Crypto
How spot ether ETF launch may impact the broader crypto market (Cryptocurrency:ETH-USD)
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Spot ethereum (ETH-USD) exchange-traded funds are expected to begin trading on Tuesday, July 23. The highly anticipated launch is poised to drive outsized gains in ether’s price, as many proponents have predicted, though crypto-market traders appear to be underestimating the full impact.
Indeed, as of Friday midafternoon trading, ether (ETH-USD) slipped 1.3% from a month ago. But it’s still up some 49% so far this year, amid a wider rally among major token prices. Its performance has been poor relative to peers in the current cycle, which Seeking Alpha analyst Richard Durant attributed to “competition, scaling problems or [tighter] monetary policy.”
In May, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved key regulatory requirements from prospective issuers of ETF investing directly into ether (ETH-USD). But the regulator still needs to approve the applicants’ S-1 registration filings in order for the products to go live. A number of investment giants, such as BlackRock (BLK), VanEck and Ark Investment Management, are all striving to gain the pivotal first-mover advantage in the race to introduce a spot ETH ETF.
“The launch of an ETH ETF would be a boost of validation to the crypto ecosystem at a time when the industry is trying to judge the potential impact of U.S. elections later this year,” said Darius Tabai, CEO of Vertex and former trader at Merrill Lynch and Credit Suisse.
Given the uncertainty around both developments, he added, “it feels like the market is not fully pricing in the impact of the ETF and that we could easily see gains of 25%+ on price if a spot ETF is approved.”
With ether’s (ETH-USD) status as the main smart contract platform in the crypto world, any post-approval price gains would likely more directly impact the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem, he said. “If a move is sustained, I would expect more of a potential halo effect for [alt coins] in contrast to the (BTC-USD) launch where alts really struggled to maintain a bid.”
Recall in January when Spot BTC ETFs debuted in the U.S. Since then, the price of bitcoin (BTC-USD) has jumped over 40%, a move partly driven by strong and persistent inflows (until recently) into such products.
Mara Schmiedt, ETH expert and CEO of Alluvial, laid out the key parallels and differences between the spot BTC and ETH launches. “While BTC spot ETF inflows hit a higher-than-expected ~$60 billion [assets under management] target in the U.S. this year, we can anticipate ETH ETF inflows to reach approximately 30% of BTC’s total market size, or ~$20 billion+ at current prices.”
She contended that inflows into ETH ETFs could amount to much more than $20B in the initial months post-launch, as they are expected to result in higher pricing sensitivity relative to BTC.
Aligning with Schmiedt’s assessment, ether-holding funds, once cleared for trading, will likely attract slower demand than spot BTC peers, partly due to the “lack of an ETH staking feature in the ETF,” Bernstein wrote in a June note.
While inflows are likely to support ether’s (ETH-USD) price, outflows from the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (OTCQX:ETHE) could initially put downward pressure on it, SA Analyst Durant warned. “A similar dynamic occurred with Bitcoin, where there was 6.5 billion USD of outflows from Grayscale in the first month. The fact that Ethereum ETFs will not offer staking rewards to investors may also limit their appeal.”
Crypto
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Crypto
Bitcoin and Ether ETFs Add Combined $443 Million in Strong Inflow Day
Key Takeaways:
- Bitcoin ETFs saw $358.17 million inflows on April 9, led by Blackrock IBIT, restoring momentum.
- Ether ETFs added $85.19 million as ETHA gained $90.94 million, showing selective but rising demand.
- XRP lost $661K while Solana saw no flows, suggesting capital is still fluctuating between altcoin ETFs.
Market Turns Decisively Positive for Bitcoin and Ether ETFs
No day is ever the same in the exchange-traded fund (ETF) market, and on Thursday, April 9, the tide turned again. This time, with force.
After a stretch of uneven flows and fading conviction, crypto ETFs snapped back into positive territory, delivering one of the week’s strongest sessions. The recovery was broad, decisive, and led by familiar names.
Bitcoin ETFs recorded a powerful $358.17 million in net inflows, marking a clean reversal from the prior day’s losses. Notably, every major fund contributed, and no outflows were recorded.
Blackrock’s IBIT once again dominated the field, pulling in $269.34 million, roughly three-quarters of total inflows. The scale of that contribution underscored its continued role as the market’s anchor. Fidelity’s FBTC followed with a solid $53.33 million, while Morgan Stanley’s newly launched MSBT added $14.87 million, building on its early momentum.
Further support came from Bitwise’s BITB with $11.73 million, Ark & 21Shares’ ARKB at $4.78 million, Vaneck’s HODL with $2.04 million, and Franklin’s EZBC at $2.08 million. Trading volume reached $1.99 billion, and net assets climbed to $93.29 billion.
