Detroit, MI
Detroit Lions have an unlikely path to No. 2 seed in NFC: Here’s what needs to happen
The Detroit Lions had a slim hope for the top seed in the NFC playoffs entering Week 17 against the Dallas Cowboys, but the controversial 20-19 loss that featured an illegal touching penalty that nullified Detroit’s go-ahead 2-point conversion wiped out any chance of securing a first-round bye.
The Lions enter Week 18 locked into a playoff spot after securing the NFC North. Detroit is currently the third seed in the NFC, behind the Cowboys at No. 2 and the San Francisco 49ers, who secured the No. 1 seed with a win and Detroit’s and the Philadelphia Eagles’ loss last week. The Lions have a small chance to secure the No. 2 seed with a win over the Minnesota Vikings in Week 18 and some help from teams playing the contenders in the NFC East.
If the Lions were to move up to the No. 2 seed, they would be guaranteed a home playoff game in the wild card round and, with a win, in the divisional round. Here is a quick breakdown of what needs to happen:
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Week 18
The formula for the Lions to move up is pretty simple as the team enters the final week in a three-way tie with the Cowboys and Eagles at 11-5, but trailing them in necessary tiebreakers to finish ahead. The Lions need to beat the Vikings at home, have Dallas lose on the road to the Washington Commanders, and the Eagles to lose on the road to the New York Giants.
It starts with a win against the Vikings in the final home game of the regular season, and the first with the new division banner hanging in the rafters. The Lions beat the Vikings, 30-24, in Week 16 to secure the division title for the first time in 30 years. The game came down to the wire, but four interceptions by the defense coupled with three rushing touchdowns from Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery was enough to leave Minneapolis with a win and playoff berth. The Lions are 3½-point favorites to get the season sweep over the Vikings.
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If the Lions win the early afternoon game, fans can sit back and root against the Cowboys and Eagles while they both play in the 4:25 window. The Cowboys have the inside track to the NFC East title with a win, while the Eagles need a win and Cowboys loss to avoid a wild card seed and first-round road playoff game.
The Cowboys are on the road against a Commanders team that has lost seven straight games and is currently No. 2 in the 2024 NFL draft order with a 4-12 record. During the first meeting of the season, the Cowboys won, 45-10, in a four-touchdown performance from Dak Prescott. The Cowboys are currently listed as a 13-point favorite and have -900 odds to win the game outright.
The Eagles, also hoping for a Dallas loss, are also favorites against the Giants. The Eagles lost control of the NFC East after unexpectedly falling to the 4-12 Arizona Cardinals last week, dropping them to the No. 5 seed. The Eagles beat the Giants ,33-25, in Week 16 thanks to a last-second defensive stop. Philadelphia is a 4½-point road favorite against New York in Week 18 with minus-250 odds to win.
Detroit, MI
What are Detroit Lions’ NFL playoffs odds? Latest playoff picture
Jared Goff talks about Rams trade
Jared Goff said he doesn’t feel as emotionally charged playing the Rams as he once did earlier in his career with the Lions, Wednesday, Dec. 10, 2025.
The Detroit Lions needed some help from an AFC rival to improve their playoff odds before their Week 15 matchup, but they didn’t get the outcome they desired.
The Lions (8-5, 3rd in NFC North) are facing off against the NFC’s top-seeded Los Angeles Rams (10-3, 1st in NFC West) on Sunday, Dec. 14, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. As the NFC’s No. 8 seed, the Lions entered the day with a 54% chance to make the playoffs per NFL Next Gen Stats, but those odds fell with the result in Chicago.
With the No. 7-seeded Chicago Bears hosting the 3-10 Cleveland Browns, Lions fans were hoping for a Browns upset to drop the Bears to 9-5 and allow the Lions to move into a playoff position with a win, since a 9-5 Lions team would own a tiebreaker over Chicago (thanks to their Week 2 victory). However, the Bears took care of business on a frigid day at Soldier Field, beating the Browns, 31-3, to improve to 10-4.
With the Bears beating the Browns, the Lions playoff odds have now lowered to 52% ahead of their game against the Rams (4:25 p.m., Fox). Here’s a look at what the rest of the NFC playoff picture looks like, including how a Lions win can help improve their position.
Lions playoff scenarios
Here’s the latest info on how the Lions can make it into the NFL playoffs, how they could miss out and what their playoff odds are.
What are Lions’ odds to make NFL playoffs?
According to NFL Next Gen Stats, the Lions have a 52% chance of making the playoffs. If they beat the Rams, they will have a 73% chance to make the postseason, but those odds drop to 40% with a loss.
NFC playoff standings
Only the top seven teams make the playoffs in each conference. Here are the NFC standings entering the Lions Week 15 game against the Rams, with playoff odds from NFL Next Gen Stats:
- Rams: 10-3, 97%
- Packers: 9-3-1, 92%
- Eagles: 9-5, 95%
- Panthers: 7-6, 47%
- Seahawks: 10-3, 97%
- Bears, 10-4, 68%
- 49ers: 9-4, 93%
- *Lions: 8-5, 52%
- *Buccaneers: 7-7, 54%
- *Cowboys: 6-6-1, 8%
*Currently out of the playoffs
How Lions can make NFL playoffs
The Lions still control their own playoff destiny despite currently being out of the playoff picture as the No. 8 seed. However, if the Lions lose any of their four remaining regular-season games, they will need additional outcomes to break their way in order to make it to the postseason.
- If the Lions go 4-0 in their remaining regular-season games and finish 12-5, they will make the playoffs no matter the outcome of any other game (and have an outside shot of grabbing the No. 1 seed in the NFC).
