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A Teen’s Journey Into the Internet’s Darkness and Back Again

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A Teen’s Journey Into the Internet’s Darkness and Back Again

Puberty hit C early — within the fourth grade — and arduous: pimples, breasts, consideration, humiliation. C discovered refuge within the web.

Each evening, usually effectively previous midnight, C lay in mattress with an iPod Contact they obtained from their grandparents as a tenth birthday reward. (C, who’s being recognized by their first preliminary for privateness causes, is gender nonbinary and takes the pronoun “they.”) On the brand new system, C made mates on social media and uploaded selfies. Viewers posted compliments on a photograph of C standing in an orchard, holding an apple and “wanting like a full grownup,” C mentioned.

Much less welcome have been the feedback from males who despatched photos of their genitals and requested C for nude pictures and for intercourse. “I had no concept what was taking place,” C, who’s now 22 and lives in Salt Lake Metropolis, mentioned. “What do you do when somebody’s simply, like, sending you gross stuff in your inbox? Nothing. Simply ignore it.”

That plan didn’t work out. The web seeped into C’s psyche; severely depressed, they discovered kinship on-line with different struggling adolescents and realized methods to self-harm.

“I don’t need to blame the web, however I do need to blame the web,” C mentioned. “I really feel like if I used to be born in 2000 B.C. within the Alps, I’d nonetheless be depressive, however I feel it’s wildly exacerbated by the local weather we dwell in.”

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A yearlong collection of articles by The Occasions has explored how the main dangers to adolescents have shifted sharply in latest many years, from consuming, medication and teenage being pregnant to anxiousness, melancholy, self-harm and suicide. The decline in adolescent psychological well being was underway earlier than the pandemic; now it’s a full-blown disaster, affecting younger individuals throughout financial, racial and gender traces.

The development has coincided with youngsters spending a rising period of time on-line, and social media is usually blamed for the disaster. In a broadly lined research in 2021 first reported by The Wall Road Journal, Meta (previously Fb) discovered that 40 p.c of women on Instagram, which Meta owns, reported feeling unattractive due to social comparisons they skilled utilizing the platform.

The truth is extra complicated. What science more and more reveals is that digital interactions can have a strong influence, optimistic or damaging, relying on an individual’s underlying emotional state.

“The web is a quantity knob, an amplifier and accelerant,” Byron Reeves, a professor of communication at Stanford College, mentioned.

However there’s a lack of dependable analysis into how know-how impacts the mind, and a scarcity of funding to assist ailing teenagers cope. From 2005 to 2015, funding from the Nationwide Institute of Psychological Well being to check progressive methods to grasp and assist adolescents with psychological well being points fell 42 p.c.

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“The federal funding, or lack thereof, has contributed enormously to the place we’re at,” mentioned Kimberly Hoagwood, a baby and adolescent psychiatrist at NYU Langone Well being and former affiliate director for youngster and adolescent psychological well being analysis on the N.I.M.H. “We’ve form of put our blinders on.”

Dr. Joshua Gordon, the present director of the institute, mentioned, “We don’t have super insights into why it’s taking place.”

However there are highly effective clues, consultants mentioned. They broadly posit that heavy know-how use is interacting with a key organic issue: the onset of puberty, which is occurring sooner than ever. Puberty makes adolescents extremely delicate to social data — whether or not they’re appreciated, whether or not they have mates, the place they slot in. Adults face the identical onslaught, however pubescent teenagers encounter it earlier than different components of the mind have absolutely developed to deal with it.

“On a content material stage, and on a course of stage, it makes your head explode,” mentioned Stephen Hinshaw, a psychologist on the College of California, Berkeley. “You need to make it cease — chopping your self, burning, mutilation and suicide makes an attempt.”

The flexibility of youth to manage has been additional eroded by declines in sleep, train and in-person connection, which all have fallen as display time has gone up. Younger individuals, regardless of huge digital connections, or perhaps due to them, report being lonelier than some other era. And lots of research have discovered that adolescents who spend extra time on-line are much less glad.

Nonetheless, many questions stay. That is partly as a result of the web expertise is so huge and different, well being consultants say, which makes it arduous to generalize about how display time — and the way a lot of it — results in anxiousness and melancholy.

“That doesn’t imply there’s not a relationship,” Dr. Reeves mentioned. “There are such a lot of results which can be completely idiosyncratic to particular person children.” He added, “Every of their experiences are so radically completely different.”