Ether ETFs mirrored the rebound, though with a more mixed internal picture. The group posted $85.19 million in net inflows, driven by strong demand for select funds.
Blackrock’s ETHA led with $90.94 million, while its ETHB product added another $13.67 million, continuing its steady rise in investor preference. Grayscale’s Ether Mini Trust contributed $9.67 million.
Yet selling pressure persisted elsewhere. Fidelity’s FETH recorded a $20.98 million outflow, followed by 21Shares’ TETH with $5.53 million. Smaller outflows were seen in Franklin’s EZET at $1.68 million and Grayscale’s ETHE at $900,440. Despite these exits, inflows held firm. Trading volume came in at $831.08 million, with net assets closing at $12.69 billion.
Outside the majors, activity was limited. XRP ETFs posted a modest $661,160 outflow, entirely from 21Shares’ TOXR. Trading volume stood at $11.03 million, with net assets at $955.13 million.
Solana ETFs remained inactive for the session, with no recorded flows. Net assets held steady at $803.03 million.
The broader pattern is becoming clearer. Capital is returning, but it is concentrated. Investors are favoring scale, liquidity, and established names, particularly in bitcoin and select ether products. The market is not fully stable, but confidence is rebuilding in visible pockets.
Crypto
Morgan Stanley Low-Fee Bitcoin ETF Sparks Fee War Across Issuers, Analyst Says
Key Takeaways:
- Morgan Stanley launched MSBT with a 0.14% fee, undercutting Blackrock IBIT and escalating a bitcoin ETF fee war.
- Bloomberg analyst says the fee war could squeeze issuer margins while expanding investor access.
- Blackrock dominance may persist unless outflows rise or a 10 bps Vanguard entrant disrupts pricing power.
Morgan Stanley Sparks Bitcoin ETF Fee War With Aggressive Pricing
The launch of a lower-cost bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) is intensifying structural competition across digital asset markets. Morgan Stanley, a global investment bank, rolled out its bitcoin ETF (NYSE Arca: MSBT) with a 0.14% expense ratio on April 8, undercutting Blackrock’s Ishares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and signaling a new phase of aggressive pricing pressure. This shift highlights how fee compression could redefine issuer margins and investor allocation strategies.
Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Eric Balchunas addressed the implications of Morgan Stanley’s pricing move. He stated on social media platform X:
“MSBT coming at 14bps could entice others to cut, or new entrants to come in even lower.”
The remark signals that MSBT’s ultra-competitive fee could reset industry benchmarks, accelerating price competition among incumbents while lowering barriers for new ETF entrants.
Across the competitive landscape, MSBT now ranks among the lowest-cost bitcoin ETFs, undercutting Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ( BTC) at 0.15% and Franklin Templeton’s EZBC at 0.19%. Other major issuers, including Bitwise (BITB), Vaneck (HODL), and ARK 21Shares (ARKB), cluster between 0.20% and 0.21%, while Blackrock’s IBIT, Fidelity’s FBTC, and several peers maintain 0.25% fee structures. At the higher end, Grayscale’s legacy GBTC remains at 1.50%, reflecting its structural differences and earlier market entry. This spread highlights a rapidly compressing fee band, with new entrants increasingly targeting sub-20 basis point pricing to gain share.
Fee Pressure Threatens Margins While Strengthening Investor Power
Morgan Stanley’s broader strategy suggests ambitions beyond simple fee disruption, with projections pointing to as much as $160 billion in potential inflows tied to its bitcoin ETF initiative. That scale could materially pressure Blackrock’s IBIT, which benefits from deep liquidity, tight spreads, and strong institutional adoption. The firm’s positioning underscores a growing trend where traditional financial giants leverage distribution advantages to capture crypto market share.
Balchunas emphasized the broader economic consequences of intensifying fee competition across the ETF sector. He remarked:
“Fee wars are part of life in the Terrordome = hell for issuers, but heaven for investors. That said, prob won’t see any cut from IBIT.”
The observation underscores a structural reality: declining fees enhance investor access while compressing issuer margins, forcing providers to rely on scale, flows, and operational efficiency.
Despite mounting pressure, market leadership continues to provide pricing resilience for dominant funds. Balchunas stressed that IBIT’s scale and liquidity concentration preserve its pricing power, with disruption likely only if competitors generate sustained outflows or if Vanguard files a near-10 basis point product, a scenario he considers highly improbable. This dynamic indicates that IBIT’s fee stability remains anchored in its liquidity advantage unless a significant competitive shift materializes.
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