New Jersey
Signs Pointed To Trump's Close Race In New Jersey – The Montclarion
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A few days before the election, on a crisp fall morning, I walked through the Oak View section of Bloomfield, an area that’s considered “more Republican” in a town that’s a Democratic stronghold.
Something felt off. Everywhere I looked, there were Trump signs.
This neighborhood, which typically displayed only a few signs for the Republican candidate, was now dotted with flags, banners, and a sea of yard signs showing support for him. Even signs for Democratic mayoral candidate Jenny Mundell were sharing space with Trump’s.
That morning, just days before the election, felt different. The area had the vibe of a battleground state.
While I didn’t think Trump would win Bloomfield, or even New Jersey, the volume of his supporters here felt like a signal of a close race in the state, and a larger red wave nationwide.
And it wasn’t just Bloomfield. I was seeing this across North Jersey.
In towns where Trump signs had been rare, I noticed multiple, with neighbors sometimes in direct opposition to each other, another indication of a battleground mentality.
Since election night, and the narrow five-point difference in votes here, there’s been talk about New Jersey possibly becoming a swing state. While it could be an overreaction to the closeness of this year’s results, I can’t help but hope it’s true.
For years, New Jersey politics have felt like a foregone conclusion. If I vote Democrat, they’ll win, even without my vote; if I vote Republican, they’ll lose, even with my vote. It’s hard to get excited about an election when you already know the outcome.
The state hasn’t sent a Republican to federal office in decades, the last being George H.W. Bush in 1988. However, we have elected Republican governors during that time.
Signs may not vote, but they certainly indicate voter intentions. The growing presence of Trump signs across North Jersey suggested something. Either these towns were becoming Trump territory, or his supporters were becoming more vocal.
Based on the results, it seems to be a mix of both.
I dug deeper into this through a breakdown of the vote from northjersey.com, to see if my suspicions about towns flipping from Biden in 2020 to Trump in 2024 were correct.
And it’s true Trump gained ground here, 33 towns or about 19% of North Jersey flipped red according to the article.
As expected, Kamala Harris won Bloomfield by a large margin, but Trump did improve his standing slightly. The rest of Essex County stayed blue also as expected but three towns Nutley, West Caldwell, North Caldwell flipped back to Trump.
Morris County though did flipped back after voting for President Biden. I was surprised to see this a little since Vice President Harris did gain ground with richer voters which this county has a lot of.
Five towns there flipped, including Denville, Mount Olive, and Mine Hill.
Other results felt very unexpected, especially in Passaic County, where the entire county flipped along with four of its towns; Little Falls, Hawthorne, Passaic and Clifton.
The latter two, which didn’t feel like they’d vote Republican, shocked me. I don’t remember any signs in these areas.
Across the river in Bergen County, though, it felt different. Twenty one towns there changed their votes from Biden to Trump. In these towns, Trump flags were a common sight. One street in Hasbrouck Heights specifically reminded me of my time in another swing state, Pennsylvania. There Trump flags may have outnumbered the American Flag.
These areas will be important in a competitive swing New Jersey, Republicans will have to hold onto them and the demographic of voters who live there if they want to see the state vote red.
Sussex County on the other hand is solid Trump country, he won every town by generally big margins. I don’t spend much time up there, mostly just hiking. So unless I stumbled upon a “Bears for Trump” sign at High Point, I’m not really qualified to weigh in on the local political climate.
The results show that at least for Donald Trump, North Jersey has become more red.
Two things stood out to me in the results, many of the towns that flipped are in the lower parts of the income bracket for their respective counties. Garfield for example is the 68th richest out of 70 Bergen County municipalities and Mount Olive is the 31st out of the 39 in Morris County. This could be a signal of the continued loss of working class voters for Democrats.
But, many of these towns still kept their Democratic local leaders. A trend which was clear based on the number of houses that displayed both Trump and Democrat signs, including the Little Falls house with the big Trump inflatable. So the question going forward will be, can anyone other than Donald Trump replicate this success?
