Indianapolis, IN
Way Too Early 2025 Indianapolis 500 Odds and Best Bets
We’re still four months away from the Greatest Spectacle in racing. The 109th running of the Indianapolis 500 presented by Gainbridge, but it’s never too early to start dreaming of the Indianapolis 500. Josef Newgarden has won the last two runnings of the race, and to no surprise, he’s the favorite for the 2025 edition. Let’s dive in and take a look at the way too early 2025 Indianapolis 500 odds and some of the best bets to make today.
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As mentioned in the open, Newgarden has won back-to-back Indianapolis 500s for The Captain Roger Penske. Marcus Ericsson, Hélio Castroneves, and Takuma Sato round out the winners of the last five races. NASCAR’s Kyle Larson will once again attempt “the double” racing in the Indianapolis 500 then fly to Charlotte, North Carolina to compete in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway. His attempt last year was thwarted by rain affecting both races. He was running in the top five late in the race before a speeding penalty on pit road put him out of contention.
Way Too Early 2025 Indianapolis 500 Odds
Josef Newgarden +650
Pato O’Ward +700
Kyle Larson +850
Scott McLaughlin +950
Alex Palou +1000
Scott Dixon +1000
Will Power +1200
Alexander Rossi +1200
Colton Herta +1400
Santonio Ferrucci +1400
David Malukas +1800
Hélio Castroneves +2000
Kyle Kirkwood +2000
Marcus Ericsson +2000
Takuma Sato +2200
Connor Daly +2500
Felix Rosenqvist +3000
Ed Carpenter +3500
Rinus Veekay +3500
Christian Lunngaard +4000
Graham Rahal +4500
Ryan Hunter-Reay +5000
Marcus Armstrong +6500
Marco Andretti +6500
Jack Harvey +7500
Christian Rasmussen +7500
Callum Ilott +7500
Kyffin Simpson +15000
Nolan Siegel +15000
Robert Shwartzman +15000
Devlin DeFrancesco +17500
Sting Ray Robb +20000
Louis Foster +25000
Jacob Abel +25000
Way Too Early 2025 Indianapolis 500 Odds and Best Bets
The Favorites
It’s no surprise that Newgarden is the favorite after winning back-to-back 500s in addition to being known as the “oval king” in IndyCar. Pato O’Ward has finished second in two of the last three runnings of the race and top six in four of his five starts in the race. Kyle Larson is widely considered one of the best race car drivers in the world and stood up to the test last year until the late penalty. He checks in third on the list and will no doubt be in contention.
Scott McLaughlin was last year’s pole-sitter. His sixth-place finish was the best of his career in four starts. 14th was his previous best finish. Alex Palou, the champion of the NTT Data IndyCar Series in back-to-back seasons checks in at 10/1. Palou finished fifth in 2024, his third top-five in the last four stars. Scott Dixon is a perennial contender in the race, 2025 will be his 23rd attempt at the Indy 500. Dixon won in 2008 and has nine top-five finishes in the race.
Notable Drivers
Will Power is the 2018 winner of the race, he makes his 18th career start in 2025. He hasn’t finished better than 14th in the last five races. Alexander Rossi has three straight top five finishes in the race and is the 2016 winner. Colton Herta only has two top 10 finishes in six starts. Santonio Ferrucci has never finished outside of the top 10 in all six career starts.
Hélio Castroneves is one of four drivers to win the race four times. He’ll make his first start in NASCAR’s Daytona 500 in February and returns to Indy for his 25th start in 2025. Marcus Ericsson wrecked out early in last year’s race but won the 2022 running, and finished second in 2023 despite leading with just a lap to go. Takuma Sato is a two-time winner of the race. Ryan Hunter-Reay won the 2014 running.
Best Bets
Scott Dixon (+1000)
You can make a plenty strong enough case for anyone at the top of the board, but Dixon is the first one who I’d want to bet on today. As the race gets close, that’ll be the time to look at the drivers who are atop the odds board more. The “Iceman” has 22 starts in this race. He’s sat on the pole five times. Has nine top-five finishes, 14 top 10 finishes, and won it all in 2008.
The Chip Ganassi driver has three top-three finishes in the last seven years and let one slip away in 2022 after winning the pole and leading 95 laps he was well on his way to a second Borg-Warner Trophy before a 1-mph speeding penalty cost him the victory. At 44 years old, Dixon still has plenty of winning ability, having won twice in the 2024 NTT Data IndyCar Series. He’s back with Chip Ganassi for another full-time season, and Dixon will be a player in the race. I don’t see his odds getting any better before May.
