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The year ahead in ESG: Assurance, transition finance and natural capital | GreenBiz

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The year ahead in ESG: Assurance, transition finance and natural capital | GreenBiz

Is it officially too late to wish you a Happy New Year? As we return to work, here are three sustainable finance trends that are top of mind for me, along with three themes that sustainable finance and ESG community members say they would like prioritized in 2024. 

My hot topics for 2024 build on progress made in 2023: regulations for ESG assurance; international agreements for transition finance; and the development of standards and instruments to monitor investment in nature and biodiversity. Here’s where I see things headed.

Corporations are prepping for ESG assurance mandates 

What was once a voluntary exercise for disclosing climate and social goals has evolved into a full-fledged industry of ESG reporting. Up next: the introduction of third-party assurance requirements for certain ESG disclosures. 

California and the European Union are leading the way with the Golden State’s Climate Corporate Data Accountability Act, which requires large companies doing business in the state to get third-party assurance for Scope 1 and 2 emissions starting in 2026. (Companies will need to collect 2025 metrics, and file them in 2026). 

That means 2024 will be a big prep year: Companies will need systems to collect and manage data to meet those assurance requirements, and that means businesses must establish and test their ESG controllership strategy this year. 

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How? Some companies are building internal teams to oversee ESG data collection and management for regulatory reporting. That includes hiring for the newly created position of ESG controller. Many large banks have added this role. Expect to see more companies hiring an ESG controller this year to manage regulatory demands. 

Transition finance will take the wheel 

An estimated $4 trillion in clean energy investment will be needed each year between now and 2030 to reach net-zero emissions by 2050, according to the International Energy Agency. 

That’s why climate finance was a key agenda item at COP28. More than $85 billion in new commitments were made, with the host country, the United Arab Emirates, launching a $30 billion global finance solutions fund that will allocate $5 billion to spur additional investment in the Global South. 

This year, we can expect the Inflation Reduction Act and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law to continue providing funding opportunities. An example is the $97 billion available through the Department of Energy for clean energy projects. The IRA has also contributed to an increase in cleantech investments, which totaled $176 billion in the first three quarters of 2023, or $50 billion more than the same period in 2022. 

Another key IRA provision to watch this year is for transferable clean energy tax credits. Through this facility, developers can monetize credits they receive for clean energy projects by selling them at a slight discount to companies that face large tax bills. This provides a much-needed source of capital for financing clean energy project development. 

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Finally, better data for navigating natural capital 

The EU’s Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive took effect Jan. 1. It requires large and publicly traded companies to disclose environmental and social risks. The Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures released its recommendations for doing so in September, guiding how companies should discuss nature-related dependencies, impacts, risks and opportunities. 

As companies embrace digital technologies to collect these nature-related metrics, we’ll see the development of the “planet economy,” predicts Lucas Joppa, the former Microsoft chief environmental officer turned private equity investor. Those insights and data pools will give investors more of the tools and infrastructure needed to invest in nature at scale, he said. 

What 3 sustainable finance leaders see on the horizon 

What ESG accounting or sustainable finance challenge would sustainable finance and ESG experts like to see prioritized in 2024? Why? I put that question to subject matter experts late last year. Here are three of their responses. 

Marina Severinovsky — Head of Sustainability, North America, Schroders 

“The future of fossil fuels, which was a focus of COP 28, should remain a priority in 2024, as reaching net zero will require a wholesale transformation of energy systems. Energy is an important part of many portfolios, and investors need to assess whether companies can adapt and transition their business models at a pace that can be profitable on their path to lower emissions. Given the demands on the energy system over the next 10-30 years, without significant investment, we will be short energy. Conventional energy companies are an important part of the investment in the energy transition sector and are needed to provide the transition fuels for the global clean energy transition. We expect that they will adapt their business model to capitalize on the growth in new energy transition technologies. Many of the major oil companies are already starting to change where they allocate capital and are already invested in hydrogen, carbon capture, biofuels, and wind and solar. Sustainable finance investment and engagement should focus on encouraging and accelerating this transition.” 

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Andrew Behar — CEO, As You Sow 

“There are 100 million people with $10 trillion in retirement accounts invested in an unlivable planet they can’t retire on. This is the year for every individual to realize that the person who earns the money has the right to invest it aligned with their values and to vote their proxies to shape a company’s trajectory toward justice, sustainability and financial outperformance. Click your heels together, Dorothy, it’s your money — use your power wisely.” 

Jeff Mindlin — Chief Investment Officer, ASU Foundation 

“At the ASU Foundation, our viewpoint has always been that we are fiduciaries first and want to avoid politicizing the endowment. To that end, in 2024, my hope is that we will have passed the greenwashing and greenhushing phases to make actual progress on the matter at hand. I also would want to see standardization of reporting at the company and fund level become a priority.” 

[For more news on green finance and ESG issues, subscribe to our free GreenFin Weekly newsletter.]

