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Cryptocurrency Strategist Foresees Potential Bitcoin Downturn Amid Recent Dip

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Cryptocurrency Strategist Foresees Potential Bitcoin Downturn Amid Recent Dip

A seasoned cryptocurrency strategist who astutely predicted the recent downturn of Bitcoin shed some light on the potential trajectory of the infamous digital currency. If there’s any weight to the analyst’s forecast, we are possibly on the threshold of a far more substantial bearish phase in the cryptocurrency market.

Earlier in the week, the world of cryptocurrency was still basking in the glow of Bitcoin’s steady ascent beyond $70,000. Amidst the euphoria, a handful of analysts raised caution flags. Notably, the analyst known as Xanrox had taken to the renowned platform TradingView, warning of a probable nosedive in Bitcoin’s price. His augment is supported by several indicators seen recently.

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Xanrox’s analysis suggested that Bitcoin’s boom could be short-lived, forecasting a crash in June rooted in the price activity observed in May. An interesting marker that gained the attention of Xanrox was the formation of what he referred to as an “FVGAP” at the $62,000 level. According to him, this could potentially trigger a bullish surge for Bitcoin down the line. The reason being, such gaps typically tend to be filled sooner rather than later, thereby indicating an impending retrace.

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Furthermore, Xanrox infers from the Elliott Wave Theory that Bitcoin has completed its first upward or “impulsive” wave, Wave 1, and that Wave 2 is poised to be bullish in nature. Yet, Xanrox’s analysis expands beyond these waves, he highlights the formation of a corrective ABC pattern taking place.

Additionally intriguing is the observation of a diminutive red trend line on that chart that has already exhibited signs of waning strength. This falling trend line, added to a rising wedge pattern observed by Xanrox, acts as a strong indicator of an incoming drop in the digital currency’s value.

Xanrox’s analysis was posted on late May, and since then, Bitcoin has seen a considerable drop, now hovering below $68,000. This sharp downturn partially confirms the analyst’s prediction, thereby warranting an update on his post, outlining the potential future of Bitcoin’s pricing.

In his follow-up content, he points out yet another red trendline on the brink of a breakdown, following the first. The presence of two staggering lower trend lines paints a gloomy picture of Bitcoin’s future value. Furthermore, Xanrox indicates that Bitcoin’s price has formed a symmetrical triangle, which he predicts will also break down, leading to a fall in its price.

As for the degree of the anticipated plunge, Xanrox’s illustration signals a drop toward the $62,000 level, implying a decline of over 10%. Such a trend could cause turbulence across the wide cryptocurrency market. The analyst advises caution in the months to come, as he perceives summer as a potentially low volatility period for Bitcoin.

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At present, Bitcoin is positioned a notch below $68,000 according to the latest data. In spite of suffering a significant loss of 2.7% in the past week, it’s worth noting that the cryptocurrency still showcases a promising growth of around 10.28% on a monthly basis.

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Crypto

Strategy buys even more Bitcoin—$264 million of it—even as Bitcoin slumps to $87,000. | Fortune

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Strategy buys even more Bitcoin—4 million of it—even as Bitcoin slumps to ,000. | Fortune

Despite the current downturn for crypto, Strategy added even more Bitcoin to its collection. The company bought more than 2,900 Bitcoin last week, bringing its total to over 712,000, according to an X post by cofounder Michael Saylor. The move follows a more than $2 billion purchase earlier this month. 

Strategy is the first and biggest digital asset treasury, or a type of company that acquires and holds on to large amounts of crypto. Saylor’s company began investing in Bitcoin in 2020 and now holds more than 3% of the total supply. This business model has confronted major challenges in the past few months, as the largest cryptocurrency has plummeted since its all-time high in October. Bitcoin is worth about $87,000, down about 31% since then, according to Binance. 

One analyst views Saylor’s purchase as expected, considering the company’s business strategy, which is to continually amass Bitcoin on the theory it will appreciate in the long term, and to time purchases to coincide with market dips.

