Connect with us

Crypto

Will Bitcoin Repeat History? On-Chain Data Suggests a Q4 Breakout: CryptoQuant

Published

on

Will Bitcoin Repeat History? On-Chain Data Suggests a Q4 Breakout: CryptoQuant

Historical data shows bitcoin (BTC) performing well in the fourth quarters of previous bull cycles, especially in halving years. Current on-chain data indicates that the leading cryptocurrency is following previous patterns and is on track to another remarkable Q4.

A report by the market analytics platform CryptoQuant revealed that bitcoin’s price rally in the coming weeks could be sustainable because demand for the asset is recovering and growing at the fastest monthly pace since April.Bitcoin in Positive Seasonal Performance

During bitcoin’s seasonal performance in the halving years of 2012, 2016, and 2020, the cryptocurrency increased by 9%, 59%, and 171%, respectively, in their fourth quarters. CryptoQuant analysts found that BTC is behaving very similarly to patterns seen in 2016 and 2020.

This positive performance is driven by the spike in apparent demand for BTC, which recorded a monthly growth of 177,000 BTC last week, its largest reading since April. Apparent demand refers to the difference between BTC production (mining issuance) and changes in its inventory (supply inactive for more than a year). This metric reached 496,000 BTC in early April, shortly after BTC rallied above $72,000 in March.

The surge in this metric preceded an over 5% rally in the price of BTC. The cryptocurrency touched a ten-week high of $68,100 earlier this week and was changing hands at $67,900 at the time of writing.Demand Is Growing

Advertisement

Furthermore, the rise in BTC demand can be seen in the increased purchases of United States spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These products have been netbuyingroughly 8,000 BTC recently, their highest daily purchase since July 21.

Large bitcoin investors (whales) are also expanding their holdings, with their balancesgrowingby 670,000 BTC yearly. Additionally, the growth of whale holdings stands above its 365-day moving average, which is considered a positive sign for prices.

CryptoQuant says the expansion of bitcoin’s apparent demand is necessary for BTC to surge sustainably to record highs. Historical data shows how positive and growing apparent demand led BTC price rallies in 2020-2021 and earlier this year. Apparent demand in those cases peaked at 490,000-550,000 BTC; however, current demand stands at 177,000 BTC. Hence, there is more room for growth.

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Crypto

Beaver County bitcoin mining permit upheld by land tribunal after noise concerns

Published

on

Beaver County bitcoin mining permit upheld by land tribunal after noise concerns

A bitcoin mining operation has been allowed to keep its development permit after concerns were raised about noise pollution.

The Beaver County project by Calgary-based MAGA Energy proposes two sea can containers of computers powered by four generators drawing from a natural gas well on site. The computers would operate 24 hours a day, seven days a week, running data algorithms to create cryptocurrency.

The facility would be located on a rural property 55 kilometres southeast of Edmonton.

The Beaver County Development Authority approved a development permit for the project. Notifications from MAGA were sent to property owners within 1,500 metres and nine adjacent owners by the development authority but no concerns were raised as a result.

However, a property owner beyond the notification area appealed the approval. Noise from an existing similar development 600 metres from the owner was creating a nuisance and they were concerned the proposed development would cause similar problems.

Advertisement

The Alberta Utilities Commission sets out permissible sound levels depending on population density and proximity to transportation, ranging from 40 to 60 decibels. The appellant argued the permissible sound level of 40 dB is excessive in a rural area and a lower limit should be used.

A Dec. 20 decision from the Alberta Land and Property Rights Tribunal upheld the permit approval.

“The predicted noise level of the generators is substantially below the threshold set by the AUC. No evidence was presented to suggest otherwise,” it reads.

“The generators incorporate some noise reduction features in their design, and additional mitigation features can be added if required.”

According to submissions from MAGA, the theoretical noise levels for eight residents ranged from around 19 to 25 dB.

Advertisement

The permit approval included a number of conditions, including around monitoring and potential sound mitigation. The project is also subject to Beaver County noise control bylaw.

During the appeal, the development authority reconsidered its position and was concerned about potential inaccuracies in noise calculations. It submitted revised conditions for consideration, including a new condition for the permit to be temporary for 18 months.

The well is projected to support natural gas to the generators for two to three years.

The tribunal added one condition: a five-year time limit.

The tribunal found that the five-year time limit would allow MAGA to “exhaust the resource in their estimated time frame,” and would enable the development authority to look at the operation’s impact.

Advertisement

The tribunal noted MAGA is still responsible for all other applicable permits and approvals required for the project from the appropriate authorities.