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Couple forced to live in caravan buy first home as ‘stars align’ in off-market sale

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Couple forced to live in caravan buy first home as ‘stars align’ in off-market sale
Natasha, 34, and Luke, 45, settled on their new home last month. (Source: Supplied)

Natasha Luscri and Luke Miller consider themselves among the lucky ones. The couple recently bought their first home in the northwest suburbs of Melbourne.

It wasn’t something they necessarily expected to be able to do, but some good fortune with an investment in silver bullion and making use of government schemes meant “the stars aligned” to get into the market. Luke used the federal government’s super saver scheme to help build a deposit, and the couple then jumped on the 5 per cent deposit scheme, which they say made all the difference.

“We only started looking because of the government deposit scheme. Basically, we didn’t really think it was possible that we could buy something,” Natasha told Yahoo Finance.

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Last month they settled on their two bedroom unit, which the pair were able to purchase in an off-market sale – something that is becoming increasingly common in the market at the moment.

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Rather perfectly, they got it for about $20-30,000 below market rate, Natasha estimated, which meant they were under the $600,000 limit to avoid paying stamp duty under Victoria’s suite of support measures for first home buyers.

“They wanted to sell it quickly. They had no other offers. So we got it for less than what it would have gone for if it had been on market,” Natasha said.

“We didn’t have a lot of cash sitting in an account … I think we just got lucky and made some smart investment decisions which helped.”

It’s a far cry from when the couple couldn’t find a home due to the rental crisis when they were previously living in Adelaide and had to turn to sub-standard options.

“We’ve managed to go from living in a caravan because we were living in Adelaide and we couldn’t find a rental with our dogs … So we’ve gone from living in a caravan, being kind of tertiary homeless essentially because we couldn’t get a rental, to now having been able to purchase our first home,” Natasha explained.

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Rate rises beginning to bite for new homeowners

Natasha, 34, and Luke, 45, are among more than 300,000 Australians who have used the 5 per cent deposit scheme to get into the housing market with a much smaller than usual deposit, according to data from Housing Australia at the end of March. However that’s dating back to 2020 when the program first launched, before it was rebranded and significantly expanded in October last year to scrap income or placement caps, along with allowing for higher property price caps.

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WHO says its finances are stable, but uncertainties loom – Geneva Solutions

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WHO says its finances are stable, but uncertainties loom – Geneva Solutions

A year after the US exit from the global health body, WHO officials say finances are secure, for now. But amid donor cuts, rising inflation, and future economic uncertainties, will funding be sufficient to meet its needs?

Earlier this month, senior officials at the World Health Organization (WHO) told journalists in a newly refurbished pressroom at the agency’s headquarters that its finances were “stable”. Following a year that saw its biggest donor withdraw as a member, forcing it to cut 25 per cent of its staff, its financial chief said that 85 per cent of its 2026 and 2027 budget had been financed.

“While we are looking at resource mobilisation, we’re also looking at tightening our belts,” Raul Thomas, assistant director general for business operations and compliance, explained, admitting that the WHO “will have great difficulty mobilising the last 15 per cent”.

Sitting at the centre of the press podium, surrounded by his deputies, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO director general, backed up Thomas’s outlook. “We are stable now and moving forward”, since the retreat of the United States from the health body, he said. The Ethiopian noted that the WHO’s financial reform, allowing for incremental increases in state member fees, has been a big plus.

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Mandatory contributions have historically accounted for only a quarter of the organisation’s total funding. States have agreed to raise their contributions by 20 per cent twice, in 2023 and in 2025. Further increments are scheduled to be negotiated in 2027, 2029 and 2031 to bring mandatory funding up to par with voluntary donations that the agency relies on. The WHO also reduced its biennial budget for 2026 and 2027 from $5.3 billion to $4.2bn.

“Our financing actually is better,” Tedros emphasised. “Without the reform, it would have been a problem.”

Read more: Nations agree to raise their WHO fees in wake of US retreat

Nonetheless, the director general, now in his final year at the UN agency, warned that member states should not assume that the financial road ahead will be clear. “The future of WHO will also be defined by how successful we are in terms of the assessed contribution increases or the financial reform in general.”

As west retreats, others step in

Suerie Moon, co-director of the Global Health Centre at the Geneva Graduate Institute, explains that every year at the WHO, there’s “a non-stop effort” to ensure funding. She says a continued reliance on non-flexible, voluntary funding earmarked for specific projects, as well as donors withholding contributions – sometimes for political leverage – complicates the organisation’s financial plans. Meanwhile, ongoing cuts and predictions of a global economic downturn stemming from the war in the Middle East may further aggravate the situation, as costs rise and member states focus on national spending needs.

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Soaring prices driven by the conflict and supply chain disruptions have already affected the WHO’s procurement of emergency health kits for crises, officials at the global health body said. “We are continuing to negotiate at least from a procurement standpoint on how we can bring down a little bit the prices or reduce the increases, but we are seeing it across the board,” said Thomas.

Altaf Musani, WHO director of health emergencies, meanwhile, said aid cuts have already deprived roughly 53 million people in crisis situations of access to healthcare.

