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March Madness picks: Predictions, schedule, odds, lines for South region; Michigan trying to avoid 5-vs.-12 upset

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March Madness picks: Predictions, schedule, odds, lines for South region; Michigan trying to avoid 5-vs.-12 upset


The stat was making the rounds after Auburn didn’t make the championship game of the SEC tournament: No team has lost three of its past four games before the NCAA tournament and won a national championship.

And yet, Auburn still was a somewhat surprising pick as the No. 1 overall seed in the tournament.

Auburn stumbled late in a very tough league, which might open things up for the other teams in the South region. Auburn will open the tournament against Alabama State, which took down St. Francis 70-68 on a thrilling final-second layup off a tipped full-court pass in the First Four at Dayton on Tuesday. (We’re also waiting to see if San Diego State or North Carolina play Ole Miss on Friday, as well), but here are the rest of the picks for the first round in the South, with all the odds from BetMGM:

Midwest region picks | East region picks | West region picks

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(All times Eastern.)

The first game of the first round Thursday is a good one. Louisville seems very under-seeded, but that’s part of playing in a bad ACC. Still, since Dec. 14 the Cardinals are 21-2 and one of the losses came to Duke in the ACC tournament. Creighton has been a very good team too, and 7-foot-1 Ryan Kalkbrenner will be a problem for the Cardinals. But I won’t hold it against Louisville that the ACC was down. The Cards advance.

Alabama State thrilled us with a great NCAA tournament opener, with a last-second shot to win it. But this isn’t the type of 16 seed that can scare a 1 seed. Alabama State doesn’t have any strength that will keep it in a game against an Auburn team looking to quiet critics who wondered how it got the No. 1 overall seed after losing three of their last four.

[Full NCAA tournament bracket revealed | Printable bracket]

Yale has become the Ivy’s best program, and this season it dominated the league. Yale was 16-1 after Dec. 22. Texas A&M is a good team, but it lives off offensive rebounding (the best offensive rebounding percentage in the nation), and yet Yale is pretty good on the defensive boards. The Ivy League has been pretty good in the first round of the NCAA tournament, going 10-4 against the spread in the first round since 2009 (per Matt Eisenberg’s Tournament Guide). Texas A&M could make a run into the second weekend, but this one isn’t going to be easy.

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Vladislav Goldin helped lead the Michigan Wolverines to a Big Ten tournament championship. (Photo by Aaron J. Thornton/Getty Images)

Vladislav Goldin helped lead the Michigan Wolverines to a Big Ten tournament championship. (Photo by Aaron J. Thornton/Getty Images)

Ah, the 5 vs. 12 game. We all know by now this is where upsets come from, and UC San Diego is a dangerous 12 seed. KenPom.com had San Diego as the 36th best team in the sport, which is rarified air for a Big West school. That’s just one spot below UConn, the reigning champs. San Diego does everything well, and it shoots (and hits) a lot of 3s. The problem is UCSD’s size. It doesn’t have a regular who is taller than 6-8. Michigan is the rare team with two 7-footers, Vladislav Goldin and Danny Wolf. If UCSD hits a ton of 3s this could be a fun upset, but this was a really unfortunate matchup for a strong mid-major.

[Yahoo Fantasy Bracket Mayhem is back: Enter for a shot to win up to $50K]

Iowa State looked like it could be a Final Four contender, but the last month was a little rough. Injuries affected the Cyclones. It appears Tamin Lipsey (10.8 ppg) will return from injury, but Keshon Gilbert (13.4 ppg) is out for the season via the Des Moines Register. That lowers the Cyclones’ ceiling. Lipscomb has a lot of shooters, which is what you want from a big underdog. If Lipscomb can knock down some of the many 3s it’s going to take, this one could be interesting late.

Most years, a team that wins in the First Four also wins a first-round game. This isn’t just an overreaction to UNC’s dominant win over San Diego State; the Tar Heels match up pretty well with Ole Miss. UNC didn’t deserve an at-large spot but that never meant it couldn’t get hot and win multiple games.

If you like guard play, this will be a fun matchup. Marquette’s Kam Jones is one of the best players in the country, a Bob Cousy Award finalist for the trophy that goes to the nation’s best point guard. New Mexico’s Donovan Dent and his 20.6 points per game should get more respect for postseason honors. Marquette won just five of its last 12 games, but there weren’t any bad losses. This isn’t an easy pick between two similar but flawed teams. Marquette might be happy to not see a Big East foe.

