Business
Column: Did business leaders do enough to head off Trump's tariff saber-rattling? Obviously not
Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence H. Summers posted some well-chosen words Saturday about Donald Trump’s bewildering and pointless tariff war, which had been launched earlier that day.
In a string of tweets he called the 25% tariffs Trump proposed on goods from Canada and Mexico “inexplicable and dangerous,” joined the near-unanimous chorus of economists in predicting that the tariffs would raise domestic prices on “automobiles, gasoline, and all kinds of things that people buy,” and noted that the arbitrary imposition of tariffs would lead other countries to view the U.S. as a “bad partner,” which will “undermine our economy, our power and our national security.”
The tariffs, Summers wrote, are “an important test for the business community,” which knows that “this is not a pro-business strategy … I hope business leaders have the courage to say so.”
CEOs have kept their powder dry from public discourse knowing that Trump hates the humiliation of being trapped in a corner and can lash out like a wounded animal.
— Jeffrey A. Sonnenfeld, Yale
If only.
Summers’ plea came late, after the tariffs were announced. But with a few notable exceptions, America’s business leaders were silent about the sheer madness of Trump’s launching a trade war without legitimate justification.
In the months, weeks and days before the announcement, they spoke vaguely about how they would navigate tariff barriers affecting their own industries, but little about the broader ramifications. And even the fiercest critics of the tariffs bent a knee to Trump’s ostensible but exaggerated rationale for the tariffs, the flow of fentanyl and undocumented workers coming into the U.S. from Canada and Mexico.
For the most part, the business community’s pushback against tariffs played out via news releases covered largely by the business press, if at all. The impending economic crisis warranted a more direct response in which business leaders tried to seize the stage back from Trump, outlining in ways that ordinary Americans would understand the costs that every American household will shoulder if the tariffs continue.
They didn’t do that.
Business leaders may have calculated that Trump’s breast-beating about imposing higher tariffs was just talk, or part of a negotiating strategy. As it happened, they appear to be right. Monday, hours before the tariffs were to take effect, Trump backed away, agreeing to pause the tariffs for a month, pending negotiations with both cross-border partners.
But Trump’s actions rattled the financial markets, which didn’t fully recover losses sustained while the tariffs appeared to be imminent. Also rattled was the faith of foreign governments in America’s steadfastness, which may not recover as long as Trump is in the White House.
“CEOs have kept their powder dry from public discourse knowing that Trump hates the humiliation of being trapped in a corner and can lash out like a wounded animal,” says Yale business professor Jeffrey A. Sonnenfeld, whose insights into chief executive thinking are unmatched.
Let’s go deeper into the business community’s unsuccessful campaign, such as it was, against the tariffs.
On Saturday, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce called foul on Trump’s citing the Carter-era International Emergency Economic Powers Act as the statute giving him unilateral authority to impose tariffs by citing an “emergency situation” caused by “illegal aliens and drugs” coming from beyond the border.
“The imposition of tariffs under IEEPA is unprecedented, won’t solve these problems, and will only raise prices for American families and upend supply chains, chamber Senior Vice President John Murphy said.
On Jan. 16, in her annual address on the state of American business, chamber CEO Suzanne P. Clark warned that “blanket tariffs would worsen the cost-of-living crisis, forcing Americans to pay even more for daily essentials like groceries, gas, furniture, appliances, and clothing. And retaliation by our trading partners will hit our farmers and manufacturers hard, with ripple effects across the economy.”
The National Assn. of Manufacturers also issued a strongly worded response, noting that “a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico threatens to upend the very supply chains that have made U.S. manufacturing more competitive globally. The ripple effects will be severe, particularly for small and medium-sized manufacturers that lack the flexibility and capital to rapidly find alternative suppliers or absorb skyrocketing energy costs. These businesses — employing millions of American workers — will face significant disruptions.”
From there, however, there’s a sharp drop-off in the vigor of comments from American industry about tariffs with the potential to upend the global economy. At General Motors, the American automaker most exposed to the impact of the tariffs, CEO Mary Barra wanly addressed the issue during the company’s fourth-quarter earnings announcement conference call Jan. 28.
