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CFOs spend more time on long-term planning in an age of uncertainty, McKinsey finds

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CFOs spend more time on long-term planning in an age of uncertainty, McKinsey finds

Good morning. Finance chiefs are starting to look beyond short-term concerns in a way they haven’t in previous years, according to new McKinsey research. Emerging risks to their companies’ growth and a focus on strategy require their attention and management.

“I think CFOs continue to deal with a lot on their plate,” Ankur Agrawal, a partner in McKinsey’s New York office, and co-author of the report, told me. “So in many ways, this survey is consistent with the expanding challenge of the CFO role.”

Supply chain disruptions, weak demand, geopolitics, and also technology disruption are among the challenges finance chiefs say need to be addressed. Fifty-five percent of CFOs surveyed pointed to long-term planning and resource allocation as a top priority for finance, up from 30% in Q1 2023. And 60% now say strategic planning is a top priority, compared to 38% who said the same last year, according to the report.

It’s not that managing the short term has become easier for CFOs. There’s still uncertainty in the macro environment. But there’s a bit “more confidence on visibility in the near term,” Agrawal said. “The variables are more understood than not.” 

McKinsey research also points to challenges with implementing technology. Nearly all respondents (98%) say their finance functions have invested in digitization and automation, and believe that gen AI has the potential to create value. However, the majority of CFOs surveyed say just one-quarter or less of their processes were digitized or automated in the past 12 months. And less than half of respondents say they currently have their finance processes automated.

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What is causing the slow pace? “I think the biggest challenge and roadblock is, honestly, talent,” Agrawal said.  

More than limitations due to infrastructure, tools, and data, CFOs say the main hurdle is finding finance professionals who can really leverage and deploy these advanced technologies, he said. 

Another finding is that CFOs are twice as likely than in Q1 2023 to predict their companies’ investment levels will remain unchanged—a departure from the past two surveys, when CFOs predicted an increase in investment. Why does Agrawal think there’s a hesitation in investments? With elections in the U.S. and in other parts of the world and economic volatility still a concern, “you can call it cautious steering,” he said.

Sheryl Estrada
sheryl.estrada@fortune.com

Leaderboard

Aaron Rosenberg was named CFO at BeiGene, Ltd. (Nasdaq: BGNE), a global oncology company, effective July 22. Rosenberg will succeed Julia Wang, who is departing to pursue external opportunities and will stay with the company through August. Rosenberg has more than 20 years of experience at Merck & Co., Inc., most recently serving as SVP and corporate treasurer. He also held roles such as SVP of corporate strategy and planning and VP and finance lead of Merck Animal Health. 

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Logan Powell, global president and CFO at Puttshack, a provider of tech-infused mini-golf venues, was promoted to CEO, effective immediately. Powell succeeds Joe Vrankin, who oversaw the company’s growth in the U.K. as CEO and subsequently brought the concept to the U.S. in 2021. Powell and Vrankin have collaborated on this transition, as Vrankin will be moving on from the company. Powell has served as CFO since 2019. Before joining Puttshack, he was a partner at Copper Beech Capital, LLC.

Big Deal

Don’t drown in data debt; champion your Data First culture is a new report released by HFS Research, a global research and analysis firm, in partnership with Syniti, a data management provider. More than 80% of enterprise leaders say that effective data management significantly drives the top line, bottom line, and shareholder value. However, over 40% of their organizational data is unusable and is not trusted, according to the report.

“Many business leaders still take a backseat when setting key data objectives, causing data to remain siloed across departments, and resulting in misaligned expectations across IT and business professionals,” Phil Fersht, CEO and chief analyst, HFS Research, said in a statement. The findings are based on interviews of more than 300 Global 2000 business leaders (49% from the U.S.) across industries to find out how organizations are navigating a complex landscape of data management.

Going deeper

“Here’s how Wall Street and business leaders are reacting to Biden’s exit from the presidential race” is a new report by Fortune’s Jason Ma, in light of President Joe Biden’s announcement on Sunday that he won’t seek reelection. For example, Gina Bolvin, president of Bolvin Wealth Management Group said in a statement: “Biden stepping down is a whole new level of political uncertainty.”

Overheard

“One mistake has had catastrophic results. This is a great example of how closely tied to IT our modern society is—from coffee shops to hospitals to airports, a mistake like this has massive ramifications.”

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—Nick Hyatt, director of threat intelligence at security firm Blackpoint Cyber, told CNBC in an interview regarding the botched software update from the cybersecurity company CrowdStrike on Friday that caused a global IT outage.

This is the web version of CFO Daily, a newsletter on the trends and individuals shaping corporate finance. Sign up for free.