“It’s not surprising for me to see that they’re really aggressively continuing to purchase [Bitcoin]”, said Nathan Schmidt, an analyst at CFRA Research. “It is certainly the playbook for them these days.” 

Bitcoin’s fall from its all-time high of about $126,000 in October was caused in part by a flash crash in the fall, where crypto traders lost more than $19 billion in their positions. Misfortunes for digital assets have only continued this calendar year. The sector dipped as tensions mounted between the U.S. and Europe over Greenland. In addition, major regulatory legislation, referred to as the Clarity Act, has stalled as major figures in the crypto industry spar over its details. 

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The major cryptocurrency isn’t the only one to suffer losses, as altcoins are down as well. Ethereum is down 30% in the last three months to its current price of $2,899, and Solana is down more than 38% to its price of about $124, according to Binance.

Crypto’s dip has led to disastrous returns for digital asset treasuries like Strategy. Saylor’s company stock is down about 64% since July to its current price of about $160. 

Schmidt, the analyst from CFRA Research, argues that the biggest risk to Strategy is long-term declines in the value of Bitcoin. He says that the company could survive such a dip in the next few years because of its liquidity, but that over time the company would be in trouble. 

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Markets Front-Run New Fed Chair: Pro-Crypto Blackrock Executive Gains Dominant Odds

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Markets Front-Run New Fed Chair: Pro-Crypto Blackrock Executive Gains Dominant Odds
Prediction markets are coalescing around Blackrock executive Rick Rieder as the leading contender to succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell, spotlighting a potential Federal Reserve shift shaped by pro-crypto, pro-bitcoin views and evolving monetary expectations.
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Crypto

Is Bitcoin Supercycle Truly On The Horizon? Analyst Predicts $31K Bottom In 2026

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Is Bitcoin Supercycle Truly On The Horizon? Analyst Predicts K Bottom In 2026

The calls of a potential Bitcoin supercycle in 2026 intensified over the past week after former Binance CEO Changpeng ‘CZ’ Zhao — yet another prominent voice in crypto — laid out his predictions for the new year. However, a popular analyst on the social media platform X has released an opposing view, predicting a deep bottom for the BTC price this year.

BTC Price At Risk Of Further 65% Decline

In a January 25th post on the X platform, prominent crypto trader Ali Martinez said, in a sarcastic tone, that “the super cycle is super cycling.” In what seemed like a response to the buzz around CZ’s Bitcoin supercycle projection, the market pundit tempered the expectations with a $31,000 price bottom call for the premier cryptocurrency in 2026.

This bearish prediction is based on the appearance of price fractals on the BTC chart. For context, fractals are repeating patterns in price charts that can help map and project potential price movements for a particular cryptocurrency (Bitcoin, in this scenario).

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As observed in the chart above, the price of BTC is currently following a similar movement pattern as in 2022. The premier cryptocurrency, after initially setting a then all-time high around $67,000 in early 2021, witnessed a nearly 55% correction to just above the $30,000 level by mid-July.

While the price of Bitcoin recovered and went back to set a record high of above $69,000 by the end of 2021, the market leader spent the majority of the following year in a downward trend. Exacerbated by the various bearish events of 2022, BTC ended the year at a low of around $15,500.

Martinez believes that the Bitcoin price is undergoing a similar movement pattern, having experienced an over 32% decline before climbing to the current all-time high of $126,080. The market pundit postulates that the premier cryptocurrency is currently witnessing the extended decline that saw its price reach $15,500 in 2022.

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However, it is worth mentioning that the target this time around lies at $31,800, nearly 65% drop from the current price point. Hence, if the historical patterns highlighted by Martinez are to go by, there seems to be a higher likelihood of the Bitcoin price embarking on an extended downward trend rather than a supercycle.

Bitcoin Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $88,528, reflecting an over 1% decline in the past 24 hours.

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