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Red Wings get a statement win over Lightning: Five thoughts

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Red Wings get a statement win over Lightning: Five thoughts


DETROIT — The afternoon was about the Lions. The nightcap? Well, that belonged to Detroit’s Lyon.

Because on a day that saw the city’s NFL team advance to the NFC Championship Game, the Red Wings held up their end of the downtown doubleheader with a gritty 2-1 win over the Tampa Bay Lightning, thanks in large part to a monster third period from netminder Alex Lyon.

That first sentence is new around here, at least in most of our lifetimes. The latter, however, is becoming more and more routine. Sunday’s Lyon showcase was just the latest in a run that has skyrocketed the journeyman 31-year-old to the fourth-best save percentage in the NHL. This time, it took an 18-save third period, including three opportunities for the league’s best power play, but Lyon once again gave the Red Wings what they needed — and in a game with substantial stakes in the playoff race.

“Anytime you kind of match a performance from (Andrei) Vasilevskiy, and he was playing like he was tonight, huge on him,” Derek Lalonde said. “We needed him (Lyon) in the third. Obviously, with that offense, they’re going to produce a little bit. He stood tall for us.”

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Five thoughts on the overall performance:

1. Lalonde wasn’t kidding about Vasilevskiy. As good as Lyon was in the third, he didn’t have to be all that exceptional through the first two frames because of the degree to which the Red Wings dominated possession. The Lightning took an early lead on a world-class play from Nikita Kucherov to Victor Hedman, who beat Lyon, but from there, Detroit took over and peppered the Tampa Bay goaltender.

The Red Wings tied the score on a fluky goal, after Vasilevskiy batted a trickling Lucas Raymond rebound into the net trying to clear the crease, and got a breakaway tally from Daniel Sprong, but they could have easily led 4-1 after two periods with some of the looks they had generated. They were outshooting the Lightning 31-10.

Vasilevskiy, though, is the best goalie in the world, and looked it. It recalled to memory the dazzling 45-save shutout he put together in February, on the same ice sheet. When he stopped Alex DeBrincat on a point-blank chance in the slot midway through the third, off a feed from J.T. Compher, you got the feeling Detroit just would not get another goal. And they didn’t.

But that’s when it was Lyon’s turn, taking his turn locking it down despite a lopsided 18-4 shot margin in the third.

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2. Sprong’s goal was a pretty one, a breakaway finish that beat Vasilevskiy cleanly. It turns out, he got a pregame assist from injured teammate Patrick Kane.

“He was telling me all morning, ‘low glove, low glove,’” Sprong said. “So, I told him after I scored I was going to give him a point, but he didn’t see it. Vasilevskiy’s probably the best goalie in the league, and it’s not easy to score on him. So, it helped.”

He also, it turns out, took a bit of (perhaps less friendly) advice from a more unconventional source.

“I thought about passing it, but Twitter’s been ripping me apart for not shooting as much lately,” Sprong said. “So I probably took the right decision and shot it.”

So, if you ever wonder whether those in-game tweets are getting seen by anyone, or just going into the void … you’ve got your answer.

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3. Once again, perhaps the Red Wings’ best line Sunday (especially early) was the combination of Michael Rasmussen, Andrew Copp and Christian Fischer. The Red Wings had a five-on-five expected goals share north of 91 percent with those three on the ice Sunday, according to Natural Stat Trick. They created some premium chances early, and did it largely the same way they’ve done it since they were first put together a couple of weeks ago: a heavy forecheck presence and willingness to make simple plays.

“They win lines: puck comes out, puck goes in, and they operate off a forecheck and they’re really good at it,” Lalonde said. “It’s been really good for our group.”

Detroit has experimented with different varieties of a checking line throughout the season, and the lineup, in general, has changed so much that it’s hard to know how long any combination will last, but this particular element feels especially important for the Red Wings right now — mainly because of how those three are doing it. Certainly, they’re all among the Red Wings’ most trusted players within the defensive zone, but they’re getting results because of how much of their shifts they’re spending in the offensive zone, being disruptive on the forecheck and working the cycle down low.

They don’t have the most finishing talent on the roster, but if they’re able to possess the puck in the offensive zone close to the degree they have been, that’s enough to win their shifts — and some offense is bound to accompany it, too.


Moritz Seider handles the puck during the first period against the Lightning. (Brian Bradshaw Sevald / USA Today)

4. Moritz Seider played 25:08 on Sunday, and a staggering 20 of those minutes came with Kucherov on the ice. That includes power-play time for the Lightning, of course, but it’s a window into just how tough a workload the Red Wings are entrusting to their third-year defender.

