Indiana
Indiana vs. Washington football prediction: What the analytics say
On a historic run this season, No. 13 Indiana is back home this weekend against Big Ten rival Washington on Saturday. Let’s check in with the latest prediction for the game from an analytical model that picks winners.
Indiana is 7-0 for the second time ever and playing some of college football’s best offense, but is undergoing a sudden quarterback change after starter Kurtis Rourke injured his thumb last week, and while we won’t see him against the Huskies, he should return at some point this season.
Washington fell to 2-2 in Big Ten play after an ugly 40-16 loss against Iowa, but is averaging a little more than 3 touchdowns per game in conference and allowing just 17 points per game on average, good for 16th nationally in scoring defense.
Looking ahead to this week’s matchup, let’s check out the latest college football predictions from the Football Power Index computer prediction model.
The model simulates every NCAA college football game 20,000 times and uses key analytics from both teams and picks winners based on a projected scoring margin per game.
As expected, the Hoosiers emerged as big favorites against the Huskies, despite the sudden change at quarterback.
Indiana is projected to win the game in the overwhelming 83.9 percent of the computer’s most recent simulations of the matchup.
That leaves Washington as the expected winner in the remaining 16.1 percent of sims.
In total, the Hoosiers came out ahead in 16,780 of the index’s simulations, while the Huskies edged out IU in the other 3,220 predictions.
The index projects that IU will be more than 2 touchdowns better than the Huskies.
Indiana is projected to be 14.8 points better than Washington on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.
If so, that would be more than enough for the Hoosiers to cover the spread in this game.
That’s because Indiana is a 6.5 point favorite against Washington, according to the updated lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.
FanDuel set the total at 53.5 points for the game (Over -105, Under -115).
And it lists the moneyline odds for Indiana at -250 and for Washington at +210 to win outright.
So far, a big majority of bettors expect the Hoosiers to dominate the Huskies at home.
Indiana is getting 76 percent of bets to beat Washington while covering the spread, winning by at least a touchdown.
The other 24 percent of wagers project the Huskies will either win the game outright in an upset or will keep the result under 7 points in a loss.
Indiana is fourth among Big Ten teams with a 64.1 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, according to the FPI’s metrics.
That model gives the Hoosiers a win total prediction of 10.9 games this season.
Washington will win 5.5 games this season, the fourth-lowest total in the Big Ten, according to the index’s calculations.
As such, the Huskies have a low 45.9 percent chance to become bowl eligible in 2024.
Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction models are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.
Rankings and score predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.
Teams are ranked not in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.
First-place votes in parentheses
- Oregon (59)
- Georgia (2)
- Penn State
- Ohio State
- Texas
- Miami
- Tennessee
- LSU
- Clemson
- Iowa State
- BYU
- Notre Dame
- Indiana
- Texas A&M
- Alabama
- Kansas State
- Boise State
- Ole Miss
- Pittsburgh
- Illinois
- Missouri
- SMU
- Army
- Navy
- Vanderbilt
–
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
–
More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams
Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Picks
RIPLEY COUNTY, Ind. (WSBT) — A statewide Silver Alert has been issued for two young children in Indiana.
Police in Ripley County, southeast of Indianapolis, are looing for the children who may be siblings.
The first child is 3-year-old Aaliyah Buckingham.
She was last seen wearing a pink cat shirt and tie-dye shorts.
The younger child is 1-year-old Shane Buckingham, last seen in a red shirt and diaper.
Police think both are with 45-year-old Timothy Buckingham, who was last seen driving a brown GMC truck.
Timothy is described as a 6′ 3″ white man weighing 225 pounds with brown hair and blue eyes.
Photo of Timothy Buckingham provided by Indiana State Police
Police have not confirmed the relationship of the three, or why the children are believed to be in danger.
Anyone who sees the three are asked to contact the nearest police department.
INDIANAPOLIS (WISH) — A firefighter for the Indianapolis Fire Department was sent to the hospital Wednesday after battling a fire at a vacant house.
According to a Facebook post made by IFD, the fire happened around 10:15 a.m. at a house on Bluff Rd. IFD says that there were several complications, including limited access to fire hydrants and “interior hoarder conditions” that IFD says was due to squatters.
The injured firefighter received “slight injury,” the Facebook post said.
It took over an hour and a half to get the fire under control, according to IFD, and another hour to put out all the remaining hot spots in the building.
According to IFD, the cause of the fire is currently unknown. Their Fire Investigations Unit is working on figuring out what caused the fire.
-
World8 minutes ago
US strikes bridges and collapses a tower at a key port as its Iran campaign expands
-
Lifestyle56 minutes agoAn eco-journalist takes on a Big Tech in this modern twist on the heist novel
-
Technology1 hour agoFortnite is getting a bunch of AI-powered ‘personas’
-
World1 hour agoResource-rich nation praises US ties amid Washington-Beijing critical minerals race
-
Politics1 hour ago‘Shadow government’: Trump claims intel community bragged about hiding Chinese meddling
-
Health1 hour agoDoctors reveal hidden danger for some Ozempic, Wegovy users with brain disorders
-
Sports2 hours agoOlympic great Lindsey Vonn reveals her ankle is ‘still broken’ months after shocking crash
-
Technology2 hours agoApple AirDrop, Android Quick Share flaws put phones at risk
