Indianapolis, IN
Indianapolis Colts vs. Atlanta Falcons prediction, pick for NFL Week 10 on Sunday 11/09/25
Dan Johnson takes you through his preview, prediction, and pick for NFL Week 10’s game between the Indianapolis Colts and the Atlanta Falcons.
Berlin finally gets its first regular-season NFL game at Olympiastadion, with Indianapolis designated as the host for a true neutral-site theater. The kick lands at 3:30 p.m. local—a breakfast window here at home, crisply stamped for 9:30 a.m. ET—so coffee meets kickoff while two seasons ask to be defined. The place will pulse: at least 72,000 in the bowl after million-plus ticket requests turned the week into a citywide event. The surface won’t steal the script, either, because a stitched hybrid bluegrass field went in this summer to meet NFL specifications. Atlanta arrives having reset at kicker to steady late-game decisions, while Indianapolis leans into the “host” cadence and a stage designed to feel like January. Atlanta’s late-week pivot to Zane Gonzalez after Parker Romo’s missed extra point resets fourth-down calculus and red-zone nerve. Indianapolis arrives off a 27–20 defeat scarred by six turnovers and an utterly and horrifically human Daniel Jones, sharpening a ball-security mandate on Berlin’s fast, trustworthy surface. Below is my prediction for NFL Week 10’s game between the Indianapolis Colts and the Atlanta Falcons.
Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.
The edges start where film meets math. Atlanta brings heat at 52.2% with a 39.9% pressure rate, a 53.5% pass-rush win rate, and twenty-four sacks. Indianapolis answers with 25.3% pressure allowed and nine sacks surrendered, so protection governs cadence before snap one. The Colts rank fourth in neutral pass rate and keep calling it if the score stays tight. Coverage tilts the route tree because Atlanta lives in 75.8% zone and only 21.0% man. Drake London punishes zone with 191 routes for forty and five-thirty-four, while man has yielded seven for fifty-three on fifty-six routes. Indianapolis toggles roughly one-quarter man and two-thirds zone and squeezes man explosives to 11.8% with a 37.0% first-down or touchdown clip.
Alec Pierce led targets last week and owns a 20.4 aDOT, while other primary options sit below 9.0. That depth forces a safety to honor the roof and frees Michael Pittman Jr. to carve glance, dig, and deep out. Against man sprinkles, Pittman sits at eleven for one-oh-five on sixty-one routes, while Pierce owns six for one-twenty-two on fifty-four. Sauce Gardner’s arrival tightens third downs and red-zone leverage, letting Indianapolis keep a safety honest and choke stagnant isolations. Atlanta must earn releases through motion, stacks, and bunch, then pivot to crossers and backs underneath.
Jonathan Taylor carries an RB1 projection on a 113.5 total-yards baseline and fits duo and inside-zone into light boxes. Indianapolis sustains 383.3 yards per game and keeps second-and-manageable alive. Atlanta counters with Bijan Robinson’s outlet access because Indianapolis has allowed forty-one catches and two-seventy-three to backs. Availability trims ceilings both ways: DeForest Buckner sits out, while Matthew Bergeron and Storm Norton are out and Chris Lindstrom battled late-week limitations, with Kaleb McGary on injured reserve. Zane Gonzalez replaces the kicker after a one-point loss and brings an 80.0% career rate with a long of fifty-seven. Indianapolis arrives off six turnovers that should regress toward a cleaner sheet. In this exchange, third-and-four becomes the truth test, not third-and-ten.
Falcons vs. Colts pick, best bet
The counterargument wears pads and breathes fire. Atlanta can squeeze play-action depth and pull a premium projection down into the mid-twenties; a 43% pass-rush win rate (6th) attacking a line with a 57% pass-block win rate (25th), paired with −0.02 defensive EPA/play and a 44.69% success rate allowed, creates honest turbulence. Drake London keeps chains alive when coverages soften; Atlanta sits in zone on roughly 76% of snaps, and he leads the team with 10.13 targets per game and 587 receiving yards. A stable first swing from Zane Gonzalez can also calm the fringes; he carries an 80.0% career field-goal clip on 96 of 120 with a long of 57. Third-down defense lives in the top-ten band at about 36% allowed, which drags snap counts if first-down runs land. That path gains credibility with Indianapolis’ four-man rush trimmed by absences: the defense sits at −0.04 EPA/play with a 6.68% sack rate, and DeForest Buckner is out.