Barra noted in response to a question that GM builds trucks in Mexico and Canada, “so we can look at where the international markets are being sourced from. So there’s plays that we can do on that perspective to minimize the impact if there are tariffs either on Canada or Mexico…. We’re doing the planning and have several levers that we can pull.”
That was it; no observations about tariff policy itself or its broader economic implications.
A spokesperson told me Monday that the company had “no new statements … at this time” and referred me to its trade groups, the Alliance for Automotive Innovation and the American Automotive Policy Council.
The council has merely asked that its cars and parts be exempted from any new tariffs without making any observations about the consequences of a tariff war. On Saturday, the alliance observed that “seamless automotive trade in North America accounts for $300 billion in economic value” and added, “We look forward to working with the administration on solutions that achieve the president’s goals and preserve a healthy, competitive auto industry in America.”
Drug overdose deaths have been falling sharply since mid-2023, raising questions about Trump’s rationale for tariffs at the Mexican and Canadian borders.
(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)
I’ve written before that counting on corporate leaders to stand firm against policy threats to American democracy or the U.S. economy is a mug’s game. But these tariffs took direct aim at American businesses, which should have gotten them more stirred up.
The Business Roundtable, an organization of CEOs of top U.S. corporations, was especially mealymouthed. In a statement issued Sunday, it said, “We agree with the President’s goals of securing our borders and stopping the flow of illegal drugs into the country…. Business Roundtable hopes that Mexico, Canada and the U.S. can quickly reach a deal to strengthen security at the border.”
I asked the Roundtable whether it had anything to add, and got a rather snarky response from Michael Steel, its head of communications, that my question “seems a bit OTBE’ed at the moment.”
Steel meant “overtaken by events,” by which he was referring to an announcement Monday that Trump had decided to put Mexican tariffs on hold for a month, based on Mexico’s purported agreement to send 10,000 troops to the border.
As it happens, Mexico had already reached a similar agreement with the Biden administration without Biden’s having had to threaten to trash the global economy. There’s no indication that the 10,000 troops will be additional to the 15,000 troops deployed earlier. Trump is also said to be planning a talk with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
Could American CEOs have headed off the tariffs chaos either by a more focused publicity campaign or more jawboning with Trump? That’s impossible to say, in part because business leaders haven’t been out in front of Trump’s tariff policy in any broadly public way, and because no one can be sure why Trump had decided to impose steep tariffs on America’s most important trading partners without provocation.
More than two dozen CEOs had contacted Trump privately, Sonnenfeld told me, but their efforts to dissuade him plainly didn’t stop him from announcing the tariffs.
The corporate reaction to Trump’s tariff obsession shows that business leaders are still afraid of confronting Trump directly even as his policies threaten to erode their sales and profits, not to mention to undermine the rule of law in the U.S. in ways they will regret.
We know this because even the sternest statements from business organizations embraced Trump’s stated rationale of securing the borders. As a preface to its statement objecting to the tariffs, the Chamber of Commerce said “the President is right to focus on major problems like our broken border and the scourge of fentanyl.”
This isn’t an expression of fact about the border; it’s a shibboleth, designed to communicate that, all things considered, the chamber is still down with Trump’s leadership in general terms.
The truth is that Trump’s rationalizations don’t stand up to scrutiny. Under Biden, enforcement at the Mexican border was sharply stepped up, with 54,000 “encounters” recorded in September 2024, down from 250,000 in December 2023, according to the Migrant Policy Institute. In part this was the result of stronger enforcement by the Mexican government.
On fentanyl, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Drug Enforcement Administration both documented major victories in stemming the flow of illegal fentanyl into the country and sharply reduced overdose deaths. Drug overdoses peaked at about 114,000 in the year that ended June 2023, were down to less than 90,000 in the year that ended August 2024 and seemed destined to continue falling. Trump has claimed that 300,000 people are dying every year from drugs smuggled from Mexico, but that figure has never been true.
Nor is fentanyl smuggling a significant issue on the Canadian border; in fiscal 2024, U.S. agencies seized 21,000 pounds of fentanyl at the Mexican border, but only 43 pounds at the Canadian border.
