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How spot ether ETF launch may impact the broader crypto market (Cryptocurrency:ETH-USD)

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How spot ether ETF launch may impact the broader crypto market (Cryptocurrency:ETH-USD)

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Spot ethereum (ETH-USD) exchange-traded funds are expected to begin trading on Tuesday, July 23. The highly anticipated launch is poised to drive outsized gains in ether’s price, as many proponents have predicted, though crypto-market traders appear to be underestimating the full impact.

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Crypto

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization increased by 37.3% during the first half of 2024

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The total cryptocurrency market capitalization increased by 37.3% during the first half of 2024

With this growth, the firm estimated that the market reached approximately $2.27 trillion. This increase was mainly driven by a strong first quarter in 2024 and followed a robust performance in 2023.

The cryptocurrency and blockchain infrastructure provider, Binance, released its first semi-annual report for 2024, highlighting the growth of the crypto market. According to the firm’s research, the total cryptocurrency market capitalization experienced a 37.3% increase so far this year.

The report also emphasized Bitcoin’s performance compared to traditional assets. The cryptocurrency saw significant growth, fueled by key events like Bitcoin’s fourth halving and the approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States.

This approval generated over $14.7 billion in net inflows, contributing to a positive start for the cryptocurrency in 2024.

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Additionally, stablecoins, designed to maintain a stable value relative to a reference asset like fiat currency, reached a peak market capitalization of $161 billion. This marked a significant recovery, just 14.5% shy of the peak achieved in April 2022.

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Furthermore, the report highlighted emerging synergies between Artificial Intelligence (AI) and cryptocurrencies, noting that investors and the community maintained a strong interest in these technologies during the first half of 2024.

“The convergence of AI and crypto technologies is becoming increasingly evident, with AI leveraging the advantages of cryptocurrencies, enabling secure and direct transactions without intermediaries or reliance on a single entity,” the firm stated in a release.

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First Bitcoin and now ETH ETFs: Where is the market headed next?

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First Bitcoin and now ETH ETFs: Where is the market headed next?
ETH ETF products are expected to start trading this summer, fueling ongoing market optimism. Institutional market data provider Kaiko has released a report, projecting that Ethereum will outpace Bitcoin following the launch of spot Ether ETFs. The current conversation centers on whether Ethereum can reach $5,000 by the end of 2024.

This year, spot crypto ETFs have dominated market spaces, attracting billions from investors. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs on January 11 sparked renewed market optimism, paving the way for Ethereum. The success of Bitcoin products has increased investor interest in Ethereum, driving crypto prices to new highs.

Why is the market bullish about the future of Ethereum?

Just as the current web is the result of countless contributions from a diverse range of programmers, Ethereum is the product of the innovative efforts of thousands of individuals, each bringing unique ideas to the table. These pioneers are working tirelessly on various facets of blockchain technology, decentralized applications, smart contracts, and more. Their collective ingenuity and dedication are what drive Ethereum’s continuous evolution, making it a powerful, decentralized platform that is reshaping industries and paving the way for the future of digital finance and beyond.

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Traditional investors are increasingly drawn to Ethereum because of the smart contract functionality and the numerous decentralized applications (dApps) in its ecosystem. The Ethereum ecosystem hosts over 4,000 dApps and millions of smart contracts. With the growing adoption and utility of Layer 2 solutions within the Ethereum ecosystem, these figures are expected to increase significantly over the next few years.

According to the latest data, the total value locked (TVL) in Ethereum Layer 2 networks has surged to an all-time high of $47 billion, marking a tenfold increase since March this year. This milestone underscores the growing importance of Layer 2 solutions within the Ethereum ecosystem. Arbitrum One leads with a TVL of nearly $19 billion, followed by OP Mainnet and Base, each exceeding $6 billion. Other networks, including Blast, Mantle, Linea, and Starknet, also boast TVLs surpassing $1 billion.

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Can Ethereum reach $5,000 by the end of 2024?

The introduction of ETFs is pivotal as they attract institutional investors who bring substantial capital and a long-term investment outlook, thereby contributing to market stability. This influx is expected to significantly accelerate the growth of the asset class.The Bitcoin ETFs have already set a positive narrative in the market, with over $50 billion invested in 10 newly launched Bitcoin ETFs within five months of their introduction.Institutions already invested in Bitcoin ETFs are likely to diversify into these newly approved Ethereum ETFs. If Ethereum ETFs experience similar success, substantial institutional investments combined with bullish speculative trading could drive ETH prices to new all-time highs.

According to media sources, VanEck, a global fund manager, expressed optimism regarding the future potential of Ethereum Layer 2 networks. The firm forecasts that these networks could achieve a valuation exceeding $1 trillion by the year 2030.

