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As new college sports landscape takes shape, here’s why commitment flips are more common
The No. 15 Missouri Tigers have another challenge in the SEC in front of them, this time against the No. 4 Tennessee Volunteers in Knoxville, Tennessee.
Tennessee, despite its four SEC losses, plays basketball like one of the best teams in the country, hence the ranking. They held the top spot in the AP Poll for five weeks until a blowout loss to the Florida Gators, one that took many by surprise. They added three more SEC losses after that, but despite the defeats, are still playing at a high level.
Beating anyone in Knoxville will not be easy. They have only one loss at home to the Kentucky Wildcats by a narrow 78-73 margin. Outside of that game, Tennessee has done as good a job as anyone, including the Missouri Tigers, at protecting home court.
That being said, here are three things to know about the fourth-ranked Volunteers ahead of Missouri’s road test against them:
Simply put, the Volunteers are one of the best defensive teams in the country. In fact, KenPom lists them as the top defensive team in the nation with the best defensive efficiency ranking of 85.4 with a three-score advantage over the second-place team.
The Volunteers are also allowing the lowest points per game of any team in the SEC at 58.6. They force 13.4 turnovers per game as well. Tennessee’s defensive intensity and desire to play hard-nosed defense is impressive and legitimately better than everyone in the country. There’s a catch to that intense defense, however.
That catch is on the offensive side of the ball. The Volunteers are not as talented when it comes to scoring the ball as others in the SEC, scoring the second-lowest points per game in the conference. KenPom also lists them as the No. 40 best defense in the country.
The vast difference between the levels of play on both sides of the ball for Tennessee is puzzling and is probably what is holding them back from turning those wins into losses. They have talented scorers in the likes of Chaz Lanier, Jordan Gainey and Igor Milicic Jr. but still struggle to put the ball in the hoop.
In a conference where scoring is so important, it’s impressive that Tennessee has hung around and dominated like they have nationally and in the SEC. Not doing that at a high level will hold them back late in SEC play and in March Madness, two areas Tennessee would presumably like to find success in.
As of now, with a lone injury and a surprising mid-season transfer, the Volunteers have eight players who consistently earn minutes each game. The core starting five of Zakai Zeigler, Gainey, Lanier, Milicic and big man Felix Okpara are a solid group of five to lean on with Darlinstone Dubar, Cade Phillips and Jahmai Mashack to fall back on.
Milicic and Zeigler were both injured in a 20-point blowout against and were both kept off the initial injury report for the game. A group of eight players isn’t bad for the SEC, but when injuries plague them, life gets harder.
The Missouri Tigers are the exact opposite. At certain points, each scholarship player on the roster was playing in a given game. That number has narrowed out to 10 or 11 players now but head coach Dennis Gates is absolutely not afraid to dig into his bench.
The Volunteers were undefeated and deemed the top team in the country for a five-week stretch before a shocking blowout loss against Florida. They dropped another 11 days later in Nashville against the Vanderbilt Commodores, then lost two more back-to-back against Auburn and Kentucky.
Vanderbilt was the only unranked team they’ve lost to so far. They played arguably the best they have all season and Tennessee simply wasn’t ready for it. The win also thrust Vanderbilt into the top 25 for a week.
The point being, Tennessee has shown vulnerabilities in conference play. It will take a Mississippi State-tier offensive performance for the Tigers to leave Knoxville with a victory, something they’ve proven they can do. Another road win for the Tigers would certainly legitimize its season and would send a scare to the Volunteers,
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The Dallas-area’s most up-and-down recruiting saga from the Class of 2026 has its latest twist.
North Forney four-star athlete Legend Bey has requested his letter of release from Tennessee, according to reporting from Rivals’ Sam Spiegelman.
“They are waiting for Tennessee to confirm this,” Spiegelman said of the request Sunday on The Inside Scoop podcast. “This could come as early as today, tomorrow. This is in the works.”
Bey signed with Tennessee on early national signing day, flipping from his November 10 commitment to Ohio State on early national signing day. He had originally committed to the Volunteers in June. However, reports emerged soon after his signing that Bey wanted to sign with the Buckeyes but landed at Tennessee because of pressure from his family.
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The possibility that Bey might seek a release was first reported Dec. 4, with reports suggesting that Tennessee would grant the request given the tumultuous recruiting process.
If the release is granted, Bey may have to wait to turn 18 years old before he can sign for Ohio State without parental approval.