All this points to the basic instability of American foreign relations in the Trump regime. Our business leaders need to acknowledge that such a situation won’t be good for anybody, and poses a particular threat to our relations with countries that have been loyal allies of the U.S.
That gives new meaning to the quip once offered by Henry Kissinger, in a different context: “It may be dangerous to be America’s enemy, but to be America’s friend is fatal.”
Business
Versant launches, Comcast spins off E!, CNBC and MS NOW
Comcast has officially spun off its cable channels, including CNBC and MS NOW, into a separate company, Versant Media Group.
The transaction was completed late Friday. On Monday, Versant took a major tumble in its stock market debut — providing a key test of investors’ willingness to hold on to legacy cable channels.
The initial outlook wasn’t pretty, providing awkward moments for CNBC anchors reporting the story.
Versant fell 13% to $40.57 a share on its inaugural trading day. The stock opened Monday on Nasdaq at $45.17 per share.
Comcast opted to cast off the still-profitable cable channels, except for the perennially popular Bravo, as Wall Street has soured on the business, which has been contracting amid a consumer shift to streaming.
Versant’s market performance will be closely watched as Warner Bros. Discovery attempts to separate its cable channels, including CNN, TBS and Food Network, from Warner Bros. studios and HBO later this year. Warner Chief Executive David Zaslav’s plan, which is scheduled to take place in the summer, is being contested by the Ellison family’s Paramount, which has launched a hostile bid for all of Warner Bros. Discovery.
Warner Bros. Discovery has agreed to sell itself to Netflix in an $82.7-billion deal.
The market’s distaste for cable channels has been playing out in recent years. Paramount found itself on the auction block two years ago, in part because of the weight of its struggling cable channels, including Nickelodeon, Comedy Central and MTV.
Management of the New York-based Versant, including longtime NBCUniversal sports and television executive Mark Lazarus, has been bullish on the company’s balance sheet and its prospects for growth. Versant also includes USA Network, Golf Channel, Oxygen, E!, Syfy, Fandango, Rotten Tomatoes, GolfNow, GolfPass and SportsEngine.
“As a standalone company, we enter the market with the scale, strategy and leadership to grow and evolve our business model,” Lazarus, who is Versant’s chief executive, said Monday in a statement.
Through the spin-off, Comcast shareholders received one share of Versant Class A common stock or Versant Class B common stock for every 25 shares of Comcast Class A common stock or Comcast Class B common stock, respectively. The Versant shares were distributed after the close of Comcast trading Friday.
Comcast gained about 3% on Monday, trading around $28.50.
Comcast Chairman Brian Roberts holds 33% of Versant’s controlling shares.
Business
Ties between California and Venezuela go back more than a century with Chevron
As a stunned world processes the U.S. government’s sudden intervention in Venezuela — debating its legality, guessing who the ultimate winners and losers will be — a company founded in California with deep ties to the Golden State could be among the prime beneficiaries.
Venezuela has the largest proven oil reserves on the planet. Chevron, the international petroleum conglomerate with a massive refinery in El Segundo and headquartered, until recently, in San Ramon, is the only foreign oil company that has continued operating there through decades of revolution.
Other major oil companies, including ConocoPhillips and Exxon Mobil, pulled out of Venezuela in 2007 when then-President Hugo Chávez required them to surrender majority ownership of their operations to the country’s state-controlled oil company, PDVSA.
But Chevron remained, playing the “long game,” according to industry analysts, hoping to someday resume reaping big profits from the investments the company started making there almost a century ago.
Looks like that bet might finally pay off.
In his news conference Saturday, after U.S. Special Forces snatched Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas and extradited them to face drug-trafficking charges in New York, President Trump said the U.S. would “run” Venezuela and open more of its massive oil reserves to American corporations.
“We’re going to have our very large U.S. oil companies, the biggest anywhere in the world, go in, spend billions of dollars, fix the badly broken infrastructure, the oil infrastructure, and start making money for the country,” Trump said during a news conference Saturday.