If Republicans want to keep the dream of a swing state New Jersey alive they’ll have to build on the success of Trump in the cities and working class towns that voted more red this year.
It does appear some candidates, like gubernatorial hopeful Jack Ciattarelli, are doing this with visits to places like Newark- but will it be enough? Or will the results or lack thereof from the Trump administration next year dictate how the state votes moving forward?
I believe Republicans winning next year’s election and taking control of the governor’s office will be the signal of the state becoming more competitive. But still I don’t think we’ll see a Republican presidential candidate carry the state anytime soon.
While the idea of a more contentious political landscape may be daunting, I can’t help but feel optimistic. New Jersey’s political future may feel more unknown but at least if it becomes a swing state, our votes will all actually matter.
New Jersey
New Jersey to Use AI to Score Standardized Writing Tests
(TNS) — Artificial intelligence will be used to score most of the writing New Jersey students do on the new statewide standardized tests set to debut this spring, state education officials said.
The AI system will be used to grade student essays and short answers on the English Language Arts section of the statewide exams, according to a state-approved testing proposal. The “artificial intelligence” will be trained using scores generated by human scorers on practice tests that were given to students in October and November.
New Jersey is debuting a new type of state tests — called the New Jersey Student Learning Assessments-Adaptive — this spring. It will be given to students in grades 3 through 10 to test their knowledge of English, math and science.
There will also be a new version of the state’s high school exit exam for high school juniors, now called the New Jersey Graduation Proficiency Assessment-Adaptive.
Like the previous version of the test, known as the NJSLA, the exams will be given via computer. But the new version will be “adaptive,” meaning students will get different questions based on their previous answers on the exam — a practice that is supposed to make scoring the tests more precise.
The AI system will be used to score the essays and written questions, but there will still be some human scorers, state Department of Education Spokesperson Michael Yaple said.
If a student’s written response is identified as “unusual” or “borderline” it will be “flagged for human review,” Yaple said.
“The system regularly conducts quality assurance checks to ensure that the scores assigned by the automated scoring engine match human scores through strict quality controls,” he added.
Cambium, the company overseeing the new tests, does not use generative AI — the version of artificial intelligence used in ChatGPT-type platforms that can create something new and are known to sometimes hallucinate false or inaccurate information, Yaple said.
Instead, the automated scoring system will have strict parameters “with proven consistency, and human scoring remains the foundation of the process, validating accuracy at multiple checkpoints throughout the scoring workflow,” state education officials said in a statement.
Computerized scoring of New Jersey’s state tests is nothing new. Last year, about 90 percent of student essays on the NJSLA and the state high school exit exams were scored solely by an automated scoring system, Yaple said.
But some educators have concerns about the extensive use of AI to grade the new version of the tests that will eventually be taken by nearly all of New Jersey’s 1.3 million public school students.
Using a version of AI to score student writing is risky, said Steve Beatty, president of the New Jersey Education Association, the state’s largest teachers union.
He said he would hate to see “some student fail on a computer-graded test only to find out later on that there was some sort of error.”
The NJEA is against high stakes testing in general, Beatty said. But if the tests are going to continue “then we want trained educators — humans — doing” the scoring.
If a student fails the AI-scored sections of the exams, there should be a plan to have the writing reassessed by a human, he said.
“They should go back to a person to be verified,” Beatty said.
NEW TESTING CONTRACT
New Jersey students will begin taking the new NJSLA-Adaptive exams during a month-long testing window between April 27 and May 29. The tests are usually given over several consecutive days.
The testing window for the new NJGPA-Adaptive high school exit exam for high school juniors will be from March 16 to April 1, according to a state Department of Education testing schedule.
The new statewide NJSLA and NJGPA tests were developed by Cambium Assessment, a company that won a $58.7 million, two-year contract with the state.
According to the Cambium proposal, Measurement Incorporated, a company located in Durham, North Carolina, will be responsible for providing and training the people who will do the human “handscoring” when AI-generated essay and written response scores are flagged for review.
