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GRAIL Reports Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

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GRAIL Reports Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

Q3 U.S. Galleri Revenue Grew 28% Year-Over-Year to $32.6 Million

Q3 Galleri Tests Sold Grew 39% Year-Over-Year to More Than 45,000

Galleri PMA Submission to FDA Now Anticipated in Q126

Cash Position of More Than $850 Million Includes Recently Completed Private Placement

MENLO PARK, Calif., Nov. 12, 2025 /PRNewswire/ — GRAIL, Inc. (Nasdaq: GRAL), a healthcare company whose mission is to detect cancer early when it can be cured, today reported business and financial results for the third quarter of 2025.

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Total revenue in the third quarter grew 26% year-over-year to $36.2 million, and Galleri revenue grew 29% year-over-year to $32.8 million. U.S. Galleri revenue was $32.6 million, representing 28% growth year-over-year. Net loss for the quarter was $89.0 million. Gross loss was $13.7 million. Non-GAAP adjusted gross profit was $20.0 million, and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA was $(71.7) million.1

“We remain very pleased by Galleri’s commercial uptake with 39% growth in Galleri test volume in the third quarter. Our teams continue to build awareness of Galleri among providers and patients, and recent data from our registrational PATHFINDER 2 study adds to the evidence base,” said Bob Ragusa, Chief Executive Officer at GRAIL. “We have also made key recent strides in opportunities beyond the U.S., led by our strategic collaboration with Samsung to bring Galleri to key Asian markets, as well as Galleri’s commercial introduction in Canada. Looking ahead, we anticipate completing our PMA submission for Galleri to the FDA in the first quarter of 2026.”

For the three months ended September 30, 2025, as compared to the three months ended September 30, 2024, GRAIL reported:

  • Revenue: Total revenue, comprised of screening and development services revenue, was $36.2 million, an increase of $7.5 million or 26%.
  • Net loss: Net loss was $89.0 million, an improvement of $36.7 million or 29%.
  • Gross loss: Gross loss was $13.7 million, an improvement of $8.5 million or 38%.
  • Adjusted gross profit1: Adjusted gross profit was $20.0 million, an increase of $8.2 million or 69%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA1: Adjusted EBITDA was $(71.7) million, an improvement of $36.5 million or 34%.
  • Cash position: Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and short-term marketable securities totaled $547.1 million as of September 30, 2025.

Recent business highlights include:

