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What Julian Sayin’s transfer to Ohio State football means for Ryan Day and Buckeye quarterbacks
COLUMBUS, Ohio — What’s that you say, disgruntled Ohio State football fan? You want a more aggressive Ryan Day?
You got him. The Buckeyes coach’s already audacious quarterback-stacking strategy reached its extreme example Sunday night. Recent Alabama enrollee Julian Sayin — the top quarterback in a 2024 class which began signing barely a month ago — is transferring in.
The No. 4 quarterback in that class — Prentice “Air” Noland — attended Sunday’s big OSU women’s basketball win over Iowa, along with hundreds of other currently enrolled students. A cleveland.com source indicated Noland understands the shift in circumstances which led to Sayin’s commitment. No hard feelings. Such is quarterback recruiting in the modern era.
Ohio State also brought in former Kansas State transfer Will Howard earlier this month as the presumptive front-runner to start on opening day. Former top-100 prospect Devin Brown stuck around to compete for that job as a third-year veteran. Day remains intrigued by the long-term promise of Lincoln Kienholz, entering his second year with the program but his first spring.
Gone are those quaint days when Day longed for four scholarship quarterbacks for ideal depth. He’ll hand five of them to new offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach Bill O’Brien, who happened to help recruit Sayin to Alabama.
It’s almost as if Day endured the general unease about OSU’s quarterback performance last season and vowed he would never experience that again, at any cost.
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Day ultimately takes the blame for whatever shortcoming existed with Kyle McCord, whose transfer to Syracuse made these other additions not only possible but necessary. Day’s general quarterback recruiting strategy has been to bring in a highly ranked prospect in every class. No long-term upside in-state career backups hold scholarships at Ohio State.
The reason? Day does not want to be caught empty handed if he’s wrong about someone, or if the development simply does not work out. Adding Sayin appears to be the most extreme example yet of that — well, take your pick of the best word to use. Philosophy? Neurosis? Paranoia?
No question Sayin is a major talent. Ohio State recruited him out of Carlsbad (Calif.) High School. It tried to pry him away from Alabama post-commitment and only locked down Noland after it could not complete the flip. Nick Saban’s retirement and the reality of the transfer portal provided a clean second opportunity, and Day jumped on it.
Is that fair to Noland, or perhaps even Howard? Again, Noland seems fine with it. Either way, Day has been pushed to a place where those are problems he can worry about a year from now. He can handle the perception of being overly ruthless in roster management if it means beating Michigan and quieting the outrage of those for whom 11-2 and a six-point road loss against the eventual national champion is unforgivable.
Prior to Sunday night, an orderly progression set up in the quarterback room. Howard likely felt he had an edge over Brown or he presumably would have transferred elsewhere. Both could be gone by the end of the coming season. But Kienholz, Noland and incoming 2025 prospect Tavien St. Clair could repopulate the position on a normal timeline.
Sayin’s arrival adds turbulence to an otherwise smooth flight. Common sense tells you the fall quarterback meetings will no longer have five scholarship participants.
Day has never turned to a true freshman as his full-time starter. He owes all five of these quarterbacks a full evaluation this spring. Sayin brings an intriguing mix of arm strength, accuracy and agility — someone who can make the throws Day needs with more ability to freelance outside the pocket.
Howard or Brown remain the more likely opening-day starters due to their experience. As we saw last season, however, doors can open unexpectedly. Sayin’s arrival may not impact the quarterback performance against Akron on Aug. 31. It absolutely impacts how good the No. 2 quarterback must be over the next eight months in order to secure the backup job.
While the timing does not line up, in other ways, this resembles Day’s 2020 signing class combo. Jack Miller III signed on early, when he was one of the top-ranked passers in the nation. C.J. Stroud — like Sayin, a California native — slowly climbed the ranks and joined the class late. They faced off for the starting job in their second string, with McCord jumping in as well, and the process yielded Stroud’s two brilliant seasons.