C grew up in an upper-middle-class household and displayed a present for music from an early age. An uncle remembered C at 8 taking part in a flawless “Für Elise” on piano, with a bubbly Shirley Temple vibe. “An unbelievable expertise, we have been pondering Juilliard,” he mentioned.

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Psychological well being challenges ran in C’s household. In third grade, C started obsessively digging a pencil into one leg. Shortly after, puberty hit — “loopy early,” C recalled. “I used to be nonetheless in elementary faculty and immediately my mind is, you realize, working like 20 instances sooner on the darkish stuff.”

At 10, C joined Mini Nation, a digital group the place they hoped to seek out friendship however as an alternative confronted harassment from males. C didn’t inform their mother and father, fearing they might take away the iPod. “It was my connection to the skin world,” C mentioned.

The chopping intensified. “Self-harm was like a smoke break,” C mentioned. “I might do it, watch a bit YouTube, take a break, knife, come again.”

After classmates advised a college counselor concerning the wounds on C’s arms, C spent per week in a psychiatric hospital, was prescribed Zoloft, and was despatched dwelling.

C’s household moved to Utah, hoping for a recent begin. However the challenges plaguing C could possibly be discovered in every single place. From 2007 to 2016, emergency room visits for individuals aged 5 to 17 rose 117 p.c for anxiousness issues, 44 p.c for temper issues and 40 p.c for consideration issues, whereas general pediatric visits have been steady. The identical research, printed in Pediatrics in 2020, discovered that visits for deliberate self-harm rose 329 p.c. However visits for alcohol-related issues dropped 39 p.c, reflecting the change within the sort of public well being dangers posed to youngsters.

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Dr. Karen Manotas, a baby and adolescent psychiatrist on the College of Utah, mentioned that social media typically appeared to play a task within the adolescent psychological well being instances she dealt with. Final September, Dr. Manotas handled a 15-year-old boy within the hospital who had tried suicide after studying of his girlfriend’s infidelity. When he determined to forgive her, the boy’s mates turned on him with “an internet group textual content chat about him being a sucker.”

Round that point, Dr. Manotas was seeing a 15-year-old woman predisposed to anxiousness and melancholy who had developed a tic dysfunction, yelling out noises in public and turning her neck obsessively. The woman, Dr. Manotas realized, had recognized carefully with “Tik Tok influencers” whose tic issues the woman appeared to undertake to perfection. “It was the precise neck tic this woman offered with,” Dr. Manotas mentioned. “I used to be floored.”

Dr. Manotas famous that the woman’s tics have been expressed in some circumstances however not others, and she or he finally concluded that the woman had been influenced by social contagion. (The woman subsequently sought care in an inpatient setting, and Dr. Manotas didn’t know the way her situation resolved.)

“It’s like this sense of belonging and group that doesn’t actually exist however they imagine that it does,” Dr. Manotas mentioned. “Quite a lot of children and teenagers are resorting to those on-line communities as a strategy to discover belonging and who they’re.”

Since 1900, the common age of the onset of puberty for ladies has fallen to 12 from 14, a shift that well being consultants attribute partly to enhancements in diet. (Puberty happens a couple of yr later for boys than for ladies, and its onset has fallen, too.) In puberty, the mind is flooded with hormones and different neurochemicals that, amongst different issues, render a younger adolescent extra delicate to modifications in social cues, in line with brain-imaging analysis by Andrew Meltzoff, co-director of the College of Washington Institute for Studying and Mind Sciences.

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However the areas of the mind chargeable for self-regulation don’t develop any sooner or sooner than earlier than. Psychosocial maturity — an individual’s skill to train self-restraint in emotional conditions — doesn’t absolutely mature till the 20s, in line with a 2019 paper printed by the American Psychological Affiliation that drew on analysis involving 5,000 teenagers from 11 international locations.

Now, the mix of early puberty and data overload presents “a double whammy” that may result in “anxiousness and melancholy when individuals really feel an absence of management,” Dr. Meltzoff mentioned.

Researchers have been framing the difficulty round a selected set of questions: Is social media accountable for the rise in adolescent emotional misery? Is that this an issue related to consuming one sort of data?

The outcomes of quite a few research are conflicting, with some discovering that heavy use of social media is related to depressive signs and others discovering little or no connection.

A 2018 research of lesbian, homosexual and bisexual teenagers discovered that social media was a double-edged sword, opening up new assist networks but in addition exposing adolescents to animosity. “There are actually 1000’s of hate messages instantly,” mentioned Gary Harper, a professor of behavioral well being on the College of Michigan.