  • Positive results from PATHFINDER 2 and SYMPLIFY studies add to the evidence base for the effectiveness of multi-cancer early detection.
  • Positive detailed performance and safety results from the pre-specified analysis of the first approximately 25,000 participants in the registrational PATHFINDER 2 study were presented at the European Society of Medical Oncology (“ESMO”) Congress 2025 in October:
    • Adding Galleri to recommended screenings for breast, cervical, colorectal, and lung cancers (USPSTF A and B recommendations) led to a more than seven-fold increase in the number of cancers found within a year
    • Galleri detected approximately three times as many cancers when added to standard-of-care screening for breast, cervical, colorectal, lung, and prostate cancers (USPSTF A, B, and C recommendations)
    • Approximately three-quarters of the cancers detected by Galleri do not have standard of care screening options
    • More than half of the new cancers detected by Galleri were stage 1 or 2 and more than two-thirds were detected at stages 1-3
    • Galleri positive predictive value (“PPV”), or the likelihood of receiving a cancer diagnosis following a positive test result, was 61.6%
    • Specificity was 99.6%, translating to a false positive rate of 0.4%
    • Cancer signal of origin accuracy was 92%, leading to efficient diagnostic workups
    • Diagnostic resolution took a median of 46 days, and only 0.6% of all participants had an invasive procedure and invasive procedures were two times more common in participants with cancer than in those without
    • No serious, study-related adverse events were reported
  • Positive long-term results from an extended registry follow-up of the SYMPLIFY study with the University of Oxford were presented at the Early Detection of Cancer Conference (“EDCC”) in October. A previous primary analysis, published in The Lancet Oncology, followed participants until diagnostic resolution or up to nine months and demonstrated Galleri’s PPV was 75.5%. Patients reported to have a false positive Galleri result were followed for 24 months in national cancer registries for England and Wales.
    • The updated analysis presented at EDCC showed that approximately one-third of participants initially believed to have a false positive result were later diagnosed with cancer during the subsequent follow up period
    • This reduction in false positives resulted in an increase of Galleri’s PPV in this symptomatic population to 84.2%
  • Announced a collaboration with Medcan, a global leader in proactive health and wellness services, to provide access to the Galleri test at Medcan’s clinics. Additionally, Manulife Canada announced it now offers access to Galleri, in partnership with Medcan, to eligible life insurance customers through its innovative Manulife Vitality program.
  • Announced a strategic collaboration with Samsung in October to bring the Galleri test to key Asian markets. Subject to execution of definitive agreements, the parties will work as exclusive partners to commercialize Galleri in Korea, and possibly other key Asian markets, including Japan and Singapore. In addition, the parties intend to explore potential additional strategic and operational collaborations. Samsung has also agreed to make an equity investment of $110 million in GRAIL, subject to closing conditions.
  • Completed a private placement of equity in October resulting in gross proceeds of approximately $325 million, before deducting placement agents’ fees and other expenses. Including proceeds from this transaction, GRAIL’s cash position of more than $850 million provides runway into 2030.




1 See “Non-GAAP Disclosure” and the associated reconciliations for important information about our use of non-GAAP measures.

Conference Call and Webcast
A webcast and conference call will be held today, Nov. 12, 2025, at 1:30 p.m. PT / 4:30 p.m. ET. Individuals interested in listening to the conference call may access it on the investor relations section of GRAIL’s website at investors.grail.com.

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A replay of the webcast will be available on GRAIL’s website for 30 days.

GRAIL Analyst Day 2025 Tomorrow
GRAIL will host its Analyst Day 2025 tomorrow, Nov. 13, 2025, at the Company’s central laboratories in Research Triangle Park, North Carolina beginning at 8:00 a.m. PT / 11:00 a.m. ET.

The live webcast and recorded replay will be available at the investor relations section of GRAIL’s website at investors.grail.com and at https://grail-analyst-day-2025.open-exchange.net/registration.

About GRAIL
GRAIL, Inc. is a healthcare company whose mission is to detect cancer early, when it can be cured. GRAIL is focused on alleviating the global burden of cancer by using the power of next-generation sequencing, population-scale clinical studies, and state-of-the-art machine learning, software, and automation to detect and identify multiple deadly cancer types in earlier stages. GRAIL’s targeted methylation-based platform can support the continuum of care for screening and precision oncology, including multi-cancer early detection in symptomatic patients, risk stratification, minimal residual disease detection, biomarker subtyping, treatment and recurrence monitoring. GRAIL is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA with locations in Washington, D.C., North Carolina, and the United Kingdom. GRAIL’s common stock is listed under the ticker symbol “GRAL” on the NASDAQ Stock Exchange.

For more information, visit grail.com.

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About Galleri®
The Galleri multi-cancer early detection test is a proactive tool to screen for cancer. With a simple blood draw, the Galleri test can identify DNA shed by cancer cells, which can act as a unique “fingerprint” of cancer, to help screen for some of the deadliest cancers that don’t have recommended screening today, such as pancreatic, esophageal, ovarian, liver, and others. The Galleri test can be used to screen for cancer before a person becomes symptomatic, when cancer may be more easily treated and potentially curable. The Galleri test can indicate the origin of the cancer, giving healthcare providers a roadmap of where to explore further. The Galleri test requires a prescription from a licensed healthcare provider and should be used in addition to recommended cancer screenings such as mammography, colonoscopy, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) test, or cervical cancer screening. The Galleri test is recommended for adults with an elevated risk for cancer, such as those aged 50 or older.