Sayin and Noland now set up for another big-time competition in spring 2025. Yet the tone for the spring ahead has also shifted. Another major talent has joined the mix, and the most aggressive version of Day we have ever seen will be making the analysis.
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Ryan Day’s son spotted on the sidelines of OSU’s game against Purdue on Saturday
COLUMBUS, Ohio (WSYX) — RJ Day, a college quarterback prospect and son of OSU coach Ryan Day, was recently spotted at OSU’s game against Purdue during his official visit to Purdue University.
Day, who is ranked No. 32 in Ohio and 61st among signal callers in the 2027 class, recently delivered a standout performance in a playoff game against the Ashland Arrows.
According to a post by the school on Friday night, Day unofficially threw for what would be a school-record 482 yards and three touchdowns.
Earlier this season, Day had an impressive game against Columbus Africentric High School, completing 16 of 19 passes for 275 yards and five touchdowns on Sept. 5.
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RJ Day currently holds offers from Akron, Boston College, Bowling Green, Miami (Ohio), and Syracuse.
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Ohio State vs Purdue predictions, picks, odds. Who wins Week 11 college football game?
Ohio State football is set to take on Purdue at Ross-Ade Stadium on Nov. 7.
The Buckeyes received the No. 1 ranking in the College Football Playoff committee’s rankings on Nov. 4. Ohio State is 8-0 and ranks a spot higher than Indiana, also undefeated and projected to play the Buckeyes in the Big Ten championship game.
Purdue kept it close against Michigan, but the Boilermakers lost 21-16, falling to 2-7 overall and 0-6 in the Big Ten.
Here’s what Dispatch writers think will happen in the Ohio State-Purdue football game:
Stream Ohio State vs. Purdue
Ohio State vs. Purdue odds, money line, over/under
Odds courtesy of BetMGM (As of Nov. 7)
- Spread: Ohio State by 29.5
- Over/under: 48.5
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Ohio State vs. Purdue predictions
Joey Kaufman, Columbus Dispatch: Ohio State 45, Purdue 3. While the Boilermakers are rebuilding under first-year coach Barry Odom and remain winless in the Big Ten, they have been more competitive this year. The average margin of their six conference losses is just 11 points, and three of the last four have been by one score or less. But a season-ending ankle injury to star running back Devin Mockobee only adds to the plate of Ryan Browne, who has thrown the second-most interceptions among Big Ten quarterbacks. It won’t be much different than last year’s game in Columbus, though Purdue can avoid being shut out.
Rob Oller, Columbus Dispatch: Ohio State 48, Purdue 7. The Boilermakers have not won a Big Ten game since beating Indiana in the finale of the 2023 regular season, going 1-15 over that stretch. Over the same span, the Buckeyes have gone 12-3. So you’re saying there’s a chance? Never say never, but, er, never. Purdue is better than a year ago, and actually has been competitive in three of its last four games, including a 21-16 loss at Michigan, but Ohio State has too many weapons on both sides of the ball for this to be anything other than an OSU “name your score.”
Dan Aulbach, Columbus Dispatch: Ohio State 42, Purdue 3. Though the final score predictions are starting to sound like a broken record, Ohio State should have no problem this weekend at Ross-Ade Stadium with a passing offense on a roll and two Heisman campaigns underway for Julian Sayin and Jeremiah Smith.
Ohio State vs. Purdue scouting report: What we’re watching
Joey Kaufman: The week that Ohio State began formally pushing quarterback Julian Sayin and wide receiver Jeremiah Smith as candidates for the Heisman Trophy is well-timed with an afternoon that could allow them to pad their stats. Purdue allows 8.7 yards per pass attempt, ranking 128th out of 136 teams in the Football Bowl Subdivision, and only Marshall has surrendered more completions of 40 or more yards. As long as the weather in West Lafayette cooperates, Sayin and Smith could put up some video game-type numbers.