In its proposal to the state, Cambium said the company assumes “25 percent of the overall responses will be routed for trained handscoring.”
New Jersey officials said AI was not used to create test items on the new version of the tests and artificial intelligence will not be used to determine which questions students see on the adaptive assessments.
Jeffrey Hauger, who served as director of assessments for the state Department of Education from 2010 to 2018, said New Jersey has a long history of using computers to help score the written portion of state tests. He later worked as an adviser to Pearson, the company that previously had the contract to provide the state NJSLA tests.
Around 2016, Hauger said the state started implementing a system that used one human and one automated scorer to assess each piece of student writing.
If a large discrepancy between the two scores was found, the essay would be read by a second human, he said.
“It was a tool for efficiency, but the human was always involved throughout the process back then,” Hauger said.
AI scoring is now more sophisticated, he said.
“Technology has improved. And so, it’s not as big of a leap now as maybe people think it is,” Hauger said.
During Gov. Phil Murphy’s time in office, the department started relying more on automated scoring and moving away from having each piece of writing evaluated by both a machine and a human, he said.
FLAGGING PROBLEMS
AI scoring has been controversial in other states.
In Massachusetts, AI grading errors were blamed for 1,400 incorrect scores on the state’s Massachusetts Comprehensive Assessment System, known as the MCAS, last year.
In Texas, several districts questioned whether AI grading was fair on its statewide tests in recent years.
The Dallas Independent School District has challenged thousands of AI generated essay scores on Texas’ statewide STAAR standardized tests over the past two years.
Cambium and Pearson, the companies involved in New Jersey’s testing, both contributed to Texas’ standardized testing system.
In 2024, the Dallas school district asked the state to rescore 4,600 tests, sending them to the state to be rescored by humans.
About 44 percent of the rescored tests came back with higher scores after a human read them, said Jacob Cortez, Dallas’ assistant superintendent in charge of evaluation and assessment.
The district also sent thousands of AI-scored tests for rescoring last year and nearly 40 percent came back with higher scores from humans, the district said.
The accuracy rate for the AI-scored third grade tests was the most troubling, with 85 percent of those sent back showing an improved score when humans read the students’ work.
“That is not okay,” Cortez said.
The Dallas school district, which serves about 139,000 students, limited the number of tests it sent back for rescoring because it had to pay $50 for each test that did not receive an improved score, local officials said.
Cambium officials did not respond to requests for comment about the Dallas accuracy issues or the company’s AI scoring practices.
New Jersey officials declined to comment on questions about AI scoring accuracy in other states.
“New Jersey cannot comment on another state’s assessment and scoring process,” Yaple said.
Lily Laux, New Jersey’s new commissioner of education, also did not respond to a request to comment. In her previous job as Texas’ deputy commissioner of school programs, she helped design the state’s standardized testing system, according to her LinkedIn profile.
The problems with AI scoring in Dallas raise questions about the system, said Scott Marion, principal learning associate at the Center for Assessment, a nonprofit, nonpartisan consulting firm.
“Is it not being trained well? Is it not being trained on a diverse enough population?” Marion asked.
AI scoring makes financial sense but states also need to be careful not to overly rely on it, he said. He’s comfortable with about 80 percent AI-scored writing because systems still need human backups.
“We’ve been doing this for so long,” he said referring to the use of AI to score student writing.
Many students, teachers and parents may be surprised to know how much of writing in school is already scored by AI, education advocates said.
Many “parents have no idea this is a thing,” said Julie Borst, executive director of community organizing for Save Our Schools New Jersey, a statewide advocacy group.
She is concerned that students with unique writing styles might end up with lower scores on tests because AI is looking for specific words and phrases or a standard number of sentences for top scores.
Borst, whose organization has long-opposed high stakes standardized testing, said in the end, it will still be up to teachers to know where students are doing well and where they are struggling.
“The teacher is going to know where those weaknesses are. They’re going to know where those strengths lie,” she said. “You cannot tell that — at the student level — from a standardized test.”