For more information, visit galleri.com.

Laboratory/Test Information
GRAIL’s clinical laboratory is certified under the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988 (CLIA) and accredited by the College of American Pathologists. The Galleri test was developed, and its performance characteristics were determined by GRAIL. The Galleri test has not been cleared or approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. GRAIL’s clinical laboratory is regulated under CLIA to perform high-complexity testing. The Galleri test is intended for clinical purposes.

Non-GAAP Disclosure
In addition to our financial results provided throughout this press release that are determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), this press release also includes financial measures that are not calculated in accordance with GAAP. Our non-GAAP financial disclosure includes Adjusted Gross Profit (Loss) and Adjusted EBITDA. We encourage investors to carefully consider our results under GAAP in conjunction with our supplemental non-GAAP information and the reconciliation between these presentations.

  • Adjusted Gross Profit (Loss) is a key performance measure that our management uses to assess our operational performance, as it represents the results of revenues and direct costs, which are key components of our operations. We believe that this non-GAAP financial measure is useful to investors and other interested parties in analyzing our financial performance because it reflects the gross profitability of our operations, and excludes the costs associated with our sales and marketing, product development, general and administrative activities, and depreciation and amortization, and the impact of our financing methods and income taxes.

    We calculate Adjusted Gross Profit (Loss) as gross profit (loss) (as defined below) adjusted to exclude amortization of intangible assets and stock-based compensation allocated to cost of revenue. Adjusted Gross Profit (Loss) should be viewed as a measure of operating performance that is a supplement to, and not a substitute for, operating income or loss from operations, net earnings or loss and other GAAP measures of income (loss) or profitability. The following table presents a reconciliation of gross loss, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP, to Adjusted Gross Profit.

  • Adjusted EBITDA is a key performance measure that our management uses to assess our financial performance and is also used for internal planning and forecasting purposes. We believe that this non-GAAP financial measure is useful to investors and other interested parties in analyzing our financial performance because it provides a comparable overview of our operations across historical periods. In addition, we believe that providing Adjusted EBITDA, together with a reconciliation of net income (loss) to Adjusted EBITDA, helps investors make comparisons between our company and other companies that may have different capital structures, different tax rates, different operational and ownership histories, and/or different forms of employee compensation.

    Adjusted EBITDA is used by our management team as an additional measure of our performance for purposes of business decision-making, including managing expenditures. Period-to-period comparisons of Adjusted EBITDA help our management identify additional trends in our financial results that may not be shown solely by period-to-period comparisons of net income (loss) or income (loss) from operations. Our management recognizes that Adjusted EBITDA has inherent limitations because of the excluded items, and may not be directly comparable to similarly titled metrics used by other companies.

    We calculate Adjusted EBITDA as net income (loss) adjusted to exclude interest (income) expense, income tax expense (benefit), depreciation, impairment of goodwill and intangible assets, and amortization of intangible assets, which represent intangible assets resulting from pushdown accounting, legal and professional services fees related to Illumina’s acquisition of the Company in August 2021 (“the Acquisition”) and corresponding antitrust litigation, including compliance with the hold separate arrangements imposed by the European Commission, and our divestment from Illumina, restructuring charges, and stock-based compensation. We believe that the items subject to these further adjustments are not indicative of our ongoing operations due to their nature, especially considering the impact of certain items as a result of the Acquisition.

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    Adjusted EBITDA should be viewed as a measure of operating performance that is a supplement to, and not a substitute for, operating income or loss from operations, net earnings or loss and other U.S. GAAP measures of income (loss). Additionally, it is not intended to be a measure of free cash flow for management’s discretionary use, as it does not consider certain cash requirements such as interest and tax payments. Further, our definition of Adjusted EBITDA may differ from similarly titled measures used by other companies and therefore may not be comparable among companies. The following table presents a reconciliation of net loss, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP, to Adjusted EBITDA on a consolidated basis.

