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Will Nebraska cover the spread vs. Illinois? Betting Trends, Record ATS

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Will Nebraska cover the spread vs. Illinois? Betting Trends, Record ATS


The Nebraska Cornhuskers (16-6, 6-5 Big Ten) are underdogs (by 9.5 points) to stop a four-game road losing streak when they visit the No. 14 Illinois Fighting Illini (16-5, 7-3 Big Ten) on Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 6:30 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5.

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Nebraska vs. Illinois Odds & Info

  • Date: Sunday, February 4, 2024
  • Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • TV: Big Ten Network
  • Where: Champaign, Illinois
  • Venue: State Farm Center

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Favorite Spread Over/Under
Illinois -9.5 154.5

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Cornhuskers Betting Records & Stats

  • Nebraska has combined with its opponent to score more than 154.5 points in seven of 20 games this season.
  • Nebraska has had an average of 147.6 points scored in its games so far this season, 6.9 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
  • So far this season, Nebraska has compiled a 13-7-0 record against the spread.
  • Nebraska has a 13-7-0 ATS record this season compared to the 9-9-0 mark of Illinois.

Nebraska vs. Illinois Over/Under Stats

Games Over 154.5 % of Games Over 154.5 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total
Illinois 8 44.4% 82.3 159.7 69 139.2 146.7
Nebraska 7 35% 77.4 159.7 70.2 139.2 146.7

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Additional Nebraska Insights & Trends

  • Nebraska is 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its past 10 games.
  • In their past 10 contests, the Cornhuskers have gone over the total eight times.
  • Nebraska has covered six times in 10 matchups with a spread in conference action this season.
  • The Cornhuskers’ 77.4 points per game are 8.4 more points than the 69 the Fighting Illini give up.
  • Nebraska has put together a 12-4 ATS record and a 14-3 overall record in games it scores more than 69 points.

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Nebraska vs. Illinois Betting Splits

ATS Record ATS Record Against 9.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Illinois 9-9-0 3-5 10-8-0
Nebraska 13-7-0 0-0 13-7-0

Nebraska vs. Illinois Home/Away Splits

Illinois Nebraska
11-2 Home Record 14-1
3-3 Away Record 1-5
4-7-0 Home ATS Record 11-3-0
3-2-0 Away ATS Record 1-4-0
79.6 Points Scored Per Game (Home) 80.7
83.2 Points Scored Per Game (Away) 68
3-8-0 Over-Under-Push Record (Home) 10-4-0
5-0-0 Over-Under-Push Record (Away) 2-3-0

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Analytics Review: Nebraska Football vs. Wisconsin

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Analytics Review: Nebraska Football vs. Wisconsin


It was an unseasonably nice afternoon in Memorial Stadium. And no, I’m not talking about temperatures in the high 50s for the final home game. In his second game as offensive coordinator, Dana Holgorsen’s offense exploded for arguably the Nebraska offense’s best game under Matt Rhule. Dylan Raiola played his best game, throwing for over 290 yards with no sacks and no turnovers. For the first time all season, I’d say the Huskers played well in all three phases of the game, and that was enough to send them bowling this December.

The story of this game was the Huskers offense. Emmett Johnson became Nebraska’s second 100-yard running back of the Matt Rhule era, joining Anthony Grant last season against Louisiana Tech. The Huskers had just two of their runs “stuffed” (a run for 0 or fewer yards) on their way to their second-best rushing output this season.

I was struck by the blocking effort in this game. Jahmal Banks held his block on the edge until Dante Dowdell crossed the goal line. Linemen were pulling and still blocking ten yards downfield, helping players fight for extra yards. That type of extra effort made this a special night for the offense.

Overall stat tables for Nebraska vs. Wisconsin.

Overall stat tables for Nebraska vs. Wisconsin. / Game On Paper

The Husker’s offense also dominated the control of the ball. The Nebraska offense was built on methodical drives. Even if you remove Nebraska’s two explosive plays, the Huskers offense still managed an EPA of 3.88. This was the first game all season where Nebraska’s non-explosive plays went for a positive EPA.   

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Special teams was also a big positive for the Huskers in this game. Nebraska’s special teams performed 12.5 points better than Wisconsin’s this game. This was just the second time this season that Nebraska’s special teams unit was a net positive (Ohio State, 2.86 EPA). John Hohl’s 14 points were the most by a kicker in the Matt Rhule era.

The defense still had its concerning moments this game. Wisconsin performed in the 90th percentile or better in many offensive statistics, including its seven explosive plays. These big plays are a cause for concern against Iowa, as the Wisconsin offense is one of the worst teams in the country in generating explosive plays, at just 5.8%. The Nebraska defense was stout on crucial plays, allowing just a 30% 3rd-down success rate and a 33% red zone success rate.

Biggest plays of the game, by absolute EPA.

Biggest plays of the game, by absolute EPA. / Game On Paper

Going into this game, Nebraska lost nine straight games after winning number five and ten consecutive games to Wisconsin. Many people on social media want to make fun of Nebraska fans for storming the field after getting to bowl eligibility. I’m happy these people can enjoy their laughs while they can. The Matt Rhule rebuild is running on schedule, and we all know what year three looks like for him.