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And if you want to know just how highly Lalonde thinks of Kucherov (and thus, what he thinks of the task he gave to Seider), Lalonde left no confusion.

“Honestly, I didn’t think he could get any better, (but) he might be taking his game to another level,” Lalonde said.

The Lightning’s star power can still compete with any team in the league, hence their power play converting at an absurd 29.7 percent clip, but Kucherov is arguably the biggest driver. His 34 power-play points lead the league by five — and his next-closest teammate by nine. So for Seider to see so much of Kucherov on the night, and still come out with an even goals share, and an expected goals share right around 50 percent is a credit to his strong performance.

5. Lyon talked about the challenges coming off the long road trip Detroit just wrapped up, through the Southeast, and the importance of not letting the loss Friday in Carolina snowball. They accomplished that, but the Red Wings still have a gantlet awaiting them between now and the All-Star break. They’ll host the Dallas Stars on Tuesday, the recently hot Philadelphia Flyers on Thursday, and the Vegas Golden Knights on Saturday before going into the break against the Ottawa Senators, their division rivals.

That made the win over Tampa Bay that much more important, as a team they’re directly competing with, and something of a statement.

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These weren’t quite the same Lightning of the early 2020s, who were as deep in both stars and role players as anyone in the league. But all along Lalonde has said that Detroit won’t be able to simply wait for its divisional foes to fall back to the pack, it needs to chase them down. They’re now 4-2 against the Lightning since he took over — and this time they beat them with Vasilevskiy at his best.

Like all the rest, it’s just one game. But it was a meaningful one, both for this season’s playoff race and their big-picture progress as a franchise.

(Top photo of Detroit goalie Alex Lyon being congratulated by teammate Olli Maatta after Sunday’s victory: Brian Bradshaw Sevald / USA Today)





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Detroit, MI

Lions no longer control own destiny to postseason after loss to Rams

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Lions no longer control own destiny to postseason after loss to Rams


Inglewood, Calif. — Despite all the errors and issues facing them this season, the Detroit Lions entered Sunday relying on one reassuring truth: They controlled their own destiny for a spot in the postseason.

Following a 41-34 loss to the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium, that is no longer the case.

The Lions will now not only have to win their remaining games in the regular season, but also get some help from other teams as they hope to jump the San Francisco 49ers (10-4), Chicago Bears (10-4) or Green Bay Packers (9-4-1) for one of the NFC’s top seven seeds.

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Detroit’s best path to the playoffs remains finishing better than the Bears, who host the Lions in Week 18. The Lions, with a win in the finale, could secure a tiebreaker over Chicago. Put simply: If the Bears lose one of their next two contests (vs. the Packers and at the 49ers) and Detroit wins out, the Lions would bounce them from the playoffs.

“We’ve got to take it one week at time, that’s the biggest thing. … Don’t look too far ahead, don’t start counting games (or) looking at teams,” said receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown, who had 164 yards and two touchdowns against the Rams. “Just focus on the task at hand, the team we’ve got up. Put all your energy into that and take it one week at a time.”

Next up for the Lions is a home tilt with the Pittsburgh Steelers, who play the Miami Dolphins on Monday. Following that will be road tests at the Minnesota Vikings and Bears. The Lions were upset by Minnesota in Week 9 but smoked Chicago in Week 2, though the Bears have won all but two of their games since.

Sunday’s result in Los Angeles doesn’t change the already heightened level of urgency the team had heading into the game, linebacker Jack Campbell said: “Every game in the NFL, you’ve got to be urgent. You’ve got win every single game. That’s what it comes down to, and we haven’t been doing that. We put ourselves in this position. … I feel like every guy in this locker room’s been urgent since we showed up (for training camp).”

Dan Campbell’s Lions have been praised for their resolve over the last handful of years. They showed it last season, when they marched to 15 wins in spite of being the NFL’s most injured team. They’ll need that quality over the next three weeks — they haven’t won consecutive games since Week 5 — in addition to some luck.

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“I believe in the guys on this team (and) the character of the players on this team, our captains, the core of it. … I know we can do it. These players know we can do it,” Campbell said. “You go back to work, man. I don’t believe for one second anybody’s lost confidence. … We’ve got three to go here. We don’t control our own destiny, but we need to win these three, and it starts with Pittsburgh at home.”

rsilva@detroitnews.com

@rich_silva18



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What are Detroit Lions’ NFL playoffs odds? Latest playoff picture

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What are Detroit Lions’ NFL playoffs odds? Latest playoff picture


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The Detroit Lions needed some help from an AFC rival to improve their playoff odds before their Week 15 matchup, but they didn’t get the outcome they desired.

The Lions (8-5, 3rd in NFC North) are facing off against the NFC’s top-seeded Los Angeles Rams (10-3, 1st in NFC West) on Sunday, Dec. 14, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. As the NFC’s No. 8 seed, the Lions entered the day with a 54% chance to make the playoffs per NFL Next Gen Stats, but those odds fell with the result in Chicago.

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With the No. 7-seeded Chicago Bears hosting the 3-10 Cleveland Browns, Lions fans were hoping for a Browns upset to drop the Bears to 9-5 and allow the Lions to move into a playoff position with a win, since a 9-5 Lions team would own a tiebreaker over Chicago (thanks to their Week 2 victory). However, the Bears took care of business on a frigid day at Soldier Field, beating the Browns, 31-3, to improve to 10-4.

With the Bears beating the Browns, the Lions playoff odds have now lowered to 52% ahead of their game against the Rams (4:25 p.m., Fox). Here’s a look at what the rest of the NFC playoff picture looks like, including how a Lions win can help improve their position.

Lions playoff scenarios

Here’s the latest info on how the Lions can make it into the NFL playoffs, how they could miss out and what their playoff odds are.

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What are Lions’ odds to make NFL playoffs?

According to NFL Next Gen Stats, the Lions have a 52% chance of making the playoffs. If they beat the Rams, they will have a 73% chance to make the postseason, but those odds drop to 40% with a loss.

NFC playoff standings

Only the top seven teams make the playoffs in each conference. Here are the NFC standings entering the Lions Week 15 game against the Rams, with playoff odds from NFL Next Gen Stats:

  1. Rams: 10-3, 97%
  2. Packers: 9-3-1, 92%
  3. Eagles: 9-5, 95%
  4. Panthers: 7-6, 47%
  5. Seahawks: 10-3, 97%
  6. Bears, 10-4, 68%
  7. 49ers: 9-4, 93%
  8. *Lions: 8-5, 52%
  9. *Buccaneers: 7-7, 54%
  10. *Cowboys: 6-6-1, 8%

*Currently out of the playoffs

How Lions can make NFL playoffs

The Lions still control their own playoff destiny despite currently being out of the playoff picture as the No. 8 seed. However, if the Lions lose any of their four remaining regular-season games, they will need additional outcomes to break their way in order to make it to the postseason.

  • If the Lions go 4-0 in their remaining regular-season games and finish 12-5, they will make the playoffs no matter the outcome of any other game (and have an outside shot of grabbing the No. 1 seed in the NFC).
  • If the Lions go 3-1 in their final four games and finish 11-6, they will still make the playoffs if the Bears go 1-2 in their final three games and one of those two losses is to Detroit. An 11-6 Lions team could also theoretically overtake the San Francisco 49ers for a wild-card spot, but that would require the 49ers to lose three of their last four games.
  • If the Lions go 2-2 in their final four games and finish 10-7, they will have a very difficult time of making the playoffs, especially if one of those losses is to Chicago. In that scenario, either the Rams or 49ers would need to lose all four of their remaining regular-season games for the Lions to make the playoffs.
  • If the Lions go 1-3 in their final four games and finish 9-8, they will have virtually no shot at making the playoffs unless that one win is against the Bears – and Detroit’s playoff odds would still be minute even with a win in Chicago.
  • The Lions will be eliminated from playoff contention if they go 0-4 in their final four games and finish 8-9 on the season.

Lions schedule: Next game, final stretch

  • Week 16, Sunday, Dec. 21: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 4:25 p.m., CBS.
  • Week 17, Thursday, Dec. 25: at Minnesota Vikings, 4:30 p.m., Netflix.
  • Week 18, Saturday/Sunday, Jan. 3-4: at Chicago Bears, TBD.

Bears schedule: Next game, final stretch

  • Week 16, Saturday, Dec. 20: vs Green Bay Packers, 8:20 p.m. ET, Fox.
  • Week 17, Sunday, Dec. 28: at San Francisco 49ers, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
  • Week 18, Saturday/Sunday, Jan. 3-4: vs Detroit Lions, TBD.