Full reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures is set forth in tabular form below.

Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements. In some cases, you can identify these statements by forward-looking words such as “aim,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “might,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,” “should,” “would,” or “will,” the negative of these terms, and other comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions about us, may include expectations and projections of our future financial performance, future tests or products, patient awareness of our products, technology, clinical studies, safety results, regulatory compliance, potential market opportunity, anticipated growth strategies, restructuring costs, sufficiency of cash on hand to finance our business, cost savings, budgets and strategies, satisfaction of closing conditions and negotiation of definitive agreements in the Samsung collaboration, and growth and anticipated trends in our business.

These statements are only predictions based on our current expectations and projections about future events and trends. There are important factors that could cause our actual results, level of activity, performance, or achievements to differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements, including those factors and numerous associated risks discussed under the sections entitled “Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the period ended December 31, 2024 and in our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the periods ended March 31, 2025, June 30, 2025 and September 30, 2025. Moreover, we operate in a dynamic and rapidly changing environment. New risks emerge from time to time. It is not possible for our management to predict all risks, nor can we assess the impact of all factors on our business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results, level of activity, performance, or achievements to differ materially and adversely from those contained in any forward-looking statements we may make.

Forward-looking statements relate to the future and, accordingly, are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks, and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict and many of which are outside of our control. Although we believe the expectations and projections expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot guarantee future results, level of activity, performance, or achievements. Our actual results and financial condition may differ materially from those indicated in the forward-looking statements. Except to the extent required by law, we undertake no obligation to update any of these forward-looking statements after the date of this press release to conform our prior statements to actual results or revised expectations or to reflect new information or the occurrence of unanticipated events.

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GRAIL, Inc.

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

(unaudited)

(amounts in thousands, except share and per share data)



September 30,
2025

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December 31,
2024

Assets




Current assets:




Cash and cash equivalents

$                  126,892

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$                  214,234

Short-term marketable securities

413,238


549,236

Accounts receivable, net

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16,282


20,312

Supplies

18,390


18,632

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Prepaid expenses and other current assets

14,579


17,447

Total current assets

589,381

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819,861

Property and equipment, net

56,180


69,061

Operating lease right-of-use assets

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56,061


66,373

Restricted cash

6,974


3,349

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Intangible assets, net

1,885,140


2,016,890

Other non-current assets

7,295

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7,773

Total assets

$               2,601,031


$               2,983,307

Liabilities and stockholders’ equity

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Current liabilities:




Accounts payable

$                      3,407


$                      4,844

Accrued liabilities

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58,076


57,241

Operating lease liabilities, current portion

14,022


13,260

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Other current liabilities

1,928


1,580

Total current liabilities

77,433

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76,925

Operating lease liabilities, net of current portion

44,568


54,881

Deferred tax liability, net

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236,265


345,860

Other non-current liabilities

2,802


2,236

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Total liabilities

361,068


479,902

Preferred stock, par value of $0.001 per share; 50,000,000 shares
authorized, no shares issued and outstanding as of September 30,
2025 and December 31, 2024

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Common stock $0.001 par value per share, 1,500,000,000 shares
authorized, 36,160,998 shares issued and outstanding as of
September 30, 2025, 33,893,409 shares issued and outstanding as of
December 31, 2024

36


34

Additional paid-in capital

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12,349,976


12,305,250

Accumulated other comprehensive income

2,456


1,451

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Accumulated deficit

(10,112,505)


(9,803,330)

Total stockholders’ equity

2,239,963

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2,503,405

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

$               2,601,031


$               2,983,307

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GRAIL, Inc.