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Michigan State had a tremendous season. The Spartans were good to bettors too, posting a 22-10-1 mark against the spread via Action Network, one of the best marks in the sport. MSU won’t shoot many 3s, won’t shoot them well, but can score inside and rebound it well. Bryant is one of the few 15 seeds that actually has some decent size. It has the sixth-tallest team in college basketball, according to KenPom.com. The Bulldogs didn’t play a tough schedule and against the two best teams they played, St. John’s and Grand Canyon, they lost by 22 and 46, respectively. There’s no upset concern here, but Bryant might not be a total pushover.



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Northwestern or Illinois? Ohio State or Michigan? The CFB Week 14 picks — including one huge upset — are in

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Northwestern or Illinois? Ohio State or Michigan? The CFB Week 14 picks — including one huge upset — are in


All “Hat,” no battle?

Heading into the season, Northwestern (+7) at Illinois (6:30 p.m. Saturday, Fox 32, 720-AM, 890-AM) didn’t project as a difficult matchup to size up. The Wildcats were scrapping toward being competitive again, while the Illini were coming off a 10-win season and widely viewed as a College Football Playoff hopeful.

But the visitors are 6-5 and trending up, and the hosts are 7-4 and needing to hold on to the Land of Lincoln trophy — “the Hat,” as it’s known — just to feel OK about where they’re at.

“Nothing better than the last opportunity together,” Illini coach Bret Bielema said about the regular-season finale at Memorial Stadium.

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Home field should matter. Quarterback Luke Altmyer should give the Illini an edge. But the weather — cold, with snow in the forecast — is a factor not to be overlooked, and it’s the Wildcats who run the football far more reliably, averaging 174 rushing yards per game. Their QB, Preston Stone, also happens to be the Big Ten’s reigning offensive player of the week, and terrific wide receiver Griffin Wilde is coming off an 11-catch game.

“We’re treating this as postseason play,” Northwestern coach David Braun said. “I know it’s the regular season, but we’re playing for a trophy.”

A battle, it shall be, but I’ve got the Illini eking it out 27-24.

And now, let’s get to what Week 14 is really about: the games — including “The Game” — that will shape the playoff picture heading into conference championship weekend. (All games Saturday unless otherwise noted.)

No. 7 Ole Miss (-7) at Mississippi State (11 a.m. Friday, ABC 7): The Rebels have won four of the last five Egg Bowl games, none by fewer than seven points. Dak Prescott isn’t running through that tunnel for the Bulldogs. Rebs by 10 and on to the CFP.

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No. 4 Georgia (-14½) vs. No. 23 Georgia Tech (2:30 p.m. Friday, ABC 7): It’ll be a great scene at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. They don’t call it Clean, Old-Fashioned Hate for nothing. Georgia wins but doesn’t cover.

No. 2 Indiana (-28½) at Purdue (6:30 p.m. Friday, NBC 5, Peacock): Boiler Up? Oh, stop. Hoosiers, 38-14.

No. 1 Ohio State (-10) at No. 15 Michigan (11 a.m., Fox 32): OSU has become a stand-alone superpower, better than everybody else, no ifs, ands or Bucknuts. Also true, insanely: Michigan, which has a real shot at joining the Buckeyes in the playoff if it springs a stop-the-presses upset, has won the last four games over its bitter rival. The edge between the ears is real — until it isn’t. Buckeyes by 14.

No. 12 Miami (-7) at No. 22 Pittsburgh (11 a.m., ABC 7): It’s win or forget the playoff for the Hurricanes. The Panthers still have a path if they take down the U and either SMU or Virginia loses, putting them in the ACC title game with a shot at an automatic bid. Upset? Almost. ’Canes by a kick.

No. 6 Oregon (-7) at Washington (2:30 p.m., CBS 2): The Huskies have won three of the last four, and five of the last nine, in this underrated series. The Ducks are more likely than not to be in the playoff even with a loss, but the pressure on them against a dangerous three-loss team in a supercharged environment will be extreme. Upset? Yep, I’m calling it, 31-30.

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LSU (+10) at No. 8 Oklahoma (2:30 p.m., ABC 7): Tigers quarterback Michael Van Buren Jr., in for injured starter Garrett Nussmeier, has done just enough the last two games to squeak past Arkansas and Western Kentucky. If that prepared him for the Sooners’ monstrous defensive front, I can’t imagine how. The Sooners — their offense puzzlingly stuck in low gear, too — are cooked on the playoff front, though, if they go down here. OU, 24-13.

