Crypto
Crypto’s Shocking Transformation: How Bitcoin Volatility Plummeted From 400% To 80%
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Bitcoin’s journey from digital experiment to mainstream investment has been marked by one defining characteristic: extreme price volatility. However, data from NYU Stern’s Volatility Lab reveals a remarkable transformation in how dramatically Bitcoin’s price swings, offering important lessons for today’s investors.
Between 2010 and 2017, Bitcoin experienced volatility that would make even the most seasoned traders nervous. During this period, annualized volatility frequently exceeded 200% and occasionally spiked above 400%. To put this in perspective, traditional stocks typically see volatility between 15-30% annually.
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This extreme volatility reflected Bitcoin’s status as an unproven digital asset with minimal institutional backing. Small trading volumes meant that even modest buy or sell orders could trigger massive price swings. News events, regulatory announcements, or technical developments could send prices soaring or crashing within hours.
The 2017 cryptocurrency bubble perfectly exemplified this era. Bitcoin’s price rocketed from under $1,000 to nearly $20,000 before crashing back down, creating the kind of volatility that attracted speculators while terrifying traditional investors.
Following the 2017-2018 market correction, something interesting began happening. Bitcoin’s volatility started declining meaningfully. Between 2018 and 2020, volatility generally ranged between 50% and 150% – still extreme by traditional standards, but a significant improvement from the earlier chaos.
This period coincided with several important developments: major companies began accepting Bitcoin payments, institutional investors started taking notice, and cryptocurrency exchanges became more sophisticated and regulated. These factors contributed to deeper liquidity and more stable price discovery.
Current data shows Bitcoin’s volatility has continued moderating, now typically ranging between 30%-80%. While this remains substantially higher than stocks or bonds, it represents a dramatic evolution from Bitcoin’s early days.
Crypto
Rumors are swirling about Venezuela holding $60 billion in Bitcoin—but crypto experts are skeptical | Fortune
Following the United States’ capture of Nicolás Maduro over the weekend, a report came out claiming that Venezuela had $60 billion stored in Bitcoin—leading to speculation that the U.S. could lay claim to cryptocurrency as well as oil. Despite numerous reports of the huge Venezuelan Bitcoin stash, however, a crypto forensic firm is skeptical of the claims.
The news of Venezuela’s Bitcoin holding began to bubble up last Saturday, the same day that Maduro was ousted. The digital publication Project Brazen reported that his regime could control $60 billion in the original cryptocurrency—but offered little in the way of proof.
“The article does not mention any addresses as a starting point, making it difficult to verify any of these speculated claims,” said Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at Nansen, about Project Brazen’s report.
Barthere is not the first person to express skepticism about the country’s purported crypto treasure trove. Mauricio di Bartolomeo, the Venezuelan co-founder of the financial services company Ledn, told Fortune on Wednesday that the level of the country’s corruption makes the figure hard to believe. He expanded his argument in an opinion piece he wrote for Coindesk.
Estimates of Venezuela’s crypto holdings vary wildly. Bitcointreasuries.net estimates that the country has $22 million worth of Bitcoin. That figure would make Venezuela the government entity with the ninth-most money tied up in the original cryptocurrency, just behind North Korea.
While the exact size of Venezuela’s Bitcoin wealth is unclear, the country has long been a player in crypto. Maduro introduced a token called the Petro in 2018, which was shuttered six years later. Its citizens have also turned to stablecoins as a way to fight their currency’s hyperinflation.
Trump has said that he will “run” Venezuela, and some have speculated that includes seizing the country’s Bitcoin holdings. Andrew Fierman, head of national security intelligence at Chainalysis, said he could not speak to the likelihood of such a seizure. He did, however, explain what gaining control of assets might look like.
A freezing of assets could occur through centralized services, he says. These services would get a court order for an exchange or an issuer like Tether or Circle who could blacklist an address. The second method is through physical seizure. The U.S. could get control of wallets, devices, and keys through compelled cooperation.
For now, there is unlikely to be a full and accurate account of Venezuela’s Bitcoin holdings until the political situation in the country becomes more stable.