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations

(unaudited)

(amounts in thousands, except share and per share data)



Three Months Ended

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Nine Months Ended


September 30,
2025


September 30,
2024


September 30,
2025


September 30,
2024

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Revenue:








Screening revenue

$            32,807


$            25,374


$            96,319

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$            77,076

Development services revenue

3,387


3,278


7,256

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10,267

Total revenue

36,194


28,652


103,575

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87,343

Costs and operating expenses:








Cost of screening revenue (exclusive of
     amortization of intangible assets)

15,910


15,970

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52,379


45,481

Cost of development services revenue

544


1,442

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2,216


3,499

Cost of revenue — amortization of intangible
     assets

33,473


33,473

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100,417


100,417

Research and development

48,647


78,231

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148,898


274,052

Sales and marketing

25,503


35,625

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89,021


123,433

General and administrative

37,408


47,418

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120,396


171,745

Goodwill and intangible assets impairment


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28,000


1,420,936

Total costs and operating expenses

161,485


212,159

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541,327


2,139,563

Loss from operations

(125,291)


(183,507)

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(437,752)


(2,052,220)

Other income:








Interest income

6,107

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11,661


20,695


17,367

Other income (expense), net

466

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(561)


(929)


(514)

Total other income, net

6,573

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11,100


19,766


16,853

Loss before income taxes

(118,718)

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(172,407)


(417,986)


(2,035,367)

Benefit from income taxes

29,741

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46,719


108,811


105,428

Net loss

$          (88,977)

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$        (125,688)


$        (309,175)


$     (1,929,939)

Net loss per share — Basic and Diluted

$              (2.46)

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$              (3.94)


$              (8.73)


$            (61.61)

Weighted-average shares of common stock
     used in computing net loss per share:

36,124,256

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31,880,054


35,415,266


31,326,117

 

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GRAIL, Inc.

Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

(unaudited)

(amounts in thousands)



Three Months Ended

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Nine Months Ended


September 30,
2025


September 30,
2024


September 30,
2025


September 30,
2024

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Gross loss (1)

$          (13,733)


$          (22,233)


$      (51,437)


$      (62,054)

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Amortization of intangible assets

33,473


33,473


100,417


100,417

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Stock-based compensation

271


578


1,450


1,522

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Adjusted Gross Profit

$            20,011


$            11,818


$        50,430


$        39,885

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(1)

Gross loss is calculated as total revenue less cost of screening revenue (exclusive of amortization of intangible assets), cost of development services revenue and cost of revenue—amortization of intangible assets.

 

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GRAIL, Inc.

Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

(unaudited)

(amounts in thousands)



Three Months Ended

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Nine Months Ended


September 30,
2025


September 30,
2024


September 30,
2025


September 30,
2024

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Net loss

$          (88,977)


$        (125,688)


$        (309,175)


$     (1,929,939)

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Adjusted to exclude the following:








Interest income

(6,107)


(11,661)


(20,695)

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(17,367)

Benefit from income tax expense

(29,741)


(46,719)


(108,811)

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(105,428)

Amortization of intangible assets (1)

34,583


34,583


103,750

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103,750

Depreciation

4,399


4,647


13,686

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14,865

Goodwill and intangible impairment (2)



28,000

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1,420,936

Illumina/GRAIL merger & divestiture
     legal and professional services costs(3)


226


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22,158

Stock-based compensation(4)

14,139


17,449


44,518

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72,502

Restructuring(5)


19,007


(34)

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19,007

Adjusted EBITDA

$          (71,704)


$        (108,156)


$        (248,761)

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$        (399,516)







(1)

Represents amortization of intangible assets, including developed technology and trade names.

(2)

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Reflects impairment of goodwill and intangible assets recognized as a result of the Acquisition.

(3)

Represents legal and professional services costs associated with the Acquisition and corresponding antitrust litigation, including compliance with the hold separate arrangements imposed by the European Commission, and legal and professional services costs associated with the divestiture.

(4)

Represents all stock-based compensation recognized on our standalone financial statements for the periods presented.