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On the similar time, he mentioned, social media additionally gives validation and group: “It’s good to have a wide range of methods we may be, that affirms numerous identities.” He added, “However your mind must develop sufficient to kind by means of all that data.”

A 2019 research within the Netherlands reached a equally equivocal conclusion. Over three weeks, the researchers requested 353 adolescents to report six instances a day how usually that they had browsed Instagram and Snapchat up to now hour and to notice how that they had felt in that point and in the intervening time of reporting. Twenty p.c of teenagers who used their telephones to entry social media mentioned they felt worse — however 17 p.c reported that their temper had improved.

Probably the most dependable conclusion, researchers say, is that some teenagers are extra susceptible than others.

“Kids can react very in another way,” mentioned Patti Valkenburg, founder and director of Heart for Analysis on Kids, Adolescents and the Media on the College of Amsterdam, and co-author of the Dutch research. As an illustration, once they encounter individuals on-line who seem profitable, “some may be envious and others may be impressed,” Dr. Valkenburg mentioned.

Absent clear solutions, some researchers have begun to reframe the core query: not how a lot display time is an excessive amount of, however which actions identified to be healthful would possibly display time be displacing?

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These actions embody sleep, time spent with household and mates, and time spent open air and being bodily. Sleep looms notably giant. In 2020, a multiyear research involving practically 4,800 teenagers discovered an in depth relationship between poor sleep and psychological well being points. Members with a analysis of melancholy bought lower than seven and a half hours of sleep per evening, in contrast with the eight to 10 hours really useful by the Nationwide Sleep Basis for individuals 14 to 17.

Poor sleep is a “fork within the street, the place a teen’s psychological well being can deteriorate if not handled,” Michael Gradisar, a medical youngster psychologist at Flinders College in Australia, mentioned in a information launch accompanying the research.

A scarcity of sleep makes it even more durable for the mind to manage and course of emotional challenges, a number of research have discovered. Many consultants suggest that oldsters implement a no-device coverage for an hour earlier than bedtime and that they redirect younger individuals to in-person, out of doors actions in the course of the day.

Dr. Kara Bagot, a baby and adolescent psychiatrist on the Icahn College of Drugs at Mount Sinai, famous that ample analysis confirmed the advantages of relaxation, train, imaginative and in-person play, whereas the influence of heavy display time was unsure. “We don’t know what can occur, and childhood is such an necessary developmental interval for mind improvement, for social improvement,” Dr. Bagot mentioned.

That uncertainty, she added, leads to half from the “large mismatch” between the billions of {dollars} spent by tech corporations to draw customers and the modest funding out there to researchers like her to check the influence. “It’s solely going to worsen,” she mentioned. “The tech retains getting higher and extra superior over time, and extra partaking.”

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Main analysis efforts, such because the federally funded Adolescent Mind Cognitive Improvement research, are nonetheless of their early phases. The research follows 12,000 youth in america and consists of questionnaires, behavioral research and expansive neuroimaging to grasp mind improvement and performance. The research started in 2015 with an emphasis on substance abuse however has grown to attempting to grasp the influence of display time.

Dr. Gordon, director of the Nationwide Institute of Psychological Well being, mentioned the federal government needed extra analysis however was not receiving sufficient funding purposes from scientists.

“There’s not sufficient psychiatric care, not sufficient social employees to deal with children,” he mentioned. “Even worse than that’s the scarcity of kid psychological well being researchers. It’s an actual drawback.”

Twenty years in the past, public service campaigns inspired adolescents to “simply say no” to medication, to observe protected intercourse and to discover a designated driver. At this time’s well being consultants are having a more durable time providing adolescents like C dependable, hard-and-fast tips for dealing with display time and social media, mentioned Dr. Hoagwood, the previous affiliate director on the N.I.M.H.: “We are able to’t simply inform her she shouldn’t have spent a lot time on social media after which she’d be OK.”

In July, C stood on the fringe of a music stage in Denver, rings in every nostril and darkish make-up expertly drawn to resemble a cat’s eyes.

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“I really like that face!” a good friend wrote on C’s Fb web page. “Greatest eyes ev.” C hearted the remark.

After years of ache and self-discovery, C’s relationship to the web underwent a dramatic shift. There was an consuming dysfunction, extra chopping, the strain of faculty, the agonizing ache of melancholy.

At 15, C was hospitalized for per week, and at 18 for longer, after C took “a bunch of capsules, every little thing I might discover.”

“How would you imagine it’s going to get higher whenever you’re rising into your grownup mind however nonetheless handled like a baby?” C mentioned. “And you’ve got melancholy. It’s like, Wow, that is it, that is what’s ready for me — cool, I’m out, I need to die.”