Last month, Thomas told the Association of Accredited Correspondents at the UN at the end of April that the agency is looking at non-traditional, or non-western, donors for funding to close the biennial 15 per cent funding gap. “It’s not that we won’t go to the traditional donors, but we’re expanding that donor base.”

Since the dramatic drop in funding from the US, formerly the WHO’s biggest contributor, Moon highlights that there hadn’t been a “sudden jump by non-traditional states to compensate for the US”. Last May, at the World Health Assembly, China pledged $500 million in voluntary funding until 2030, a sharp rise from the $2.5m it contributed over 2024 and 2025.

The WHO did not respond to questions from Geneva Solutions about how much of the pledged amount had been disbursed. China’s mission in Geneva did not respond to questions raised about the funding.

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Other countries, particularly Gulf states, have meanwhile been increasing their voluntary contributions to the organisation in recent years. Similarly to “western liberal democracies have in the past”, Moon explains that they may be seeking “to raise their profile and prioritise health as one of the issues that they would like to be known for”. She noted that the shift in the UN agency’s list of top donors may affect how it manages the money.

‘Sustainable’ spending

Amid these financial uncertainties, WHO executives say the organisation is also reviewing its expenditure through “sustainability plans”. This includes working more closely with collaborating centres, including universities and research institutes that support WHO programmes and are independently funded. On influenza, for example, the WHO works with dozens of national centres around the world, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in the US,

When asked about any plans for further job cuts, Thomas denied that these were part of the WHO’s current strategies, but could not rule them out entirely as a future possibility. Instead, he said, the organisation was “looking at ways to use funding that may have been for activities to cover salaries in the most important areas”.

Meanwhile, WHO data shows that the number of consultants employed by the agency by the end of 2025 decreased by 23 per cent, slightly less than the staff reductions. Global heath reporter Elaine Fletcher explained to Geneva Solutions that consultants continue to represent a significant proportion of the agency’s workforce, at 5,844 – including an overwhelming number hired in Africa and Southeast Asia – compared with regular staff numbering 8,569 in December.

Upcoming donor politics

The upcoming change in leadership will also be a strategic moment for the organisation to boost its coffers.  Moon says the race for the top job at the organisation may attract funding from candidates’ home countries, which could be seen as a strategic opportunity. 

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Given the relatively small size of the WHO budget, compared to some government or agency accounts, “you don’t have to be the richest country in the world to dangle a few 100 million dollars, which could go a long way in their budget,” the expert notes.

The biggest ongoing challenge, however, will be whether major donors will announce further aid cuts. In the medium and longer term, “countries will have to  agree on the step up every two years, and there’s always drama around that.”

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Sports betting should be regulated as a financial product, not gambling, aspiring prediction market provider says

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MIAMI BEACH, Fla. — Sports betting should be regulated as a federal financial product rather than a state-licensed casino product, two panelists said Thursday.

Appearing at Consensus Miami 2026, Jacob Fortinsky, co-founder and CEO of sports betting platform Novig, said the legacy sportsbook model is structurally broken because it treats winning bettors as cheaters.

“Sports betting is really the only industry in the country that regularly limits and bans their power users,” Fortinsky said. He framed sports event contracts as binary financial instruments that “for so long have been treated as a gambling product and instead should really be treated as a financial product.” Globally, he said, sports betting is “a $2 trillion asset class still dominated by these legacy casinos.”

Adam Mastrelli, founder of 57 Maiden, a firm that builds AI-driven trading strategies for prediction markets, validated the critique with personal experience.

“My partner and I got kicked off of two big sportsbooks within two months of trading because we were sharp,” he said, It’s like “LeBron James getting kicked out of the NBA for being too good,” he added.

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Mastrelli said the team turned to Novig, which he said charges no fees and allows traders to create synthetic positions.

Mastrelli said his firm’s edge decayed quickly, and of 154 proposed trading strategies, only three currently run profitably.

“This edge will go away,” he said, “so if you can build systems that can keep up with that edge and that alpha… then it becomes really, really intriguing.” His most profitable season, he said, was the WNBA.

Fortinsky said Novig is on track to transition this summer from a sweepstakes model live in 35 states to a federal DCM framework that will let it operate in all 50 states. An earlier attempt to be regulated at the state level in Colorado, he said, was a wake-up call. “Regulators told us essentially you’re naive if you think we care about consumer protection or innovation or market efficiency. We really just care about our tax revenue,” he said.

The federal-state fight, Fortinsky added, is “going to get to the Supreme Court in the next two or three years,” with 15 pending lawsuits between the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Kalshi, Robinhood and various states. Within prediction markets, he argued sports is “counterintuitively actually the safest vertical,” given the bigger insider-trading and manipulation concerns around political and event-driven contracts.

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Mastrelli, who said he avoids offshore platforms entirely, compared prediction markets to equities exchanges: “When I see a robust equities market now, this is AQR against SIG. It doesn’t go away.”

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