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Experts divided on Kentucky’s NCAA Tournament prospects

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Experts divided on Kentucky’s NCAA Tournament prospects


With the NCAA Tournament just around the corner, the Kentucky Wildcats’ chances of making a deep run are being hotly debated by experts and analysts. Opinions are split, as injury issues and inconsistent performances throughout the season have clouded the Wildcats’ outlook.

Second-Round Exits Predicted by Many

A significant number of analysts are predicting an early exit for Kentucky, with most projecting a loss in the second round. ESPN’s Jeff Borzello has the Wildcats defeating Troy 88-74 in the first round but falling to Illinois in a nail-biter, 87-85. Similarly, The Athletic’s CJ Moore isn’t convinced Kentucky can overcome the Illini, citing injury concerns.

“Illinois has been a wild ride this year,” Moore wrote. “Every time I start to believe in the Illini, they give me good reason to jump off the bandwagon. But they have been much better with a healthy Tomislav Ivisic. Kentucky, meanwhile, is limping into the tournament and has been injury-riddled all season. If Lamont Butler were back to his usual self, I’d maybe lean Kentucky, but it doesn’t seem like his shoulder is ever going to be the same.”

Jay Williams, an ESPN analyst and former Duke star, isn’t optimistic about Kentucky’s chances either, predicting the Wildcats will lose in the Round of 32 to either Texas or Xavier. Molly Qerim, host of First Take, also doubts Kentucky’s staying power, picking them to lose to Illinois in the second round.

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CBS Sports’ Gary Parrish and The Field of 68 John Fanta also share the sentiment of an early exit, while Kyle Boone of SB Nation and Kevin Sweeney of Sports Illustrated agree that Illinois will likely end Kentucky’s run in the second round.

Sweet 16 and Elite Eight Hopes

Not everyone is predicting doom and gloom for the Wildcats, though. CBS Sports’ Matt Norlander believes Kentucky can overcome Tennessee to reach the Elite Eight, though he doesn’t see them getting past Houston.

“Offense beating defense, and I’m making this pick specifically because I think if Lamont Butler is healthy enough, they’ve got the depth and the style of play,” Norlander said. “I will trust Kentucky to get it done this season.”

College basketball legend and analyst Dick Vitale, affectionately known as “Dickie V,” sees Kentucky’s journey ending in the Sweet 16 against Tennessee, along with ESPN’s Elle Duncan has the Wildcats advancing to the Sweet 16 but losing to Tennessee,

Several other analysts, including The Sporting News’ Mike DeCourcy and Bill Bender, have Kentucky reaching the Sweet 16 before bowing out. Pat Forde from Sports Illustrated and Rickey O’Donnell from SB Nation also picked the Wildcats to advance to the Sweet 16 but no further.

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According to FanDuel, Kentucky’s odd to make it to the Final Four are +1000.

In addition, FanDuel is offering a Dog of the Day Jackpot:

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  • Lowest seed = Higher number (16, 15, 14, 13, etc.)

A Bold Final Four Prediction

In contrast to the skepticism, The Athletic’s Lindsay Schnell has made the boldest prediction by picking Kentucky to reach the Final Four. Schnell acknowledged the risk of picking a team with so many injuries but expressed confidence in head coach Mark Pope and the team’s ability to overcome adversity.

“Picking a bracket is only fun if you’re willing to take chances, and with that in mind, I present the Final Four-bound Kentucky Wildcats,” Schnell wrote. “Am I second-guessing my decision upon remembering that Jaxson Robinson is out for the season? Yes. But I’m going all in on Mark Pope, Amari Williams, and Otega Oweh.”

College Gameday Crew Skeptical

The College Gameday crew wasn’t as optimistic, with none of the panelists picking Kentucky to make the Elite Eight. Jay Bilas, in particular, cited injury concerns, despite Mark Pope’s assurance that Lamont Butler would return for the tournament.

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With predictions all over the map, one thing is clear: Kentucky’s potential run in March Madness will depend heavily on their health and ability to perform under pressure. The Wildcats open tournament play as the No. 3 seed against No. 14 seed Troy on Friday night.



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Kentucky’s ‘Cornbread Mafia’ documentary to debut at SXSW film festival

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Kentucky’s ‘Cornbread Mafia’ documentary to debut at SXSW film festival


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An infamous chapter in Kentucky history will make its big screen debut at the renowned 2026 SXSW Film & TV Festival, held in Austin, Texas in March.

Part true crime, part cartoon — and featuring a whole lot of weed — festival organizers announced that “Cornbread Mafia,” directed by Louisville native Evan Mascagni and produced by Merry-Kay Poe, CEO of Unbridled Films, will make its world premiere at the annual event.

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“This is a true Kentucky grown story and we are really excited and honored to have the film included in the lineup at the 2026 SXSW,” Poe told the Courier Journal. “This is the second largest film festival in the country after Sundance so it’s a big deal for the project and the Kentucky film industry.”

The festival will be the Kentucky-made documentary’s world premiere, telling the true story of the Cornbread Mafia, a group of Kentucky farmers, all sons of tobacco farmers, moonshiners, and bootleggers, who built the largest domestic marijuana syndicate in U.S. history.

What followed was straight out of Kentucky folklore: lion cubs on the farm, backroad police chases, and a code of silence that baffled prosecutors. Part true crime and part cartoon, the film blends community, the war on drugs, and a whole lot of weed with the humor and heart of the folks who lived it.

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The Cornbread Mafia was run by Johnny Boone, a charismatic modern-day folk hero who came to be known as the “Godfather of Grass.” Boone died in 2024 but several living members of the group, including Joe Keith Bickett, Jimmy Bickett, and Bobby Joe Shewmaker, will attend the SXSW film premiere in March and sit on a panel.

“Cornbread Mafia” is scheduled to screen three times at SXSW on March 12, 16 and 18.

“After ‘Cornbread Mafia’ screens at the festival, our plan is to sell the documentary to a streaming service,” Poe said. “We’d also like to created a scripted series. It’s such a crazy story.”

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The SXSW Festival, founded in 1987, features conferences, festivals and workshops and is known as a major destination for innovation. The 2026 SXSW Festival runs March 12-18.

Reach features reporter Kirby Adams at kadams@courier-journal.com.



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The First King of Kentucky Small Batch Collection Debuts in 3 Distinct Proofs

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The First King of Kentucky Small Batch Collection Debuts in 3 Distinct Proofs


Brown-Forman is expanding its ultra-limited King of Kentucky bourbon with a new Small Batch Collection, marking the brand’s first move beyond single barrels since its reintroduction in 2018. The three-bottle series is blended from barrels aged 12 to 18 years and will be released at three proof points: 105, 107.5, and 110.



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Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Injury Report: Same 3 names appear

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Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Injury Report: Same 3 names appear


The Kentucky Wildcats return to Rupp Arena tomorrow night as they welcome the Oklahoma Sooners to town. Posting the worst record in the SEC at the moment, Porter Moser and his squad will be coming into Lexington looking for a signature win.

With some momentum rolling for the Cats after winning in Fayetteville, Mark Pope and his team will once again have the same roster available. In tonight’s injury report, Kentucky once again has listed Kam Williams, Jaland Lowe, and Jayden Quaintance as out.

For the Sooners, they will have their full roster available.

As the season starts to wrap up, it feels like the rope for a JQ return is getting shorter and shorter. Making the big question: Will we see Kam Williams return to the court this season? That is a long shot, but it would be a huge addition if he does return.

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Time to get another win in the SEC.

Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Injury Report



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