Throughout their second hospitalization, C met with a psychiatrist and mentioned the web abuse from years earlier. “It was the primary time I admitted out loud that on a regular basis I spent on-line since I used to be 10 was perhaps counterproductive to my well being,” C mentioned.

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Through the pandemic, C adopted the pronoun “they.” The change mirrored their understanding that they’ve “energy over how individuals understand me and the way I understand myself,” C mentioned. “As a substitute of accepting the position that was placed on me, I’ve made my very own.”

This spring C accomplished an undergraduate diploma in audiology. They’re additionally a singer, songwriter and keyboardist with a rock band, Lane & the Chain, which has a rising following. In Denver, C performed with a band referred to as Sunfish.

“Now that I’m alive, I need to be alive and pursue music,” C mentioned. That features being snug showing in on-line music movies and different social media: “I’m extra complicated than simply being a bit woman on the web who’s, you realize, only for taking a look at.”

C added: “In my grownup nonbinary physique, I don’t thoughts individuals taking a look at me, as a result of I really feel like I’m in management now.”

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How Lagging Vaccination Could Lead to a Polio Resurgence

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How Lagging Vaccination Could Lead to a Polio Resurgence

Most American parents hardly give thought to polio beyond the instant their child is immunized against the disease. But there was a time in this country when polio paralyzed 20,000 people in a year, killing many of them.

Vaccines turned the tide against the virus. Over the past decade, there has been only one case in the United States, related to international travel.

That could change very quickly if polio vaccination rates dropped or the vaccine were to become less accessible.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a longtime vaccine skeptic who may become the secretary of health and human services, has said the idea that vaccination has nearly eradicated polio is “a mythology.”

And while Mr. Kennedy has said he’s not planning to take vaccines away from Americans, he has long contended that they are not as safe and effective as claimed.

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As recently as 2023, he said batches of an early version of the polio vaccine, contaminated with a virus, caused cancers “that killed many, many, many, many, many more people than polio ever did.” The contamination was real, but research never bore out a link to cancer.

Aaron Siri, a lawyer and adviser to Mr. Kennedy, has represented a client seeking to challenge the approval or distribution of some polio vaccines on the grounds that they might be unsafe.

Those efforts appear unlikely to succeed. And there is widespread support for vaccination among prominent Republicans, including President-elect Donald J. Trump and Senator Mitch McConnell, who had polio as a child.

But the secretary of health and human services has the authority to discourage vaccination in less direct ways. He or she could withdraw federal funds for childhood vaccination programs, hasten the end of school mandates in states already disinclined toward vaccines or fuel doubts about the shots, exacerbating a decline in immunization rates.

If polio vaccination rates were to fall, scientists say, the virus could slip into pockets of the country where significant numbers of people are unvaccinated, wreaking havoc once more. The virus may be nearly eradicated in its original form, but resurgence remains a constant threat.

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Any decision the Trump administration makes regarding the polio vaccine is likely to ripple across the globe, said Dr. David Heymann, an infectious disease physician at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and former leader of polio eradication at the World Health Organization.

“If the U.S. takes away the license, then many other countries will do the same thing,” he said. To have polio resurge when it is so close to eradication “would be very, very, very, very sad.”

Before 1955, when the vaccine was introduced, polio disabled more than 15,000 Americans each year and hundreds of thousands more worldwide. In 1952 alone, it killed 3,000 Americans after paralysis left them unable to breathe.

Many of those who survived still live with the consequences.

“People really underestimate how horrific polio was,” said Dr. Karen Kowalske, a physician and polio specialist at University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center in Dallas.

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Many who recovered now suffer “post-polio syndrome”: Some of the original symptoms, including muscle weakness and respiratory problems, return.

Dr. Kowalske tends to about 100 post-polio patients who need braces, wheelchairs or other devices to cope with progressive weakness. Some are older adults who became infected before the vaccine was available; others are middle-aged immigrants from countries where polio remained a problem for much longer than in the United States.

To some survivors, the idea of polio’s return is unfathomable.

Carol Paulk contracted the disease in 1943, when she was just 3. Her right leg never recovered, and for the rest of her life she has walked with a pronounced limp and has been in near-constant pain.

Ms. Paulk is among the luckier ones. Until recently, she did not suffer the breathing, swallowing or digestive problems that often torment polio survivors.

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She has had “a wonderful, wonderful life” with a husband and three daughters, a law degree and extensive travel abroad.