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(5)

Represents employee severance, benefits, payroll taxes, and other costs associated with the Restructuring Plan.

SOURCE GRAIL, Inc.

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Finance

Graham Price, Senior Consultant, Financial Restructuring

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Graham Price, Senior Consultant, Financial Restructuring

Graham is a senior consultant in the global special situations & private credit practice, based in the Hong Kong office. Dually qualified in England & Wales and Hong Kong, Graham focuses on both finance and restructuring matters across the Asia-Pacific region. He represents private credit funds, private equity sponsors, major institutional lenders and asset managers on a wide range of finance transactions, including cross-border leveraged financings, restructurings, special situations, direct lending, margin loans, real estate finance and corporate facilities.

Prior to joining Akin, Graham worked at leading international law firms in Hong Kong and London where he also undertook a secondment to Barclays Capital. 

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Global brand in an EFL world – Wrexham’s finances explained as club eye Premier League

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Global brand in an EFL world –  Wrexham’s finances explained as club eye Premier League

Because the EFL’s profit and sustainability rules are about trying to make sure clubs are not losing unsustainable amounts of money.

Despite going on a summer spending spree, paying about £30m for players and having one of the highest net spends around, Wrexham are well within the financial parameters because of the commercial revenue already being brought in thanks to deals with giants such as United Airlines and HP.

In League Two, they were already bringing in more than 20 of the 24 Championship clubs.

“Under the PSR rules, you’re allowed to lose £39m over three years,” said Maguire. “Looking at their two most recent sets of accounts, Wrexham lost around about £23m – but they’ve had substantial increases in broadcast revenue, from about £1.2m in TV money in League Two to about £12m this season.”

That is before taking into account a significant jump in sponsorship and commercial income, with chief executive Michael Williamson estimating they are already on a par with some top-flight clubs.

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“We have a global brand, a Premier League brand in the Championship,” Williamson told Ben Foster’s Fozcast podcast in August 2025.

“What we don’t have is the broadcast revenue of Premier League clubs or the parachute payments.

“From a commercial standpoint, if you compared us to Championship clubs, I’m sure we’d be among the top and – on commercial revenues only – we would probably surpass a handful of Premier League clubs, around four or five I would guess.”

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12 finance pros reveal the stocks they’re personally recommending to clients in 2026

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12 finance pros reveal the stocks they’re personally recommending to clients in 2026

As you work on diversifying your stock portfolio, it can be a good idea to take a step back and consider your options. What sectors are advantageous now? Should a new approach be taken?

We spoke with 12 financial and investing experts who shared the stocks that have currently piqued their interest. And, they shared their best advice on how to approach your picks. If you’re looking for sound advice this year, and beyond, you can find advisers using CFP Board, NAPFA or this free tool from our ad partner SmartAsset that matches you to fiduciary advisers.

CrowdStrike or the ETF Global X Cybersecurity — Myles J. McHale Jr., president and founder of Wealthcare Advisors

“Many of us have faced credit card fraud or financial/romance scams, and these issues are not going away. I recommend investing in network security, endpoint protection and identity management. Specifically, the individual stock CrowdStrike (CRWD) or the ETF Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG) are excellent choices in this space. With the continued expansion of AI, cybersecurity investments will remain crucial,” McHale says, while adding that “there is no need to panic or drastically change your current asset allocation.”

BBB Foods — Rick Munarriz, stock analyst at Motley Fool

“Valuations and tensions are high, so if there were ever a time to be a Peter Lynch disciple and ‘buy what you know,’ this would be it. Don’t chase hot stock tips in companies and industries you don’t fully understand or aren’t passionate about. One of my favorite stocks heading into 2026 is BBB Foods (NYSE: TBBB). It’s the parent company of Tiendas 3B, a fast-growing retail chain in Mexico specializing in ‘hard discount’ groceries.

