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What Are The Scenarios After Indiana Dropped In The College Football Rankings?

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What Are The Scenarios After Indiana Dropped In The College Football Rankings?


BLOOMINGTON, Ind. – Indiana’s football rise into the national elite has been such a dizzying, intoxicating ride that it felt like it might never end.

Alas, No. 2 Ohio State dealt the Hoosiers a reality check with a dominant 38-15 victory Saturday at Ohio Stadium.

Most Indiana observers understood that a splash of water in the metaphorical face of Indiana football was likely when the College Football Playoff rankings came out.

Once revealed? It was a pretty cold splash that hit the Hoosiers late Tuesday night.

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Indiana (10-1) fell to the No. 10 spot in the rankings. Six one-loss teams (Ohio State, Texas, Penn State, Notre Dame, Miami, SMU) and two two-loss teams (Georgia, Tennessee) are ahead of the Hoosiers. Indiana is rated the worst of the one-loss Power Four conference teams.

Because of the way the College Football Playoff bracket is constructed, Indiana is the last team in the 12-team field. Two teams ranked lower than Indiana would make the field as projected conference champions.

It’s a precarious position for Indiana as its margin for error has been exhausted. Still, there are plenty of happy and heartbreaking outcomes to consider as the college football season gets closer to its pre-Playoff climax.

Here’s a few scenarios to consider after the College Football Playoff committee set the latest pecking order Tuesday.

The best-case scenario

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• If Indiana wants to go for the glory? Apart from the obvious win Indiana needs over Purdue, Hoosiers fans can hope for a Michigan win over Ohio State and a Maryland victory at Penn State. That would put Indiana into the Big Ten championship game against Oregon. A win in that game would give Indiana a bye into the College Football Playoff quarterfinals.

However, the risk in that is that if the Hoosiers were to lose, they could be out of the CFP field altogether depending on what happens elsewhere. High reward, but high risk, too.

For Indiana to get back into the playoff hosting picture? The Hoosiers probably need at least two of the following results: Georgia loses at home to Georgia Tech on Friday night, Tennessee loses at Vanderbilt, Miami loses at Syracuse, SMU loses to California at home or Notre Dame loses at Southern California on Saturday.

After the upsets that took place in Week 13? Stranger things have happened.

The most realistic good scenario

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Omar Cooper Jr.

Indiana Hoosiers wide receiver Omar Cooper Jr. (3) celebrates scoring a touchdown during the second quarter against the Washington Huskies at Memorial Stadium. / Jacob Musselman-Imagn Images

• If your best-case scenario is to beat Purdue, but lose the risk of incurring a second loss by missing the Big Ten championship game? It’s as simple as beating the Boilermakers on Saturday night. Given that Indiana are currently 28.5 point favorites, that is a solid probability.

However, Indiana is looking over its shoulder, too. No. 12-ranked Clemson lurks behind the Hoosiers and has a chance at a quality win when the Tigers host rival South Carolina Saturday. Though the Gamecocks are also lurking in the No. 15 spot, it would do Indiana a world of good to have South Carolina get Clemson off Indiana’s rear bumper.

The worst-case scenario

• This is simple: Indiana loses to Purdue. Barring a litany of upsets elsewhere, a loss to the Boilermakers would be a mortal blow to the Hoosiers’ CFP hopes.

Another worst-case scenario would be if Indiana beat Purdue, but Texas A&M beat Texas to make it to the SEC championship game and then pulled a major upset in that contest against Georgia.

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That would put the Aggies in the CFP field as a bid-stealer and knock every other team down a notch. If Indiana was still on the bubble, this would cause it to burst.

The most realistic bad scenario

Clemson football

Clemson Tigers wide receiver Antonio Williams (0) runs after a catch against The Citadel Bulldogs defensive back Kaleb Bowen during the second quarter at Memorial Stadium. Clemson is lurking behind the Hoosiers as a College Football Playoff contender. / Ken Ruinard-Imagn Images

• Indiana beats Purdue, but not convincingly. A two-touchdown win or less is going to reflect poorly on the Hoosiers. Like it or not, style points matter.

If Indiana squeaked by the Boilermakers, in combination with a Clemson win over South Carolina and no upsets in front of them, it would be high time for Hoosiers fans to start to sweat.

Add in an Alabama win over Auburn and/or an Ole Miss victory over Mississippi State? The Hoosiers might survive it all, but the conference championship games and the reveal of final rankings on Dec. 8 would be a white-knuckle experience for Indiana.

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The most ambiguous scenario

• Indiana beats Purdue, but once again, not convincingly. However, some of the teams ahead of Indiana also lose.

Any loss by either Georgia or Tennessee would be trouble for either team as it would be their third defeat. SMU has had a great season, but the Mustangs would take a hit if they lost at home to California. Similarly, Miami has just one loss, but the Hurricanes have won their share of close shootouts during the season.

Add in wins by Clemson, Alabama and Ole Miss? Perhaps toss in a Texas A&M victory over Texas that would put the potential bid-stealing Aggies in the SEC championship game? The CFP committee would have one heckuva Gordian knot to untangle going into the conference championship games.



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Top-rated freshman focused on one big thing before Indiana basketball season

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Top-rated freshman focused on one big thing before Indiana basketball season


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  • Indiana freshman Vaughn Karvala is focused on adding weight and strength to his 6-foot-7 frame.
  • Karvala was a highly-ranked recruit who averaged 26.5 points and 9.5 rebounds in his junior season in high school.
  • He believes his athleticism and shooting ability will allow him to contribute to the team immediately.
  • Karvala is preparing for the physicality of college basketball by challenging himself against bigger teammates.