But always, everywhere, she is calculating how far away the next seat is, how long her energy will hold out and whether a given activity is worth debilitating pain the next day.

She didn’t participate in the 1963 March on Washington or play sports, as she desperately wanted to, or go hiking, skiing and bicycling with her husband.

If there were a public hearing about the polio vaccine now, “I would go, and I would take off my brace, and I would let them see my leg and ask them, is that what they want for their children?” she said.

Polio disables many fewer children now. Vaccination has scrubbed the virus from most of the planet, slashing the number of cases by more than 99.9 percent and preventing an estimated 20 million cases of paralysis.

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Still, the virus has turned out to be a stubborn enemy, and eradication has been set back over and over again.

In 2024, 20 countries reported polio cases, and the virus was detected in wastewater in five European countries, decades after its official elimination from the region, and in Australia.

“Any reduction in coverage rates increases the risk of polio anywhere,” said Oliver Rosenbauer, a spokesman for the World Health Organization’s polio eradication program.

There are three types of polioviruses, and eradication requires that all three disappear. For years, the goal has been tantalizingly close.

Type 2 was declared vanquished in 2015, and Type 3 in 2019. Type 1 now circulates only in Afghanistan and Pakistan. In 2021, the two countries together had just five cases; in 2024, they had 93.

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But those figures tell only part of the story. In a surprising twist, an oral vaccine used in some parts of the world has kept poliovirus circulating long after it should have died out.

In most low- and middle-income countries, health officials still rely on an oral vaccine given as two drops on the tongue. It is inexpensive and easy to administer, and it prevents transmission of the virus.

But it contains weakened virus, which vaccinated children can shed into the environment through their feces. When there are enough unvaccinated children to infect, the pathogen slowly spreads, regaining its virulence and eventually causing paralysis.

The problem is this: Since 2016, the oral vaccine used for routine immunization has not protected against Type 2 virus. Global health authorities made a deliberate decision to reformulate the vaccine on the grounds that naturally occurring Type 2 virus had disappeared.

That turned out to be premature. More Type 2 virus had been shed by orally vaccinated children in some parts of the world than officials had anticipated. When some nonimmunized children, or those given the newer oral vaccine, encountered this “vaccine-derived” Type 2 virus, they became infected and paralyzed.

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Vaccine-derived poliovirus now paralyzes more children than naturally occurring virus does. For example, Nigeria eliminated all so-called wild-type polio in 2020. But in 2024, the country saw 93 cases of Type 2 vaccine-derived virus, more than one-third the global total.

None of this is a problem for Americans — as long as they are vaccinated.

The inactivated polio vaccine (I.P.V.) used for routine immunization of American children protects against all three types of polio. These formulations contain dead virus, and so cannot cause disease or revert to a dangerous form.

But like some other vaccines for infectious diseases, they do not fully prevent infection or transmission of the virus. This aspect is among the criticisms of Mr. Siri, Mr. Kennedy’s adviser.

Still, it is less important than the vaccines’ near-perfect power to prevent paralysis, experts said.

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“Yeah, yeah, it’s true, I.P.V. doesn’t prevent transmission,” said Dr. William Petri, an infectious diseases physician and past president of the W.H.O.’s polio research committee. “But, boy, that’s the best thing since sliced bread at preventing paralysis.”

It does mean, however, that people vaccinated with I.P.V. can keep the virus circulating, even when they themselves are protected against illness and paralysis.

So here’s a realistic scenario that worries researchers: Someone who was vaccinated with the oral polio vaccine in another country might bring the virus into the United States and then shed it, in its weakened form. This has already happened in other countries.

So long as most of the population remains vaccinated, this is not likely to set off an epidemic. But if the virus makes its way into communities with low vaccination rates, it may spread, and then revert to a virulent form that can cause paralysis.

That is what happened in New York in 2022, when polio struck a 20-year-old unvaccinated member of an ultra-Orthodox Jewish community in Rockland County.

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The vaccination rate in that county was just over 60 percent, compared with the national average of 93 percent.

The virus that paralyzed the young man had been circulating for months, and it was later detected in the sewage of multiple New York counties with vaccination rates hovering around 60 percent, prompting the state to declare an emergency.

Genetically related polioviruses were detected in wastewater samples in Britain, Israel and Canada, suggesting widespread transmission. The authorities later found two distinct vaccine-derived Type 2 polioviruses in New York wastewater, suggesting two separate importations.

If polio were to re-emerge in the United States, it is unlikely to be as horrific as it was in the pre-vaccine decades. Many older adults still remember that as children they were not permitted to swim in rivers or pools, or anywhere the virus might lurk.