When do NFL playoffs start?

The wild-card round is Jan. 10-12.

NFL playoffs schedule

  • Wild-card round: Jan. 10-12.
  • Divisional round: Jan. 17-18.
  • Conference championships: Jan. 25.
  • Super Bowl 60: Feb. 8.

Need to catch up on the news during your lunch break? Sign up for our Sports Briefing newsletter to get daily summaries of Detroit sports! 

You can reach Christian at cromo@freepress.com.

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EPA wrongly found Detroit area safe for smog, judge rules in split decision

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EPA wrongly found Detroit area safe for smog, judge rules in split decision


The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency was wrong to determine Michigan met federal health and environmental standards for ozone pollution or smog in the Detroit area in 2023, a federal appeals court judge has ruled.

U.S. 6th Circuit Court of Appeals Judge Helene White on Dec. 5 issued a split decision in a case about how environmental regulators measured Detroit air quality in 2022, when wildfire smoke drifted over Detroit and affected the air quality monitor readings for a few days in June.

Michigan considered those days “exceptional events” because of the wildfire smoke and didn’t include the high ozone pollution readings in its calculation to the EPA.

With those days tossed, the state was able to argue in 2023 that Michigan met federal air quality standards for ground-level ozone pollution. The seven-county Metro Detroit region had previously been out of compliance with the ozone standards.

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The Sierra Club sued, arguing the wildfire smoke did not meaningfully change ozone readings and that the Michigan Department of Environment, Great Lakes and Energy failed to analyze how local pollution sources contributed to the ozone levels on those days. The environmental advocacy group also challenged the EPA’s finding that the region met federal standards for ozone pollution.

White determined the exceptional events designation was appropriate, siding against the Sierra Club in deciding the EPA and EGLE correctly analyzed the smoke’s impact on ozone readings in June 2022.

She sided against EPA in deciding the EPA was wrong to put Michigan back into attainment for ground-level ozone without Michigan adopting control measures that would cut volatile organic compounds, which contribute to ozone pollution.

EPA determined the Detroit area was out of attainment for ground-level ozone on April 13, 2022. Michigan regulators did not impose control technologies for ozone-causing pollutants by the deadline in early 2023. Instead, they asked EPA to redesignate the area as in attainment with the air quality rules.

Michigan was obligated to implement control technologies even though it had submitted a redesignation request, White said in her order. Control technologies include efforts to reduce volatile organic compounds from being released from manufacturing plants and industrial sources, according to EPA documents.

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Sierra Club member and Detroit environmental justice activist Dolores Leonard cheered the outcome of the case.

“Without this victory, EPA’s decisions would have let Michigan avoid the rules needed to reduce pollution and keep the air we breathe safe,” Leonard said. “At a time when asthma rates are rising in Detroit, especially in Black communities, that’s unacceptable. With the backing of this federal court decision, our community will continue to push the state of Michigan to take much-needed action to relieve ozone pollution in this area.”

The Clean Air Act requires those pollution control measures to be implemented even after the EPA puts an area back into attainment to ensure the air quality remains healthy, said Nick Leonard, executive director of Great Lakes Environmental Law Center, which argued the Sierra Club’s case.

White’s order means the EGLE will have to reapply for the attainment of the ozone standard, Leonard said.

“At the very least, I would say they have to correct the legal deficiency, which was that they didn’t enact the pollution control rules that are typically required for areas that are in non-attainment for this long,” he said.

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The EPA is reviewing the decision, its press office said. The office did not respond to a question about whether it would ask Michigan to adopt volatile organic compound control measures as a result of White’s decision.

The EGLE also is reviewing the ruling, spokesman Dale George said.

“While EGLE was not a party to the case and is not able to speak in detail about the legal outcome, we were encouraged that the court supported the use of exceptional events demonstrations and acknowledged the sound science behind EGLE’s determination that the Detroit area met the health-based ozone standard,” George said.

Leonard said he was disappointed but not surprised that White ruled against the Sierra Club’s arguments that EGLE and the EPA did not correctly account for wildfire smoke’s impact on ozone readings in 2022.

That issue is going to plague communities as climate change causes northern wildfires to become more common and kick smoke into Michigan, he predicted.

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“If we start to essentially cut out bad air quality days because of the claim they were partially influenced by wildfire smoke … , you create this disconnect between the regulatory systems that are meant to protect people and the actual air pollution that people are breathing,” Leonard said.

ckthompson@detroitnews.com



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