former health minister, described the scene as “surreal”.

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“Here is Olaf Scholz, a failed chancellor, his coalition has just broken down, he’s sacked his finance minister and his SPD thinks it’s a cause for celebration?” Spahn told the Financial Times.

The incredulity in opposition ranks increased after a television interview with Scholz on Sunday evening in which he refused to admit mistakes and, in the view of some commentators, came across as cold and unsympathetic.

Some have openly questioned why the party still backs Scholz. TV presenter Micky Beisenherz compared him to Bruce Willis in the film The Sixth Sense. He “goes to work every day even though he’s long dead,” he wrote on X. “He just doesn’t know it yet.”

Just months ago, Scholz’s position was precarious. Some in the SPD blamed him for the party’s slump in support, with polls putting it at between 14 and 16 per cent over the past year, way behind the CDU on 30 to 32 per cent.

Many Social Democrats wonder whether they would be better off fielding defence minister Boris Pistorius © Bernd von Jutrczenka/dpa

But Scholz’s standing among some of his party colleagues has paradoxically improved since the government’s collapse. They have hailed him as a hero who finally lanced the boil, ending a dysfunctional government riven by ideological conflict.

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For them, the sacking of finance minister Christian Lindner, leader of the pro-business Free Democrats (FDP), was the inevitable climax of months of provocation.

“There is relief that we will no longer be subjected to endless humiliation by Lindner and the FDP,” said one SPD MP.

Scholz said he fired Lindner because he refused to suspend the “debt brake” — Germany’s constitutional cap on new borrowing — to allow for more funding for Ukraine. The issue has taken on greater urgency since US voters re-elected Donald Trump, who has questioned western aid to Kyiv.

The dismissal played well in the SPD’s grassroots. “It was a kind of liberation — long overdue,” said Dirk Smaczny, head of the party’s local branch in Rheinhausen-Mitte, near the Ruhr industrial city of Duisburg. “We’ve been waiting a long time for Scholz to show strong leadership, and he finally delivered it.”

“He could have said ‘let’s just muddle through another year’,” said Johannes Fechner, a senior SPD MP. “The fact he accepted that the country needed a new government, even though it might mean he’ll lose his job — the SPD rank-and-file really respect him for that.”

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Yet Scholz remains controversial in the party. Closely associated with the labour market reforms of chancellor Gerhard Schröder in the early 2000s that alienated working-class voters, he lost his bid for the party leadership in 2019 in a humiliating defeat.

He staged a remarkable comeback two years later, running for chancellor in 2021 and winning the election. He then brought together the SPD, FDP and Greens in a coalition that was unique in Germany’s history.

But his record has been clouded by countless internal rows over economic policy that he tried — and ultimately failed — to mediate. Scholz has seen the worst approval ratings of any postwar chancellor.

On Monday two SPD politicians from the chancellor’s home town of Hamburg, Markus Schreiber and Tim Stoberock, said he should make way for the defence minister.

“Our chances of winning the election or at least performing a lot better are much greater with [Pistorius], who has long been Germany’s most popular politician,” they wrote on Instagram.

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Scholz spent too much time cobbling together compromises “in technocratic language” which were then rejected by his coalition partners. “We believe the negative image the people in this country have of him can no longer be repaired,” they wrote.

Privately, some SPD lawmakers agreed that Pistorius might be a better bet. “But politics doesn’t work like that,” said one. “Scholz’s huge strategic advantage is that he holds the reins of power. He’s the one who took this step. He’s the one who announced early elections. That gives him a certain strength.”

Scholz has shown no inclination to stand aside — nor does he intend to put his candidacy to a party vote.

His spokesperson Steffen Hebestreit on Monday defended the absence of a formal selection process, saying there was no need — and also no time.

“First of all, he’s the natural candidate because he’s chancellor,” he told reporters. “Secondly, look at the clock . . . We’re going to have snap elections quite soon, if he loses the confidence vote. We all need to focus on that right now, and you can understand why.”

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Observers said that approach made sense, especially in light of what just happened in the US.

Wolfgang Schroeder, a political scientist at Kassel University, noted that the Democrats had hoped to improve their fortunes by substituting Joe Biden for Kamala Harris just months before the election.

“It injected some momentum, but it didn’t turn out to be long-lasting or effective,” he said. “For that reason I would advise the SPD against carrying out any grand experiments right now.”

MPs from the opposition CDU say that suits them, predicting that Scholz will be soundly beaten by their leader Friedrich Merz. “Olaf Scholz is the face of failure,” said CDU’s Spahn. “As such, we couldn’t wish for a better opponent.”

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