“The reason we weren’t allowed to play in rivers in the ’50s is because raw sewage was dumped into the rivers,” Dr. Heymann said.

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That is no longer the case, so there “wouldn’t be massive transmission immediately in the U.S.,” he added.

But even if just a few children were to become paralyzed, “it would be awful.”

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RFK Jr.’s MAHA Movement Obscures America’s Unhealthy Past

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RFK Jr.’s MAHA Movement Obscures America’s Unhealthy Past

“We will make Americans healthy again,” Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has declared. A political action committee that has promoted Mr. Kennedy, President-elect Donald J. Trump’s pick for health and human services secretary, says his movement is “igniting a health revolution in America.”

But the word “again” presumes a time in the country’s past when Americans were in better health. Was there ever really a time when America was healthier?

For historians of medicine, there is a short answer.

“No,” said Nancy Tomes, a historian at Stony Brook University.

John Harley Warner, a historian at Yale, said, “It’s hard for me to think of a time when America, with all the real health disparities that characterize our system, was healthier.”

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Dr. Jeremy Greene, a historian at Johns Hopkins University, asked: “Which particular era does R.F.K. want to take us back to?”

Probably not the 19th and early 20th century.

Rich men smoked cigarettes and cigars, the poor chewed tobacco. Heavy drinking was the norm.

“It was definitely a drinking culture,” said Dora Costa, an economic historian at the University of California, Los Angeles. “Drinking was a huge problem, saloons were a huge concern. Men were drinking away their paychecks. That is the reason we had Prohibition.”

And, Dr. Costa notes, American diets for most of the 19th century were monotonous.

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It’s true that agriculture at the time was organic, food was locally produced and there were no ultraprocessed foods. But fresh fruits and vegetables were in short supply because they were difficult to ship and because growing seasons were so short. For the most part, Dr. Costa said, until the 1930s, “Americans were living off of dried fruits and vegetables.”

As for protein, Americans were relying on salted pork, she said, because meat was difficult to preserve. Only after the Civil War did meatpackers in Chicago begin to process meat and ship fresh beef across the country. At that point, Dr. Costa said, beef “became a large part of the American diet.”

But even though the availability of beef helped diversify diets, people did not become healthier.

Dr. Costa worked with Robert Fogel, the University of Chicago economic historian and Nobel laureate, to understand the health of a population of Americans living in the North around this period by examining the medical records of Union Army soldiers. Common conditions, like hernias, were untreatable — men had hernias as big as grapefruits, held in by trusses. Nineteen percent of those soldiers had heart valve problems by the time they were 60, compared with about 8.5 percent today.

Poor nutrition led to poor health. People were thin, often too thin. In 1900, 6.1 percent of Union Army veterans were underweight — a risk factor for various illnesses and often a marker of ill health — compared with 1.6 percent of U.S. adults today. In 1850, males at age 20 could expect to live to around 61 years. Today it is 74 years.

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The start of the 20th century saw public health improvements (cleaner water, for example, and posters advising parents not to give their babies beer), but disease was rampant. There were no antibiotics and very few vaccines. When the 1918 flu struck the nation, no one knew the cause — the flu virus had not been discovered and strange folk remedies were rampant. About 675,000 Americans died. In 1929, the Great Depression began, and its economic toll over the next decade led to severe nutritional and health problems.

Health improved in the second half of the 20th century but was poor compared with that today.

Many people are nostalgic for the 1950s and 1960s, seeing those decades as a time of prosperity, when the American pharmaceutical industry pumped out new medical advances: antibiotics, antipsychotics, drugs for high blood pressure and vaccines for tetanus, diphtheria, measles and polio.

Despite that progress, those years were terrible for health, Dr. Greene said, with “a tremendous amount of heart attacks and strokes.”

Heart disease was rampant in 1950, with 322 deaths per 100,000 Americans annually from cardiovascular disease, double the rate today. By 1960, Dr. Greene said, heart disease, was responsible for one-third of all deaths in America.

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In part, that was because nearly everyone smoked.

“We were among the heaviest smoking countries,” said Samuel Preston, an emeritus professor of sociology at the University of Pennsylvania.

Dr. David F. Musto, a medical historian at Yale, who died in 2010, once said in an interview that although he never enjoyed smoking, the social pressure to smoke when he was in college in the 1950s was so great that “I felt it was my duty to find my brand.”

Smoking greatly increases the risk for heart disease, the leading killer in the 1950s and 1960s.

Heart disease death rates plummeted in recent decades because smoking is much less common now, and treatment for heart disease is much more effective. Cholesterol-lowering statins, introduced in 1987, reduced the risk of heart disease. Other new medications as well as bypass surgery and stents also saved lives.

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Cancer was the second leading killer in the 1950s, as it is today. But in 1950, there were 194 cancer deaths per 100,000 people. Now there are 142 cancer deaths per 100,000 people.

A decline in smoking is a leading reason, but there also has been a revolution in cancer treatment.

Until the 1990s, cancer was treated with brute force: surgery, radiation and chemotherapy. Now an array of targeted therapies are turning some cancers, once deadly, into treatable chronic diseases or even curing them.

Dr. Greene said he was not surprised by the idea of a halcyon past when people were healthier.

“There’s a long history in America of nostalgia for a past that was better than the present,” he said. “History is all about erasure — the things we don’t choose to remember.”

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Today is not a sort of health utopia, of course.

Researchers are quick to acknowledge that Americans’ health is not as good as it can be. And they bemoan the huge disparities in health care in this country.

Yet the U.S. spends more on medical care than other countries — an average of $12,555 per capita, which is about twice what other wealthy countries spend.

But, historians say, the past was actually much worse.

And so, they say, the phrase “Make America Healthy Again” makes no sense.

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“As a historian of health, I don’t know what ‘again’ Kennedy is imagining,” Dr. Tomes said. “The idea that once upon a time all Americans were healthy is a fantasy.”

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Childhood Vaccination Rates Were Falling Even Before the Rise of R.F.K. Jr.

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Childhood Vaccination Rates Were Falling Even Before the Rise of R.F.K. Jr.

After years of holding steady, American vaccination rates against once-common childhood diseases have been dropping.

Share of U.S. kindergartners
vaccinated against …

Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Nationwide, the rate of kindergartners with complete records for the measles vaccine declined from around 95 percent before the pandemic to under 93 percent last year, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Immunization rates against polio, whooping cough and chickenpox fell similarly.

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Average rates remain high, but those national figures mask far more precipitous drops in some states, counties and school districts.

In those areas, falling vaccination rates are creating new pockets of students no longer protected by herd immunity, the range considered high enough to stop an outbreak. For a community, an outbreak can be extremely disruptive. For children, measles and other once-common childhood diseases can lead to hospitalization and life-threatening complications.

Change in kindergarten measles vaccination rates

Prepandemic is the average of 2017-18, 2018-19 and 2019-20 data, though not all years were available for all states. Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Mississippi, New Hampshire, New Jersey and Delaware (in 2024) report the rate of students who have completed all required vaccines, not just the measles series. Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

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Immunization rates fell in most states early in the pandemic, and continued to fall in the years that followed.

States, not the federal government, create and enforce their own vaccine mandates, but the incoming Trump administration could encourage anti-vaccine sentiment and undermine state programs. The president-elect’s nominee for health secretary, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., has spread the false theory that vaccines cause autism, among other misinformation.

But immunization rates had been falling for years before Mr. Kennedy’s recent political rise.

There are now an estimated 280,000 kindergartners without documented vaccination against measles, an increase of some 100,000 children from before the pandemic.

“These pockets are just waiting for an introduction of measles,” said Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious disease specialist at Vanderbilt University Medical Center. “It’s trouble waiting to happen.”

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Why rates are falling

As the pandemic strained trust in the country’s public health system, more families of kindergartners formally opted out of routine vaccines, citing medical, philosophical or religious reasons. Others simply didn’t submit proof of a complete vaccination series, for any number of reasons, falling into noncompliance.

The shifts in exemptions mostly fall along political lines. In states that supported Mr. Trump for president in November, the number of students with official exemptions have increased on average (rising everywhere but West Virginia). Exemption rates rose in a few states that supported Vice President Kamala Harris — including Oregon, New Jersey and Minnesota — but stayed relatively flat or fell in most.

Share of kindergartners with a vaccine exemption

Includes medical and nonmedical exemptions. Montana was excluded due to lack of data. Wyoming is missing data for 2017-18. Delaware is missing data for 2019-20. West Virginia and Illinois are missing data for 2020-21. Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

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The pattern for noncompliance looks different: The rate of children with no vaccination record shot up in both red and blue states.

Not all children with missing records are unvaccinated. Some are in the process of getting their shots, delayed because of the pandemic, and others just never submitted documentation. Schools are supposed to bar out-of-compliance students from attending, but whether they do varies from state to state and school to school.