- If the Lions go 3-1 in their final four games and finish 11-6, they will still make the playoffs if the Bears go 1-2 in their final three games and one of those two losses is to Detroit. An 11-6 Lions team could also theoretically overtake the San Francisco 49ers for a wild-card spot, but that would require the 49ers to lose three of their last four games.
- If the Lions go 2-2 in their final four games and finish 10-7, they will have a very difficult time of making the playoffs, especially if one of those losses is to Chicago. In that scenario, either the Rams or 49ers would need to lose all four of their remaining regular-season games for the Lions to make the playoffs.
- If the Lions go 1-3 in their final four games and finish 9-8, they will have virtually no shot at making the playoffs unless that one win is against the Bears – and Detroit’s playoff odds would still be minute even with a win in Chicago.
- The Lions will be eliminated from playoff contention if they go 0-4 in their final four games and finish 8-9 on the season.
Lions schedule: Next game, final stretch
- Week 16, Sunday, Dec. 21: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 4:25 p.m., CBS.
- Week 17, Thursday, Dec. 25: at Minnesota Vikings, 4:30 p.m., Netflix.
- Week 18, Saturday/Sunday, Jan. 3-4: at Chicago Bears, TBD.
Bears schedule: Next game, final stretch
- Week 16, Saturday, Dec. 20: vs Green Bay Packers, 8:20 p.m. ET, Fox.
- Week 17, Sunday, Dec. 28: at San Francisco 49ers, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
- Week 18, Saturday/Sunday, Jan. 3-4: vs Detroit Lions, TBD.
When do NFL playoffs start?
The wild-card round is Jan. 10-12.
NFL playoffs schedule
- Wild-card round: Jan. 10-12.
- Divisional round: Jan. 17-18.
- Conference championships: Jan. 25.
- Super Bowl 60: Feb. 8.
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You can reach Christian at cromo@freepress.com.
Detroit, MI
EPA wrongly found Detroit area safe for smog, judge rules in split decision
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency was wrong to determine Michigan met federal health and environmental standards for ozone pollution or smog in the Detroit area in 2023, a federal appeals court judge has ruled.
U.S. 6th Circuit Court of Appeals Judge Helene White on Dec. 5 issued a split decision in a case about how environmental regulators measured Detroit air quality in 2022, when wildfire smoke drifted over Detroit and affected the air quality monitor readings for a few days in June.
Michigan considered those days “exceptional events” because of the wildfire smoke and didn’t include the high ozone pollution readings in its calculation to the EPA.
With those days tossed, the state was able to argue in 2023 that Michigan met federal air quality standards for ground-level ozone pollution. The seven-county Metro Detroit region had previously been out of compliance with the ozone standards.
The Sierra Club sued, arguing the wildfire smoke did not meaningfully change ozone readings and that the Michigan Department of Environment, Great Lakes and Energy failed to analyze how local pollution sources contributed to the ozone levels on those days. The environmental advocacy group also challenged the EPA’s finding that the region met federal standards for ozone pollution.
White determined the exceptional events designation was appropriate, siding against the Sierra Club in deciding the EPA and EGLE correctly analyzed the smoke’s impact on ozone readings in June 2022.
She sided against EPA in deciding the EPA was wrong to put Michigan back into attainment for ground-level ozone without Michigan adopting control measures that would cut volatile organic compounds, which contribute to ozone pollution.
EPA determined the Detroit area was out of attainment for ground-level ozone on April 13, 2022. Michigan regulators did not impose control technologies for ozone-causing pollutants by the deadline in early 2023. Instead, they asked EPA to redesignate the area as in attainment with the air quality rules.
Michigan was obligated to implement control technologies even though it had submitted a redesignation request, White said in her order. Control technologies include efforts to reduce volatile organic compounds from being released from manufacturing plants and industrial sources, according to EPA documents.
Sierra Club member and Detroit environmental justice activist Dolores Leonard cheered the outcome of the case.
“Without this victory, EPA’s decisions would have let Michigan avoid the rules needed to reduce pollution and keep the air we breathe safe,” Leonard said. “At a time when asthma rates are rising in Detroit, especially in Black communities, that’s unacceptable. With the backing of this federal court decision, our community will continue to push the state of Michigan to take much-needed action to relieve ozone pollution in this area.”
The Clean Air Act requires those pollution control measures to be implemented even after the EPA puts an area back into attainment to ensure the air quality remains healthy, said Nick Leonard, executive director of Great Lakes Environmental Law Center, which argued the Sierra Club’s case.
White’s order means the EGLE will have to reapply for the attainment of the ozone standard, Leonard said.
“At the very least, I would say they have to correct the legal deficiency, which was that they didn’t enact the pollution control rules that are typically required for areas that are in non-attainment for this long,” he said.
The EPA is reviewing the decision, its press office said. The office did not respond to a question about whether it would ask Michigan to adopt volatile organic compound control measures as a result of White’s decision.
The EGLE also is reviewing the ruling, spokesman Dale George said.
“While EGLE was not a party to the case and is not able to speak in detail about the legal outcome, we were encouraged that the court supported the use of exceptional events demonstrations and acknowledged the sound science behind EGLE’s determination that the Detroit area met the health-based ozone standard,” George said.
Leonard said he was disappointed but not surprised that White ruled against the Sierra Club’s arguments that EGLE and the EPA did not correctly account for wildfire smoke’s impact on ozone readings in 2022.
That issue is going to plague communities as climate change causes northern wildfires to become more common and kick smoke into Michigan, he predicted.
“If we start to essentially cut out bad air quality days because of the claim they were partially influenced by wildfire smoke … , you create this disconnect between the regulatory systems that are meant to protect people and the actual air pollution that people are breathing,” Leonard said.
ckthompson@detroitnews.com
Detroit, MI
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