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‘On a Tightrope’: How Taiwan’s President Navigated the U.S. and China

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‘On a Tightrope’: How Taiwan’s President Navigated the U.S. and China

In an island famend for boisterous politics, Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen is an inconceivable chief.

Described by these near her as scholarly and bookish, Ms. Tsai is thought for warning and understatement. In 2016, she ordered her employees to remain silent a few name with incoming President Donald Trump, despite the fact that it was the primary time in a long time a Taiwanese chief had spoken to an American president or president-elect. (Mr. Trump was less discreet.)

When she rose to steer her get together 15 years in the past, she was generally known as a technocrat, not a transformative politician. “Many commentators view Tsai as a transitional and comparatively weak chief,” famous a U.S. diplomatic cable on the time assessing her place in Taiwanese politics.

As Ms. Tsai, 66, makes considered one of her last visits earlier than leaving workplace subsequent 12 months after two phrases, she does in order one of the vital necessary leaders on the earth. Sitting on the middle of the yawning divide between China and the U.S., she has steered Taiwan between the contradictory calls for of the world’s two strongest nations, one which claims the island underneath its authoritarian rule and one other that views the democracy as one prong in a broader confrontation with China.

Ms. Tsai’s go to this week, together with an anticipated assembly with Home Speaker Kevin McCarthy, is just not about diplomatic breakthroughs, however about solidifying Taiwan’s standing within the minds of U.S. leaders amid vital geopolitical uncertainty.

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“She has earned a spot within the eyes of Individuals, but additionally different components of the world, as being a dependable interlocutor. It is vitally onerous for China’s propaganda machine to color her as some form of maniacal assault robotic on all issues China,” mentioned Steve Yates, chair of the China Coverage Initiative on the America First Coverage Institute.

As president, Ms. Tsai has developed the closest relations with america that Taiwan has had because it grew to become a full democracy almost 30 years in the past, securing unofficial assist together with the promise of weapons. Deepening Taipei-Washington hyperlinks has created area for different nations not formally recognizing Taiwan’s authorities to increase their ties, together with Japan and a few European nations.

This has given the island one of the best hope for solidifying a protection within the face of more and more bellicose calls by Beijing to take Taiwan by pressure. Ms. Tsai has additionally labored to push again in opposition to China with out overtly confronting the financial and navy large simply 100 miles throughout the Taiwan Strait.

Privately, Ms. Tsai has likened the place to “strolling on a tightrope,” in keeping with two individuals who have labored intently along with her. For a mannequin, she has appeared to the previous German chancellor Angela Merkel, who like her, got here out of academia.

“Her mass enchantment is just not what individuals think about her energy. However her governance, her considering, her dedication, and her decision-making are literally the standard traits we must always see in governing a contemporary nation,” Ms. Tsai mentioned of Ms. Merkel in a TV interview in 2015.

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Throughout a cease in New York on her present go to, Ms. Tsai appeared calm and relaxed, letting by means of a few of the wry humor she normally shows solely to these near her.

Making a mordant reference to the Chinese language Communist Occasion’s claims over Taiwan, Ms. Tsai informed the Individuals gathered: “My home politics is more durable than yours, as a result of I’ve bought an extra get together that desires to be part of the politics,” recalled Patrick M. Cronin, Asia-Pacific safety chair on the Hudson Institute, who was in attendance on the closed-door speech.

“Right here’s this chief of Taiwan, seven years into her tenure underneath unrelenting day by day stress and coercion, and he or she was optimistic and humorous, and connecting along with her American viewers like a talented politician,” he mentioned.

When Ms. Tsai stepped in to steer her Democratic Progressive Occasion in 2008, she had little competitors for the publish. The get together was reeling from an election defeat and a corruption investigation into former President Chen Shui-bian. Ms. Tsai calmed the temper and constructed assist by managing the necessity for sources with a brand new, grass-roots fund-raising marketing campaign.