I still back Indianapolis because stability beats volatility on neutral grass. The Colts anchor the plan with 25.3% pressure allowed and only nine sacks; that protection marries to an offense at 0.18 EPA/play (1st) with a 50.09% success rate and a 4.29% sack rate. The coverage menu answers both zone spacing and man emergencies, and Sauce Gardner now erases the opponent’s best access point on money downs; the defense has allowed 45.63% success, posted a 2.57% interception rate, and historically held man-look explosives to 11.8%. Identity shows up everywhere: a top-tier neutral pass rate and a 27.5 team total, plus 32.2 points per game and 383.3 yards per game (2nd). Atlanta’s interior strain meets a defense comfortable heating pockets and spot-dropping behind it; with zone near 76%, a 43% rush win rate, and a 29.4 seconds-per-snap pace that suppresses volume when trailing, the Falcons must thread a thinner needle. Indianapolis can keep stacking second-and-manageable and win the possession math; the Colts’ third-down offense grades in the top-ten neighborhood and the red-zone touchdown rate sits at 71.4% (5th).
I’m laying the points with Indianapolis; a 25.3% pressure-allowed spine and Sauce Gardner’s clamps flip third downs and red-zone truth. A fourth-ranked neutral pass rate and 71.4% red-zone touchdowns sustain drives on neutral grass while Atlanta chases answers. Colts −6.5 is the bet, 27–19 on my card, with steady chains, fewer negative plays, and Alec Pierce’s depth keeping safeties stretched.
Final: Colts 27, Falcons 19. Colts win big in Berlin.
Best bet: Colts -6.5 (-110) vs. Falcons
Tail it with me in the DKN Betting Group here!
For a prop lean, I’m playing Bijan Robinson 6+ receptions at +140 fits the geometry and the math. Indianapolis has allowed 41 running-back catches for 273 yards, about 5.1 targets per game to backs, and they toggle 23.8% man with 68.4% zone that encourages swings and arrows over stubborn boundary shots. Sauce Gardner’s arrival tightens outside access, so Atlanta should funnel early-down rhythm to Robinson and lean on designed screens when Indianapolis sits in shell. The morning stage rewards patience, and Atlanta’s 29.4 seconds per snap sustains outlet volume when chasing possessions. Robinson just drew 10 targets and caught 8 last week, a usage spike that matches this environment. With a spread hovering near Colts −6.5, two-minute sequences should add another look or two late. At 7–8 targets, last week’s 80% catch clip yields 5.6–6.4 receptions, which clears 6+ often enough to justify +140.
Best prop lean: Bijan Robinson 6+ receptions (+140)
Tail it with me in the DKN Betting Group here!
INDIANAPOLIS (WISH) — A business owner on Thursday said programs like Indiana’s now-discontinued Supplier Diversity Program get minority-owned businesses into the room.
Pierre Dunn owns DC One Connect, a construction contractor already certified as a minority-owned business by the city of Indianapolis.
Dunn says that certification helped him get a $3.5 million contract for the new IU Health patient care tower, among other projects. He said he was scheduled for an interview with the Indiana Department of Administration on Wednesday afternoon to get a state-level minority business certification. He learned early Wednesday morning that the interview was canceled.
“I gave him a call, and he said at this point, I was told to cancel all interviews,” Dunn said of his conversation with the person he was supposed to interview with. “And it was pretty quiet, and he said that’s all he could say at this point. It was shocking.”
An order from Gov. Mike Braun, issued Tuesday, backed up by an opinion from Attorney General Todd Rokita released the following day, ended Indiana’s Supplier Diversity Program in favor of a new Indiana Small Business Program, which is directed “to promote and facilitate the use of qualified Indiana small businesses in state procurement.”
Under the old program, the state had a goal of awarding 8% of state contracts to minority-owned businesses, 10% to women-owned businesses, and 3% to veteran-owned businesses.