It’s a stacker, and by that I mean a company that is stacking growth on top of growth. BBB Foods is expanding its chain at a low double-digit percentage rate. It’s also growing average store-level sales — or what they call comparable-store sales — in the low double digits. Stack those two things together consistently, and BBB Foods has rattled off four consecutive years of better-than-30% revenue growth.”

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BlackRock, GE Aerospace and Walmart — Jason Bernat, investment adviser, president and CEO of American Financial Services

“We are anticipating several rate cuts in 2026 which will support higher valuations but also increased volatility. I personally believe that AI will continue to remain central. Stocks tied to AI computing and data center buildouts are obvious choices. However, moving beyond pure hype tech, into sectors like financials, industrials, and even value, will give a major growth opportunity.

NVIDIA (NVDA), Broadcom (AVGO), Marvel (MRVL), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), Alphabet (GOOGL) [and] Amazon (AMZN) are your champion AI stocks with high earning potentials, momentum, and cloud and hardware growth expectancy. Outside those, I like BlackRock (BLK), which has strong earnings growth. GE Aerospace (GE) industrial and defense exposure with projected revenue growth. Finally with a more defensive position if markets wobble is Walmart (WMT).”

“Focus on owning high-quality, cash-flow-generative assets” — Josh Katz, CPA and founder of Universal Tax Professionals

“The easy-money era, where simply being in the market guaranteed strong returns, has shifted. This year, focus on owning high-quality, cash-flow-generative assets and let that income, reinvested over time, do the heavy lifting for your portfolio. Patience and discipline will be key differentiators.

I always favor diversified exposure through ETFs that capture the themes above rather than risky individual stock picks. The U.S. equity market is projected for resilient growth, with firms poised to benefit from AI-driven efficiency gains, a friendly policy mix and strong earnings potential. This remains the core, growth-oriented foundation of a portfolio. In a market favoring quality and durable cash flow, funds focused on companies with a history of growing their dividends are essential.”

Renewable energy and energy storage — Jamie Hobkirk, CFP at Reynders McVeigh Capital Management

“As we move into 2026, I think it is important for investors to stay diversified across different sectors and not get hung up on the winners of 2025. More recently, we are starting to see increased breadth in the market, which presents more investment opportunities for investors.

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Themes that Reynders McVeigh continues to like are renewable energy, energy storage and the buildout of the electric grid. The expansion of artificial intelligence is creating a growing demand for energy. With current demand outpacing production, multiple energy sources will be needed to support continued growth. Companies that support these themes are Schneider Electric, Nexans, and Nextpower Inc. to name a few.”

AI and tech — Carson K. Odom, CPA, CFP and wealth adviser at Adams Wealth Partners

“AI and technology leadership remain central to the conversation, but concentration is the biggest risk factor here. My biggest warning would be to make sure investors are aware of how concentrated an index fund they own may be. Some may not realize that 40% of their index fund is concentrated in under 10 names.

Themes I like for 2026 are tech and AI infrastructure, quality earnings and underperforming small-cap stocks. AI got the headlines in 2025, and I think the infrastructure behind it can take the lead in 2026. Also, high quality small-cap stocks have really lagged in performance since 2021. We’re nearing one of the largest deficits in small cap performance relative to large caps in recent history. If history tends to give us a lesson, it’s that there’s usually a reversion to the mean with these trends, which makes small caps appear attractive.”

Walmart and American Express — Ekenna Anya-Gafu, CFP, accredited asset management specialist, AIF and founder of Pacific Canyon Investments

“My number one piece of advice is have a long-term thesis and try to ignore the noise (a lot easier said than done). My biggest thought when it comes to the stock market and retail clients is that understanding the source of products, where they are made, and who the company is selling to is extremely important.” Anya-Gafu recommends:

“Walmart (WMT): They have close to a monopoly on low-income shoppers, and if the K curve (different groups in the economy experience very different outcomes at the same time) shows more in 2026, I believe the middle class will start to fade, which puts more individuals and households into lower income thresholds.