Crypto
Pantera Signals 2026 Crypto Breakout After 2025 Quietly De-Risked Markets
Crypto
St. Augustine Film Festival will honor creator of film about crypto scams
See Wreaths Across America 2025 at St. Augustine National Cemetery
Participants at the annual event place more than 1,000 wreaths on tombstones of service men and women.
Ben McKenzie will receive a Career Achievement Award at the St. Augustine Film Festival Jan. 10 prior to the screening of his documentary, “Everyone is Lying to You for Money.”
The former star of “The OC” wrote, directed and produced the film while writing his New York Times bestseller “Easy Money,” which spotlights cryptocurrency as a large-scale scam.
Working in collaboration with journalist Jacob Silverman, the film includes interviews with currently jailed cryptocurrency industry leaders and celebrities now facing trials for misleading the public on the value of cryptocurrencies as virtual money.
Sporting degrees in economics and political science from the University of Virginia, McKensie traveled to El Salvador – also known as Bitcoin city – and London’s banking district to showcase fraud perpetrated by Alex Mashinsky, the founder and CEO of Celsius Network, who was sentenced to 12 years in prison for one count of commodities fraud and one count of securities fraud.
New York prosecutors accused Mashinsky with deceiving clients about the company’s finances and manipulating the price of Celsius’ token, which caused billions of dollars in losses.
The movie also includes interviews with individuals who were part of the scam before it collapsed, McKensie’s testimony before Congress following the arrest of Sam Bankman-Fried and his trip to El Salvador.
“I turned the cameras on to document the difference between the marketing campaign and the reality of what was happening on the ground,” he told the St. Augustine Record. “Cryptocurrency was perpetuated by a very small number of people who made a lot of money in an industry rife with fraud, corruption and criminal activity.”
McKensie underscored the film as an unusual comedy that he’s deeply proud of.
“The film highlights the idea of avoiding intermediaries as appealing, but creating a currency that bypasses a banking system would never work,” he said. “The idea of investing in this obtuse thing that was hard to understand evolved/metastasized to exhibit the worst parts of our current system.”
McKensie described the “command tactic” of the get rich scheme as a con man tactic that lured people in as Bitcoin emerged during the wake of a financial crisis.
Bankman-Fried, the founder of the FTX cryptocurrency exchange, was eventually convicted of wire, securities and commodities fraud along with money laundering and conspiracy and sentenced to 25 years in prison.
McKensie’s involvement was born and bred from COVID, “when I had time on my hands to check the financial markets.”
“I’m not an economist, but I love theory and behavioral economics,” he said. “I especially love the writings of the Nobel Prize winning economist Robert Schiller, who talks about things that were applicable to crypto that naturally occur in Ponzi schemes.”
Convinced that no one was monitoring the “price of a speculative asset rising far beyond what it was worth in terms of practical use in the real world,” McKensie turned to social media as a platform to show that “crypto was getting out of hand.”
Posts connected him to Silverman and together they worked on reporting on the ill-fated concept. It didn’t take long before a book proposal landed on his desk.
“Then it was off to the races,” he said.
“I’ve met a lot of really interesting people I never would have met if not for the book,” he said. “I’ve never done anything like this before so I’m really glad I did.”
McKensie said that Greg von Hausch, co-founder of the SAFF, was persistent in adding “Everyone is Lying to You for Money” to the festival.
While the success of the book and the film remain paramount to an actor who hedged his bets in New York because of his love of “the art,” the Texas native has a long and successful acting resume that includes stints on Broadway for “Grand Horizons,” which received a Tony nod for Best New Play, an appearance in “Junebug” with Amy Adams and one in “88 Minutes” starring Al Pacino. Other film credits include the indie film “Johnny Got His Gun” and “Some Kind of Beautiful” with Pierce Brosnan and Salma Hayek.
Other film credits include “Decoding Annie Parker” opposite Helen Hunt and a starring role in the short film “The Eight Per Cent of the 2009” shown in New York’s Tribeca Film Festival.
In 2009, he returned to series television in “Southland,” portraying a patrol officer in Los Angeles. McKensie also starred as Detective James Gordon in the series “Gotham,” detailing Gordon’s rise in Gotham City before Batman’s appearance.
McKensie made his directorial debut in Season 3 of “Gotham” where he met his then co-star and now wife, Morena Baccarin, who is the mother to his two children. The family resides in New York.
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