No. 14 Vanderbilt (+2½) at No. 19 Tennessee (2:30 p.m., ESPN): Vandy still has a fair-to-middling shot to be the last at-large in — the Volunteers have no shot — but the dream has to die at some point, doesn’t it? Take Rocky Top.

No. 10 Alabama (-6) at Auburn (6:30 p.m., ABC 7): Weird things happen in the Iron Bowl, and weird things are expected by many in this one. I dig weird — who doesn’t? — but I’m rolling with the Tide, 27-14.

No. 9 Notre Dame (-32½) at Stanford (9:30 p.m., ESPN): The playoff committee can’t get away with ranking the two-loss Irish any higher, but eyeballs know there aren’t eight better teams out there. Blowout, 38-7.

Last week: 6-1 straight-up, 4-3 against the spread.

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Season to date: 65-26, 45-46.



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Michigan State football’s last chance at ending miserable season on high note

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Michigan State football’s last chance at ending miserable season on high note


EAST LANSING – Quindarius Dunnigan is lunging for the tape in a marathon college career.

To mark the finale of the Michigan State defensive lineman’s seven years in college, 15 family members were hitting the pavement for Thanksgiving and his last game – one van for the passengers and another for the luggage.

Following practice on Tuesday, Dunnigan was about 24 hours out from their arrival and preparing to host a group through the weekend. Despite all his growth split between Middle Tennessee State and the last two years at Michigan State, making holiday plans isn’t a strength.

“I have no idea,” Dunnigan, a Chattanooga native, said with a laugh before anticipating some competitive board games. “With it being cold, they ain’t going to want to go outside anyway so it will probably just be a whole lot of fireplace action, movies and stuff.”

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The Spartans (3-8, 0-8 Big Ten) are heading into the end of a miserable season by facing Maryland (4-7, 1-7) at Ford Field in Detroit on Saturday (7 p.m., FS1). They’ve lost eight straight – the program’s longest losing streak in more than four decades – and are one defeat away from finishing winless in the Big Ten for the first time.

“All these games we’re playing, it’s bigger than the program, it’s bigger than us,” defensive lineman and Detroit native Jalen Thompson said, “so we’re just playing for the guys next to us, playing for our seniors.”

Michigan State’s last appearance at Ford Field ended in a 42-0 loss against Penn State to close the chaotic 2023 season a day before coach Jonathan Smith was hired. The Spartans return to Detroit amid more uncertainty about the direction of the program with athletic director J Batt still silent about Smith’s job status.

“I have no other way to look at it besides the way they’ve gone, call it the last month,” Smith said Monday of his team approaching the finale. “I totally anticipate that they’re going to bow up again, back to work tomorrow morning and come out flying around excited to play and finishing things right this Saturday.”

Although the brutal losing streak continues, the effort remains. Michigan State’s defense has upped its fight and a 20-17 loss at Iowa last week marked the second straight road defeat when leading with less than two minutes to play. Another game the Spartans were only a play or two from winning but couldn’t get it done.

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Maryland is riding a seven-game losing streak but, unlike Smith, coach Mike Locksley received public support from Maryland athletic director Jim Smith for a ninth year with additional financial resources to build a roster. Smith and has staff remain in limbo.

“I think both programs are really hungry for a win,” offensive coordinator Brian Lindgren said, “to take some momentum into the offseason.”

Defensive coordinator Joe Rossi, whose midseason move from the booth to the sideline helped spark that side of the ball, quickly dismissed a mention of Saturday’s game as a matchup between two teams with 15 combined losses.

“I get to coach Wayne Matthews one last time – that’s a big deal to me,” Rossi said. of one of the seniors. “Grady Kelly, Malik (Spencer), Sam Edwards, Quindarius Dunnigan, Malcolm Bell, Joshua Eaton – I get to coach those guys one more time. That’s what I’m excited about.”



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7,000 Michigan families could lose housing assistance if federal funds are cut, AG says

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7,000 Michigan families could lose housing assistance if federal funds are cut, AG says


LANSING, MI – Around 7,000 Michigan families could lose access to housing assistance programs if a federal policy change announced this month is made permanent, according to Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel.

That includes approximately 2,000 families with children, Nessel’s office said in a press release sent out with the Michigan Coalition Against Homelessness (MCAH), made up of more than 92 homeless service providers.

Sarah Rennie, MCAH senior director of advocacy, said in the coalition’s 35 plus years of operation, it’s “never encountered a threat as devastating and extreme to persons in poverty.”

“Lives will be lost,” Rennie said.

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The policy change is to a federal Continuum of Care (CoC) program, created by Congress to provide nonprofits and state and local governments with funds to help end homelessness.

It’s offered through the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), which Nessel and a coalition of 20 other states are now suing for “illegally upending support for tens of thousands of Americans experiencing homelessness or housing insecurity.”

The lawsuit filed Nov. 25 alleges that the changes will limit access to long-term housing and other services by restricting funding and imposing illegal conditions on grants.

“If permitted to take effect, these changes will displace thousands of Michigan families,” Nessel said.

On Thursday, Nov. 13, HUD released the policy changes, described as “monumental reforms” to the CoC program, including with a $3.9 billion funding announcement.

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The federal changes, first reported by POLITICO, also significantly cut funding for permanent housing programs.

Instead, more than half of 2026 funding would be shifted to transitional housing assistance programs with some work or service requirements.

According to an advocacy guide shared by the National Alliance to End Homelessness, permanent housing now accounts for around 87% of CoC funded programs. That would be brought down to 30%.

About 170,000 people nationwide could be at risk of experiencing homelessness because of this change, many with disabilities and complex health needs, according to the guide.

The new policy may also create gaps in funding that could leave participating landlords and staff unpaid, deter future private sector investment, stall construction and shift costs to local and state governments, the alliance wrote.

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Last year, Michigan received more than $100 million through the CoC grant program, according to Nessel’s office.

Rennie said the federal order “completely misunderstands the root causes of homelessness.”

“Homeless rates in Michigan continue to rise, not because of a failure in the current homeless service delivery system, but because Michigan faces an affordable housing crisis,” she said. “Recent estimates show the state is short by over 290,000 affordable housing units. Additionally, real wages remain stagnant while inflation rises, putting many hard-working families on the brink of financial disaster.”

She said a shift in services, funding cuts and a lack of time for agencies to plan “will turn the state’s housing crisis into a housing catastrophe.”

HUD Secretary Scott Turner wrote that the change would align with a Trump administration executive order.

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He said it would restore “accountability to homelessness programs and promote … self-sufficiency among vulnerable Americans.”

HUD had not responded to a request for comment as of the time of publishing.

Nessel’s lawsuit contends that the changes to the CoC program dramatically reduces the amount of grant funds that can be spent on permanent housing without Congressional authority.

The changes aren’t incremental, she said, and will disrupt providers’ ability to both provide housing and budget for their programs.

The funding announcement also includes a requirement that 70% of projects be “competed,” meaning applicants must submit proposals for evaluation.

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Turner wrote that the change would end “the status quo that automatically renewed funding without measuring success.”

Historically, around 90% of funding year to year is protected, Nessel’s office said, meaning a renewal of projects is guaranteed to ensure that individuals and families relying on them have stable housing.

But this figure has also been cut down – to around 30% – meaning 70% of projects will again compete for funds.

“These new policies virtually guarantee that tens of thousands of formerly homeless people in permanent housing nationwide will eventually be evicted through no fault of their own when the funds aren’t renewed,” Nessel said.

Her office added that the change also puts “new unlawful conditions” on accessing funding.

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HUD’s longstanding policy is encouraging a “housing first” model, Nessel said, that provides stable housing without preconditions for access – like sobriety or a minimum personal income.

She said the change would make requirements more stringent for both providers and those seeking services.

The lawsuit, filed Tuesday in the federal District of Rhode Island, was also signed onto by attorneys general in Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, the District of Columbia, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington and Wisconsin, along with the governors of Kentucky and Pennsylvania.

In addition to the lawsuit, groups like the National Alliance to End Homelessness have begun advocating against the change to Congress, requesting a one-year extension of existing CoC contracts.

On Nov. 13, over 40 Senate Democrats sent a letter to Turner criticising the change. U.S. Sen. Elissa Slotkin, D-Holly, was among those who signed on.

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On Oct. 28, before the change was formally announced, 22 House Republicans also sent a letter requesting the grants be renewed so programs would not be destabilized. Rep. Jack Bergman, R-Watersmeet, was among those who signed.

Neither Slotkin nor Bergman could be reached for comment as of the time of publishing.



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