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Movement for Illinois Basketball in Bracketology and Advanced Metrics?

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Movement for Illinois Basketball in Bracketology and Advanced Metrics?


Illinois has lost back-to-back games for the first time this season, falling 85-82 in overtime at Michigan State on Saturday and 92-90 in overtime at home against Wisconsin on Tuesday.

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That led to a notable change in one updated NCAA Tournament projection, despite the NET rankings and KenPom still holding the Illini in high regard.

With six Big Ten games remaining and the conference tournament ahead, a lot can change come Selection Sunday. But here’s a closer look at where Illinois stands in recent projections and updated rankings:

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Illinois falls in CBS Sports’ updated Bracketology

Illinois Fighting Illini head coach Brad Underwood talks to forward David Mirkovic (0) against the Northwestern Wildcats at State Farm Center. | Ron Johnson-Imagn Images

Illinois fell from a No. 2 to a No. 3 seed in CBS Sports’ updated Bracketology after Tuesday’s loss to Wisconsin. However, the outlet noted that its model still projects the Illini to climb back up to the No. 2 line come Selection Sunday, so it could be just a temporary setback.

In this scenario, Illinois would play No. 14 seed Winthrop in the Round of 64, followed by a matchup against No. 6 seed Clemson or No. 11 seed Miami (Ohio). Out of the MAC, Miami (24-0) is the nation’s last undefeated team, while Clemson is second in the ACC standings at 20-4 and 10-1.

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One of the teams Illinois is battling for a No. 2 seed is Purdue, which moved up from a No. 3 to a No. 2 seed after the Boilermakers’ overtime win at No. 7 Nebraska on Tuesday. Purdue (10-3) is a half game behind Illinois (11-3) in the Big Ten standings and lost a head-to-head meeting to the Illini at Mackey Arena, the teams’ only matchup of the season.

Illinois is also a victim of Kansas’ eight-game win streak, which dates back to Jan. 13 and includes wins over No. 1 Arizona, No. 2 Iowa State, No. 13 BYU and No. 13 Texas Tech. The Jayhawks are a No. 2 seed in CBS Sports’ latest projection despite being unranked in the AP poll as recently as Jan. 12.

Illinois’ most likely seed is a No. 3 at 30.9 percent, according to TeamRankings.com, followed closely by a No. 2 seed at 24.5 percent. Back-to-back losses may have eliminated Illinois’ chances of securing a No. 1 seed, though. These projections say a No. 4 seed is more likely at 21.4 percent, compared to its chances of earning a No. 1 seed at 3.1 percent.

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NET rankings, KenPom still love the Illini

Illinois Fighting Illini guard Keaton Wagler (23) drives against Wisconsin Badgers guard Braedon Carrington (0) at State Farm Center. | Ron Johnson-Imagn Images
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Losses to Michigan State and Wisconsin may only be a blip on the radar for Illinois, whose metrics have been largely unaffected over the past five days.

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lllinois moved down just one spot from No. 4 to No. 5 in the NET rankings after Tuesday’s loss to Wisconsin. Houston moved ahead of the Illini as a result of recent double-digit wins over No. 13 BYU and Utah. The top three of Michigan, Arizona and Duke remains unchanged.

The NET rankings also show that seeding takes more than just the win-loss record into account. Illinois is still at No. 5 with five losses, ahead of teams like Gonzaga, Iowa State, UConn, Purdue, Michigan State and Nebraska – among others – who have fewer losses.

Part of that is because metrics like KenPom suggest Illinois is elite in a few areas. The Illini are No. 1 in adjusted offensive efficiency and No. 15 in strength of schedule, bolstering their resume as KenPom’s No. 6 team overall. If there’s one thing to be concerned about, though, it’s Illinois’ No. 31 adjusted defensive efficiency – the worst of any team in KenPom’s overall top 15.

What’s next?

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Illinois Fighting Illini forward Jake Davis (15) shoots against the Wisconsin Badgers at State Farm Center. | Ron Johnson-Imagn Images

Illinois hosts Indiana (17-8, 8-6) at 11 p.m. CT on Sunday at the State Farm Center in Champaign. The Hoosiers are No. 31 in the NET rankings, so as things stand, it would be a Quad 2 win for Illinois. But if the Hoosiers win a few more games and move into the top 30, it could eventually become a Quad 1 win and boost Illinois’ resume.

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Following Sunday’s game, Illinois travels to face USC (18-6, 7-6) on Wednesday and UCLA (17-7, 9-4) on Feb. 21, both of which would be Quad 1 wins on the road. If the Illini are able to win the next three, they may still have a shot at the Big Ten title when No. 2 Michigan (22-1, 12-1) comes to Champaign on Feb. 27.

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Illinois is one of four teams – along with Nebraska, Purdue and Michigan State – that has three conference losses. So with a strong finish, it should be able to jump back up to the No. 2 seed line despite the recent setback.