Moreover, Ethereum’s upcoming Pectra upgrade, scheduled for Q1 2025, is anticipated to be a significant milestone for the network. This upgrade will further help Ethereum maintain its leadership in dApps and smart contracts, advancing the broader blockchain industry.

Building on the success of the Dencun upgrade, Pectra aims to enhance Ethereum’s efficiency and functionality through various Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs), notably EIP-3074. This proposal introduces features such as grouped transactions, allowing users to sign into a transaction only once regardless of its complexity, thereby improving transaction management and wallet usability. Furthermore, Pectra aims to streamline network operations, reduce transaction costs, and simplify complexities. A notable aspect of EIP-3074 is its “social recovery” feature, enabling users to recover access to their crypto wallets without relying on seed phrases.

Ethereum has been on a strong bullish trajectory, currently trading around $4,000. Its current momentum suggests it is well-positioned to sustain and potentially continue its upward rally.

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Overall positive signs for the crypto market

With the introduction of Bitcoin and ETH ETFs, the floodgates have opened for more crypto exchange-traded products, including the potential for a Solana-based ETF. This surge in Crypto ETFs marks a shift in perception, transitioning crypto from being perceived solely as a speculative asset to becoming a foundational element of investment portfolios.The increased involvement of financial institutions adds further credibility to crypto assets.

This broader acceptance is expected to drive mainstream adoption and reflects a maturing regulatory environment, which in turn contributes to legitimizing the entire digital asset space.

(The author Sumit Gupta is Co-founder, CoinDCX. Views are own)

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)

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Examining the impact of bitcoin's price cycle on HODLers and the cryptocurrency market

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Examining the impact of bitcoin's price cycle on HODLers and the cryptocurrency market

The currents of change are stirring in the world of Bitcoin and its impact on the HODLers has been profound. Over the course of this price cycle, speculators are finding that the worst performance is often marked with a dip in volume. There are implications to this trend that are worth delving into.

Bitcoin’s Crypto Landscape

The buzz within the cryptocurrency community largely centers on Bitcoin’s fluctuating price cycles. As the market molds itself around these changes, Bitcoin speculators have noted the considerable drop in volume.

The figures show that strikingly, traders are holding about 2.8 million Bitcoin. As the worst performing price cycle grips the crypto landscape, the reaction of hodlers is curious to observe. On surface, it might evoke skepticism regarding the faith of players in Bitcoin’s value. Yet, the underlying reasons and the surrounding context of this phenomenon can offer more comprehensive insights into the scenario.

What inherently stands out about Bitcoin’s tumultuous journey is the fluctuating patterns that seem to define its progress. These ebbs and flows in Bitcoin’s price make for an interesting trend analysis. Understanding such patterns can allow traders to better their trade game and make more refined investment decisions in the crypto market.

The HODLers’ Dilemma

One might wonder what holds the HODLers back from trading their shares given the suffocating circumstance of the price being on a downward spiral over the last few months. The simplest answer comes down to one’s belief in the potential of Bitcoin in the long run.

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HODL, an acronym for “Hold on for Dear Life” is predicated on the notion that despite the short-term volatility, the outcome in the long haul will yield positive results. By adhering to this approach, the hodlers implicitly express a firm commitment to Bitcoin’s future potential. They choose to hold on to their Bitcoin holdings with the expectation that the market conditions would improve, offering them lucrative trade opportunities.

This behavior presents a unique dichotomy in the crypto trading world- between short-term speculators who try to benefit from the price volatility, and the hodlers who wait in the wings, betting on the long-term potential of Bitcoin.

Though it might be easy to misinterpret this as a lack of faith in the asset’s potential, the HODLers’ stance offers an intriguing viewpoint on the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. By choosing to hold their Bitcoins even in the face of price dips, they project confidence in its long-term potential and resilience.

Through the fog of uncertainty, this can serve as a subtle yet powerful testament to Bitcoin’s capacity to bounce back and reclaim its place in the soaring skies of financial investment.

The tumultuous world of cryptocurrency as we know it is marred by its unpredictability. Yet, beneath this surface-level chaos, patterns emerge and so do philosophies guiding investment. The narrative of bitcoin’s price cycle and the quielty confident stance of the hodlers puts into perspective these underlying faiths. It offers a unique insight to how different players interpret and navigate this volatile landscape. It is a gentle reminder of the resilience of Bitcoin and is a testament to the faith that its investors place in it. As we tread onward, it would be interesting to see how this approach impacts the future of Bitcoins, its valuation and its recognition as a reliable asset in the complex world of finance.

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