Share of kindergartners with no recorded vaccination, and no exemption

Montana was excluded due to lack of data. Wyoming is missing data for 2017-18. Delaware is missing data for 2019-20. West Virginia and Illinois are missing data for 2020-21. Alaska is missing data for 2018-19, 2019-20 and 2020-21. Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

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Surveys reveal a new and deep partisan division on this issue. In 2019, 67 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners told Gallup that childhood immunizations were “extremely important,” compared with 52 percent of their Republican counterparts. Five years later, the enthusiasm among the Democratic grouping had fallen slightly to 63 percent. For Republicans and G.O.P. leaners it had plunged to 26 percent.

Today, 31 percent of Republicans say “vaccines are more dangerous than the diseases they were designed to protect.” Just 5 percent of Democrats say the same.

“There seems to be a divide in terms of people’s feelings about science and skepticism towards the government,” said Dr. Natasha Bagdasarian, chief medical executive for Michigan. “I think some of those divisions are becoming apparent in vaccination rates.”

Lawmakers in numerous states have tried to roll back school vaccine mandates, but most changes have been minor: Louisiana required schools to pair any mandate notifications with information about exemption laws; Idaho allowed 18-year-old students to exempt themselves; and Montana stopped collecting data from schools on immunizations.

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But there are a few places where state-level policy changes, or lack thereof, appear to have had a direct effect on rates.

In Mississippi, which had long held the country’s highest kindergarten measles vaccination rate, a federal judge ordered the state to allow religious objections; the state’s vaccination rate fell. In contrast, West Virginia’s governor vetoed a bill that would have loosened school vaccine policy; the state now has the highest rate.

Rates rose in Maine and Connecticut, two states that eliminated nonmedical exemptions during the pandemic. They also rose in Alabama, according to C.D.C. data, though the state declined to comment on why.

Vulnerable pockets

Epidemiologists say that when vaccination rates slip under 90 percent for measles, outbreaks become significantly harder to contain. At some point below that, spread becomes almost inevitable if measles is introduced.

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There are thousands more schools with vaccination rates below 90 percent compared with just five years ago, according to a New York Times analysis of detailed data from 22 states.

Change in share of schools with vaccination rates below 90 percent

*Texas counts districts, not individual schools.

Most states publish measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine rates, but several publish only how many students complete all mandated shots. Most states exclude schools with small numbers of students. Most states publish rates for kindergartners only; for several states, however, these rates represent entire schools. New York data excludes N.Y.C. public schools. Source: state governments.

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Schools with falling rates can be found in red and blue states, in large urban districts and in small rural ones.

Measles vaccination rates dropped from 83 percent to 75 percent in Yavapai County in Arizona; from 93 percent to 78 percent in Pacific County on the coastline of Washington; from 97 percent to 93 percent in Union County, N.J., just outside New York City — places that span the political spectrum.

These numbers capture vaccination rates only for kindergartners, often partway through the school year, so they include students who may have finished their vaccine series later or will go on to finish it. And across the U.S., most students remain protected against childhood diseases.

But high rates nationally don’t help places no longer protected by herd immunity, as evidenced by recent outbreaks of childhood diseases. Measles and whooping cough cases both climbed last year; polio partly paralyzed a man in New York in 2022.

Growing anti-vaccine sentiment is only part of the public health challenge. In the Minneapolis public schools, completion rates for the measles, mumps and rubella vaccine among kindergartners dropped from around 90 percent to 75 percent. The district’s exemption rate barely moved; instead, far more students had incomplete vaccination records.

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Few of those students’ families are strongly anti-vaccine, said Luisa Pessoa-Brandao, director of public health initiatives with the Minneapolis Health Department. Some are immigrants who moved into the district recently, missing either shots or records. Others missed regular doctor visits during the pandemic and got out of the habit of preventative care.

“I think we’re going to be catching up for a while,” Ms. Pessoa-Brandao said.

While vaccination rates were dropping in Minneapolis, they climbed in neighboring St. Paul Public Schools, from around 91.4 percent to around 93 percent, according to state data.

The district attributed the rise to strict new procedures started in 2021, including letters and phone calls to families in their native languages; more vaccines available on district grounds; and monthly compliance reports — an extra mile that not every district is able or willing to go.

There are still parents who opt out. But during a measles outbreak last year, a few changed their mind, said Rebecca Schmidt, the St. Paul district’s director of health and wellness.

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“The fear of measles,” she said, “is sometimes greater than the ease” of getting an exemption.

Data for all 50 states

Kindergarten measles vaccination rate

Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. For some years in some states, the rate represents a complete vaccine series, not just the measles vaccine.

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