©2026 Advance Local Media LLC. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.
New Jersey
NJ’s new budget is coming. How will state finances affect your taxes?
3-minute read
Gov. Mikie Sherrill addresses affordability crisis in NJ: video
Watch new Gov. Mikie Sherrill on state affordability: “Too many people are working too hard and still falling behind.” Jan. 20, 2026 at NJPAC, Newark
Gov. Mikie Sherrill is set to present her first state budget proposal in a Tuesday, March 10, address to the New Jersey Legislature. It’s clear the proposal will make some hard choices as state finances face major headwinds.
Late last month, Sherrill said her budget plan will include some “tough choices” because of the looming uncertainty of a structural deficit for state finances.
The governor explained that if projections stay on the current path, the state would have a structural deficit of about $3 billion by the end of June, when her proposed budget would be in the final stages of negotiations with the Legislature.
Uncertainty due to federal funding cuts, along with the end of pandemic relief funding, has already forced Sherrill to consider all of her options when crafting her plan for New Jersey’s fiscal year 2027.
The governor wouldn’t give particulars about what to expect in her upcoming fiscal plan but instead said she is “setting the table so people can anticipate that this is going to be a tough budget season.”
What does a structural deficit mean for New Jersey taxpayers?
A structural deficit, simply put, means New Jersey spends more than it earns.
Among the costliest tax relief programs in the state’s history, Stay NJ was introduced legislatively in the run-up to the fiscal year 2024 budget and received funding for three years without paying anything out.
The first Stay NJ checks are being sent out to qualifying New Jersey seniors, but the accumulated $1.2 billion covers only the first six months of the program for this year. Roughly $900 million will need to be added to the line item in Sherrill’s first fiscal plan to maintain the program.
The law that created Stay NJ requires full pension payments, full school funding payments and a surplus of at least 12% to be built into the budget as prerequisites for funding the program. The surplus was not 12% when the budget was signed during the last two years, but budget language allowed for a work-around.
Sherrill would not commit to requiring the prerequisites before she would be willing to sign a budget bill in late June.
Increasing costs for the State Health Benefits Program, which is already a contentious topic, could also be a concern for the new governor, as payments are about $2 billion annually and the 10% increase needed in this year’s budget added more than $180 million.
How does New Jersey’s budget process work?
New Jersey’s $58.8 billion budget for fiscal year 2026 is the largest in history and is set to expire at the end of June.
The plan for fiscal year 2027 — which will run from July 1, 2026, through June 30, 2027 — is a major factor in how New Jersey state government will function by dictating which state departments and programs are funded.
After Sherrill’s address in March, her proposed spending and revenue plan will be analyzed and shaped in the Legislature through the spring. Negotiations will heat up as the current fiscal year winds to a close in June. If the budget cycle is normal, a final budget bill will land on Sherrill’s desk hours before the current fiscal year ends at 11:59 p.m. on June 30.
Though it would be unlikely — given Democratic control of both chambers of the Legislature and the governor’s office — in the event the budget bill does not get signed, state government shuts down. There have been two shutdowns in state history: for 10 days in 2006 and three days in 2017.
Katie Sobko covers the New Jersey Statehouse. Email: sobko@northjersey.com
New Jersey
Woman fatally struck by NJ Transit train in Ramsey
Phil Murphy on NJ Transit future during State of State address
Gov. Phil Murphy discussed the future of NJ Transit during his final State of the State address.
A woman was fatally struck by a train in Ramsey on the morning of March 8.
The unidentified woman was hit by the train at 10:49 a.m., just west of the Main Street crossing near the main Ramsey station, said John Chartier, director of media relations for NJ Transit.
Rail service was suspended in both directions between Allendale and Port Jervis but has since resumed, with delays of up to 30 minutes.
The train came from Port Jervis and was heading to Hoboken, and 150 people were on board at the time, Chartier said.
NJ Transit police are leading the investigation. No additional information about the circumstances of the death was available.
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