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Hong Kong reasserts role as safe haven in global finance amid Iran conflict

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Hong Kong reasserts role as safe haven in global finance amid Iran conflict
The US-Israeli war on Iran has unleashed sharp swings across global energy and financial markets, fuelling demand for safe-haven assets, with Hong Kong emerging as a potential beneficiary across gold, property and capital markets. In the third of a three-part series, we look at Hong Kong’s position as a stable base where demand for property has held firm despite the global turmoil.

The seven-week military conflict in the Middle East will redefine Hong Kong’s role as a global financial centre, positioning the city as a safe harbour for capital and investments.

Anecdotal evidence suggested that more banks had turned to Hong Kong to protect their businesses and committed themselves to expanding their presence in the city. At the same time, inquiries about adding allocations of mainland Chinese assets among global investors had recently increased, potentially enlarging the customer base for the city’s asset-management industry and family offices and driving demand for offshore yuan-linked financial products.

For years, Hong Kong’s status as a financial centre in the Asia-Pacific region has been challenged by Dubai, which has risen to prominence as a gateway linking Asia and Europe in capital flows, transport and logistics. With the war destabilising the Middle East – at one point forcing the closure of the Dubai International Airport and sending stocks in the Gulf region plunging – Hong Kong has re-emerged due to its geographical location, a pegged exchange rate, free capital flows and support from China’s economic strength.

“In that context, China and Hong Kong are attracting renewed attention,” said Gary Dugan, CEO of The Global CIO Office in Dubai, which advises family offices and ultra-high-net-worth individuals globally. “There is growing interest among some clients in increasing exposure to China and Hong Kong. It is less a simple flight to safety and more a reassessment of where investors see relative value, policy consistency and long-term strategic opportunity.”

Dubai now relies on trade, tourism and finance as the pillars of its economy, reflecting the success of its four-decade diversification away from oil for sustained growth. The United Arab Emirates city is home to Jebel Ali Free Zone, the biggest free-trade zone in the Middle East, and the second-largest stock market in the region, with combined market values of US$1.01 trillion. The city, also a global hub for gold trading, has a population of 4 million, about 80 per cent of which are foreign expatriates. Dubai’s economy grew by 4.7 per cent in the January-to-September period last year.

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Budget crisis is top concern for MPS leader Cassellius | Opinion

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Budget crisis is top concern for MPS leader Cassellius | Opinion


Before seeking a new referendum MPS needs to rebuild trust in the community through completing state audits, putting in place controls to prevent overspending and routine reports to the public.

For MPS Superintendent Brenda Cassellius, who just wrapped up her first year leading Milwaukee’s public school system, her tenure has been punctuated by some very big numbers.

The first is $252 million. That is the amount of new spending voters narrowly approved in an April 2024 referendum to support operations in Wisconsin’s largest school district. Just months later, MPS was rocked by revelations the district was months behind in filing key financial reports to the state, which led to former Superintendent Keith Posley’s resignation.

The second is $1 billion. MPS faces a deferred maintenance backlog exceeding $1 billion. The district’s enrollment has declined 30% over the last 30 years, leaving many schools at less than 50% full. That, in part, is driving a plan to close some schools and to improve others to help lower costs.

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The final is $46 million, the deficit MPS was running for the 2024-25 school year, an unexpected shortfall which has led to hundreds of staff layoffs.

Getting the district’s accounting, budgeting and financial reporting back on track has dominated Cassellius’s first year at MPS. In an April 15 interview with the Journal Sentinel’s editorial board, she talked in detail about the challenges putting that into order and progress she sees in restoring transparency into its operations.

State funding and aging buildings create budget nightmares

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Cassellius says state needs to keep up its share of school funding

In an interview with the Journal Sentinel editorial board, MPS leader Brenda Cassellius says budgets and buildings are her two top worries.

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Cassellius said the on-going budget crisis is her top concern. She said the state’s failure to live up to its share of funding is exacerbating MPS’ budget woes. A group of school districts, teachers and parents filed suit against the state Legislature and its Joint Finance Committee claiming the current state funding system is unconstitutional and prevents schools from meeting students’ educational needs.

Funding for special education is especially critical. About 20% of MPS students have disabilities, almost twice the share of the city’s charter schools, and the average of 14% across Wisconsin.

“What’s keeping me up now, you know, is really just the budget crisis we’re in, with not only this year but multiple years going out without additional state aid, we’ve been not getting funding for what our needs are for our students, and particularly our students with special needs,” she said.

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Although the state budget increased special education funding to a 42% reimbursement rate, the actual rate has been about 35%. Another component to the budget headache is the age of MPS buildings. The average age is 85 years-old compared to 45 across the nation.