BLOOMINGTON — Whatever he can.

That’s the answer. The question — one prompted by an urgency to add strength to his game — is what Vaughn Karvala, Indiana basketball’s athletic freshman wing, is doing to add weight. IU’s highest-ranked signee in the 2026 class, it’s not hard to envision a role for Karvala in Darian DeVries’ second season in Bloomington. The player himself knows that starts with meeting the physical demands of the college game.

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Which starts with building onto to his 6-foot-7, 190-pound frame.

“The biggest thing for me is just putting on weight,” Karvala told reporters after practice Thursday. “That’s my biggest thing, getting stronger, trying to play with these guys that are three, four years older than me. I have to get stronger, I have to get faster, everything.”

A three-year letter winner at Oregon (Wisconsin) High School, Karvala spent his senior season at Bella Vista Prep in Arizona, bolstering a profile that saw him ranked No. 62 nationally per the 247Sports Composite.

Karvala averaged 26.5 points and 9.5 rebounds per game in his final season with Oregon, shooting close to 42% from behind the 3-point line. He averaged another 14.7 points per game with Team Herro on the EYBL circuit.

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He handed DeVries a major recruiting win last fall, when Karvala picked the Hoosiers over Xavier and Cal. Now, both at the rim and behind the arc, Karvala looks like a player who can contribute meaningfully in his first year in college.

“I know my athleticism catches the eye, but I can still shoot it,” Karvala said. “But another thing is just working on rebounding, trying to get extra possessions for us.”

Whether on the glass or elsewhere, embracing the physical challenge of college basketball has been an emphasis for Karvala since he arrived in Bloomington earlier this summer.

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That manifests itself offensively, when he tries to push the ball downhill and leverage that athleticism to attack the rim. It shows up defensively, where Karvala said he’s comfortable guarding the two, the three and, matchup depending, the four.

It even plays out on the glass, battling bigs up to including 7-2 teammate Samet Yigitoglu, who Karvala described with a smile as “the biggest guy I’ve ever seen.”

“Physicality, 100%,” Karvala said, when asked where he’s challenging himself. “Just playing with all these guys that have 20, 30, 40 pounds on me.”

Which starts with the physical demand of more weight. Karvala said he’ll eat chicken, steak or “whatever we have in the locker room” that can help him in that effort. His focus, he said, is simply to “eat a lot, and work out every day.”

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As that weight and strength begin to build, Karvala knows the next step — to mentally prepare for the rough-and-tumble nature of life on the floor in the Big Ten — is just as important. Preparing his body comes first. Challenging himself to toughen up once it’s required follows quickly after.

“Just getting fully there, mentally,” he said. “You’re going to have to push your body to get through this.”

Want more Hoosiers coverage? Sign up for IndyStar’s Hoosiers newsletter. Listen to Mind Your Banners, our IU Athletics-centric podcast, on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts. Watch the latest on IndyStar TV: Hoosiers.



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Indiana Fever President Addresses Player Safety After Alyssa Thomas' Suspension

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Indiana Fever President Addresses Player Safety After Alyssa Thomas' Suspension


Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever fell to 10-8 on the 2026 WNBA season after suffering a 111-109 loss to Alyssa Thomas and the Phoenix Mercury on Wednesday night. The Fever finished the mini series against the Mercury with a 1-1 overall record, taking Phoenix down 86-77 just two nights before. Clark finished the game with 19 points on 5-of-9 shooting, eight assists and four turnovers, but was limited to just 20 minutes after leaving the game in the third quarter due to her lingering back injury.



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New law allows alcohol at participating county fairs in Indiana

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New law allows alcohol at participating county fairs in Indiana


It’s fair season and a new law uncorks adult beverage sales!

The new Indiana law will go into effect July 1st, making it legal to sell alcohol at county fairs.

The Kosciusko County Fair is set to kick off in just a few weeks and Indiana is officially allowing alcohol to be sold.

The law is bringing back something that’s not necessarily new to this fair.

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Here’s what you need to know

The new law will go into effect on July 1st. It officially allows county fairs to apply for fee-free permits to sell alcohol.

Officials with the Kosciusko County Fair say they are participating this year. They are implementing the same guidelines they used when they sold alcohol just at grandstand events.

The difference now is, you can walk around the grounds with your drink. But strict guidelines will be in place for purchasing a drink.

“Actually, we’ve never had any issues. Because we card everybody, so we take that seriously. We also got the ID guides so we can identify the different types of IDs,” said Sheal Dirck, Treasurer of Kosciusko County Fair.

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The Kosciusko County Fair already have guidelines in place, so this was an easy transition for the fair.

They will be the only vendors selling alcohol, which will make it easier to control distribution.

The sales will also bring in more revenue.

“Hopefully it allows to keep our ticket prices where they are because right now, insurance, utilities and everything else is going sky high and it’s hard to make ends meet,” said Dirck.

However, some fairs cannot participate because of the July 1st start date, like the Pulaski County Fair, which is going on right now. Pulaski County officials said it is on the agenda for next year. Whereas other fairs are choosing to sit this year out.

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“We wanted not spend some time to, to see what that really means for us. It was not a decision we wanted to rush into. But we are happy for the option of it,” said Shelly Steury, GM of Elkhart County 4H Fairgrounds.

Leaders at the St. Joseph County and Elkhart County Fairs said neither of them are selling alcohol.

The Kosciusko County Fair is the only fair that will sell alcohol in our area this year.



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