Marcus Ericsson (+2000)
Ericsson had a 2024 to forget, in just about every conceivable way. His transition from Ganassi over to Andretti Global was disastrous. He hardly even qualified for the Indy 500, starting in 32nd. He didn’t even complete a single lap in the race, being involved in a lap one wreck. There’s no doubt the 34-year-old Swede wants to just delete the season from memory.
Coming into 2025 Ericsson is “pissed off” and that’s what you want to see in a driver you are betting on. If they can get things figured out and going in the right direction to start 2025. He was a decision for a 1-lap shootout away from winning the race back-to-back in 2022 and 2023. Give me a driver like that, still in a good car at 20/1.
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INDIANAPOLIS — Almost nothing went according to prediction for the Colts in 2025.
Widely believed to be an also-ran without a quarterback, Indianapolis instead raced out to an 8-2 start behind the surprising emergence of Daniel Jones, prompting the Colts to take a big swing at the trade deadline for Sauce Gardner and sparking predictions of a home playoff game at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Then Jones got hurt, the pass rush wilted without a healthy DeForest Buckner and the Colts lost seven consecutive games, the freefall interrupted only by the inspirational return of a 44-year-old Philip Rivers, something nobody could have seen coming at the halfway point of the season, much less in May.
The NFL can be awfully difficult to predict.
But IndyStar is going to try again, making a way-too-early prediction on how the Colts’ 2026 season will play out on a game-by-game basis.
Buy 2026 Indianapolis Colts tickets!
The Ravens have Lamar Jackson at quarterback, and they added Trey Hendrickson to revamp the pass rush, but Baltimore also has a new head coach, Jesse Minter, and a roster in transition. Daniel Jones returns for the season opener, takes advantage of the Ravens secondary and the Colts get off to a good start for the second year in a row. Pick: Colts 27, Ravens 23
If Patrick Mahomes isn’t recovered from the torn ACL that ended his 2025 season, then all bets are off, but if Jones is back from an Achilles, expect Mahomes back as well. Even with a limited Mahomes, the lack of Indianapolis pass rush becomes a problem, and the Colts lose a shootout in prime time. Pick: Chiefs 34, Colts 27
Houston’s defense has only gotten better, and no matter how the offensive line shakes out, the Colts will have a young right tackle. Frustrated all day by the pass rush, Indianapolis drops a tough game to an AFC South rival. Pick: Texans 19, Colts 13
Washington’s run to the NFC title game in 2024 was followed up with a disastrous 2025, and the Colts have handled international games well under head coach Shane Steichen. Indianapolis defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo makes life difficult on Jayden Daniels, and Steichen’s offense takes advantage of Dan Quinn’s scheme. Pick: Colts 31, Commanders 20
Indianapolis broke one streak by winning the opener in 2025. Pittsburgh was a house of horrors for Jones a year ago, but with the Steelers still facing quarterback uncertainty in May and a changing of the guard at head coach, Pittsburgh feels more in flux than ever. Pick: Colts 21, Steelers 14
Expect Tennessee to make some strides in Cam Ward’s second season as the starting quarterback, but it’s still a young team in the early stages of a rebuild. With momentum on their side and Jonathan Taylor rolling, the Colts make it three straight. Pick: Colts 34, Titans 20
Minnesota is another team facing uncertainty at quarterback, but a coaching staff led by Kevin O’Connell and defensive coordinator Brian Flores is top-notch. Indianapolis struggles against all of Flores’ wrinkles, and Kyler Murray does just enough. Pick: Vikings 20, Colts 16
If there were any questions left about the curse the city of Jacksonville has placed on the Colts, they should have been erased when Jones suffered a season-ending injury there last season. Until the curse is broken – maybe by a stadium renovation – it’s hard to see a win here. Pick: Jaguars 28, Colts 24
Dallas has tried to revamp its defense since trading Micah Parsons, but the Cowboys still don’t have a difference-making edge rusher who can hound Jones all day. With time in the pocket, Jones attacks Dallas with Alec Pierce and Josh Downs for a big win. Pick: Colts 38, Cowboys 31
Miami’s a mess, a team in the process of laying a foundation after tearing everything down to the studs. The Colts know how to handle a team in that spot. Pick: Colts 35, Dolphins 17
A short week on the way to Houston is a difficult test, especially considering how good the Texans’ defense has become. The schedule-makers did the Colts no favors with this Thursday night game. Pick: Texans 23, Colts 21
New York already has injury concerns with wide receiver Malik Nabers, and young quarterback Jaxson Dart is the kind of target that Anarumo can exploit. New York’s pass rush gives Jones some problems against his old team, but Taylor takes advantage of the lack of Dexter Lawrence for big yardage. Pick: Colts 31, Giants 21
Philadelphia’s roster remains stacked, and even with the bye week, the Colts find themselves struggling at Lincoln Financial Field against a team that has been one of the NFC’s best since Nick Sirianni took over. Pick: Eagles 21, Colts 17
Tennessee’s receivers simply don’t have the experience to beat Sauce Gardner and Charvarius Ward’s man coverage consistently, and the Colts get back in the win column by riding Tyler Warren to a big day. Pick: Colts 33, Titans 22
If Joe Burrow is healthy, the Cincinnati offense is the kind of unit that could give the Indianapolis defense fits, and even though the Bengals’ defense is in its own rebuild, Burrow wins this one with a vintage performance. Pick: Bengals 41, Colts 38
With a snowstorm whipping in off the lake, the conditions are difficult, but Cleveland’s fatal flaw is a quarterback position that is somehow still begging for a savior. Indianapolis keeps itself in the playoff race with a hard-fought win. Pick: Colts 24, Browns 14.