Continue Reading

Crypto

Crypto-linked stocks pop as 2025 kicks off (Cryptocurrency:BTC-USD)

Published

on

Crypto-linked stocks pop as 2025 kicks off (Cryptocurrency:BTC-USD)
Jan. 02, 2025 6:01 AM ETBitcoin USD (BTC-USD) CryptoMSTR, RIOT, HIVE, MARA, CLSK, COIN, HUT, BTBT, BITF, CIFRBy: Sinchita Mitra, SA News Editor

MicroStockHub/E+ via Getty Images

Crypto-linked stocks were higher in premarket trade on Thursday, as traders hope 2025 to be a robust year for cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin (BTC-USD), which breached the $100K mark in 2024, is poised to have a strong year, boosted by expectations that President-elect Donald

Continue Reading

Crypto

'Disturbing surge in cryptocurrency fraud' led by young, tech-savvy Nigerian men

Published

on

'Disturbing surge in cryptocurrency fraud' led by young, tech-savvy Nigerian men
Bitcoin fraud trap

(© OlegD – stock.adobe.com)

New research shows 55% of cases involve American victims

SURREY, England — In an eye-opening study that sheds new light on the evolving landscape of digital financial crime, researchers have uncovered a striking pattern in Nigerian cryptocurrency fraud: all convicted perpetrators are male, and nearly two-thirds are under 30 years old. This revelation comes from recent research conducted through an unprecedented collaboration between academic institutions and Nigeria’s Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC).

The study arrives at a critical moment in global digital finance. Nigeria has emerged as the third-largest player in Bitcoin transactions globally, trailing only Russia and the United States, with cryptocurrency transactions reaching approximately $400 million. This surge in digital currency adoption reflects both opportunity and risk in Africa’s most populous nation, where only 36.8% of adults have access to traditional banking services.

“Our research reveals a disturbing surge in cryptocurrency fraud,” says study lead author Dr. Suleman Lazarus, a cybercrime expert at the University of Surrey, in a statement. “We’re observing a rising generation of young, tech-savvy male offenders who adeptly exploit digital platforms and cryptocurrencies to perpetrate high-stakes fraud.”

The research, published in Current Issues in Criminal Justice, reveals a clear geographical targeting pattern, with 55% of cases involving American victims. This international reach demonstrates how digital currencies have transformed the scope and scale of financial crimes, enabling fraudsters to operate across borders with unprecedented ease.

Advertisement

What makes these findings particularly intriguing is the fraudsters’ educational background. Despite the technical nature of cryptocurrency transactions, only a quarter of convicted fraudsters held university degrees, challenging assumptions about the expertise required for such crimes.

The digital toolbox of these fraudsters primarily consists of mainstream social media platforms. Facebook emerged as the preferred platform, used in 27% of cases, followed by Gmail at 22% and Instagram at 14%. These familiar platforms serve as hunting grounds where fraudsters establish trust before executing their schemes.

The financial scale of these operations is staggering. While some cases involved modest sums around $1,000, others reached heights of $475,000 in cash, with one case involving 1,200 Bitcoin – approximately $81.96 million. These figures underscore the lucrative nature of cryptocurrency fraud and its potential for devastating financial impact.

Bitcoin dominates as the preferred cryptocurrency for fraudulent activities, featuring in 46% of cases. This preference likely stems from Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and the relative anonymity it provides, presenting significant challenges for law enforcement in tracking and recovering stolen funds.

“As cryptocurrencies continue to gain popularity, our research serves as a wake-up call for law enforcement agencies, policymakers, and the general public to remain vigilant against the evolving threats in the digital financial landscape,” warns Dr. Lazarus.

Advertisement

The study illustrates how Nigerian cybercrime has evolved from traditional advance-fee scams to sophisticated cryptocurrency operations, reflecting broader changes in global financial systems and highlighting criminal enterprises’ adaptability. In a digital age where cryptocurrency promises financial inclusion and opportunity, this research serves as a crucial reminder of the shadow economy emerging alongside legitimate digital finance.

Paper Summary

Methodology

The study employed a structured approach, examining court records and case files of convicted cryptocurrency fraudsters from two major EFCC commands in Nigeria. Researchers analyzed 22 cases, documenting the fraudsters’ methods, preferred platforms, victim locations, and financial gains. This approach provided verifiable data from official sources, though it necessarily focused only on cases that resulted in convictions.

Results

The findings paint a clear picture: all convicted fraudsters were male, predominantly under 30, with relatively low formal education levels. They primarily used social media platforms, with Facebook being the most common tool. Most targeted American victims, using Bitcoin as their preferred cryptocurrency. Financial gains varied significantly, demonstrating the range of schemes employed.

Limitations

The research faced several constraints. The sample size of 22 cases, while providing valuable insights, represents only convicted cases, potentially missing more sophisticated operators who evade detection. Additionally, the focus on two EFCC commands might not represent the entire country’s cryptocurrency fraud landscape.

Discussion and Takeaways

The research reveals an urgent need for international collaboration in combating cryptocurrency fraud. The predominance of young male offenders and their focus on American targets suggests a need for targeted intervention strategies and enhanced cross-border cooperation in law enforcement.

Advertisement

Funding and Disclosures

The study, conducted in collaboration with Nigeria’s EFCC, underwent ethical clearance from both the University of Portsmouth (clearance number 1110) and the EFCC. The research team reports no conflicts of interest, with one author’s EFCC employment providing valuable access to case files while maintaining ethical research standards.

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending