Finance
Financial experts reveal how Americans can prepare for the possibility of a recession
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Financial experts are revealing how Americans can prepare for the possibility of a recession with concerns about the economy.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday indicated that interest rate cuts could come soon, telling Kansas City Fed’s symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyo., “The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook and the balance of risks.”
Chris Markowski, of Markowski Investments, told Fox News Digital that Americans should not buy into the hype or “fear” of recessions. Instead, they should look at it as a “housecleaning” opportunity where they can make necessary cutbacks and come out stronger than before.
“I think many Americans right now feel that they’re in a recession already,” Markowski said. “Their buying power has been, in essence — it’s gone away, based upon inflation and money and what it can buy them, what they’re paying for groceries or what they’re paying for cars and what they’re paying for the bare necessities of life.”
US PRODUCER PRICES RISE LESS THAN EXPECTED IN JULY
In this photo illustration, one and five dollar bills seen on display. (Photo Illustration by Igor Golovniov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Imagehoto Illustration by Igor Golovniov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images) / Getty Images)
Markowski advised investors not to panic when it comes to their portfolios and avoid attempting to time the market. When Americans hit slow times, they can cut back on what they do not need and come out stronger due to their new efficiencies.
David Peters, from Peters Tax Preparation & Consulting PC, said Americans must look at their spending to prepare for a potential recession, must not stop saving for retirement, and try not to take out large loans.
“Where is your money going?” he asked. “Are there places where you need to tighten your belt? You should take a look at your budget and figure out how to still make room in it for savings — even in the midst of rising costs. Make sure that you have an emergency account that is funded (three months of expenses is ideal).”
“As I have told many clients, the most important thing is to have perspective,” Peters added. “We have been through economic ups and downs in the past (and a pandemic most recently). We just need to cut spending where we can and continue to save. These hard times will pass too.”
Al Lord, of Lexerd Capital Management, encouraged Americans “looking to buy a home or continue renting” to “prioritize maintaining stable employment and ensure that housing costs stay below 30% of their monthly income.”
“It’s important to review expenses, create a realistic budget, and have a contingency plan in place in case job security becomes uncertain,” he said.
Andrew Van Alstyne, from Fiduciary Financial Advisors, told Fox News Digital that ideally Americans would want to increase their liquidity amid the uncertainty.
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“That means ensuring you’re able to cover anywhere from six to 12 months of expenses without changing your lifestyle,” Van Alstyne said. “The first source of funds should be in an emergency fund sitting savings account (usually three to six months of expenses). The next source of funds would be in a brokerage account (non-retirement investment account) and would draw down on cash, then investments that are easily traded (liquid). Do not take loans or cash-out retirement accounts unless it’s RMDs or a previously established withdrawal strategy in retirement. Lastly, cut back (not necessarily eliminate) unnecessary expenses until the economy balances out and we know what best next steps are.”
Self-made multi-millionaire John Cerasani, who built his company during a recession, told Fox News Digital that “there are opportunities for entrepreneurs to emerge in recession-proof industries.”
“Focusing on services related to higher education institutions is an example of an industry that typically thrives during a recession,” he explained.
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Guild Investment Management’s Tony Danaher advised Americans to “hold off on high-ticket purchases, lock down and extend employment contracts (or make yourself invaluable) and save.”
“Consider less market and economic sensitive investments,” Danaher added. “If needed, put off retiring if worried about income.”
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Finance
PBOC’s Pan Says Financial Risks in Key Areas are Being Resolved
![PBOC’s Pan Says Financial Risks in Key Areas are Being Resolved PBOC’s Pan Says Financial Risks in Key Areas are Being Resolved](https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/iA3aB4uXQcXY/v0/1200x800.jpg)
China’s central bank chief said financial risks in key areas are being resolved in an orderly manner, while stressing the importance of stabilizing expectations and boosting confidence to ensure economic recovery.
The government will encourage financial institutions to increase support for weak links or in key areas, satisfy “reasonable” consumer financing demands in a more targeted manner and study measures to enhance the coordination of macro policies, People’s Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng said in an interview with state broadcaster China Central Television that aired Saturday.
Finance
Analysts: China-Russia financial cooperation raises red flag
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China and Russia agreed to expand their economic cooperation using a planned banking system, which analysts say is aimed at supporting their militaries and undermining U.S.-led global order.
The two countries issued a joint communiqué agreeing “to strengthen and develop the payment and settlement infrastructure,” including “opening corresponding accounts and establishing branches and subsidiary banks in two countries” to facilitate “smooth” payment in trade.
The communiqué was issued when Chinese Premier Li Qiang met with Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin in Moscow on Wednesday, Russian news agency Tass reported the following day.
At the meeting, Mishustin said, “Western countries are imposing illegitimate sanctions under far-fetched pretext, or, to put it simply, engaging in unfair competition,” according to a Russian government transcript.
Mishustin also noted the use of their national currencies “has also expanded, with the share of roubles and RMB in mutual payments exceeding 95%,” as the two have strengthened cooperation on investment, economy and trade.
Li and Mishustin signed more than a dozen agreements on Tuesday on economic, investment and transport cooperation. Li was making a state visit to Moscow at the invitation of Mishustin.
David Asher, a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute, said, “This meeting between the Russians and the Chinese is important because it’s getting into a much widening aperture of cooperation” that would have “a bigger military dimension,” threatening U.S. national security.
Asher added that their bilateral cooperation could lead to “Russia’s assistance to China in the Pacific and the South China Sea” in return for Beijing’s support for Moscow’s economy and industry that aid Russia’s war efforts in Ukraine, “in defiance of the U.S.”
A spokesperson for the State Department told VOA Korean on Thursday that the U.S. is “concerned about PRC [People’s Republic of China] support for rebuilding Russia’s defense industrial base, particularly the provision of dual-use goods like tools, microelectronics and other equipment.”
The spokesperson continued: “The PRC cannot claim to be a neutral party while at the same time rebuilding Russia’s defense industrial base and contributing to the greatest threat to European security.”
“China is Putin’s only lifeline,” said Edward Fishman, an adjunct professor at Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs who helped the State Department design international sanctions in response to Russia’s aggression in Ukraine.
“Chinese firms have taken advantage of Russia’s weak bargaining position and cut a slew of favorable deals,” Fishman said. “But these deals have more than just commercial significance. They keep Putin’s war machine going.”
The U.S. Treasury Department on Friday imposed sanctions on more than 400 entities and individuals that support Russia’s war efforts in Ukraine, including Chinese firms that it said were helping Moscow evade Western sanctions by shipping machine tools and microelectronics.
In response to a China-Russia plan to set up a financial system to facilitate trade, U.S. Deputy Treasury Secretary Wally Adeyemo told the Financial Times that Washington “will go after the branch they’re setting up” and the countries that let them.
Analysts said China and Russia could increasingly turn to alternative methods of payments to evade sanctions.
Russia in June suspended trading in dollars and euros in the Moscow Exchange, in response to a round of sanctions the U.S. had issued targeting Russia’s largest stock exchange. The move by Russia prohibits banks, companies and investors from trading in either currency through a central exchange.
Shortly before Russia invaded Ukraine, the U.S. cut big Russian banks off from the U.S. dollar, the preferred currency in global business transactions.
“There is clearly a desire in both Moscow and Beijing to build financial and trade connections that operate beyond the reach of U.S.-led sanctions,” said Tom Keatinge, director of the Center for Finance and Security at the London-based Royal United Service Institute.
“This includes the development of non-U.S. dollar payment and settlement mechanisms and a wider ‘insulated’ payment system that allows other countries in their orbit to avoid U.S. sanctions,” he continued.
Other possible methods of payments could involve central bank digital currencies as well as cryptocurrencies and stable coins, Keatinge added.
