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Missouri basketball vs Mississippi State: Scouting report, prediction for SEC Tournament game

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8 months ago

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Missouri basketball vs Mississippi State: Scouting report, prediction for SEC Tournament game


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NASHVILLE, Tenn. — The opponent is set.

Missouri basketball will begin its postseason as the 7-seed in the second round of the SEC Tournament, and now knows its opening matchup at Bridgestone Arena in Music City — 10-seed Mississippi State, which beat 15-seeded LSU 91-63 on Wednesday night.

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Mizzou (21-10) fared well in its regular-season matchup against Mississippi State, beating the Bulldogs by 27 points on Feb. 1 in Starkville, Mississippi. But coach Dennis Gates’ Tigers will need to overcome a recent slump to make sure their stay in Nashville lasts longer than one night.

Missouri lost three straight games to close the regular season and has only won once in its past five matchups.

The Bulldogs (21-11) entered the postseason in extremely similar form, losing four of five before beating LSU in the first round of the conference tournament.  

Ahead of Thursday’s game at Bridgestone Arena, here is what you need to know about the Bulldogs since they last played Mizzou:

What are Mississippi State’s weaknesses leading into Missouri basketball game?

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In the final games of the regular season, Mississippi State’s defense may have only have outpaced Mizzou.

According to CBB Analytics, the Bulldogs ranked in the bottom 20% of the country for opponents’ effective field goal percentage (59.4%), defensive rebounding percentage (67.6%), opponent free throw attempt rate (37.4%) and overall defensive rating with 1.258 points allowed per possession. That last number was among the bottom mark of all teams nationally.

Mizzou’s problem is that it ranked in the bottom 2% in each of those categories.

But the Bulldogs — uncharacteristically for a coach Chris Jans defense — have been inefficient at stopping teams from scoring.

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What are Mississippi State’s recent strengths?

Here are a couple of stats that will make for rough reading for MU fans: In the final five games to close the regular season, no team in the SEC scored more points off fastbreak opportunities than Mississippi State, and only Alabama and Florida totaled more points in the paint.

In that same timespan, Mizzou ranks in the bottom 1% of the nation for points allowed in the paint per game with 41.6 and is dead last in points allowed from fastbreaks with 15.0 per game.

CBB Analytics had not updated Mississippi State’s stats from its first-round win over LSU at the time of publishing, but the Bulldogs scored 36 points in the paint in their 28-point win. They shot 52.2% from the field in the victory.

Mizzou has had some recent defensive struggles, allowing at least 90 points in four of its past five matchups.

Thursday would be a good day for the Tigers to see some defensive improvement.

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Player to watch: Josh Hubbard

Beware the hot hand.

Hubbard put up 26 points in Mississippi State’s win over LSU, making six of his 12 attempts from 3-point range to help the Bulldogs advance. He was named to the All-SEC second-team on Monday and backed that up with a tremendous opening night in the postseason.

More: Three Missouri basketball players win conference awards. Here’s who landed on All-SEC list

Mizzou survived a similar night from the star guard on Feb. 1 in Starkville, where Hubbard had six 3s en route to a 24-point night. Missouri won by 27 points, as Caleb Grill had an equally elite shooting night with a 6-of-11 night from behind the arc.

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Score prediction: Missouri 86, Mississippi State 77

Mizzou needs a get-right game, and opportunities don’t come much better than this. 

More: SEC basketball tournament predictions: How far Missouri basketball can go in bracket

The Tigers still have one of the more efficient offenses in the nation in recent games. With MSU coming off a single night’s rest and owning a defense that’s struggled to stop teams from scoring recently, Missouri should end its slump here and advance to meet Florida in Friday’s quarterfinals.

Mizzou needs to shore up its leaky defense, but if this devolves into a shootout, Gates’ team still has the manpower to progress.



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Missouri

Missouri judge loses job over too many Elvis references

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2 hours ago

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November 21, 2025

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Missouri judge loses job over too many Elvis references


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bet365 Missouri bonus code NYPBET: Pre-register and grab $365 bonus value for Chiefs playoff push

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21 hours ago

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November 20, 2025

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bet365 Missouri bonus code NYPBET: Pre-register and grab 5 bonus value for Chiefs playoff push


Missouri sports betting won’t go live until Dec. 1, but users can pre-register at bet365 Sportsbook starting on Monday, Nov. 17.

And good news, if you do pre-register, you can use bet365 promo code NYPBET to get $365 in bonus bets after you bet $5.

Missourians can apply the promo code to bet on any sport, including futures bets on the Kansas City Chiefs as they head down the stretch.

Pre-register in Missouri with bet365 bonus code NYPBET

Missouri sports betting app newcomers can use the bet365 promo code NYPBET at registration to access the launch offer when betting goes live on Dec. 1. 