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PPP Loan Scandal Busts Joliet Woman Working For Illinois Department Of Corrections: AG Kwame Raoul Reveals

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PPP Loan Scandal Busts Joliet Woman Working For Illinois Department Of Corrections: AG Kwame Raoul Reveals


JOLIET, IL —Attorney General Kwame Raoul issued a press release on Monday is alleging a Will County woman fraudulently received a Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loan for more than $20,000 while employed by the Illinois Department of Corrections.

The Attorney General’s office charged Jamilah Franklin, 48, of Joliet, with one count of loan fraud of more than $10,000, a Class 2 felony punishable by up to seven years in prison; and three counts of forgery, Class 3 felonies punishable by up to five years in prison. Sentences are ultimately determined by the court. Franklin’s first court appearance is June 18.

“Federal assistance programs served as a lifeline for small businesses and unemployed Americans during the COVID-19 pandemic, and it is unacceptable that government employees would abuse that vital support,” Raoul said. “I will continue to collaborate with other agencies to hold public workers accountable for abusing these programs.”

Attorney General Raoul’s office alleges Franklin was employed by the DOC as a lieutenant when she fraudulently applied for a PPP loan from the U.S. Small Business Administration by falsely claiming she owned a business. According to Raoul’s office, Franklin received $20,516 in 2021 as a result.

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The Attorney General’s office is prosecuting this case based on a referral by the Office of Executive Inspector General and following an investigation by the Illinois State Police Division of Internal Investigation.

“The Illinois State Police pursues any state employee committing criminal behavior and will continue to work with Attorney General Raoul’s office to hold employees accountable and ensure justice,” said ISP Director Brendan F. Kelly.

Raoul’s office has prosecuted dozens of individuals for PPP loan fraud and referred other investigations to the appropriate state’s attorneys for further evaluation.

Deputy Chief Jonas Harger is prosecuting the case for Raoul’s Public Integrity Bureau.





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The Weekly: Illinois detention centers, Canvas breach and AI policies

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The Weekly: Illinois detention centers, Canvas breach and AI policies


The Daily Northwestern · The Weekly: Illinois detention centers, Canvas breach and AI policies   WALLIS ROGIN: Last week, The Daily reported on Illinois legislation defining where “detention center facilities” can be located, Northwestern professors’ policies on artificial intelligence and a Canvas hack that targeted over 9,000 schools. From The Daily Northwestern, I’m Wallis Rogin….



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Thousands of birds could migrate over the Chicago area this week, and here’s how to protect them

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Thousands of birds could migrate over the Chicago area this week, and here’s how to protect them


Thousands upon thousands of birds are expected to cross over Illinois as part of their spring migrations in coming days.

Thursday night saw the highest migration totals of the season so far, but researchers at Cornell believe that Sunday and Monday nights could see even more avian traffic in the skies over the Chicago area, with hundreds of thousands of birds expected to traverse the area.

According to estimates from Birdcast, Sunday night and into Monday morning there could be “medium” activity for migrating birds, with thousands of birds per kilometer flying over the area.

Even more birds are expected to take flight Monday night and into Tuesday morning thanks to favorable weather conditions, with a “high” number of birds expected to take to the skies over the Chicago area.

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According to estimates, up to 383 million birds could be in flight over the central United States during the peak of the migration overnight.

On Thursday night the Chicago area experienced its busiest night of the spring migration season so far, with more than 367,000 birds having been estimated to have passed over Cook County alone.

In all, more than 23,000,000 birds are believed to have crossed the state of Illinois so far during the spring migration.  

Among the primary birds expected to be flying through the area are American Redstarts, Magnolia Warblers, Baltimore Orioles and Indigo Buntings, according to researchers at the CornellLab.

As millions of birds continue visiting the Chicago area, here are some steps that residents can take to keep them safe.

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When do birds typically migrate?

Peak migration for birds over the state of Illinois occurs in mid-to-late May, with hundreds of different species heading north for the summer breeding season.

Those migration flights for songbirds and other species typically take place in the overnight hours. According to experts, birds typically take flight 30-to-45 minutes after sunset, with the greatest number of birds in flight typically seen approximately two-to-three hours later.

When should residents turn lights off?

One of the best ways to help protect birds is to turn off lights during peak migration times.

According to Birdcast, the best time to turn off or dim exterior lights and interior lights is between the hours of 11 p.m. and 6 a.m., when most birds are active.

Bright lights can disorient and attract birds, making them vulnerable to collisions and to predators on the ground, according to the website.

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Hundreds of millions of birds are killed each year in collisions with buildings, and residents and businesses are being asked to do their part to keep the creatures safe.

In addition to turning off unneeded exterior lights, residents and businesses are also asked to dim or turn off lights in lobbies, and to draw blinds to help keep light from escaping through windows.

Finally, exterior lights should be aimed downward and be well-shielded so that birds aren’t attracted to them.

Are there other steps?

Another key step in protecting birds is to bring pet cats inside during overnight hours.

According to the American Bird Conservancy, cats kill an estimated 2.4 billion birds in the United States every year, and during migration season those impacts can be even more devastating, as exhausted birds typically seek refuge in plants and trees to rest on their journeys, making them vulnerable to attack.

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Since cats like to hunt at night, active migrating birds can be a target, leading to experts asking residents to keep animals inside when possible.



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