“We have just kicked this can down the curb or kicked it down the street or whatever you call it for too long. And it’s time that we really take on a serious conversation about the conditions of the learning environments in which we send our children,” she said. “Particularly in Milwaukee Public Schools, we serve the most vulnerable children. Children who have language barriers, children who have disabilities, children in high-concentrated poverty.”

What needs to happen before MPS seeks another referendum

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Voters need to be comfortable MPS has made tough budget decisions

In an interview with Journal Sentinel editorial board, Brenda Cassellius said voters will need to see budget improvements before seeking more spending

Cassellius said MPS will definitely need to go back to voters for a new referendum in the future. In addition to the 2024 measure, voters approved an $87 million plan in 2020.

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Before doing that, she said the district first needs to rebuild trust in the community through completing required state audits, putting into place controls to prevent overspending and routine reports to the school board and public about finances.

“I don’t think that the voters are going to want us to bring something forward until they feel comfortable that we have done the cleanup that is necessary,” she said. “And we’ve built the trust that we have the sufficient controls in place.”

In the interim, she’s hoping the state will meet its constitutional responsibility to adequately fund public schools.

“What the public expects is you know where the money is, you’re spending it as close as you can to children, you’re getting good on the promise around art, music, and PE, and the things the public said they wanted to fund,” Cassellius said. “And they want their kids to have so that they have a quality education and an excellent education in Milwaukee Public Schools, and that they had the right amount of staff that they actually need. In the school to be safe and to run a good operation.”

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Rebuilding finance staff in wake of $46 million in overspending

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MPS is rebuilding school finance staff in wake of reporting lapses

In an interview with the Journal Sentinel editorial board April 15, MPS superintendent discusses accountability for district’s financial problems.

The $46 million budget shortfall from the 2024-25 school year started coming into view last fall and was confirmed in mid-January. Cassellius noted that in addition to hiring a new superintendent, MPS also parted ways with its comptroller and CFO.

“We are really rebuilding the personnel and staff of the finance department. That is what’s critical, is having the right people in the right seats doing the work,” she said. “Also critical is making sure that you have the right controls in place. The audit findings found that we did not have proper controls in place and now we have those proper controls in place and when we find things we put new SOPs in place and that is what any business does.”

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Identifying that shortfall, though painful, was the result of better accounting.

“Being three years behind in auditing means that you don’t have full sight on your actual revenues and expenditures. And so we have now full sight of our revenues and our expenditures and that’s why we were able to see this new deficit of $46 million,” she said. “And we still continue to work with DPI on those processes to make sure that every month we’re doing monthly to actuals and doing those accounting, reporting that to the board. In a way that is consumable to the public that they can understand.”

Jim Fitzhenry is the Ideas Lab Editor/Director of Community Engagement for the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Reach him at jfitzhen@gannett.com or 920-993-7154.

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Psychological shift unfolds in soft Aussie housing market: ‘Vendors feel pressure’

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Psychological shift unfolds in soft Aussie housing market: ‘Vendors feel pressure’
Is it becoming a buyers market? (Source: Getty)

Property markets move in cycles, and with interest rates rising and other pressures like high fuel costs, some markets are clearly slowing down. Many first-home buyers who have only ever seen markets going up are conditioned to think that when purchasing, competition is always intense and decisions need to be made quickly.

In those times, buyers often feel they need to act fast, stretch their budget and secure a property at almost any cost. But things have definitely changed.

In a softer market, the dynamic shifts. Properties take longer to sell, competition thins, and it’s the vendors who begin to feel pressure.

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For buyers who understand how to navigate that change, the balance of power quickly moves in their favour. The opportunity is not simply to buy at a lower price. It is to negotiate from a position of strength.

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If that’s you right now, these are the key skills first-home buyers need to take advantage of in softer market conditions.

The most important shift in a soft market is psychological. In a rising market, buyers often feel like they are competing for limited opportunities. In a softer market, the opposite is true. There are more properties available, fewer active buyers and less urgency overall. This gives buyers options.

When buyers understand that they are not competing with multiple parties on every property, their decision-making improves. They are more willing to walk away, compare opportunities and avoid overpaying. Negotiation strength comes from not needing to transact immediately. When that pressure is removed, buyers are able to engage more strategically.

One of the most common mistakes first-home buyers make is continuing to apply strategies that only work in rising markets. Auction urgency is a clear example. In strong markets, auctions often attract multiple bidders and create competitive tension. In softer conditions, properties are more likely to pass in, shifting the process away from a public bidding environment into a private negotiation.

This is where leverage increases.

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Private negotiations allow buyers to introduce conditions that protect their position. These may include finance clauses, longer settlement periods or price adjustments based on due diligence. Opportunities that are rarely available in competitive markets become standard in softer ones.

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