The Indiana Department of Administration told “News 8” Indiana that it had 1,136 certified minority business enterprises and 1,509 certified women business enterprises. Certified businesses held more than $12.2 billion in state contracts. The Mid-States Minority Supplier Development Council said businesses it has certified generate nearly $9.5 billion in revenue each year and support more than 32,000 jobs.
Dunn says the value of programs like the Supplier Diversity Program is that they get people like him into the conversation when it comes time to bid on projects.
“They want to walk in a room with confidence that this is where I belong, I have a shot,” Dunn said. “It speaks more to the confidence of putting your name in the hat. And that changes communities. It encourages communities.”
Braun administration officials have said most minority-owned businesses will likely be eligible for the new small business program and, unlike the previous program, will have the opportunity to serve as prime contractors on state projects rather than subcontractors. The governor on Wednesday said his order aligns the state with recent Supreme Court rulings.
“I think this gives more freedom for anyone at the end of the scale, where you’re a small business, to be able to now be in a place to benefit from it,” he said. “It’s just getting us into a place where we won’t be handicapped by something that got confusing and no longer, probably, has currency.”
Dunn said the governor’s order reflects someone who has not had the same lived experiences as a minority business owner. He said he thinks the new small business program sounds good in theory and probably will still lead to state contracts for minority-owned businesses, but the governor will have to market the new program to minority-owned businesses.
“He could always come to my office, and we can go to those outreaches together and see how that participation, that campaign works out,” he said. “Let’s roll it out and see. It sounds great in theory, but practically, does it work? What he needs to understand is that it’s effective. When minority businesses are given the opportunities with a local, other local businesses, it changes our community.”
The governor’s order suspends all active and pending certifications but leaves state contracts in effect. Agencies are directed to continue to follow the terms of those contracts.
‘The Odyssey’ Anne Hathaway recalls sleep-deprived moment on set
“The Odyssey” star Anne Hathaway recalls a sleep-deprived moment on the set she blanked on her lines and how Christopher Nolan handled it perfectly.
“The Odyssey” director Christopher Nolan has long been an advocate for IMAX 70mm film, advising movie buffs to get the best viewing experience possible in special IMAX theaters.
Very few locations around the world are capable of projecting the film, however, with just 25 U.S. theaters airing Nolan’s newest movie in the special format.
Luckily, Indianapolis is among the locations where fans can see “The Odyssey” in 70mm at one IMAX location.
What is ‘The Odyssey’ about?
Based on Homer’s epic poem, the three-hour saga (in theaters July 17) follows Greek king Odysseus (Matt Damon) on his 10-year journey back to Ithaca to reunite with his wife, Penelope (Anne Hathaway), and son, Telemachus (Tom Holland). Throughout his journey Odysseus faces off against sirens, giants and sea gods.
What is a 70mm film projection?
70mm film projection is a wide high-resolution film gauge for motion picture photography, according to Indiewire. It is a process of projecting movies onto a big screen using a film print that is 70mm wide, which is about twice the size of regular 35mm film.
Nolan’s “The Odyssey” is the first major studio movie to ever be filmed completely with IMAX cameras, as they are notoriously costly, loud and bulky to operate, according to USA TODAY.
Why does Christopher Nolan prefer 70 mm film projection?
Nolan previously told the Associated Press he is a longtime fan of the filming method, creating other films like “Dunkirk” and “Tenet” with the large format film stock as well.
He explained that viewers are getting the feeling of 3D without the glasses, adding that the sharpness and clarity of the cameras immerse them in the world of the film.
“You rarely get the chance to really talk to moviegoers directly about why you love a particular format and why if they can find an IMAX screen to see the film on that’s great,” Nolan said. “We put a lot of effort into shooting the film in a way that we can get it out on these large format screens. It really is just a great way of giving people an experience that they can’t possibly get in the home.”
Where can you see ‘The Odyssey’ on 70mm film in Indiana?
Moviegoers can see “The Odyssey” in 15 perf/70mm film in the IMAX Theatre at the Indiana State Museum. As of Wednesday, July 15, some showings for opening weekend already were sold out.
Where are all 25 IMAX 70mm theaters showing ‘The Odyssey?’