The Chinese yuan replaced the dollar as Russia’s most traded currency in 2023, when the U.S. imposed sanctions on a few banks in Russia that could still trade across the border in dollars, according to Maia Nikoladze, an associate director of the Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center, in a June report.
Nikoladze told VOA that transactions made in renminbi and in rubles allowed Moscow to mitigate the effects of sanctions until Washington in December 2023 created an authority to apply secondary sanctions on foreign banks that transacted with Russian entities.
“Since then, Russia has struggled to collect oil payments from China,” with some transactions delayed “up to six months,” even as Moscow found a way to process transactions through Russian bank branches in China, Nikoladze said.
According to an article this month from Newsweek, the Russian newspaper Izvestia reported that as many as 98% of Chinese banks are refusing Chinese yuan payments from Russia.
Hudson Institute’s Asher said even more critical than the Russian use of yuan is the use of U.S. dollars in Beijing-Moscow transactions through the Hong Kong Monetary Authority’s Clearinghouse Automated Transfer Settlement System (CHATS), a payment system used by banks such as HSBC that trade “hundreds of billions of dollars a year.”
“It can settle transactions in a way that is not visible to the U.S. government,” Asher said. “I’m talking about U.S. dollar reserves that are not in the United States, that are not controlled by the U.S. government, that we don’t have good visibility on, and Hong Kong is providing that financial service.”
The Hong Kong government has said it does not implement unilateral sanctions but enforces U.N. sanctions at the urging of China, according to Reuters.
William Pomeranz, an expert on Russian political and economic developments at the Wilson Center, said that despite Beijing’s and Moscow’s talk this week about financial and economic cooperation, “China does not want to get onto the bad side of European and American markets” and will not risk its economic ties with the West “just to help Russia in a problem that, quite frankly, is of Russia’s own making.”
Finance
Livingston County Sheriff's Office accused of breaking campaign finance law by hosting Trump visit
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HOWELL, Mich. (WXYZ) — The Michigan Bureau of Elections is now investigating allegations that the Livingston County Sheriff’s Office violated the state’s Campaign Finance Act by hosting former President Donald Trump this week.
On Tuesday Livingston County Sheriff Michael Murphy and his department hosted Trump for a “press conference,” but thousands of residents online took issue saying they found it largely inappropriate.
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Now we’re learning it may also be against Michigan law.
“Folks tend to be very very passionate about politics,” said Sheriff Michael J. Murphy in a Facebook video he posted previewing the event.
7 News Detroit reached out to Research Professor Emeritus at The Center for Political Studies at the University of Michigan, Michael Traugott, to ask if he has ever heard of a sheriff’s department doing something like this in the past.
Traugott responded, “Well it’s not very common because of the fact that it’s illegal.”
He’s referring to the Michigan Campaign Finance Act which says “public body or a person acting for a public body shall not use or authorize the use of funds, personnel, office space, computer hardware or software, property, stationery, postage, vehicles, equipment, supplies, or other public resources” to support political candidates.
7 News Detroit reached out the Sheriff Murphy asking for an interview and he gave our team the following statement, “I don’t believe I violated the Campaign Finance Act. I welcome the investigation.”
Traugott said Sheriff Murphy has been found guilty of breaking campaign finance laws before in 2018 and was fined $100 to the state and another $100 to the county.
“Which is essentially just a slap on the wrist and, obviously, didn’t dissuade him from doing this again,” said Traugott.
The controversy comes as on August 7 JD Vance held an event at the Shelby Township Police Department to “deliver remarks.”
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Traugott said he believes these events are being called “remarks” and “press conferences” to avoid being labeled political events.
He added that if Sheriff Murphy is found in violation of the Michigan Campaign Finance Act there is a fine of up to $1,000 and, “In the end, the voters will have to decide how they feel about this because he’s an elected official.”
Once a determination in the investigation is made, it will be made public here.
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