Indiana
Indiana vs. Washington football prediction: What the analytics say
On a historic run this season, No. 13 Indiana is back home this weekend against Big Ten rival Washington on Saturday. Let’s check in with the latest prediction for the game from an analytical model that picks winners.
Indiana is 7-0 for the second time ever and playing some of college football’s best offense, but is undergoing a sudden quarterback change after starter Kurtis Rourke injured his thumb last week, and while we won’t see him against the Huskies, he should return at some point this season.
Washington fell to 2-2 in Big Ten play after an ugly 40-16 loss against Iowa, but is averaging a little more than 3 touchdowns per game in conference and allowing just 17 points per game on average, good for 16th nationally in scoring defense.
Looking ahead to this week’s matchup, let’s check out the latest college football predictions from the Football Power Index computer prediction model.
The model simulates every NCAA college football game 20,000 times and uses key analytics from both teams and picks winners based on a projected scoring margin per game.
As expected, the Hoosiers emerged as big favorites against the Huskies, despite the sudden change at quarterback.
Indiana is projected to win the game in the overwhelming 83.9 percent of the computer’s most recent simulations of the matchup.
That leaves Washington as the expected winner in the remaining 16.1 percent of sims.
In total, the Hoosiers came out ahead in 16,780 of the index’s simulations, while the Huskies edged out IU in the other 3,220 predictions.
The index projects that IU will be more than 2 touchdowns better than the Huskies.
Indiana is projected to be 14.8 points better than Washington on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.
If so, that would be more than enough for the Hoosiers to cover the spread in this game.
That’s because Indiana is a 6.5 point favorite against Washington, according to the updated lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.
FanDuel set the total at 53.5 points for the game (Over -105, Under -115).
And it lists the moneyline odds for Indiana at -250 and for Washington at +210 to win outright.
So far, a big majority of bettors expect the Hoosiers to dominate the Huskies at home.
Indiana is getting 76 percent of bets to beat Washington while covering the spread, winning by at least a touchdown.
The other 24 percent of wagers project the Huskies will either win the game outright in an upset or will keep the result under 7 points in a loss.
Indiana is fourth among Big Ten teams with a 64.1 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, according to the FPI’s metrics.
That model gives the Hoosiers a win total prediction of 10.9 games this season.
Washington will win 5.5 games this season, the fourth-lowest total in the Big Ten, according to the index’s calculations.
As such, the Huskies have a low 45.9 percent chance to become bowl eligible in 2024.
Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction models are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.
Rankings and score predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.
Teams are ranked not in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.
First-place votes in parentheses
- Oregon (59)
- Georgia (2)
- Penn State
- Ohio State
- Texas
- Miami
- Tennessee
- LSU
- Clemson
- Iowa State
- BYU
- Notre Dame
- Indiana
- Texas A&M
- Alabama
- Kansas State
- Boise State
- Ole Miss
- Pittsburgh
- Illinois
- Missouri
- SMU
- Army
- Navy
- Vanderbilt
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams
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FORT WAYNE, Ind. (WANE) — More than 50 Indiana law enforcement agencies are taking to the roof to help local athletes.
Police and safety officers will be stationed around various Dunkin’ Donuts, taking up donations for the Special Olympics. People who monetarily donate will receive a coupon for a free donut. Those who donate $10 or more will receive a coupon for a free medium hot coffee.
“Supporting the Special Olympics isn’t just an event for us — it’s a commitment to people who inspire us every day,” Sergeant Wes Rowlader said. “These athletes show what determination, courage, and community truly look like. Every dollar we raise helps transform that spirit into training, competition, and lifelong confidence.”
More than 20,000 Hoosier athletes train and compete for free within the Special Olympics. To date, Cop on a Rooftop has raised more than $125,000 for Special Olympics Indiana.
The Indiana State Police will be at the Dunkin’ Donuts at 9821 Lima Road in Fort Wayne from 5 a.m. to 12 p.m. on Friday.
A man’s family is demanding answers after he was shot by a security guard inside a hospital emergency room waiting area on Tuesday night in Gary, Indiana.
Methodist Northlake Hospital officials said, around midnight Tuesday night, its security staff responded quickly after a patient took out a gun. The hospital said he’d threatened to shoot himself or others.
The hospital commended the security guard who shot the man for “neutralizing the threat and helping ensure the safety of our patients and employees.”
Family members identified the man who was shot as Otis Brown. They said he is a kind father to a 12-year-old boy.
“Just a great person, a happy-go-lucky, always out there trying to do the right thing,” said his fiancée, Stacey Taylor.
Taylor said she was on a business trip when she got a call that Brown had been shot multiple times.
“Scared, uncertainty; you know, what story is right? You know, what happened?” she said.
After he was shot, Brown was taken to University of Chicago Medical Center for treatment.
Taylor said she had no idea why Brown went to Methodist Northlake Hospital in the first place. His family said he was trying to leave the hospital when the shooting happened, claiming that the hospital gave him his gun back after he was cleared to leave.
“We just want to get answers, just want to know what happened, particularly when people are defaming his name,” Taylor said.
She and Brown’s family hope the hospital has surveillance video footage that can help provide answers.
Gary police have not provided any details on the shooting. The Lake County Sheriff’s Department said it is investigating the shooting at the request of Gary police, but did not provide any further information.
SOUTH BEND, Ind. (WSBT) — The Indiana Attorney General has finished its investigation into Karl King Tower and issued a compliance order.
This is coming after a months-long investigation into the unsafe living conditions for residents at the apartments.
From December 2025 to January 2026, there were prolonged failures with the heating and a lack of heat for residents during winter conditions at Karl King.
The property owner provided a 20% rent credit for affected tenants and documentation related to health and safety issues.
Below is the agreement from the Attorney General:
- The owner must complete boiler and heating system improvements by September 30.
- The property is subject to a monitoring period for multiple years.
- The owner needs to provide on-site security, including cameras in common areas and monthly incident reports.
- The building needs an on-site property manager to address resident concerns.
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The Attorney General has the authority to inspect the property and enforce compliance if commitments aren’t met.
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