Reporting by Jorgelina do Rosario and Elisa Martinuzzi
Editing by Helen Popper
Finance
Ukraine finance minister says donor ‘tiredness’ growing as war drags on
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Ukrainian Minister of Finance Serhiy Marchenko attends an interview with Reuters during the annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, following last month’s deadly earthquake, in Marrakech, Morocco, October 14, 2023. REUTERS/Susana Vera Acquire Licensing Rights
MARRAKECH, Oct 14 (Reuters) – Ukraine is finding it harder to secure financial support as the attention of officials in key donor countries shifts to upcoming elections and geopolitical tensions heighten, Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko told Reuters on Saturday.
“I see a lot of tiredness, I see a lot of weakness among our partners, they would like to forget about the war but the war is still ongoing, full-scale,” Marchenko said on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank meetings in Marrakech.
He said Ukraine is making “twice the effort right now to convince our partners to provide us with support compared to the last annual meetings” in April.
As the war with Russia rages on, Ukraine needs to secure Western financial support to cover a $43 billion budget gap in 2024. Talks this week have been overshadowed by the conflict between Israel and Hamas, which broke out just as delegates were making their way to Marrakech.
Marchenko said “a geopolitical shift and internal political context in different countries” was dampening governments’ appetite to support Ukraine, mentioning elections scheduled in the U.S. and the European Union next year.
Ukraine has earmarked additional tax receipts and funds to be raised from internal debt, but it will be dependent on outside help for the bulk of next year’s spending requirements.
“We already have some commitments, like $5.4 billion from the IMF programme, and we expect commitments from Japan and United Kingdom, and of course, we rely on our key partners and allies the United States and European Union,” Marchenko said in the interview.
The EU is working on a 50 billion-euro ($52.6 billion)Ukraine package for 2024 through 2027. Marchenko said Ukraine is seeking 18 billion euros of that in 2024, matching the package received for this year.
Marchenko welcomed the efforts to harness frozen Russian state assets, saying that what was previously portrayed by Western backers as an “achievable goal” now “sounds like a plan”. Legal concerns, among others, have complicated recoveries.
CREDITOR DISCUSSIONS
Since Moscow’s February 2022 invasion, most of Ukraine’s bilateral lenders have suspended repayment obligations until 2027, and the country has agreed a two-year freeze on $20 billion of international bonds that runs through August.
Ukraine has been sounding out major investors over plans to restructure the international debt and the possibility of raising fresh financing, Reuters reported on Oct. 9, citing people with knowledge of the discussions.
“We have some time to prepare discussions with private creditors,” Marchenko said, declining to provide a timeframe on when formal talks with creditors may start.
“Our natural desire is to preserve access to the market,” he added.
Marchenko said credit enhancement notes could be “one of the ways” to raise funds, but that how such guarantees would work depends on the future of Ukraine’s growth, among other economic factors. This has not been a topic of discussion at the meetings in Marrakech, he said.
Ukraine’s economy is set to grow 5% in 2024, Marchenko told the meetings earlier this week, and sufficient gas storage for the winter should buttress the economy from a potential rise in prices, he told Reuters.
($1 = 0.9516 euros)
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While most of the CDFI fund appears to be protected by Congress, Hinkle Brown said he’s concerned that the rules won’t apply.
“It’s unclear what overzealous implementation in this regard would look like,” he said. “If they eviscerate and make non-functional the CDFI fund there’s a lot of costs, the Philly region will suffer.”
It could put a dent in regional economic development efforts in low income communities, said Leslie Benoliel, CEO of Entrepreneur Works in Philadelphia.
“[Community Development Financial Institutions] are like the capillaries of the financial distribution system in our country. And if you cut off the blood flow to those extremities, that will cause enormous harm,” Benoliel said.
Small business owners who may not typically trust the banking system or government often will work one-on-one with a community organization, she said.
CDFIs across Pennsylvania were allocated $32 million under financial assistance, healthy foods and persistent poverty county financial assistance awards last year.
If there’s no federal support, local nonprofits will likely have to raise money another way, said Varsovia Fernandez, CEO of the Pennsylvania CDFI Network.
“There is a possibility of moving to a fee for services model where small businesses need to pay to receive technical assistance education and I would imagine [loans would have] a higher rate to be sustainable,” she said. “I am hoping that it’s not a drastic change what the White House ends up doing.”
On March 17, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in a statement that the Trump administration understands the significance of the federal fund and local community lending organizations.
“CDFIs [Community Development Financial Institutions] are a key component of President Trump’s commitment to supporting Main Street America in the pursuit of job growth, wealth creation and prosperity,” Bessent said.
Finance
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures rise in search for another bounce-back week
US stock futures rose Sunday, as the major indexes looked for another week of gains toward the end of a rough month and quarter.
Futures attached to the benchmark S&P 500 (ES=F) rose 0.6%, with Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) futures up 0.7%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) advanced around 0.4%.
As of 9:22:10 PM EDT. Market Open.
ES=F YM=F NQ=F
Tariffs continue to demand investor attention, as the April 2 deadline approaches for President Trump to enact reciprocal duties. Trump indicated on Friday that he is maintaining “flexibility” in relation to the tariffs’ rollout, but he hasn’t given a firm idea of what that would look like.
Other concerns for Wall Street include considerations over whether the year-to-date losses have only been a slowdown blip — or if the economy is heading into a recession. JPMorgan strategist Bruch Kasman, for one, pegs the chance of recession as high as 40%.
On the earnings front, quarterly results from Lululemon (LULU), Gamestop (GME), and Dollar Tree (DLTR) are all due this week amid a slower week of financial releases.
Looking at economic data for the week to come, a reading of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, is due Friday. The PCE comes alongside a treading of the University of Michigan’s consumer confidence survey, as well as updates to Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for the manufacturing and services sectors.
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Stock market coverage for Monday, March 25, 2025.
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