While oil industry analysts temper expectations by warning it could take years to start extracting significant profits given Venezuela’s long-neglected, dilapidated infrastructure, and everyday Venezuelans worry about the proceeds flowing out of the country and into the pockets of U.S. investors, there’s one group who could be forgiven for jumping with unreserved joy: Chevron insiders who championed the decision to remain in Venezuela all these years.
But the company’s official response to the stunning turn of events has been poker-faced.
“Chevron remains focused on the safety and well-being of our employees, as well as the integrity of our assets,” spokesman Bill Turenne emailed The Times on Sunday, the same statement the company sent to news outlets all weekend. “We continue to operate in full compliance with all relevant laws and regulations.”
Turenne did not respond to questions about the possible financial rewards for the company stemming from this weekend’s U.S. military action.
Chevron, which is a direct descendant of a small oil company founded in Southern California in the 1870s, has grown into a $300-billion global corporation. It was headquartered in San Ramon, just outside of San Francisco, until executives announced in August 2024 that they were fleeing high-cost California for Houston.
Texas’ relatively low taxes and light regulation have been a beacon for many California companies, and most of Chevron’s competitors are based there.
Chevron began exploring in Venezuela in the early 1920s, according to the company’s website, and ramped up operations after discovering the massive Boscan oil field in the 1940s. Over the decades, it grew into Venezuela’s largest foreign investor.
The company held on over the decades as Venezuela’s government moved steadily to the left; it began to nationalize the oil industry by creating a state-owned petroleum company in 1976, and then demanded majority ownership of foreign oil assets in 2007, under then-President Hugo Chávez.
Venezuela has the world’s largest proven crude oil reserves — meaning they’re economical to tap — about 303 billion barrels, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
But even with those massive reserves, Venezuela has been producing less than 1% of the world’s crude oil supply. Production has steadily declined from the 3.5 million barrels per day pumped in 1999 to just over 1 million barrels per day now.
Currently, Chevron’s operations in Venezuela employ about 3,000 people and produce between 250,000 and 300,000 barrels of oil per day, according to published reports.
That’s less than 10% of the roughly 3 million barrels the company produces from holdings scattered across the globe, from the Gulf of Mexico to Kazakhstan and Australia.
But some analysts are optimistic that Venezuela could double or triple its current output relatively quickly — which could lead to a windfall for Chevron.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Business
‘Stranger Things’ finale turns box office downside up pulling in an estimated $25 million
The finale of Netflix’s blockbuster series “Stranger Things” gave movie theaters a much needed jolt, generating an estimated $20 to $25 million at the box office, according to multiple reports.
Matt and Ross Duffer’s supernatural thriller debuted simultaneously on the streaming platform and some 600 cinemas on New Year’s Eve and held encore showings all through New Year’s Day.
Owing to the cast’s contractual terms for residuals, theaters could not charge for tickets. Instead, fans reserved seats for performances directly from theaters, paying for mandatory food and beverage vouchers. AMC and Cinemark Theatres charged $20 for the concession vouchers while Regal Cinemas charged $11 — in homage to the show’s lead character, Eleven, played by Millie Bobby Brown.
AMC Theatres, the world’s largest theater chain, played the finale at 231 of its theaters across the U.S. — which accounted for one-third of all theaters that held screenings over the holiday.
The chain said that more than 753,000 viewers attended a performance at one of its cinemas over two days, bringing in more than $15 million.
Expectations for the theater showing was high.
“Our year ends on a high: Netflix’s Strangers Things series finale to show in many AMC theatres this week. Two days only New Year’s Eve and Jan 1.,” tweeted AMC’s CEO Adam Aron on Dec. 30. “Theatres are packed. Many sellouts but seats still available. How many Stranger Things tickets do you think AMC will sell?”
It was a rare win for the lagging domestic box office.
In 2025, revenue in the U.S. and Canada was expected to reach $8.87 billion, which was marginally better than 2024 and only 20% more than pre-pandemic levels, according to movie data firm Comscore.
With few exceptions, moviegoers have stayed home. As of Dec. 25., only an estimated 760 million tickets were sold, according to media and entertainment data firm EntTelligence, compared with 2024, during which total ticket sales exceeded 800 million.
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