Here’s where to see it in IMAX:
- Harkins Arizona Mills 25 & IMAX – Tempe, Arizona
- Regal LA Live & IMAX – Los Angeles, CA
- AMC Metreon 16 & IMAX – San Francisco, California
- Universal Cinema AMC at CityWalk Hollywood & IMAX – Universal City, California
- TCL Chinese Theater IMAX – Hollywood, California
- Regal Edwards Ontario Palace & IMAX – Ontario, Canada
- Regal Irvine Spectrum 21 + IMAX – Irvine, California
- Esquire IMAX – Sacramento, California
- Regal Hacienda Crossings & IMAX – Dublin, California
- Cinemark Carefree Circle & IMAX – Colorado Springs, Colorado
- Regal Colorado Center 9 & IMAX – Denver, Colorado
- AutoNation IMAX, Museum of Discovery & Science – Fort Lauderdale
- Regal Mall of Georgia & IMAX – Buford, Georgia
- Cinemark Seven Bridges & IMAX – Woodridge, Illinois
- IMAX Theatre at Indiana State Museum – Indianapolis, Indiana
- Celebration! Cinema Grand Rapids North & IMAX – Grand Rapids, Michigan
- Brenden Palms 14 & IMAX – Las Vegas, Nevada
- AMC Lincoln Square 13 & IMAX – New York, New York
- Cinemark Tinseltown Rochester & IMAX – Rochester, New York
- Regal UA King of Prussia & IMAX – King of Prussia, Pennsylvania
- Apple Cinemas Providence Place & IMAX – Providence, Rhode Island
- IMAX at the Tennessee Aquarium – Chattanooga, Tennessee
- Regal Opry Mills & IMAX – Nashville, Tennessee
- AMC Rivercenter 11 & IMAX – San Antonio, Texas
- Cinemark Dallas & IMAX – Dallas, Texas
CONTRIBUTING: Patrick Ryan, USA TODAY
Indianapolis, IN
NFL Trade Rumor: Indianapolis Colts and Tampa Bay Buccaneers emerge as top landing spots for $4M Cleveland Browns’ QB
The Cleveland Browns’ rookie quarterback Shedeur Sanders has found his name regularly among trade speculations as the team reportedly received calls from rivals about him. Though the Cleveland Browns are seemingly not looking to trade him soon, the Indianapolis Colts and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have emerged as potential landing spots.
Which teams are interested in Shedeur Sanders?
Over the last three weeks, as ESPN insiders confirmed that the Cleveland Browns have been speaking to team about Shedeur Sanders, the New York Jets, the Indianapolis Colts and the Tampa Bay Buccanners have been linked to him.
What are insiders saying about the rumors?
Recently, NFL insider Michael Moraitis of the Big Lead noted in a recent report, “The Cardinals figured to go into the 2026 season with Jacoby Brissett as their starter, but the veteran is holding out and now his future is uncertain. General manager Monti Ossenfort is on the hot seat and cannot afford to turn the ball over to Gardner Minshew, and there’s no telling when Carson Beck will be ready. Sanders is no sure thing, but he at least offers the upside Minshew doesn’t, and the starting experience Beck doesn’t have.” NFL insider Michael Moraitis of the Big Lead added, “The Bucs and Baker Mayfield are in a contract standoff, and while the veteran is not going to hold out, he will be a free agent in 2027 if nothing changes. If Mayfield isn’t re-signed, the Bucs would be in the market for a new starting quarterback without any semblance of a potential long-term solution on the roster behind Mayfield.”
Contract details and salary cap implications
The rookie quarterback Shedeur Sanders is currently on a 4-year, $4.647 million rookie contract with the team.For the team that trades for him, Shedeur Sanders would have a $1.005 million base salary in 2026.As per reports, trading Shedeur Sanders would instantly clear $781,310 in immediate 2026 cap space for the Cleveland Browns as the team takes a $335,535 dead cap hit from his accelerated signing bonus.
How will the trade affect the teams?
For the Indianapolis Colts, trading for Shedeur Sanders remains very affordable as he could be a $1.005 million insurance policy to push or backup Anthony Richardson.For the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, trading for Shedeur Sanders makes him a low cost backup quarterback ready to become the starter if Baker Mayfield leaves.
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