She needed to work on campaigning, which in Taiwan includes giant rallies with speeches set to dramatic music. “She couldn’t converse fluent Taiwanese at first and didn’t know when she ought to step on the stage,” recalled Liu Chien-hsin, a longtime aide to Ms. Tsai, referring to the language spoken alongside Mandarin throughout the island.

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She discovered her personal model, leveraging social media and seeking to Taiwan’s youth to attach extra broadly. In advertisements, she posed along with her cat, Assume Assume, driving a mini-trend of pet politics.

Ms. Tsai needed to overcome geopolitical skepticism. Regardless of her shut ties with many in Washington, American leaders distrusted her get together, partially due to President Chen’s penchant for fiery speeches that angered China and set again American efforts to enhance Sino-U.S. relations.

In 2011, Ms. Tsai, as her get together’s presidential candidate, visited america to introduce her overseas coverage outlook to the Obama administration. Afterward, an nameless senior U.S. official informed The Monetary Occasions that she had left the U.S. with “distinct doubts” about her means and willingness to take care of stability in Taiwan’s relationship with Beijing, which have been then bettering underneath President Ma Ying-jeou. Such sentiment from the U.S. helped flip the 2012 election for Mr. Ma.

She discovered from that setback to keep away from something that might be thought of a direct provocation of China, in keeping with her former speechwriter Jiho Tiun. When Ms. Tsai once more visited Washington in 2015 forward of an in the end profitable presidential marketing campaign, she had formed her get together in keeping with a constant imaginative and prescient: a Taiwan quietly working to consolidate its sovereignty and independence with out inflaming the fractious China-U.S. relationship.

“She desires to push Taiwan’s place as an impartial nation so far as she will be able to with out the Individuals dropping belief in her,” Mr. Tiun mentioned.

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That technique helped strengthen ties. President Biden has repeatedly vowed that america would defend Taiwan within the occasion of a battle, going past his predecessors and the formal commitments to Taiwan. (Every time, the White Home clarified {that a} U.S. coverage of calculated ambiguity towards intentions to defend Taiwan within the occasion of a battle has not modified.) Further navy assist, weapons gross sales, and diplomatic visits have underscored the tighter relationship.

“Tsai has been a straight shooter — she has consulted with the U.S. prematurely, and brought on board lots of the U.S.’s ideas,” mentioned Bonnie Glaser, director of the Asia program on the German Marshall Fund of america.

Managing the China relationship has been more durable. Ms. Tsai had deep expertise working with Chinese language officers from main Taiwan’s Mainland Affairs Council. At first, she hoped Beijing would have interaction, regardless of historic mistrust of her get together for its embrace of a Taiwanese, somewhat than a Chinese language, id.

In her inaugural speech in 2016, she sought to depart the door open, acknowledging a 1992 assembly, albeit not a consensus that Chinese language officers and her rival political get together, the Kuomintang, later claimed emerged from that assembly. Whereas the legitimacy of the consensus is debated in Taiwan, Beijing had mentioned it must be the inspiration for his or her relationship.

Ms. Tsai, partially due to again channeling with the Chinese language forward of the inauguration, believed her nod to the assembly amounted to a concession. However Chinese language officers shot again that Ms. Tsai’s speech was like “an incomplete examination.” Ms. Tsai was shocked by the intransigence, in keeping with Raymond Burghardt, a former chairman of the American Institute in Taiwan and an individual near the administration who declined to be named given the political sensitivities.

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The expertise influenced her method to China. Though treading cautiously, she discovered alternatives to push again. In late 2018, her administration acquired intelligence that China’s chief, Xi Jinping, was planning a serious speech on Taiwan, in keeping with Lin He-ming, a former spokesman of the presidential workplace and Ms. Tsai’s longtime aide Mr. Liu. Their account was verified by a 3rd particular person aware of the matter who declined to be named given the political sensitivities.