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Local bettors won’t have to wait long for a marquee matchup, with the Chiefs hosting the Texans on “Sunday Night Football” on Dec. 7 at Arrowhead.

To redeem the promotion, new bet365 customers must be physically located within Missouri at the time they sign up.

  1. Select your bonus offer: Bet $5, get $365 in bonus bets, win or lose!
  2. Choose your state.
  3. Hit the “Join Now” button.
  4. Fill out your login details.
  5. When prompted, enter the promo code NYPBET
  6. Choose your preferred welcome offer.
  7. Make a minimum deposit of $10.

What our Post expert thinks about Chiefs futures

Kansas City’s reign over the AFC West is slipping, with a 5-5 start and a three-game gap behind Denver signaling how far the Chiefs have drifted from their decade of dominance. 

Their problems aren’t tied to one glaring flaw; instead, they’ve slid into the middle of the pack across key areas like run defense, rushing production and scoring efficiency.

A sputtering offense and uneven results against top-tier opponents have left them fighting just to stay in the postseason picture. 

It’s no surprise they’re sitting at 11/1 to win the Super Bowl — a number that reflects a team searching for answers more than one chasing a title.

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GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+ only. Must be physically located in MO. T&Cs Apply. In App Only.

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.



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No. 22 Missouri looks to disrupt No. 8 Oklahoma’s momentum in Week 13 clash

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2 days ago

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November 19, 2025

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No. 22 Missouri looks to disrupt No. 8 Oklahoma’s momentum in Week 13 clash


Missouri heads to Norman on Saturday for a pivotal late-season matchup that carries real weight for both programs. Oklahoma enters the weekend as a touchdown favorite at home, backed by a 70% win probability in Dimers’ simulations, and the Sooners will try to lean on their defense to control the tempo in a game projected to stay low scoring. Missouri, meanwhile, comes in as a live underdog with a 55% chance to cover, and the Tigers have shown enough resilience this season to make this a far more competitive meeting than the odds might suggest.

With a projected final of 26–19 in favor of Oklahoma, the analytics point toward a tight, defense-driven contest—one where field position, turnovers, and red-zone execution could swing everything. Both teams remain firmly in the postseason conversation entering Week 13, and with the total sitting at just 42.5, every possession at Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium may feel magnified.

Missouri vs. Oklahoma betting preview

Explore the interactive widget below to discover the current spread, total, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Missouri-Oklahoma matchup at Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium.

This prediction and best bet for Saturday’s college football matchup between Missouri and Oklahoma is from Dimers.com, a leader in sports betting predictions.

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Check out all the important details on today’s game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.

Game details

Key information on the Missouri vs. Oklahoma matchup, including where the game is and what time it kicks off.

  • Teams: Missouri vs. Oklahoma
  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Kickoff: 12 p.m. EST
  • Location: Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
  • NCAAF rankings: Updated AP Top 25
  • College football news: Check the latest updates from the official NCAA football news site

Odds

Odds for the key markets in the Missouri-Oklahoma college football matchup.

  • Spread: Missouri +7.5 (-112), Oklahoma -7.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Missouri +240, Oklahoma -290
  • Total: Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110)

The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Promos

New users in Missouri can look forward to these offers from DraftKings, Bet365, BetMGM, and FanDuel all going live December 1st.

Expert prediction: Missouri vs. Oklahoma

Utilizing advanced data analysis and machine learning, the experts at Dimers have executed 10,000 simulations of Saturday’s Missouri vs. Oklahoma matchup.

According to Dimers’ renowned predictive analytics model, Oklahoma is more likely to beat Missouri at Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. This prediction is based on the model giving Oklahoma a 70% chance of winning the game.

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Furthermore, Dimers predicts that Missouri (+7.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 42.5 points has a 60% chance of staying under.

These predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.

Missouri vs. Oklahoma best bet

Our top pick for the Missouri vs. Oklahoma game on Saturday is to bet on Under 42.5 points (-110).

This betting advice is formulated through detailed modeling and valuable wagering intelligence, designed to bring you the best possible plays.

Score prediction for Missouri vs. Oklahoma

Dimers’ predicted final score for the Missouri vs. Oklahoma game on Saturday has Oklahoma winning 26-19.

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This expert prediction is based on each team’s average score following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.

College football Week 13: Missouri vs. Oklahoma

Get ready for Saturday’s college football game between Missouri and Oklahoma at Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, which is scheduled to start at 12 p.m. EST. We emphasize that all of the college football predictions and college football best bets in this preview are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Missouri vs. Oklahoma matchup, and they are accurate at the time of publication to help you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks.

Please remember to gamble responsibly and seek trustworthy sources for accurate and up-to-date information when making online betting choices.

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