Rob Oller: A better than 50% chance of rain is forecast for Saturday’s game in West Lafayette. If the heavens open on the Buckeyes, it’s possible Ohio State will lean into trying to improve its running game, which is about the only facet of the team that has come under question. Then again, I’m not sure even a slippery, wet football would be enough to squelch a passing attack that licks its chops knowing Purdue’s pass defense ranks 16th in the Big Ten in passing yards allowed.
Dan Aulbach: Ohio State has scored a touchdown on its opening drive the past two games. Not only have the Buckeyes started quickly on offense, but Julian Sayin continues to air the ball downfield with precision to get the offense to the red zone quickly. I’m interested to see how aggressively Ohio State wants to get a big lead on the road against Purdue, and if they grab an early lead, will the leading Heisman candidate continue to take deep shots for the entire contest?
Julian Sayin has a 400-yard game
Joey Kaufman: After he was just 7 yards shy of throwing for 400 yards at Wisconsin three weeks ago, Sayin will have the opportunity to reach that mark against another Big Ten cellar dweller as Purdue remains prone to giving up big plays through the air. Even if the Boilermakers are in prevent mode after Penn State was beaten over the top, Sayin has too many weapons not to carve them up. He’ll be the first Buckeyes quarterback since C.J. Stroud to have a 400-yard passing game.
Buckeyes’ rushing yards surpass passing yards
Rob Oller: Conventional wisdom says Ohio State will go pass-happy against the Boilermakers to pad the stats of Heisman candidates Julian Sayin and Jeremiah Smith, but from a team preparation standpoint the Buckeyes need to get their ground game up and running, so the final stats will show more run yards than passing yards, which has not happened since Nov. 12, 2022 against Indiana (340 run, 322 pass), which also was the last time OSU topped 300 yards rushing.
Jeremiah Smith scores 3 touchdowns
Dan Aulbach: It’s Heisman candidacy season, and while Sayin leads the betting odds for the trophy, expect Jeremiah Smith to start running up the stat sheet. Look for the Buckeyes to get creative on offense to get No. 4 to the end zone multiple times. A three-touchdown game would certainly turn some heads in the Heisman race.ual improvement in his maturity as Ohio State’s quarterback. Though on the road against a weaker opponent, the redshirt freshman showed once more his accuracy is irreplicable and I fully expect his completion percentage to remain atop the FBS.
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Ohio State vs. Purdue score prediction by expert football model
Big Ten football gets underway this weekend as reigning national champion and No. 1 ranked Ohio State looks to preserve its undefeated record on the road against Purdue on Saturday.
Purdue is yet to win a game in Big Ten competition this season, but has some experience upsetting Ohio State at home, notably pulling off a stunning 49-20 result back in 2018.
What do the analytics predict as the Buckeyes and Boilermakers meet in this Big Ten clash?
For that, we turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Ohio State and Purdue compare in this Week 11 college football game, and use it to lock in our own projection.
As expected, the simulations strongly favor the Buckeyes over the Boilers in this one.
SP+ predicts that Ohio State will defeat Purdue by a projected score of 40 to 11 and will win the game by an expected margin of 29.3 points in the process.
The model gives the Buckeyes a near-perfect 97 percent chance of outright victory.
SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”
How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ college football prediction model is 263-253 against the spread with a 55.8 win percentage. Last week, it was 29-23 (55.8%) in its picks against the spread.
The betting markets predictably like the Buckeyes by several scores.
Ohio State is a 29.5 point favorite against Purdue, according to the updated game lines posted to FanDuel Sportsbook.
FanDuel lists the total at 48.5 points for the matchup, and set the moneyline odds for Ohio State at -10000 and for Purdue at +3000 to win outright.
Ohio State arrives with an ironclad defense that allows fewer than seven points per game and a sharply efficient offense.
Purdue, still rebuilding and winless in Big Ten play, simply doesn’t have the firepower or consistency to mount a reliable challenge.
Expect the Buckeyes to dominate tempo early, flip into cruise mode in the second half, and seal a comprehensive victory while Purdue scraps hard but falls short.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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