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American Express (AXP): We saw that 93% of all purchases on Black Friday [were] done on a credit card or Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL). I like American Express because their high credit profile requirements will be more protected from people not being able to pay their credit card bills, but because it is a charge card, it should make more profit than a typical credit card company.”

Digital infrastructure and essential services — Martin Robinson, CFP and director at Amzonite

“Areas such as digital infrastructure, the energy transition and essential services continue to attract attention because they tend to be more resilient across different market conditions. Companies with steady cash flows, pricing power and strong ownership are often better positioned when uncertainty is high. Ultimately, stock choices should reflect personal goals, time horizon and comfort with risk, rather than a single prediction about where the market is headed.”

MYR Group, First Solar and Recursion Pharmaceuticals — Peter Krull, director of sustainable investing at Earth Equity Advisors recommends:

“MYR Group (MYRG) — Specialists in electrical infrastructure. Between the clean energy transition and the AI buildout, we’re going to need to move electrons efficiently across the country. MYR designs and builds transmission lines to meet the ever-growing demand for more electricity. I see continued growth for at least the next decade in their services.

Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) — One of the most promising uses of AI technology is in biotechnology and pharmaceutical development. Recursion teamed up with NVIDIA to build a supercomputer to analyze potential drug opportunities. The analysis performed by the Recursion system has the potential to speed up the drug development process and reduce the cost of development by half. This is a riskier opportunity, but there should be long-term potential.

First Solar (FSLR) — First Solar is a leading designer and manufacturer of solar panels and systems for utility-scale developments, and the largest headquartered in the U.S. They are focused on innovation in the solar manufacturing space, investing in clean manufacturing and higher cell efficiency.”

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Healthcare, energy and housing — Chris McMahon, president and CEO at Aquinas Wealth Advisors LLC

“We believe the market will broaden out dramatically over the next few years. The current overconcentration in tech stocks will begin to spread into the broader market. In particular, we think sectors such as construction, banking, and materials are well positioned for growth.” McMahon recommends:

“Healthcare: this sector has languished as the market reduced allocation based on the uncertainty of Secretary Kennedy. We have had time to see that in spite of some changes.

Energy: driven by the demand from AI and also a return to U.S. manufacturing we expect energy to outperform in the coming year.

Housing/material: lower interest rates will drive spending and fuel the growth of this sector. [The] $3-6 million shortage of housing is real and means good things for the sector.”

Commodities — Michael E. Chadwick, CFP and founder at Fiscal Wisdom Wealth Management

“The public needs to understand capital is slowing [and] rotating away from stocks to hard assets. While the world chases seven stocks and crypto, the next cycle will favor hard assets and the most richly valued things today will take the biggest bath. Index funds, popular mutual funds, ETFs that are passive, and lifestyle funds are the most dangerous things to own today and will likely see massive falls followed by upswings.

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I like the commodity complex in general — precious metals No. 1, miners No. 2, critical metals No. 3, energy No. 4, [hard commodities like energy, gold and silver] and Latin America is also very attractive. I like them because they’re out of favor, undervalued and have been ignored. The whole world is chasing AI, tech and crypto, so some amazing opportunities exist in boring areas. This is where the real money will be made in the next cycle.”

Utilities and industrials — Doug Beath, global equity strategist at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute

“We continue to be very positive on the AI buildout and believe we’re closer to the early innings of the cycle than the end, but are also cognizant of valuations. We downgraded the technology sector to neutral several months ago and now favor the ancillary trends related to AI but with better valuations such as utilities with the data centers, and industrials to help build out those data centers.

Financials also have a favorable AI-related theme in terms of financing and M&A activity — and seem particularly oversold so far in 2026. At some point, we could overweight technology again if there’s a pullback or market conditions changed. This leads to another theme we’re recommending to clients this year, and that is prepare to ‘be nimble.’”

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