On Jan. 2, 2019, Mr. Xi proposed a brand new “one-country, two-systems” method to Taiwan that may mirror China’s association in Hong Kong, wherein Beijing managed town, however in idea gave it a large diploma of home autonomy.

Inside hours, Ms. Tsai rejected the concept: “I wish to reiterate that Taiwan completely won’t settle for ‘one nation, two techniques.’ The overwhelming majority of Taiwanese additionally resolutely oppose ‘one nation, two techniques,’ and this opposition can also be a ‘Taiwan consensus.’”

Her social media crew unfold the phrase on-line. They turned her rebuttal into an internet poster in English and Chinese language. Different supporters translated it into almost 40 languages.

“China was so confused about how Tsai was in a position to disseminate her message to the worldwide neighborhood,” mentioned Mr. Lin, the previous spokesman.

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Beijing’s freeze-out of Ms. Tsai has in some methods been self-defeating. With engagement off the desk, Mr. Xi has been left with few retailers to win hearts and minds on Taiwan. Latest Chinese language coverage there has combined financial coercion, threats issued by state media and officers, and navy intimidation by way of rising sorties of fighter jets and bombers close by.

That posturing has helped Ms. Tsai accomplish coverage objectives. When former Speaker Nancy Pelosi went to Taiwan final 12 months, the highest-ranking U.S. official to go to in 25 years, China held large-scale navy drills surrounding Taiwan’s important island. The antagonism, mixed with Russia’s struggle in Ukraine, heightened alarm and strengthened consensus to arrange for a possible assault by China. Ms. Tsai was in a position to prolong necessary navy service phrases to at least one 12 months, up from 4 months.

Even so, many in D.C. have apprehensive about Taiwan’s readiness. Whereas Ms. Tsai can level to home achievements, together with pension reform, capably managing the pandemic, and legalizing homosexual marriage, efforts to sharpen Taiwan’s protection capabilities have been sluggish.

Ms. Tsai should step down on the finish of her second time period subsequent 12 months. Given Taiwan’s raucous politics, her successor is unlikely to convey her self-discipline, which might make the already harmful sport of brinkmanship over the island much more perilous, mentioned Mr. Burghardt of the American Institute in Taiwan.

“I feel we are going to miss her,” he mentioned. “The actual query is whether or not the Chinese language will miss her. Or whether or not they’ll really feel along with her gone, and if a much less cautious particular person takes cost there, that may drive them to be much less cautious. That’s a giant query mark hanging over the longer term.”

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Christopher Buckley contributed reporting.

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As job growth in California falls back, unemployment rate remains highest in the country

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As job growth in California falls back, unemployment rate remains highest in the country

California posted another month of anemic job growth in April, keeping the state’s unemployment rate the highest in the country, 5.3%, the government reported Friday.

Statewide, employers added a net of just 5,200 jobs in April, down from 18,200 in March, according to California’s Employment Development Department.

Nationwide, employers added 175,000 jobs in April and 315,000 in March. The U.S. unemployment rate in April was 3.9%.

Major sectors of California’s economy — including manufacturing, information and professional and business services — showed job losses last month, and job opportunities aren’t as plentiful as before, even as the number of unemployed workers in the state has risen by 164,000 over the last 12 months.

In California, there were 140 unemployed workers for every 100 job openings in March, according to federal statistics released Friday. Less than two years ago, there were about two openings for every jobless person.

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Carol Jackson, an unemployed worker in South Los Angeles, says she has been pounding the pavement for months, hoping to make use of her recently minted associate degree in web management and database administration. But despite sending her resume to at least 100 employers, she has not had a single interview.

“I can tell you that California is pretty brutal now,” said Jackson, 57.

Hiring in California has been lagging behind national trends, with one notable exception. The state’s healthcare and social assistance sector added 10,100 jobs last month, bringing the gains over the last 12 months to about 155,000. That’s 75% of all new jobs added since April 2023.

Hospitals and doctors’ offices have been bulking up, but the fastest growth has been at outpatient centers, home healthcare firms, nursing facilities and, especially, social assistance, which includes vocational rehabilitation and child day-care services.