Through 11 games, the Nebraska skill position group is the youngest in college football. The extra practice to build chemistry with each other and get more practice reps running Holgorsen’s offense is invaluable. The 2024 seniors won much less than most in Lincoln would’ve liked. But as they walked off the field for the final time, they put Nebraska football on a new trajectory.

MORE: Home Sweep Home: Nebraska Volleyball Dominates Wisconsin on Senior Night

MORE: Gallery: Nebraska Volleyball Sweeps Wisconsin on Senior Night

MORE: Gallery: Huskers Stun Wisconsin and Are Now Bowl Eligible

MORE: Tad Stryker: Breakthrough Day

MORE: I-80 Club After Dark: Party Like Its 2016

Stay up to date on all things Huskers by bookmarking Nebraska Cornhuskers On SI, subscribing to HuskerMax on YouTube, and visiting HuskerMax.com daily.

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Gallery: Nebraska Volleyball Sweeps Wisconsin on Senior Night

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Gallery: Nebraska Volleyball Sweeps Wisconsin on Senior Night


Nebraska and Wisconsin Volleyball have played a total of six sets against each other this season, all of which have been won by the Huskers. Seniors, Merritt Beason, Leyla Blackwell, Lindsay Krause, Kennadi Orr and Lexi Rodriguez were all celebrated for their contributions to the program after tonight’s win.

Lexi Rodriguez smiles during pre-game player introductions.

Lexi Rodriguez smiles during pre-game player introductions. / Amarillo Mullen
Rebekah Allick (5) celebrates her kill with Bergen Reilly (2).

Rebekah Allick (5) celebrates her kill with Bergen Reilly (2). / Amarillo Mullen
Andi Jackson (15) and Merritt Beason celebrate a double-stuff block.

Andi Jackson (15) and Merritt Beason celebrate a double-stuff block. / Amarillo Mullen
Taylor Landfair celebrates a Wisconsin touch for a Husker point.

Taylor Landfair celebrates a Wisconsin touch for a Husker point. / Amarillo Mullen
Justine Wong-Orantes (left) and Jordan Larson (right) are recognized for their silver medals at the 2024 Paris Olympics.

Justine Wong-Orantes (left) and Jordan Larson (right) are recognized for their silver medals at the 2024 Paris Olympics. / Amarillo Mullen
Bergen Reilly sets the ball.

Bergen Reilly sets the ball. / Amarillo Mullen
Laney Choboy celebrates a point for the Huskers.

Laney Choboy celebrates a point for the Huskers. / Amarillo Mullen
Rebekah Allick tallied 10 kills in Nebraska's win.

Rebekah Allick tallied 10 kills in Nebraska’s win. / Amarillo Mullen
The student section celebrates a point.

The student section celebrates a point. / Amarillo Mullen
The Huskers celebrate their three-set sweep over Wisconsin.

The Huskers celebrate their three-set sweep over Wisconsin. / Amarillo Mullen
Head coach, John Cook, hugs Merritt Beason during senior day introductions.

Head coach, John Cook, hugs Merritt Beason during senior day introductions. / Amarillo Mullen
Lexi Rodriguez (black) hugs a tearful Laney Choboy (left) and Harper Murray (right).

Lexi Rodriguez (black) hugs a tearful Laney Choboy (left) and Harper Murray (right). / Amarillo Mullen
Lexi Rodriguez waves to the fans at the Devaney Center.

Lexi Rodriguez waves to the fans at the Devaney Center. / Amarillo Mullen
The team meets on the court after their win.

The team meets on the court after their win. / Amarillo Mullen
The Nebraska Volleyball team poses with the this year's seniors.

The Nebraska Volleyball team poses with the this year’s seniors. / Amarillo Mullen



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Nebraska Football Leads Wisconsin 24-10 at Halftime

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Nebraska Football Leads Wisconsin 24-10 at Halftime


The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 30 minutes away from clinching bowl eligibility.

Nebraska leads Wisconsin 24-10 at halftime. The winner of this game will get to a sixth win on the season and become bowl eligible.

The Huskers got a kickoff return to midfield to open the game. That turned into a short field, and, eventually, a touchdown run by Heinrich Haarberg.

Wisconsin answered with a touchdown drive, but the Badgers struggled offensively the rest of the half, adding just one field goal. Wisconsin missed two other field goals.

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Nebraska added touchdowns from Dante Dowdell and Jahmal Banks. After the Banks touchdown with 17 seconds to go, Wisconsin fumbled on the first play to give Nebraska a chance to score again. John Hohl drilled the 37-yard field goal to send the Big Red into the half with the lead.

NU has 237 total yards to UW’s 205. The Huskers have a two-yard advantage in passing and a 78-48 lead in rushing yards.

Nebraska quarterback Dylan Raiola is 17-for-22 passing. Emmett Johnson is leading the ground attack with 51 yards on eight carries.

Wisconsin will have the ball to begin the second half.

Nebraska Athletics Notes

MORE: I-80 Club: Has Nebraska Football Jumped the Shark?

MORE: After Nebrasketball: Nebraska Beats No. 14 Creighton

MORE: Red State: Nebrasketball Upsets No. 14 Creighton in Omaha, 74-63

MORE: Blue State: Creighton Women’s Basketball Upends No. 21 Nebraska, 80-74

Stay up to date on all things Huskers by bookmarking Nebraska Cornhuskers On SI, subscribing to HuskerMax on YouTube, and visiting HuskerMax.com daily.

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