With a playoff berth on the line, the Colts get moved into prime time for a game against the Jaguars, and Jones returns the favor for what happened in Jacksonville in 2025. A last-second field goal sends Indianapolis into the playoffs as a wild card. Pick: Colts 27, Jaguars 24
Joel A. Erickson and Nathan Brown cover the Colts all season. Get more coverage on IndyStarTV and with the Colts Insider newsletter.
Indianapolis, IN
Conor Daly, Alex Palou become 1st drivers to top 228 mph on 2nd day of Indianapolis 500 practice
INDIANAPOLIS — Indianapolis 500 drivers turned Wednesday’s practice into a possible race day preview.
They ran in packs, created long, snaking lines through the two long straightaways and mostly avoided trouble over the frantic final 75 minutes on Indianapolis Motor Speedway’s 2.5-mile oval.
Conor Daly and Alex Palou took advantage of the cool, overcast conditions to post the fastest laps on the second practice day. Daly posted the best lap of the day at 228.080 mph with Palou just a fraction slower at 228.026. They were the only drivers to top 228, while Palou had the fastest trap speed of the day at 237.220.
“We have, we think, found some speed in other areas,” said Jack Harvey, Daly’s teammate with Dreyer & Reinbold Racing. “So, generally, they’re just all excited to try and I think, I mean I think we were good the last month of May, but I think we can be a lot better this year.”
Harvey has been fast all month, though he finished 14th on Wednesday at 225.100.
The weather created ideal conditions for speed and the drivers didn’t disappoint.
Daly, the stepson of speedway president Doug Boles, seems to be making the most of his first and possibly only IndyCar start of the season. He was one of five drivers to top 225 on Tuesday, then backed that up with an even better performance Wednesday.
David Malukas was the strongest of Team Penske’s drivers, finishing third at 227.139, just behind Palou, the Spaniard who has won four series crowns and is the defending 500 champ. Graham Rahal and France’s Romain Grosjean rounded out the top five.
Though most of the 33 drivers stayed on the track as long as they could over the final 75 minutes, crew members for three previous race winners — Ryan Hunter-Reay, Helio Castroneves and Alexander Rossi — were also busy trying to fix problems.
Hunter-Reay, of Arrow McLaren, had a radio issue. Castroneves, of Meyer Shank Racing, had an issue with the car’s balance, while Rossi’s Ed Carpenter Racing crew worked on the engine.
Drivers return to the track Thursday then will receive a turbocharge boost Friday before making four-lap qualification runs on Saturday and Sunday. The race is scheduled for May 24.
It hasn’t just been busy on the track.
One day after series officials announced their second rule change of the month, race organizers announced all reserved seats have been sold for the second straight year and the third time since 2016. That also means fans in central Indiana will be able to watch the telecast live.
And NASCAR team BRANDed Management announced it would give 45-year-old British driver Katherine Legge a chance to qualify for the Coca-Cola 600. If Legge qualifies for both races, she’ll become the first woman to attempt racing’s “double” — 1,100 miles of racing in one day — a half century after Janet Guthrie arrived at the Brickyard with the hope of qualifying for the 33-car starting grid. When that didn’t happen, Guthrie wound up starting NASCAR’s World 600, which is now known as the Coca-Cola 600.
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