“Healthcare is the big gorilla in the room; it dominates everything,” said Mark Schniepp, director of the California Economic Forecast in Santa Barbara, adding that it’s likely to keep growing robustly with new and expanded medical facilities across the state.

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Leisure and hospitality businesses added 3,100 jobs last month. The gains included employment at hotels and restaurants — despite the added stress employers are feeling from a minimum wage increase to $20 an hour for fast-food workers that went into effect April 1.

While there are fears of layoffs as the food industry adopts technology to replace workers, California’s restaurants are getting a lift from a pickup in tourism. The leisure sector overall is close to fully recovering from the deep losses caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Public-sector payrolls also held up well last month, increasing by 2,600. Thus far, state and local government jobs seem to be showing little effects from California’s massive budget deficits.

“But clearly that will be another factor,” said Sung Won Sohn, economics professor at Loyola Marymount University in Los Angeles.

Sohn and other economists worry that there are national, cyclical and state-specific threats to California’s employment and broader economic outlook.

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Key pillars of the state’s economy continue to struggle.

Motion picture producers and other employers in the information sector show few signs of breaking out of the hiring doldrums, despite the film industry’s resolution of labor strikes last fall. Los Angeles’ motion picture and recording studio industries were down by 13,400 employees, or 12%, in April compared with the same month a year earlier. And many workers in the industry say conditions do not appear to be improving.

Large parts of the farm economy in the Central Valley remain sluggish, in part due to rising costs, tighter financial conditions and ongoing climate challenges.

Despite strong investments in artificial intelligence, layoffs have persisted at high-tech firms in the Bay Area and elsewhere. Scientific and technical companies shed jobs last month, and employment at computer systems design work and related services has been gradually declining.

Nationally, economists expect job growth to slow in the coming months, the result of persistently high interest rates and an expected pullback from consumers. The outlook is particularly dim in California.

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“On the ground, there are several signs of even more slowdowns,” said Michael Bernick, an employment lawyer at Duane Morris in San Francisco and former director of the state’s EDD. Among them, he said, “small businesses continue to struggle statewide with higher prices and tightened consumer spending.”

He and other experts have a similar refrain about what ails the state: high costs, excessive regulation and unaffordable home prices, among other factors.

“We just have real challenges here in California that other states don’t face,” said Renee Ward, founder of Seniors4Hire.org, a Huntington Beach-based organization that helps older workers find employment.

She said the number of job seekers registered with her service has jumped 26% so far in 2024 from a year ago.

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New Mexico weighs whether to toss Alec Baldwin criminal charges in 'Rust' shooting

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New Mexico weighs whether to toss Alec Baldwin criminal charges in 'Rust' shooting

A New Mexico judge is weighing whether to dismiss involuntary manslaughter charges against Alec Baldwin for his alleged role in the 2021 shooting death of the “Rust” movie cinematographer.

Baldwin’s attorneys argued during a court hearing Friday that special prosecutor Kari T. Morrissey had abused her power by allegedly withholding “significant evidence,” including witnesses favorable to Baldwin, during a January grand jury proceeding.

The 66-year-old actor‘s lawyers said he was a victim of an “overzealous prosecutor” who steered grand jury proceedings in an effort to win an indictment in the high-profile case. At issue is whether the grand jury had been fully advised that they could hear from Baldwin’s witnesses during the proceedings. The grand jurors spent a day and a half questioning witnesses who were introduced by the prosecutors.

“The fix was in,” Baldwin attorney Alex Spiro told the judge Friday.

The grand jury indicted Baldwin on an involuntary manslaughter charge in the shooting death of Halyna Hutchins, the 42-year-old cinematographer, who was rehearsing a scene with Baldwin on Oct. 21, 2021. Baldwin has pleaded not guilty.