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LOUISVILLE, Ky. – Louisville (9-1, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Tennessee (7-3, 0-0 SEC) on Tuesday, Dec. 16 at 7:00 p.m. EST at Thompson-Boling Arena. Here’s how the Cardinals stack up against the Volunteers:
*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*
|
Tennessee |
Louisville |
|
|---|---|---|
|
AP/USAT |
20th/20th |
11th/11th |
|
SOS |
38th |
89th |
|
SOR |
47th |
13th |
|
NET |
36th |
11th |
|
RPI |
50th |
41st |
|
BPI |
18th |
6th |
|
KenPom |
18th |
10th |
|
Torvik |
18th |
10th |
|
EvanMiya |
20th |
12th |
|
Tennessee |
Louisville |
|
|---|---|---|
|
Points |
Ja’Kobi Gillespie (17.3) |
Ryan Conwell (19.4) |
|
Rebounds |
Nate Ament (7.1) |
Sananda Fru (6.2) |
|
Assists |
Ja’Kobi Gillespie (5.4) |
Mikel Brown Jr. (5.1) |
|
Steals |
Bishop Boswell (1.9) |
Kobe Rodgers (1.3) |
|
Blocks |
Felix Okpara (1.7) |
Sananda Fru (1.2) |
|
Tennessee |
Louisville |
|
|---|---|---|
|
Points Per Game |
80.9 |
94.3 |
|
Field Goal % |
46.8 |
47.9 |
|
FGM/FGA Per Game |
28.9/61.7 |
30.4/63.5 |
|
Three Point % |
34.6 |
37.5 |
|
3PTM/3PTA |
7.4/21.4 |
13.2/35.2 |
|
Free Throw % |
72.7 |
77.8 |
|
FTM/FTA Per Game |
15.7/21.6 |
20.3/26.1 |
|
Tennessee |
Louisville |
|
|---|---|---|
|
Rebounds Per Game |
43.3 |
42.6 |
|
Off. Reb. Per Game |
15.6 |
12.7 |
|
Def. Reb. Per Game |
27.7 |
29.9 |
|
Rebound Margin |
12.9 |
8.0 |
|
Tennessee |
Louisville |
|
|---|---|---|
|
Opp. Points Per Game |
66.0 |
68.1 |
|
Opp. FG% |
38.5 |
37.8 |
|
Opp. 3PT% |
29.7 |
29.6 |
|
Steals Per Game |
7.5 |
8.1 |
|
Blocks Per Game |
3.7 |
3.8 |
|
Turnovers Forced Per Game |
12.4 |
13.9 |
|
Tennessee |
Louisville |
|
|---|---|---|
|
Assists Per Game |
18.8 |
19.7 |
|
Turnovers Per Game |
13.2 |
10.9 |
|
Turnover Margin |
0.8 |
3.0 |
|
Assist/Turnover Ratio |
1.42 |
1.81 |
– ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN’s Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have a 57.8 percent chance to win against the Volunteers. Louisville has a BPI rating of 22.0 (6th overall), whereas Tennessee has a BPI rating of 16.9 (18th overall).
– KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 49 percent chance to take down the Volunteers, with a projected final score of 80-79 in favor of UT. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +27.72 (10th overall), whereas Tennessee has an adjusted efficiency margin of +23.10 (18th overall).
– Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 43 percent chance to take down the Vols, with a projected final score of 80-78 in favor of UT. Louisville has a “Barthag” of .9451 (10th overall), whereas Tennessee has a “Barthag” of .9253 (18th overall).
– Personal Prediction: Louisville 83, Tennessee 82.
(Photo of Kasean Pryor: Jamie Rhodes – Imagn Images)
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You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter/X and @mattmcgavic.bsky.social on Bluesky

On this week’s episode of The RTI Low Down, Bob Baskerville and Chris Low are diving into a huge week for the Tennessee Football program.
The guys start the show by discussing the Vols’ big move to fire Tim Banks and the splash hire in acquiring defensive coordinator Jim Knowles.
Bob and Chris are then joined by VFL and SEC Legend Kevin Burnett to talk about his time on Rocky Top, his thoughts on playing under defensive coordinators, Josh Heupel’s current team, and more.
The guys close down the show by breaking down Tennessee’s 2026 schedule, Vol Hoops’ tough test on the hardwood this week, and much more. Download and subscribe TODAY!
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The RTI Low-Down is brought to you by the Tate Insurance Group. Find out more information at www.tateinsurancegroup.com
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YouTube –
0:00 Intro
8:30 Tennessee Fires Tim Banks, Hires Jim Knowles
21:25 VFL Kevin Burnett Talks Vol Football!
43:20 UT 2026 Schedule
50:17 Tennessee Basketball Faces Huge Test on Tuesday
1:01:06 Close
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