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At the conclusion of Friday’s hearing, New Mexico First Judicial District Judge Mary Marlowe Sommer said she would issue her ruling next week. Should she dismiss the case, it would mark the second time that the felony charges against Baldwin were dropped.

Marlowe Sommer’s decision is expected less than two months before Baldwin is scheduled to go on trial in a Santa Fe courtroom.

During the hearing, which was conducted virtually, Morrissey denied that she had acted in bad faith. She said she didn’t prevent jurors from getting answers to their questions or from seeking additional information. She told the judge that grand jurors had been given written instructions that outlined their ability to quiz other witnesses, including those favorable to the defense.

But because the jurors didn’t ask to hear from the witnesses who were on a list supplied by Baldwin’s lawyers, several key figures in the tragedy, including film director Joel Souza, property master Sarah Zachry and assistant director David Halls, were not called to testify. Instead, jurors heard from police officers, a crew member who was in the church and expert witnesses hired by prosecutors.

On the day of the shooting, Hutchins, Baldwin, Souza and about a dozen other crew members were gathered in an old wooden church at Bonanza Creek Ranch, south of Santa Fe, preparing for a scene. Hutchins, according to the actor, told him to pull his Colt .45 revolver from his holster and point it at the camera for an extreme close-up view. That’s when the gun went off.

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Hutchins died from her wounds. Souza was injured and recovered.

Last month, Marlowe Sommer sentenced the film’s armorer, Hannah Gutierrez, to 18 months in a New Mexico women’s prison for her role in the shooting. Morrissey argued that Gutierrez was criminally negligent by allegedly bringing the live ammunition to the movie production and unwittingly loading one of the lead bullets into Baldwin’s gun. Gutierrez denies bringing the ammunition on set.

Baldwin’s prosecution has long been fraught.

Morrissey and her law partner Jason J. Lewis joined the case last year after the first team of prosecutors was forced to step down due to missteps, including trying to charge Baldwin on a penalty enhancement that wasn’t in effect at the time of the tragedy.

“The government looked a little sophomoric and unprofessional when they charged him for a crime that wasn’t a crime at the time,” said Los Angeles litigator Tre Lovell, who is not involved in the “Rust” shooting matter. “That was embarrassing.”

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The original prosecutors also displayed bluster in media interviews, making statements about the need to hold Baldwin responsible for his actions. Defense attorneys have argued that such commentary was out of line and prejudicial against the actor.

Shortly after Morrissey and Lewis joined the case, they dropped the charges against Baldwin. At the time, they said they needed more time to review evidence and address issues raised by Baldwin’s team. Morrissey and Lewis reserved the right to refile the charges.

Immediately after the charges were dropped, Baldwin traveled to Montana to finish the filming of “Rust.”

On Friday, Morrissey said last year’s decision to drop the charges was made at the request of Baldwin’s lead attorney, Luke Nikas, who had presented evidence that the gun Baldwin was using had been modified. Subsequent tests showed the gun was functional that day, but during FBI testing in 2022, the gun was broken by forensic analysts who wanted to see how much pressure needed to be applied for the hammer to drop.

The damaged gun is one of several complications that prosecutors are facing. Legal experts have said that winning a conviction in Baldwin’s case is expected to be more difficult than in the trial of Gutierrez, whose job was to make sure the weapons were safe.

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Baldwin was handed the prop gun that day and was told that it was “cold,” meaning there was no ammunition inside. In reality, the chamber of the revolver contained six rounds — five so-called dummies and the lead bullet that killed Hutchins.

“The state has not even alleged that Baldwin had a subjective awareness of a substantial risk that the firearm held live ammunition,” Nikas argued in the motion to dismiss the charges. “Without a subjective awareness, he could not have committed the crime of involuntary manslaughter, which requires that the defendant consciously disregarded a substantial and unjustifiable risk that his actions could cause another person’s death.”

Baldwin has argued, with support from Hollywood’s performers’ union SAG-AFTRA, that it wasn’t his job to be the gun safety officer on set.

The actor has said he was relying on other professionals to do their jobs to ensure a safe production.

Prosecutors have an obligation to present evidence in a “fair and impartial manner,” Baldwin’s attorneys said.

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The judge grilled Morrissey on her thinking at the time, including an instance when she had interrupted a sheriff’s deputy and prevented her from answering a question about gun safety measures on set. Morrissey said that deputy was not an expert in film set protocols and that she instead wanted jurors to get “the most accurate information,” which would come from a veteran film crew member who was an expert witness.

Baldwin’s attorneys were also sharply critical of Morrissey for divulging during a media interview the date the grand jury was expected to meet. Morrissey said she took responsibility for providing to a reporter the initial date, which had been scheduled for mid-November. However, the matter was postponed, and the case wasn’t brought before the grand jury until two months later, in mid-January.

Lovell, the L.A. entertainment attorney, said he believes the case will go to trial and that efforts to throw out the indictment will be unsuccessful.

“Courts are really reluctant to dismiss cases brought by a grand jury,” Lovell said. “Courts have limited ability to review what goes to a grand jury unless it was provided in bad faith.”

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Troubled EV maker Fisker closing Manhattan Beach headquarters

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Troubled EV maker Fisker closing Manhattan Beach headquarters

In an effort to stave off bankruptcy, electric-vehicle maker Fisker Inc. is closing its Manhattan Beach headquarters and has secured a $3.5-million lifeline as it continues to explore an acquisition or other strategic alternative.

The troubled company, which had about 300 employees in the 72,000-square-foot offices at the end of March, is moving its remaining workers to an engineering and distribution facility in La Palma in Orange County, said a person familiar with Fisker’s operations who was not authorized to comment.

In all, the company had roughly 1,135 employees as of mid-April, following an announced 15% cut to its workforce.

Fisker has been attempting to avoid bankruptcy since March, when it announced that talks over a strategic alliance with a major automaker had ended, squelching a deal that would have given it $150 million in new financing.

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That caused its shares to collapse to pennies, prompting the New York Stock Exchange to delist the stock, which violated another debt agreement the company struck with an investor last year, according to a regulatory filing.

A major automaker, said to be Nissan, was reportedly in talks to invest in Fisker. Nissan was considering making the Fisker Alaska truck at a U.S. plant — a deal that would come with a $400-million investment, Reuters first reported. Fisker did not confirm the reports.

Fisker announced this week that it secured a $3.5 million short-term loan, as it continues to operate and sell its midsize Ocean SUV. The note is due June 24 and has the potential to increase to $7.5 million.

The Ocean, a competitor to Tesla’s Model Y, was released last year to mixed reviews; some praised its build and styling, but the car has been plagued by software glitches.

The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has four investigations into the vehicle, including one opened this month after complaints that the SUV’s automatic emergency braking system randomly triggered.

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Other probes are looking into reports that a door on the Ocean will not open and complaints about a loss of braking performance. The company has said it is working with the regulator.

Fisker said this week that it had added three dealers to its networks in California and New Jersey, which it began building after a plan to sell direct to consumers — like Tesla does — didn’t pan out. It also announced additional price cuts on some Ocean models.

In March, Fisker slashed the price on its entire lineup of 2023 Oceans by more than 30%. The company also said that it had paused production at its contract manufacturing plant in Austria, which produced about 10,200 Oceans last year.

Fisker was founded in 2016 by noted car designer Henrik Fisker, who has said the Ocean was inspired by California. The SUV features a full-length solar roof, an interior composed of “vegan” recycled plastic and a drop-down rear window that can fit a surf board.

Fisker is not the only startup that has been struggling amid a slowdown in the domestic market for electric vehicles and a rise in interest rates.

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Rivian Automotive, an Irvine maker of electric trucks, has informed state officials it will lay off more than 120 employees beginning in June. In February, the company announced it was cutting 10% of its workforce. The company’s shares have lost more than half of their value since last year.

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